4 GAMES – NBA TIPS – 27/2/20

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*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.

DP’S NBA PLAYER PROP

SEASON RECORD: 45-30

Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop, exclusive to subscribers.

SACRAMENTO @ OKLAHOMA CITY

Dennis the Menace dropped 23 points (62% from the floor) on the Kings last time they met and whilst he has endured an inconsistent February – he loves playing at home, especially in winning games where he averages 20.4 PPG on 50% shooting.

I expect the Thunder to win this fixture and for Dennis to carve through the second unit of the Kings.

DP’S PICK – DENNIS SCHRODER OVER 18.5 POINTS

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TREND BET

SACRAMENTO @ OKLAHOMA CITY

KINGS TRENDS

  • Over is 6-2 in last 8 games vs teams above .600.
  • Over is 8-1 in last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % over .600.
  • Over is 14-5 in last 19 overall.
  • Over is 11-4 in last 15 road games.
  • Over is 9-4 in last 13 vs teams above .500.

THUNDER TRENDS

  • Over is 14-3 in Thunder last 17 games following an ATS loss.
  • Over is 4-1-1 in Thunder last 6 overall.
  • Over is 7-3-1 in Thunder last 11 home games vs teams with a losing road record.

TREND BET – OVER TOTAL POINTS

*Strongest trend bet of the night. If trends are your thing, this is your pick.


NEW YORK @ PHILADELPHIA

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Knicks are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Philadelphia.
  • Knicks are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Under is 15-5 in the last 20 meetings in Philadelphia.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
19.01.20 NY PHI 87 : 90
30.11.19 NY PHI 95 : 101
21.11.19 PHI NY 109 : 104

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Julius Randle has 10+ rebounds in 4 of his last 5 games against the 76ers. (9.5)
  • RJ Barrett has 5 points or less in each of the Knicks’ last 3 road games against Eastern opponents. (13.5)
  • Elfrid Payton has 7+ rebounds in 3 of his last 4 games against the 76ers. (4.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
NY 17 41 8-20 9-21
PHI 36 23 27-2 9-21

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
NY 104.7 111.7 -7.0 216.4
PHI 108.6 106.5 +2.1 215.1

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
NY Under
+8.5 215.5

New York dropped a 107-101 road decision to the Hornets on Wednesday their 5th straight loss and the Knicks have lost 11 straight against the 76ers, including 3 this season.

Embiid will sit after busting his shoulder last night, joining Simmons on the sidelines.

Knicks a sneaky chance at +8.5. Unders best.

PICK  – Under 215.5


PORTLAND @ INDIANA

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
  • Trail Blazers are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Indiana.
  • Trail Blazers are 12-2 ATS in the last 14 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
27.01.20 POR IND 139 : 129

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Hassan Whiteside has 15+ rebounds in his last 5 games with his team as an underdog against the Pacers. (14.5)
  • C.J. McCollum has 10+ assists in the Blazers’ last 4 games with Lillard out. (7.5)
  • T.J. Warren has 22+ points in 6 of his 7 seven games with the Pacers as favorites against Western opponents. (18.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
POR 26 33 16-13 10-20
IND 34 24 20-10 14-14

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
POR 113.2 115.3 -2.1 228.5
IND 109.3 107.3 +2.0 216.6

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
POR Over
+10.0 218.5

The Blazers are looking to make a run at a playoff spot in the West but fell for the 4th time in 5 games with a 118-106 loss at home against the Celtics on Tuesday.

Portland are still missing Lillard (groin), who sat out the last 5 games and could stay behind to continue rehab while the team takes off for a 3-game road trip. The Blazers are 3 games behind the 8th-place Grizzlies in the West and are 10-20 on the road.

PICK  –  Portland +10.0


SACRAMENTO @ OKLAHOMA CITY

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Kings are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
  • Kings are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Oklahoma City.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Oklahoma City.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
30.01.20 SAS OKC 100 : 120
12.12.19 SAC OKC 94 : 93

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Bogdan Bogdanovic has 15+ points in his last 5 games against the Thunder. (13.5)
  • De’Aaron Fox has 9+ assists in 5 of his last 6 games against the Thunder. (6.5)
  • Chris Paul has 9 points or less in his last 3 games against the Kings. (18.5)
  • Chris Paul has 10+ assists in his last three games against the Kings. (7.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
SAC 24 33 12-15 12-18
OKC 36 22 19-12 17-10

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
SAC 108.4 110.6 -2.2 219.0
OKC 111.2 108.1 +3.1 219.3

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
SAC Under
+7.5 220.0

OKC go for their 5th straight win and 14th in 17 games when they host the Kings tonight.

The Kings posted a 112-94 road win over the Warriors on Tuesday for their 3rd straight win and 9th in 13 games.

PICK  – Sacramento +7.5


LA LAKERS @ GOLDEN STATE

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Lakers are 4-10 ATS in the last 14 meetings in Golden State.
  • Over is 28-13 in the last 41 meetings in Golden State.
  • Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
09.02.20 GSW LAL 120 : 125
14.11.19 LAL GSW 120 : 94

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Kyle Kuzma has 23+ points in each of his last 3 road games as a starter. (TBC)
  • Marquese Chriss has 17+ points in 4  of his last 5 games. (12.5)
  • Marquese Chriss has 9+ rebounds in 4 of his last 5 games. (7.5)
  • Avery Bradley has 19+ points in the Lakers’ last 2 road games against Pacific opponents. (9.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
LAL 44 12 21-7 23-5
GSW 12 46 7-22 5-24

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
LAL 114.8 107.4 +7.4 222.2
GSW 106.0 115.1 -9.1 221.1

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
LAL Over
-10.0 222.5

LeBron became the first player to score 40 points at age 35 or older since Kobe’s final game. James will try to guide the Lakers to a 6th straight win against the West-worst Warriors tonight.

The Warriors have lost 7-straight and 7-straight at home after losing 112-94 at home to the Kings on Tuesday.

PICK  – Over 222.5