FREE NBA PICKS
*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.
DP’S NBA PLAYER PROP
SEASON RECORD: 25-14
Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop, exclusive to subscribers.
BOSTON @ PHILADELPHIA
Brandon Ingram cruised to 29 points to gift me another winning streak, this time 3 straight!
On NBA Thursday, Tobias Harris is presented with an opportunity to take the reins offensively with Joel Embiid sidelined.
Harris enters this heavyweight fixture against Boston with an extreme set of fresh legs, playing just 3 games in January and most recently logging a soft 22 minutes against OKC courtesy of fouling out.
In his 22 minutes against the Thunder, Harris submitted 18 points on 63% from the floor coupled with 4 triples.
Last time the Celtics and 76ers squared up, Embiid posted 38 points on 21 shot attempts (consuming 25% of team shot attempts).
Pleasingly, Harris shot 50% on the floor, with Tatum and Hayward rotating on him, for 23 points from 20 shot attempts.
I fully expect Harris to take his 20 shots again which will be +33% above his season average and salute another prop win.
DP’S PICK – TOBIAS HARRIS OVER 20.5 POINTS
TREND BETS
CLEVELAND @ DETROIT
CAVALIERS TRENDS
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams below .500.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 games vs teams below .400.
- Over is 8-3 in last 11 road games.
- Over is 8-3 in last 11 games as an underdog.
PISTONS TRENDS
- Over is 7-0 in last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 games vs. a teams below .400.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 vs teams below .500.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 home games.
- Over is 7-2 in last 9 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % below .400.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
TREND BET – OVER 220.0
*Strongest trend bet of the night. Not necessarily our pick.
If trends are your thing, this is your pick.
CLEVELAND @ DETROIT
TEAM TRENDS
CAVALIERS TRENDS
- 20-7-1 ATS in last 28 games vs teams below .400.
- 3-8 ATS in last 11 road games.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 games overall.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams below .500.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 games vs teams below .400.
- Over is 8-3 in last 11 road games.
- Over is 8-3 in last 11 games as an underdog.
PISTONS TRENDS
- 3-9 ATS in last 12 games overall.
- 1-5 ATS in last 6 home games.
- Over is 7-0 in last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 games vs teams below .400.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 vs teams below .500.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 home games.
- Over is 7-2 in last 9 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % below .400.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Cavaliers are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Detroit.
- Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 08.01.20 | CLE | DET | 113 : 115 |
| 04.12.19 | CLE | DET | 94 : 127 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Tristan Thompson has 11 points or less in his last 21 games against the Pistons. (12.5)
- Andre Drummond has 21+ points in the Pistons’ last 3 home games against the Cavaliers. (19.5)
- Derrick Rose has 22+ points in the Pistons’ last 3 games. (20.5)
- Andre Drummond has 18+ rebounds in the Pistons’ last 3 games. (16.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| CLE | 10 | 27 | 6-14 | 4-13 |
| DET | 14 | 24 | 8-10 | 6-14 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| CLE | 104.6 | 113.6 | -9.0 | 218.2 |
| DET | 108.4 | 111.1 | -2.7 | 219.5 |
su_table]
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| CLE | OVER | CLE |
| +7.0 | 220.0 | 115-112 1OT |
THE RUB
The Pistons are finally home after a 6-game (2-4) road trip, which ended with a 115-113 win at Cleveland on Tuesday.
Detroit have been smashed by injuries and found out on Tuesday that Blake Griffin would be out indefinitely after undergoing an arthroscopic debridement of his left knee.
Overs best.
OUR PICK – CLEVELAND +7.0 & OVER 220.0
BOSTON @ PHILADELPHIA
TEAM TRENDS
CELTICS TRENDS
- 2-5 ATS in last 7 games overall.
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 road games.
- 1-5 ATS in last 6 games as a favorite.
- 7-2-1 ATS in last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
- Under is 7-2 in last 9 games playing on 0 days rest.
- Under is 9-3 in last 12 games vs. teams above .600.
76ERS TRENDS
- 1-4-1 ATS in last 6 games vs teams above .600.
- 0-4-1 ATS in last 5 games overall.
- 0-6-1 ATS in last 7 games playing on 2 days rest.
- 0-3-1 ATS in last 4 games vs teams above .500.
- Over is 6-0 in last 6 home games.
- Over is 7-3 in last 10 overall.
- Over is 6-1 in last 7 games following a ATS loss.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Celtics are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Philadelphia.
- Celtics are 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings.
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Philadelphia.
SEASON SERIES
| 13.12.19 | BOS | PHI | 109 : 115 |
| 24.10.19 | PHI | BOS | 107 : 93 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Kemba Walker has 29+ points in 5 of his last 6 games on the 2nd leg of a back-to-back. (21.5)
- Gordon Hayward has 20+ points in 5 of his last 6 games against the 76ers at Wells Fargo Center. (16.5)
- Ben Simmons has 10+ rebounds in the 76ers’ last 3 games. (8.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| BOS | 25 | 10 | 14-3 | 11-7 |
| PHI | 24 | 14 | 17-2 | 7-12 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| BOS | 110.9 | 104.3 | +6.6 | 215.2 |
| PHI | 109.8 | 105.9 | +3.9 | 215.7 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| BOS | UNDER | PHI |
| +2.5 | 217.5 | 109-98 |
THE RUB
Embiid will be on the sidelines tonight after dislocating his left ring finger during Monday’s win over the Thunder with the digit pointing in right angles at one point before he returned to the game.
The Sixers are 3-4 without Embiid this season, however are 18-2 at home.
Philadelphia had 31 assists against Oklahoma City last time out and are 9-1 when recording 30+ assists.
Like the Celtics tonight with Kemba fresh after being ejected after 18 minutes in their last outing, a 129-114 loss to the Spurs.
OUR PICK – BOSTON +2.5
PORTLAND @ MINNESOTA
TEAM TRENDS
TRAIL BLAZERS TRENDS
- 2-6-1 ATS in last 9 games overall.
- 1-3-1 ATS in last 5 games vs teams below .400.
- 2-6 ATS in last 8 road games.
- Under is 7-0 in last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams below .500.
- Under is 8-2 in last 10 road games.
TIMBERWOLVES TRENDS
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 games overall.
- 3-8-1 ATS in last 12 games vs teams below .500.
- 2-9 ATS in last 11 home games.
- 1-6 ATS in last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % below .400.
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 vs teams below .500.
- Under is 8-1 in last 9 after allowing 100+ points in their last game.
- Under is 7-1 in last 8 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.
- Under is 8-3 in last 11 overall.
- Under is 7-3 in last 10 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Trail Blazers are 21-7 ATS in the last 28 meetings in Minnesota.
- Trail Blazers are 39-13-2 ATS in the last 54 meetings.
- Over is 12-3 in the last 15 meetings in Minnesota.
- Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 22.12.19 | POR | MIN | 113 : 106 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Carmelo Anthony has 20+ points in 12 of his last 15 games against the Timberwolves. (17.5)
- Hassan Whiteside has 16+ rebounds in 5 of the Blazers’ last 6 games. (14.5)
- Damian Lillard has 31+ points in the Blazers’ last 3 games against Western Conference teams. (26.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| POR | 16 | 22 | 8-9 | 8-13 |
| MIN | 14 | 22 | 5-11 | 9-11 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| POR | 112.0 | 113.6 | -1.6 | 225.6 |
| MIN | 111.8 | 114.4 | -2.6 | 226.2 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| POR | OVER | MIN |
| -1.5 | 224.5 | 116-102 |
THE RUB
Melo scored a season-best 28 points and turned back the clock, playing the hero in Portland’s 101-99 win over the Raptors on Tuesday.
Carmelo is averaging 16.5 ppg and 6.0 rpg in 23 games with the Blazers.
The comeback win was just Portland’s 2nd in their past 8 games.
Both rank mid-range defensively, so Overs is nice, with the Blazers to take the momentum of their last second win into tonight.
OUR PICK – PORTLAND WIN & OVER 224.5
HOUSTON @ OKLAHOMA CITY
TEAM TRENDS
ROCKETS TRENDS
- 4-0 ATS in last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % over .600.
- 6-0 ATS in last 6 games vs teams above .500.
- 6-2 ATS in last 8 games overall.
- 5-2 ATS in last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams above .500.
- Over is 5-2 in last 7 road games.
THUNDER TRENDS
- 6-0 ATS in last 6 games following a ATS win.
- 4-0 ATS in last 4 games vs teams above .600.
- 12-2 ATS in last 14 games playing on 1 days rest.
- 19-7 ATS in last 26 games overall.
- Under is 6-2 in last 8 overall.
- Over is 5-2 in last 7 home games.
- Under is 7-3 in last 10 vs teams above .500.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Rockets are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
- Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.
- Rockets are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Oklahoma City.
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Oklahoma City.
SEASON SERIES
| 29.10.19 | HOU | OKC | 116 : 112 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Russell Westbrook has 28+ points in his last 4 road games. (23.5)
- Steven Adams has 15+ points in 4 of the Thunder’s last 5 home games against the Rockets. (14.5)
- Dennis Schroder has 20+ points in the Thunder’s last 7 home games against Western Conference teams. (19.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| HOU | 25 | 11 | 13-4 | 12-7 |
| OKC | 21 | 16 | 12-6 | 9-10 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| HOU | 119.4 | 113.9 | +5.5 | 233.3 |
| OKC | 108.8 | 107.4 | +1.4 | 216.2 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| HOU | OVER | OKC |
| -2.0 | 222.0 | 113-92 |
THE RUB
Westbrook returns to Oklahoma for the first time since his departure, a tenure which included 8 All-Star appearances in 11 seasons and MVP honors for his 2016-17 season that included a record 42 triple-doubles.
OKC have won 10 of their last 12 and enter a 2-game home-stand against the Rockets and the Lakers.
The Rockets were pushed last night by the Hawks in a 122-115 win however we can’t count them out tonight.
OUR PICK – OVER 222.0
