5 GAMES – FREE NBA PICKS – 16/1/19

FREE NBA PICKS

*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.

DP’S NBA PLAYER PROP

SEASON RECORD: 29-19

Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop, exclusive to subscribers.

DENVER @ GOLDEN STATE

The Joker is on the second leg of a back to back, but he is coming off soft victories and a low output performance against the Hornets.

The Warriors rank in the bottom 5 for points allowed against at centers and with Murray out, I think Nikola will get busy early in the paint.

I have no concerns with the travel, Jokic has featured in 6 B2B’s and averaged 20 points.

DP’S PICK – NIKOLA JOKIC OVER 21.5 POINTS – WIN

PARLAYS

PARLAY

  • UTAH @ NEW ORLEANS – OVER 224.5
  • ORLANDO @ LA CLIPPERS – OVER 215.0

ODDS – $3.64 – WIN

PLAYER PROP PARLAY

  • DENVER @ GOLDEN STATE – D’ANGELO RUSSELL OVER 20.5 POINTS
  • DENVER @ GOLDEN STATE – NIKOLA JOKIC OVER 21.5 POINTS

ODDS – $3.64 – WIN

TREND BET

BOSTON @ MILWAUKEE

CELTICS TRENDS

  • Under is 8-2 in last 10 games playing on 0 days rest.
  • Under is 19-7 in last 26 games vs teams above .600.
  • Under is 5-2 in last 7 vs teams above .500.

BUCKS TRENDS

  • Under is 6-2 in last 8 games vs teams above .600.
  • Under is 5-2 in last 7 home games vs teams with a winning road record.
  • Under is 5-2 in last 7 vs teams above .500.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee.

TREND BET – UNDER 223.5

UTAH @ NEW ORLEANS

JAZZ TRENDS

  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 games following a straight win.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 games as a favorite.

PELICANS TRENDS

  • Over is 9-0 in last 9 overall.
  • Over is 8-0 in last 8 after allowing 100+ points in their last game.
  • Over is 5-0 in last 5 games as an underdog.
  • Over is 6-2 in last 8 vs teams above .500.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Over is 17-6 in the last 23 meetings.
  • Over is 11-1 in the last 12 meetings in New Orleans.

TREND BET – OVER 224.5 – WIN

*Strongest trend bet of the night. Not necessarily our pick.

If trends are your thing, this is your pick.

PHOENIX @ NEW YORK

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

SUNS TRENDS

  • 0-5 ATS in last 5 games overall.
  • 0-5 ATS in last 5 games as a favorite.
  • 0-4 ATS in last 4 games vs teams below .400.
  • 0-5 ATS in last 5 games vs teams below .500.
  • Over is 10-1 in last 11 games following a loss of 10+ points.
  • Under is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
  • Under is 5-2 in last 7 games vs teams below .400.

KNICKS TRENDS

  • 1-4 ATS in last 5 games overall.
  • 1-4 ATS in last 5 games as an underdog.
  • Over is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
  • Over is 4-0 in last 4 games as an underdog.
  • Under is 11-4 in last 15 home games vs teams with a losing road record.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Suns are 12-4-1 ATS in the last 17 meetings.
  • Suns are 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings in New York.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
04.01.20 PHO NY 120 : 112

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Elfrid Payton has 7+ assists in 9 of his last 10 games against the Suns. (6.5)
  • Devin Booker has 32+ points in the Suns’ last 5 road games. (29.5)
  • Deandre Ayton has 13+ rebounds in 5 of his last 7 games against Atlantic Division teams. (10.5)
  • Julius Randle has 11+ rebounds in 4 of his last 5 games against the Suns. (9.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
PHO 16 24 9-14 7-10
NY 11 30 6-13 5-17

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
PHO 113.1 114.3 -1.2 227.4
NY 104.8 113.2 -8.4 218.0

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
PHO OVER PHO
-3.0 223.0 121-98

The Knicks have lost 6 of their last 7 and ran into a hot outfit on Tuesday in a 128-102 loss at Milwaukee.

The Knicks rank 3rd worst in the league in defensively and have been playing at a higher tempo lately so the Overs is tempting, however 16 of the Knicks’ last 24 games at Madison Square Garden have gone Under the total.

Oubre Jr. scored 29 points on 11-of-16 shooting in a 120-112 home win over New York on Jan. 3rd, but suffered a concussion during Tuesday’s loss and has been ruled out tonight.

This game is betting poison.

OUR PICK  – NO BET

IF YOU MUST – PHOENIX WIN

BOSTON @ MILWAUKEE

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

CELTICS TRENDS

  • 12-5 ATS in last 17 games vs teams above .500.
  • 12-5-1 ATS in last 18 road games vs teams with a winning home record.
  • 11-5-1 ATS in last 17 road games vs teams with a home winning % over .600.
  • Under is 8-2 in last 10 games playing on 0 days rest.
  • Under is 19-7 in last 26 games vs teams above .600.
  • Under is 5-2 in last 7 vs teams above .500.

BUCKS TRENDS

  • 5-2 ATS in last 7 games vs teams above .600.
  • 16-7 ATS in last 23 games overall.
  • 9-4 ATS in last 13 home games.
  • Under is 6-2 in last 8 games vs teams above .600.
  • Under is 5-2 in last 7 home games vs teams with a winning road record.
  • Under is 5-2 in last 7 vs teams above .500.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Celtics are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
31.10.19 BOS MIL 116 : 105

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Khris Middleton has 17 points or less in the Bucks’ last 6 games as home favorites against Atlantic Division teams. (18.5)
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo has 32+ points in 5 of his last 6 games at Fiserv Forum. (29.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
BOS 27 12 16-4 11-8
MIL 36 6 19-2 17-4

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
BOS 111.2 104.6 +6.6 215.8
MIL 119.4 106.8 +12.6 226.2

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
BOS UNDER MIL
+10.0 225.5 128-123

The Bucks look to avenge one of their 6 losses tonight, with one of their losses in the fourth game of the season when the Celtics produced a 116-105 win in Boston.

The Bucks have won 4 straight, the last 3 wins by an average of 22.7 ppg – and 9 of their last 10.

Boston have lost 4 of 6, including a upset 116-103 loss to the visiting Pistons on Wednesday.

These two teams rank top 4 defensively and the Celtics will look to control the tempo as they did in the first meeting.

OUR PICK  – UNDER 225.5

UTAH @ NEW ORLEANS

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

JAZZ TRENDS

  • 8-0 ATS in last 8 after allowing 100+ points in their last game.
  • 6-0 ATS in last 6 games vs teams below .400.
  • 4-0 ATS in last 4 games vs teams below .500.
  • 11-1 ATS in last 12 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.
  • 10-1 ATS in last 11 games following a straight win.
  • 7-1 ATS in last 8 road games.
  • 13-3 ATS in last 16 games overall.
  • 5-1 ATS in last 6 games as a road favorite.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 games as a favorite.

PELICANS TRENDS

  • 4-0 ATS in last 4 home games.
  • 9-1-1 ATS in last 11 games overall.
  • 6-1-1 ATS in last 8 games as an underdog.
  • 5-1-1 ATS in last 7 games following a straight up win.
  • 9-1-1 ATS in last 11 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.
  • Over is 9-0 in last 9 overall.
  • Over is 8-0 in last 8 after allowing 100+ points in their last game.
  • Over is 5-0 in last 5 games as an underdog.
  • Over is 6-2 in last 8 vs teams above .500.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Over is 17-6 in the last 23 meetings.
  • Jazz are 9-3-1 ATS in the last 13 meetings.
  • Jazz are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in New Orleans.
  • Over is 11-1 in the last 12 meetings in New Orleans.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
07.01.20 NOR UTA 126 : 128
24.11.19 UTA NOR 128 : 120

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Lonzo Ball has 21+ points in the Pelicans’ last 4 games against Western Conference teams. (14.5)
  • Donovan Mitchell has 26+ points in 5 of the Jazz’s last 6 games against Western Conference teams. (24.5)
  • Rudy Gobert has 19+ points in 4 of the Jazz’s last 5 games against the Pelicans at Smoothie King Center. (16.5)
  • Brandon Ingram has 31+ points in 3 of the Pelicans’ last 4 games against Northwest Division teams. (25.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
UTA 28 12 15-3 13-9
NOR 15 26 7-12 8-14

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
UTA 109.7 105.8 +3.9 215.5
NOR 113.2 116.9 -3.7 230.1

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
NOR OVER NOR
+4.5 224.5 138-132

New Orleans dropped to a lowly 6-22 with a home loss to the Nets on Dec. 17th but have since won 9 of 13 and ended a winning 3-game road trip with a 117-110 OT win at Detroit on Monday.

The Jazz own the league’s longest current winning streak at 10 and are going for a sweep of a 3-game road trip after brushing past Washington and Brooklyn.

The Pelicans’ last 8 games have gone Over the total points.

OUR PICK  – NEW ORLEANS +4.5 & OVER 224.5

DENVER @ GOLDEN STATE

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

NUGGETS TRENDS

  • 3-7-2 ATS in last 12 games as a favorite.
  • 1-6 ATS in last 7 games playing on 0 days rest.
  • 1-7-1 ATS in last 9 games vs teams below .400.
  • 1-7-2 ATS in last 10 games vs teams below .500.
  • Over is 4-0 in last 4 games as a road favorite.
  • Over is 5-0 in last 5 road games vs teams with a home winning % below .400.
  • Under is 4-0 in last 4 vs teams below .500.
  • Over is 6-1 in last 7 road games.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 games vs teams below .400.
  • Over is 11-5 in last 16 overall.

WARRIORS TRENDS

  • 2-5 ATS in last 7 games overall.
  • 2-5 ATS in last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Under is 5-0 in last 5 overall.
  • Under is 9-2 in last 11 games as a home underdog.
  • Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams above .500.
  • Under is 11-3 in last 14 home games.
  • Under is 5-2 in last 7 games vs teams above .600.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Over is 25-11 in the last 36 meetings in Golden State.
  • Nuggets are 5-2-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Golden State.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Damion Lee has 14+ points in his last 7 games at Chase Center. (12.5)
  • D’Angelo Russell has 26+ points in 5 of his last 6 games against Northwest Division teams. (20.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
DEN 28 12 17-5 11-7
GSW 9 33 6-14 3-19

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
DEN 108.9 104.9 +4.0 213.8
GSW 104.5 113.2 -8.7 217.7

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
GSW UNDER DEN
+7.5 215.0 134-131 1OT

The Warriors were thumped 124-97 by the visiting Mavericks on Tuesday for their 2nd straight 20+ point loss and will hope to end a 9-game losing streak tonight.

Denver have won 14 of 18 games and the latest win came with starters Gary Harris (groin) and Paul Millsap (knee) sidelined in addition to losing Jamal Murray.

6 of the Nuggets’ last 7 road games have gone Over the total points line.

Danger game for the punters, stay clear.

OUR PICK  – GOLDEN STATE +7.5

ORLANDO @ LA CLIPPERS

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

MAGIC TRENDS

  • 4-0 ATS in last 4 games overall.
  • 8-3-1 ATS in last 12 road games.
  • 2-7-1 ATS in last 10 road games vs teams with a winning home record.
  • Under is 5-1 in last 6 overall.
  • Under is 6-2 in last 8 games vs teams above .600.
  • Under is 8-3 in last 11 vs teams above .500.
  • Over is 6-2 in last 8 road games.

CLIPPERS TRENDS

  • 8-3 ATS in last 11 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • 2-5 ATS in last 7 home games.
  • 1-4 ATS in last 5 games overall.
  • Over is 6-1 in last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Over is 6-1 in last 7 home games.
  • Under is 10-2 in last 12 vs teams below .500.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Magic are 3-7-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
  • Magic are 7-3-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings in L.A..
  • Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in L.A..
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Lou Williams has 22+ points in the Clippers’ last 6 home games against Eastern Conference teams. (21.5)
  • Kawhi Leonard has 30+ points in 4 of his last 5 games against Southeast Division teams. (28.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
ORL 20 21 13-8 7-13
LAC 28 13 18-4 10-9

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
ORL 104.1 103.9 +0.2 208.0
LAC 115.6 109.5 +6.1 225.1

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
ORL OVER lac
+11.0 215.0 122-95

The Clippers look to beat Orlando for the 12th straight time and have recorded 4 wins by 20+ points during the stretch with the Magic’s last win on Nov. 6th, 2013.

However, the Magic will come in with some swagger tonight after bringing down the Lakers 119-118 on Wednesday for their 6th win in the past 8 games.

The Clippers have won 5 of 7 after rolling to a 128-103 home win over the Cavaliers on Tuesday. Kawhi Leonard scoring 43 points in 3-quarters.

The Clippers’ last 4 games against East teams have gone Over the total points.

OUR PICK  – OVER 215.0

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