FREE NBA PICKS
*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.
DP’S NBA PLAYER PROP
SEASON RECORD: 39-24
Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop, exclusive to subscribers.
MILWAUKEE @ NEW ORLEANS
Giannis is rolling right now with 3 straight games, totaling 30+ points, as he continues to ascend on his season averages.
In this fixture, I expect the pace to be extremely high, paving the way for the reining MVP to get in among the scoring against the Pelicans, who are proving to be competitive at full health.
This fixture should go the journey, with Giannis suiting up for 33 minutes whilst taking 18/20 shots.
DP’S PICK – GIANNIS OVER 30.5 POINTS – WIN
NBA PARLAY
PLAYER PROP PARLAY
- MILWAUKEE @ NEW ORLEANS – ZION WILLIAMSON OVER 28.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS
- PORTLAND@ DENVER – DAMIAN LILLARD OVER 32.5 POINTS
ODDS – $3.64
TREND BET
PORTLAND @ DENVER
TRAIL BLAZERS TRENDS
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 overall.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams above .600.
- Over is 9-4 in last 13 vs teams above .500.
NUGGETS TRENDS
- Over is 11-4 in last 15 vs teams below .500.
- Over is 8-3 in last 11 games as a favorite.
- Under is 9-3 in last 12 when their opponent scores 100+ points in their last game.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings.
TREND BET – OVER 225.5 – WIN
*Strongest trend bet of the night.
If trends are your thing, this is your pick.
MILWAUKEE @ NEW ORLEANS
TEAM TRENDS
BUCKS TRENDS
- 6-2 ATS in last 8 vs teams below .500.
- 6-2 ATS in last 8 road games vs teams with a losing home record.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 road games.
- Over is 16-5 in last 21 vs teams below .500.
PELICANS TRENDS
- 7-1 ATS in last 8 games following a straight loss.
- 8-2 ATS in last 10 home games.
- 16-5-1 ATS in last 22 games overall.
- Over is 8-2 in last 10 home games.
- Over is 14-4 in last 18 overall.
- Over is 7-2 in last 9 games as an underdog.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Over is 21-8 in the last 29 meetings.
- Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in New Orleans.
SEASON SERIES
| 12.12.19 | MIL | NOR | 127 : 112 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Brandon Ingram has 24+ points in his last 6 games against Central opponents. (23.5)
- Khris Middleton has 24+ points in the Bucks’ last 4 games against Western opponents. (21.5)
- Giannis Antetokounmpo has 14+ rebounds in his last 4 games. (13.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| MIL | 42 | 7 | 23-3 | 19-4 |
| NOR | 20 | 30 | 10-15 | 10-15 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| MIL | 120.0 | 107.6 | +12.4 | 227.6 |
| NOR | 115.1 | 117.1 | -2.0 | 232.2 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| NOR | UNDER | |
| +6.5 | 245.0 |
Zion is on the court and his coach thinks his team needs to get him the ball more when they face a tough test in the NBA-best Bucks..
Williamson is averaging 19.5 ppg on 61.5% shooting through his first 6 games and posted 21 points and 10 rebounds on Sunday but coach Alvin Gentry was not pleased with the lack of touches he got in the last quarter. Keep an eye on the Zion points props tonight.
The Bucks will present a challenge for Williamson, who will spend some time chasing Giannis around.
Milwaukee bounced back from a loss and breezed past Phoenix 129-108 to post their 10th win in the last 11 games.
OUR PICK – PELICANS +6.5 & UNDER 245.0
PLAYER PROP – ZION WILLIAMSON OVER 28.5 POINTS +REBOUNDS
CHARLOTTE @ HOUSTON
TEAM TRENDS
HORNETS TRENDS
- 7-2 ATS in last 9 games playing on 0 days rest.
- 8-20 ATS in last 28 vs teams above .600.
- 4-11 ATS in last 15 vs teams above .500.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 games playing on 0 days rest.
- Under is 9-3 in last 12 vs teams above .500.
ROCKETS TRENDS
- 2-5 ATS in last 7 vs teams below .400.
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 home games vs teams with a losing road record.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 vs teams below .400.
- Under is 6-1 in last 7 home games vs teams with a losing road record.
- Under is 7-2 in last 9 vs teams below .500.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Hornets are 0-3-2 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
- Hornets are 3-13-2 ATS in the last 18 meetings in Houston.
- Under is 20-7 in the last 27 meetings.
- Under is 14-4 in the last 18 meetings in Houston.
PLAYER TRENDS
- Devonte’ Graham has 9+ assists in the Hornets’ last 4 games as underdogs against Southwest opponents. (7.5)
- Devonte’ Graham has 23+ points in 4 of the Hornets’ last 5 games on the 2nd leg of a back-to-back. (18.5)
- Terry Rozier has 6+ assists in 4 of the Hornets’ last 5 games against Southwest opponents. (4.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| CHA | 16 | 34 | 8-16 | 8-18 |
| HOU | 31 | 18 | 17-7 | 14-11 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| CHA | 102.9 | 110.5 | -7.6 | 213.4 |
| HOU | 118.7 | 114.6 | +4.1 | 233.3 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| HOU | UNDER | |
| -13.0 | 233.0 |
The Rockets have won six straight meetings and 16 of the past 17 coming into tonight, and with Harden out of his slump posting 35 and 40 in back to back games, the Hornets could be in trouble tonight.
Clint Capela (heel) and Westbrook (thumb) will not suit up for the Rockets tonight, however can’t see the Hornets walking out of this with much confidence.
Charlotte have not gone over the 233.0 points total in their last 29 games.
OUR PICK – UNDER 233.0
PORTLAND @ DENVER
TEAM TRENDS
TRAIL BLAZERS TRENDS
- 4-0 ATS in last 4 games overall.
- 4-0 ATS in last 4 vs teams above .600.
- 4-9 ATS in last 13 road games.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 overall.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams above .600.
- Over is 9-4 in last 13 vs teams above .500.
NUGGETS TRENDS
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 home games.
- 4-10-2 ATS in last 16 vs teams below .500.
- 6-1 ATS in last 7 games following a ATS loss.
- Over is 11-4 in last 15 vs teams below .500.
- Over is 8-3 in last 11 games as a favorite.
- Under is 9-3 in last 12 when their opponent scores 100+ points in their last game.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Trail Blazers are 4-11-1 ATS in the last 16 meetings.
- Over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 13.12.19 | DEN | POR | 114 : 99 |
| 24.10.19 | POR | DEN | 100 : 108 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Damian Lillard has 34+ points in the Blazers’ last 8 games. (32.5)
- Carmelo Anthony has 20+ points in 5 of his last 6 road games against the Nuggets. (14.5)
- C.J. McCollum has 4+ rebounds in 8 of the Blazers’ last 10 games against the Nuggets. (3.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| POR | 23 | 27 | 13-11 | 10-16 |
| DEN | 34 | 16 | 19-6 | 15-10 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| POR | 113.5 | 114.7 | -1.2 | 228.2 |
| DEN | 109.8 | 106.5 | +3.3 | 216.3 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| DEN | OVER | |
| -4.5 | 225.5 |
The Nuggets get a big task trying to curb Lillard, who is is enjoying a huge run in which he is averaging 48.8 ppg with 4 double-doubles and a triple-double over the last 6 games.
Lillard’s 49 3-pointers are the most in history over a 6-game span and his 293 points are tied with Kobe Bryant (2007) for the 3rd-most over 6 games, behind a pair of runs from James Harden last season.
The Nuggets are looking for some consistency after beating off the Bucks 127-115 on the road Friday before falling in OT to the lowly Pistons in Detroit on Sunday.
The Blazers rank 25th defensively and the Nuggets have not been letting a fair few points through lately so the Overs is tempting, however the previous 2 meetings this season have not generated a lot of points.
Things may loosen up tonight.
OUR PICK – OVER 225.5
SAN ANTONIO @ LA LAKERS
TEAM TRENDS
SPURS TRENDS
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 games as an underdog.
- 9-2-1 ATS in last 12 road games.
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.
- 7-2 ATS in last 9 vs teams above .600.
- 6-2 ATS in last 8 games overall.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams above .600.
- Over is 6-2 in last 8 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 18-6 in last 24 games playing on 0 days rest.
- Over is 6-2 in last 8 road games.
- Under is 16-7 in last 23 vs teams above .500.
LAKERS TRENDS
- 11-4-1 ATS in last 16 home games vs teams with a road winning % below .400.
- 2-5 ATS in last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 9-2 in last 11 overall.
- Under is 37-16 in last 53 home games vs teams with a losing road record.
- Under is 38-17 in last 55 games as a home favorite.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Over is 12-5 in the last 17 meetings.
- Over is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Los Angeles.
SEASON SERIES
| 26.11.19 | SAS | LAL | 104 : 114 |
| 04.11.19 | SAS | LAL | 96 : 103 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- DeMar DeRozan has 25+ points in the Spurs’ last six games at STAPLES. (23.5)
- Anthony Davis has 10+ rebounds in 8 of his last 9 home games against Southwest opponents. (9.5)
- LeBron James has 29+ points in his last 5 home games against the Spurs. (26.5)
- Kyle Kuzma has 17+ points in 4 of the Lakers’ last 5 games against Western opponents. (12.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| SAS | 22 | 26 | 14-12 | 8-14 |
| LAL | 37 | 11 | 16-6 | 21-5 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| SAS | 113.6 | 113.9 | -0.3 | 227.5 |
| LAL | 114.0 | 106.9 | +7.1 | 220.9 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| LAL | UNDER | |
| -12.0 | 227.0 |
The Spurs fell to 8-15 on the road by losing 108-105 to the Clippers on Monday in the opener of the annual Rodeo Road TriP and it doesn’t get easier tonight with the Lakers a solid 16-6 at home this season.
The Spurs rank 22nd in the league in defensively and have been playing at a much faster tempo over the last month however the 229.0 line too high.
OUR PICK – UNDER 227.0
