5 GAMES – FREE NBA PICKS – 9/11/19

nba picks and parlays

TONIGHT’S FREE NBA TIPS

*Original NBA tips and research are done a game day morning, adjust your NBA picks accordingly should spreads and lineups change.

A few rubbish games tonight, so if you were planning on having a refresh night from your punting, we suggest to grab a bottle of whiskey, sit down and stare into the sunset.

Small stakes tonight.


PARLAY

  • Dallas @ Memphis – Dallas WIN – WIN
  • Golden State @ OKC – Golden State +12.5 – WIN

BOSTON @ SAN ANTONIO

Celtics Trends

  • 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games.
  • 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 road games.
  • 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
  • Under is 4-1 in Celtics last 5 overall.

Spurs Trends

  • Over is 7-1 in Spurs last 8 home games.
  • Over is 6-1 in Spurs last 7 vs teams above .500.

Matchup Trends

  • Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in San Antonio.
  • Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
  • Celtics are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in San Antonio.
  • Celtics are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Boston 6 1 3-0 3-1
San Antonio 5 3 4-1 1-2

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
Boston 110.0 102.1 +7.9
San Antonio 112.3 109.9 +2.4

Picks ATS

 Spread Points   Result
San Antonio Under Boston
+1.0 216.5 135-115

THE RUB

Boston are winners of 6 straight after dropping the season opener and will be trying to sweep a 3-game road trip when they visit the Spurs tonight.

The Spurs pulled out of a 2 straight losses with a 121-112 win over OKC after averaging 98 points in the two previous contests.

San Antonio have cashed in the last 3 against the Celtics and 14 of the last 15 in the series.

Very small stake.

OUR PICK  –  San Antonio +1.0

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NEW ORLEANS @ CHARLOTTE

Pelicans Trends

  • 6-17 ATS in their last 23 games overall.
  • 1-10 ATS in their last 11 vs. Eastern Conference.
  • Over is 6-1 in Pelicans last 7 overall.
  • Over is 5-1 in Pelicans last 6 road games.

Hornets Trends

  • 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games vs teams below .400.
  • Over is 5-2-1 in Hornets last 8 home games.

Matchup Trends

  • Over is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings.
  • Pelicans are 20-9-1 ATS in the last 30 meetings.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
New Orleans 1 7 1-3 0-4
Charlotte 4 4 2-2 2-2

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
New Orleans 117.4 124.0 -6.6
Charlotte 105.3 112.9 -7.6

Picks ATS

 Spread Points   Result
New Orleans Over New Orleans
-1.5 231.0 115-110

THE RUB

This game for all intents and purposes is absolute garbage. Stay away at all costs. But, if you must…. Both rank in the bottom 3rd defensively and like a fast pace. Overs & Pelicans.

OUR PICK  – NO BET


HOUSTON @ CHICAGO

Rockets Trends

  • 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs teams below .400.
  • 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
  • 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % below .400.
  • Under is 8-2 in Rockets last 10 road games.
  • Over is 11-4 in Rockets last 15 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Bulls Trends

  • 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games.
  • 8-23 ATS in their last 31 home games.
  • 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs teams below .500.
  • Over is 13-3 in Bulls last 16 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
  • Under is 4-1 in Bulls last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.

Matchup Trends

  • Rockets are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Houston 5 3 3-1 2-2
Chicago 3 6 1-2 2-4

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
Houston 120.5 121.8 -1.3
Chicago 106.7 109.2 -2.5

Picks ATS

 Spread Points   Result
Houston Over Houston
-6.5 234.5 117-94

THE RUB

The Rockets are 29th in scoring defense, allowing an average of 121.8 points, while the Bulls are below average defensively at best.

Houston should win this, but Overs best.

BEST – Houston -6.5


DALLAS @ MEMPHIS

Mavs Trends

  • 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 road games.
  • Over is 6-0 in Mavericks last 6 overall.
  • Over is 4-1 in Mavericks last 5 road games.

Grizzlies Trends

  • 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
  • 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games playing on 0 days rest.
  • 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs teams above .500.
  • Over is 7-0 in Grizzlies last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Over is 5-1-1 in Grizzlies last 7 vs teams above .500.

Matchup Trends

  • Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Memphis.
  • Under is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Dallas 5 3 2-3 3-0
Memphis 2 6 2-3 0-3

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
Dallas 113.6 110.6 +3.0
Memphis 107.0 117.9 -10.9

Picks ATS

 Spread Points   Result
Dallas Dallas
-4.5 TBC 138-122

THE RUB

Doncic and Porzingis combined for 66 points and both shot 50%, but the rest of the Mavs were 13-of-42 last night in a loss against the lowly Knicks.

If losing to the Knicks doesn’t require deep soul searching nothing will. Tipping the Mavs to bounce back tonight.

Just the WIN for us though.

OUR PICK  – Dallas WIN


GOLDEN STATE @ OKLAHOMA CITY

Warriors Trends

  • 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
  • 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games vs teams below .500.
  • 2-10-1 ATS in their last 13 games playing on a B2B.
  • 0-9 ATS in their last 9 games vs teams below .400.

Thunder Trends

  • 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games.
  • Under is 6-0 in Thunder last 6 home games.
  • Under is 6-2 in Thunder last 8 overall.

Matchup Trends

  • Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in OKC.
  • Under is 20-6 in the last 26 meetings.
  • Warriors are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in OKC.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Golden St. 2 7 1-4 1-3
OKC 3 5 3-2 0-3

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
Golden St. 112.6 121.9 -9.3
Oklahoma City 105.0 103.3 +1.7

Picks ATS

 Spread Points   Result
Golden State Under Oklahoma City
+12.5 222.5 114-108

THE RUB

Not sure why OKC are -12.5. They’re a top-heavy roster and are sub-par offensively.

The -12.5 is way too high for tonight even for the depleted Warriors away from home.

OKC aren’t that good, and the Warriors aren’t THAT bad.

OUR PICK  – Warriors +12.5