5 GAMES – NBA PICKS – 29/12/19

FREE NBA PICKS

*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.

 

DP’S PLAYER PROP

SEASON RECORD: 18-10

Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop, exclusive to subscribers.

OKLAHOMA CITY @ TORONTO

OG enters the Raptors second leg of a back-to-back the freshest starter of them all after fouling out in just 15 minutes whilst returning a most 7 points on 3 of 4 shooting.

With the likes of McCaw, VanVleet, Lowry and Ibaka all posting 30+ minutes in what was a milestone road victory in Boston, I’m expecting OG to make amends and come out firing.

Most importantly, OG will have a significantly easier task on defense which should enable his offensive game to get rolling.

OKC are short-handed at the 3 & 4 with inefficient scorers such as Bazley & Nader who aren’t capable of causing foul trouble.

If OG gets to the right spots and receives the green light on the 3 ball, he should cover his season average with ease.

DP’S PICK – OG ANUNOBY OVER 11.5 Points

Gamble Responsibly.


TREND BETS

SEASON RECORD: 12-13

OKLAHOMA CITY @ TORONTO

THUNDER TRENDS

  • Over is 6-0-1 in last 7 vs teams with winning records.
  • Over is 5-1 in last 6 games vs teams above .600.
  • Under is 5-1 in last 6 road games.
  • Over is 5-2 in last 7 overall.

RAPTORS TRENDS

  • Over is 6-0-1 in last 7 vs teams with winning records.
  • Over is 12-4 in last 16 games as a home favorite.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Toronto.
  • Over is 6-0-1 in the last 7 meetings.

TREND BET – OVER 210.0


CHARLOTTE @ MEMPHIS

HORNETS TRENDS

  • 8-0 ATS in last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % below .400.
  • 19-7 ATS in last 26 games vs teams below .400.
  • 4-1 ATS in last 5 games vs teams with losing records.

GRIZZLIES TRENDS

  • 5-2 ATS in last 7 games overall.
  • 3-7 ATS in last 10 games vs teams below .400.
  • 6-16 ATS in last 22 games playing on 0 days rest.
  • 4-12 ATS in last 16 games as a favorite.
  • 2-10 ATS in last 12 games as a home favorite.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Hornets are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
  • Hornets are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Memphis.

TREND BET – CHARLOTTE +3.0

*Strongest trend bet of the night. Not necessarily our pick.

If trends are your thing, this is your pick.


OKLAHOMA CITY @ TORONTO

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

THUNDER TRENDS

  • 5-1 ATS in last 6 road games.
  • 8-3 ATS in last 11 games vs teams with winning records.
  • 7-2 ATS in last 9 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Over is 6-0-1 in last 7 vs teams with winning records.
  • Over is 5-1 in last 6 games vs teams above .600.
  • Under is 5-1 in last 6 road games.
  • Over is 5-2 in last 7 overall.

RAPTORS TRENDS

  • 4-1 ATS in last 5 games as a favorite.
  • 13-5 ATS in last 18 games as a home favorite.
  • 13-5 ATS in last 18 games playing on 0 days rest.
  • 15-7-1 ATS in last 23 home games.
  • Over is 6-0-1 in last 7 vs teams with winning records.
  • Over is 12-4 in last 16 games as a home favorite.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Thunder are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Thunder are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Toronto.
  • Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Toronto.
  • Over is 6-0-1 in the last 7 meetings.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has 21+ points in the Thunder’s last 4 games. (20.5)
  • Steven Adams has 12+ rebounds in 3 of the Thunder’s last 4 road games. (10.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
OKC 16 15 11-6 5-9
TOR 22 10 13-4 9-6

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
OKC 108.6 107.8 +0.8 216.4
TOR 111.8 106.5 +5.3 218.3

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
TOR Over OKC
-3.5 210.0 98-97

THE RUB

Fresh off a nice win in Boston, Toronto head home on a B2B with momentum. OKC’s road record isn’t impressive, with only 1 win against an Eastern Conference opponent being Charlotte.

OUR PICK  –  TORONTO WIN


SACRAMENTO @ DENVER

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

KINGS TRENDS

  • 6-1 ATS in last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % over .600.
  • 9-2 ATS in last 11 games vs teams with winning records.
  • 7-2 ATS in last 9 games vs teams above .600.
  • 11-5 ATS in last 16 road games.
  • 0-6 ATS in last 5 games overall.
  • Over is 5-1 in last 6 road games.
  • Under is 7-3 in last 10 games vs teams above .600.
  • Over is 9-4 in last 13 vs teams with winning records.

NUGGETS TRENDS

  • 0-4 ATS in last 4 games vs teams below .400.
  • 0-3-1 ATS in last 4 home games.
  • Over is 5-2 in last 7 overall.
  • Under is 26-11 in last 37 home games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Kings are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Denver.
  • Kings are 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
  • Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Denver.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
01.12.19 SAC DEN 100 : 97
(90 : 90)
29.10.19 SAC DEN 94 : 101

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Jamal Murray has 22+ points in the Nuggets’ last 3 games against teams on the 2nd leg of a back-to-back. (18.5)
  • Nikola Jokic has 11+ rebounds in the Nuggets’ last 3 home games against the Kings. (10.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
SAC 12 20 6-8 6-12
DEN 22 9 14-4 8-5

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
SAC 105.2 108.1 -2.9 213.3
DEN 107.9 102.7 +5.2 210.6

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
DEN Under DEN
-9.5 210.5 120-115

THE RUB

The Kings are on a 6 game slide and haven’t found any rhythm with Fox’s return and now that he is out again, the losing has been a constant.

Denver at home to capitalize at home again with both teams on a B2B.

OUR PICK  –  DENVER -9.5


CHARLOTTE @ MEMPHIS

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

HORNETS TRENDS

  • 8-0 ATS in last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % below .400.
  • 19-7 ATS in last 26 games vs teams below .400.
  • 4-1 ATS in last 5 games vs teams with losing records.
  • Under is 4-1 in last 5 games vs teams below .400.
  • Over is 5-2 in last 7 vs teams with losing records.

GRIZZLIES TRENDS

  • 5-2 ATS in last 7 games overall.
  • 3-7 ATS in last 10 games vs teams below .400.
  • 6-16 ATS in last 22 games playing on 0 days rest.
  • 4-12 ATS in last 16 games as a favorite.
  • 2-10 ATS in last 12 games as a home favorite.
  • Over is 5-0 in last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.
  • Over is 6-0 in last 6 home games.
  • Over is 6-2 in last 8 overall.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
  • Hornets are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
  • Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Memphis.
  • Hornets are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Memphis.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
14.11.19 CHA MEM 117 : 119

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Dillon Brooks has 19+ points in 4 of the Grizzlies’ last 5 home games against East teams. (14.5)
  • Jonas Valanciunas has 12+ rebounds in 4 of the Grizzlies’ last 5 games as favourites. (9.5)
  • Terry Rozier has 26+ points in 3 of the Hornets’ last 4 games. (17.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
CHA 13 21 7-10 6-11
MEM 12 21 6-12 6-9

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
CHA 104.1 110.6 -6.5 214.7
MEM 110.9 116.6 -5.7 227.5

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
MEM Over MEM
-3.0 217.5 117-104

THE RUB

When two bad teams meet, there isn’t much advantage other than home court. Especially with the Hornets on a 4 game slide.

OUR PICK  –  Memphis WIN 


HOUSTON @ NEW ORLEANS

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

ROCKETS TRENDS

  • 4-1 ATS in last 5 road games.
  • 9-4 ATS in last 13 games vs teams below .400.
  • 3-7 ATS in last 10 games vs teams with losing records.
  • Under is 7-1 in last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % below .400.
  • Under is 8-3 in last 11 games as a road favorite.
  • Under is 16-7 in last 23 road games.

PELICANS TRENDS

  • 4-1 ATS in last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.
  • 1-3-1 ATS in last 5 games vs teams above .600.
  • 0-6 ATS in last 6 home games.
  • Under is 5-0 in last 5 overall.
  • Under is 7-2 in last 9 games vs teams above .600.
  • Under is 7-2 in last 9 home games.
  • Under is 34-16-1 in last 51 vs teams with winning records.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Rockets are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
  • Under is 40-19-1 in the last 60 meetings.
  • Under is 20-5-1 in the last 26 meetings in New Orleans.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
12.11.19 NOR HOU 116 : 122
27.10.19 HOU NOR 126 : 123

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Derrick Favors has 10+ rebounds in his last 6 games against West teams. (9.5)
  • Jrue Holiday has 22+ points in 6 of the Pelicans’ last 7 home games against West teams. (21.5)
  • Brandon Ingram has 27+ points in his last 2 games against the Rockets. (25.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
HOU 22 10 11-4 11-6
NOR 10 23 5-11 5-12

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
HOU 119.3 113.9 +5.4 233.2
NOR 111.8 116.6 -4.8 228.4

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
HOU Over NOR
-4.5 230.0 127-112

THE RUB

It’s almost like the news about Zion getting close to the court has given the Pelicans a lift with 3 wins straight.

Houston lead the season series 2-0, with both encounters being high scoring for both teams.

OUR PICK  –  HOUSTON WIN 


DALLAS @ LA LAKERS

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

MAVERICKS TRENDS

  • 4-1 ATS in last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.
  • 18-7-1 ATS in last 26 road games.
  • 13-6 ATS in last 19 games overall.
  • 36-17 ATS in last 53 games vs teams above .600.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.
  • Over is 10-4 in last 14 road games.

LAKERS TRENDS

  • 0-6 ATS in last 6 games overall.
  • 0-5 ATS in last 5 games vs teams above .600.
  • Under is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
  • Under is 17-6-3 in last 26 games playing on 0 days rest.
  • Under is 5-2 in last 7 games vs teams above .600.
  • Under is 36-16-1 in last 53 home games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Mavericks are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
  • Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
  • Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Los Angeles.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
02.12.19 LAL DAL 100 : 114
02.11.19 DAL LAL 110 : 119
(103 : 103)

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Kristaps Porzingis has 12+ rebounds in the Mavericks’ last 4 games as underdogs. (9.5)
  • Luka Doncic has 31+ points in his last 3 road games. (29.5)
  • Anthony Davis has 30+ points in 8 of his last 12 games against the Mavericks. (28.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
DAL 21 10 9-7 12-3
LAL 25 7 10-4 15-3

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
DAL 117.5 108.9 +8.6 226.4
LAL 112.6 105.6 +7.0 218.2

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
DAL Under LAL
+4.0 223.0 108-95

THE RUB

The Mavericks got the better of the Lakers this day a month ago on a Sunday and it got messy. The roster in the West, they have enough fire power to keep up LA and if you don’t count the overtime loss, they could be leading this season series 2-0.

Worth an outsiders chance here, especially with both LeBron and AD carrying injuries.

OUR PICK  –  Dallas +4.0