FREE NBA PICKS
*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.
DP’S PLAYER PROP
SEASON RECORD: 17-9
Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop, exclusive to subscribers.
CLEVELAND @ BOSTON
May the steak continue on Christmas Day when I shoot for 6 straight on the 
prop picks and on this occasion my attention turns to the 1st fixture when the Raptors play host to the C’s.
Jaylen Brown has been brilliant this year, averaging; 19.8 PTS on 50.4% FG, 7 RBS and 2.4 AST per game.
Most recently the talented guard has returned big time numbers on the glass, totaling 23 across 3 games, whilst also having back-to-back games of 5 dimes. Hey, let’s not forget back-to-back 26 point games before a soft 16 in a blowout win against the Hornets.
Last time these two teams met in the third game of season, Brown had 25/9/4 and was able to dictate terms offensively against the smaller guards in Lowry & VanVleet.
I once again expect Brown to fill the stat sheet so take his over on the PRA of 26.5.
If you can’t find this combo market, I also highly suggest over 6.5 rebounds.
BEST BET – JAYLEN BROWN PTS+RBS+AST OVER 26.5 – WIN
TREND BET
SEASON RECORD: 12-11
MILWAUKEE @ PHILADELPHIA
BUCKS TRENDS
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 vs teams above .500.
- Over is 24-11 in Bucks last 35 games playing on 2 days rest.
- Under is 6-1 in last 7 vs teams above .600.
76ERS TRENDS
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 vs teams above .500.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-1-1 in last 6 vs teams above .600.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Philadelphia.
- Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
TREND BET – OVER 220.0 – WIN
*Strongest trend bet of the night. Not necessarily our pick.
If trends are your thing, this is your pick.
BOSTON @ TORONTO
TEAM TRENDS
BOSTON TRENDS
- 7-1 ATS in last 8 games as a favorite.
- 11-3 ATS in last 14 vs teams above .500.
- 7-2 ATS in last 9 games overall.
- 5-2 ATS in last 7 vs teams above .600.
- 5-2 ATS in last 7 road games.
- Under is 16-5 in last 21 vs teams above .600.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams above .500.
RAPTORS TRENDS
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 games overall.
- 15-6-1 ATS in last 22 home games.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 vs teams above .600.
- 16-7-1 ATS in last 24 vs teams above .500.
- Under is 6-2-1 in last 9 overall.
- Under is 3-1-1 in last 5 vs teams above .600.
- Under is 9-4 in last 13 vs teams above .500.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Celtics are 0-8 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Toronto.
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Toronto.
- Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 26.10.19 | BOS | TOR | 112 : 106 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Kemba Walker has 28+ points in the Celtics’ last 4 Wednesday games. (24.5)
Jayson Tatum has 16 points or less in the Celtics’ last 4 games against the Raptors at Scotiabank Arena. (21.5)
Kyle Lowry has 26+ points in his last four games with the Raptors as underdogs against East teams. (22.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| BOS | 20 | 7 | 12-1 | 8-6 |
| TOR | 21 | 9 | 13-3 | 8-6 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| BOS | 111.2 | 103.2 | +8.0 | 214.4 |
| TOR | 112.1 | 106.4 | +5.7 | 218.5 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| BOS | Under | BOS |
| -3.0 | 212.5 | 118-102 |
THE RUB
Toronto have won 8-straight home games against the Celtics dating to the 2015-16 and have a 34-game home streak against Atlantic teams. It is an NBA record for a team within a division.
The Celtics have won 3 in a row, including a 119-93 win Sunday over the Hornets in which Tatum scored a career-high 39 points, 22 in the 4th quarter.
The Raptors are down three key players with Siakam (groin), Gasol (hamstring) and Norman Powell (shoulder) out but were winners of 5 in a row before taking the Pacers to OT in Indiana on Monday and falling 120-115.
OUR PICK – BOSTON -3.0
MILWAUKEE @ PHILADELPHIA
TEAM TRENDS
BUCKS TRENDS
- 6-1 ATS in last 7 games overall.
- 6-1 ATS in last 7 games as a favorite.
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 vs teams above .600.
- 6-2 ATS in last 8 vs teams above .500.
- 5-2 ATS in last 7 road games.
- 33-16-2 ATS in last 51 games following a straight up win of 10+ points.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 vs teams above .500.
- Under is 6-1 in last 7 vs teams above .600.
76ERS TRENDS
- 1-3-1 ATS in last 5 games overall.
- 5-2 ATS in last 7 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 vs teams above .500.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-1-1 in last 6 vs teams above .600.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Philadelphia.
- Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
PLAYER TRENDS
- Giannis has 33+ points in 5 of the Bucks’ last 6 road games. (31.5)
- Joel Embiid has 30+ points in the 76ers’ last 3 games against the Bucks. (24.5)
- Khris Middleton has made 3 three-pointers in the Bucks’ last 3 games against the 76ers. (1.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| MIL | 27 | 4 | 15-2 | 12-2 |
| PHI | 22 | 10 | 15-2 | 7-8 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| MIL | 120.6 | 107.1 | +13.5 | 227.7 |
| PHI | 109.8 | 104.9 | +4.9 | 214.7 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| MIL | Over | PHI |
| -3.0 | 220.0 | 121-109 |
THE RUB
Milwaukee have won 21 of their last 22, including an 117-89 smashing of the Pacers on Sunday.
The 76ers pulled out of a slide that saw them drop 3-straight, cruising to wins over Washington and Detroit in the last 2 games, scoring 125 points in each victory.
Giannis averaged 43 points and 15.7 rebounds in 3 games against Philadelphia last season – winning 2.
OUR PICK – OVER 220.0
HOUSTON @ GOLDEN STATE
TEAM TRENDS
ROCKETS TRENDS
- 4-0 ATS in last 4 road games.
- 9-3 ATS in last 12 vs teams below .400.
- 2-6 ATS in last 8 games as a favorite.
- 2-6 ATS in last 8 vs teams below .500.
- Under is 6-1 in last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % below .400.
- Under is 7-3 in last 10 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 15-7 in last 22 road games.
WARRIORS TRENDS
- 17-36-1 ATS in last 54 home games.
- 2-5-1 ATS in last 8 vs teams above .600.
- 1-5 ATS in last 6 vs teams above .500.
- Under is 7-1 in last 8 home games.
- Over is 4-1-1 in last 6 vs teams above .500.
- Under is 8-3 in last 11 overall.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Rockets are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Golden State.
- Rockets are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
- Over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.
- Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Golden State.
SEASON SERIES
| 07.11.19 | HOU | GSW | 129 : 112 |
PLAYER TRENDS
-
Russell Westbrook has 28+ points in the Rockets’ last 5 games against West teams. (25.5)
-
Draymond Green has 9+ rebounds in his last six games against the Rockets. (5.5)
-
James Harden has 39+ points in 7 of the Rockets’ last 8 games as road favourites. (37.5)
-
D’Angelo Russell has 25+ points in the Warriors’ last 3 games. (23.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| HOU | 21 | 9 | 10-4 | 11-5 |
| GSW | 7 | 24 | 4-10 | 3-14 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| HOU | 120.2 | 114.4 | +5.8 | 234.6 |
| GSW | 104.9 | 113.3 | -8.4 | 218.2 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| HOU | OVER | |
| -11.0 | 226.5 |
THE RUB
Not quite the matchup that Adam Silver wanted leading into this game, but we push on with what should be a one sided affair.
Instead, Draymond, D’Angelo and the Warriors’ group of youngsters will try to earn 3-straight for the first time this season tonight.
Houston beat the Clippers, Suns and Kings on the first 3 stops of the 4-game trip and are winners of 6 in a row on the road.
OUR PICK – HOUSTON -11.0
LA CLIPPERS @ LA LAKERS
TEAM TRENDS
CLIPPERS TRENDS
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 games playing on 2 days rest.
- 7-2 ATS in last 9 games as a favorite.
- 5-2 ATS in last 7 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 road games.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams above .500.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams above .600.
LAKERS TRENDS
- 6-1 ATS in last 7 games as an underdog.
- 13-6 ATS in last 19 home games.
- 0-5 ATS in last 5 games overall.
- 0-4 ATS in last 4 vs teams above .500.
- Under is 12-4-1 in last 17 vs teams above .500.
- Under is 35-16-1 in last 52 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Under is 13-6-1 in the last 20 meetings.
- Clippers are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Los Angeles.
SEASON SERIES
| 23.10.19 | LAC | LAL | 112 : 102 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Anthony Davis has 13+ rebounds in his last 3 home games against the Clippers. (9.5)
- Paul George has 26+ points in 4 of his last 5 games against the Lakers. (24.5)
- LeBron James has 11+ assists in 6 of his last 8 games at Staples Center. (10.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| LAC | 22 | 10 | 14-2 | 8-8 |
| LAL | 24 | 6 | 10-3 | 14-3 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| LAL | 112.3 | 104.9 | +7.4 | 217.2 |
| LAC | 115.7 | 108.6 | +7.1 | 224.3 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| LAC | Under | LAC |
| +2.5 | 222.5 | 111-106 |
THE RUB
Clearly the matchup of the night, and god willing, all the stars will pull on their shorts.
An equally hard game to pick with Lebron dealing with a thoracic muscle strain in his back and Davis an injured right knee as the Lakers attempt to halt a season-worst three-game slide.
Like the Unders tonight, with both ranking in the top 8 defensively. Expecting things to slow down late in the game.
OUR PICK – UNDER 222.5
NEW ORLEANS @ DENVER
TEAM TRENDS
PELICANS TRENDS
- 2-6-1 ATS in last 9 road games.
- 3-12-1 ATS in last 16 games overall.
- 0-3-1 ATS in last 4 vs teams above .600.
- 0-4-1 ATS in last 5 vs teams above .500.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
- Under is 9-3 in last 12 vs teams above .600.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 road games.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.
NUGGETS TRENDS
- 9-4 ATS in last 13 vs teams below .400.
- 1-3-1 ATS in last 5 games overall.
- 0-3-1 ATS in last 4 vs teams below .500.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 overall.
- Under is 11-4 in last 15 home games vs. a team with a road winning % below .400.
- Under is 25-11 in last 36 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Pelicans are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 01.11.19 | NOR | DEN | 122 : 107 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Derrick Favors has 10+ rebounds in his last 5 games against West teams. (9.5)
- Nikola Jokic has 22+ points in 4 of the Nuggets’ last 5 games as favourites. (22.5)
- J.J. Redick has 18+ points in 5 of his last 6 games against the Nuggets. (14.5)
- Nikola Jokic has 10+ assists in 4 of the Nuggets’ last 5 games as favourites. (7.5)
- Jamal Murray has 28+ points in the Nuggets’ last 3 games as favourites. (18.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| NOR | 8 | 23 | 4-11 | 4-12 |
| DEN | 21 | 8 | 13-3 | 8-5 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| NOR | 111.5 | 117.7 | -6.2 | 229.2 |
| DEN | 107.8 | 102.1 | +5.7 | 209.9 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| DEN | Over | |
| -9.0 | 218.0 |
THE RUB
The Nuggets have the NBA’s longest winning streak, and go for 8-straight tonight.
Denver smashed the Lakers 128-104 on Sunday but needed a game-winner from Jamal Murray to escape with a 113-111 win over the Suns on Monday.
New Orleans followed up a 13-game losing streak by winning 2 of its last 3 games, all on the road, including Monday’s 102-94 win over Portland. The Pelicans were 15-of-35 from 3-point range, holding Portland to 4-of-29.
OUR PICK – OVER 218.0
