4 GAMES – NBA PICKS – 7/11/19

nba picks and parlays

TONIGHT’S FREE NBA TIPS

*Original NBA tips and research are done a game day morning, adjust your NBA picks accordingly should spreads and lineups change.


PARLAY

  • Boston @ Charlotte – Over 219.0
  • OKC @ San Antonio – San Antonio WIN
  • Portland @ LA Clippers – Over 225.0

BOSTON @ CHARLOTTE

Trends

  • Hornets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs teams above .500.
  • Hornets are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games.
  • Home team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Under is 6-2 in Celtics last 8 overall.
  • Over is 5-1-1 in Hornets last 7 home games.
  • Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Charlotte.
  • Celtics are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Charlotte.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Boston 5 1 3-0 2-1
Charlotte 4 3 2-1 2-2

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
Boston 110.3 104.7 +5.6
Charlotte 107.9 113.6 -5.7

Picks ATS

 Spread Points   Result
Boston Over Boston
-6.5 219.0 108-87

THE RUB

Kemba returns home to where he spent the first eight seasons of his career and made three All-Star teams.

Charlotte, with 3-straight wins, are rebuilding around a young roster and come into tonight with momentum after rallying from a 19-point deficit to force OT and beat the Pacers 122-120 on Tuesday.

The home team took each of the last five meetings but like the Celtics to get it done tonight on the road.

Overs are the trend and that’s our best for tonight.

OUR PICK  –  Over 219.0


OKLAHOMA CITY @ SAN ANTONIO

Trends

  • Thunder are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  • Spurs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
  • Under is 6-1 in Thunder last 7 overall.
  • Over is 6-1 in Spurs last 7 home games.
  • Home team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in San Antonio.
  • Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.
  • Thunder are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
  • Thunder are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings in San Antonio.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
OKC 3 4 3-2 0-2
San Antonio 4 3 3-1 1-2

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
OKC 104.0 100.7 +3.3
San Antonio 111.0 109.6 +1.4

Picks ATS

 Spread Points   Result
San Antonio Under San Antonio
-4.5 215.5 121-112

THE RUB

Spurs dropped 3 of their last 4 and are looking to gain some swagger in this 3-game homestand after being outscored 38-22 in the fourth quarter of a 108-100 loss to the Hawks last time out.

OKC are looking for their first road win but are coming off B2B wins at home and defeated the Magic 102-94 on Tuesday.

The home team has won the last 7 meetings and we’ll stick with that here.

OUR PICK  – San Antonio -4.5


MIAMI @ PHOENIX

Trends

  • Heat are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
  • Suns are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
  • Suns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.
  • Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
  • Heat are 10-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Phoenix.
  • Favorite is 14-3 ATS in the last 17 meetings.
  • Heat are 20-6 ATS in the last 26 meetings.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Miami 5 1 3-0 2-1
Phoenix 5 2 3-1 2-1

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
Miami 117.8 106.2 +11.6
Phoenix 115.0 106.4 +8.6

Picks ATS

 Spread Points   Result
Miami Over Miami
+2.0 217.0 124-108

THE RUB

The Heat have won 5 of their first 7 but struggled on 36% from the floor during an ugly 109-89 road loss against Denver last out.

The Phoenix Suns have won three straight games and have things headed in the right direction after handing the 76ers their first loss in a 114-109 home victory. The Suns outscored Philadelphia by 11 points during the second half and shot 53% overall.

Both squads at a high tempo, but also rank in the top 5 in defensively. That 217.0 is tempting still.

Take the points on Miami.

OUR PICK  – Over 217.0


PORTLAND @ LA CLIPPERS

Trends

  • Trail Blazers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
  • Over is 5-1 in Trail Blazers last 6 overall.
  • Over is 5-1 in Trail Blazers last 6 road games.
  • Under is 4-0 in Clippers last 4 home games.
  • Under is 4-0 in Clippers last 4 overall.
  • Trail Blazers are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in L.A..
  • Trail Blazers are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Portland 3 4 0-2 3-2
L.A. Clippers 5 3 4-1 1-2

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF
Portland 114.4 115.3 -0.9
L.A. Clippers 114.3 110.0 +4.3

Picks ATS

 Spread Points   Result
Portland Over LA Clippers
+5.5 225.0 107-101

THE RUB

Both rank in the top 5 in offensively so there should be plenty of opportunities for a big score tonight.

Too many variables riding on the -5.5 Line for the Clippers on a B2B even with Kawhi returning from a rest night.

OUR PICK  –  Over 225.0