4 GAMES – NBA PICKS – 5/12/19

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*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.

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PHOENIX @ NEW ORLEANS 

On 0 days rest last year across 8 fixtures, Booker averaged 28.8 points on 35 minutes. With consideration around how the Suns are performing right now, the 6’5 guard is presented with flexible matchup against the Pelicans who can’t get stops defensively.

Booker was iced against the Magic when down 20+ in preparation for the Pelicans game.

BEST BET – DEVIN BOOKER OVER 24.5 POINTS


PHILADELPHIA @ WASHINGTON

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

76ERS TRENDS

  • 8-3 ATS in last 11 games as an underdog of 11.0+.
  • 2-6 ATS in last 8 games vs teams below .400.
  • 2-7 ATS in last 9 games vs teams below .500.
  • 1-4 ATS in last 5 games overall.
  • 1-4 ATS in last 5 road games.
  • Under is 6-1 in last 7 overall.

WIZARDS TRENDS

  • 1-5 ATS in last 6 games overall.
  • 0-3-1 ATS in last 4 games vs teams above .600.
  • Over is 9-3 in last 12 home games.
  • Over is 8-3 in last 11 overall.
  • Over is 12-5 in last 17 vs teams above .500.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • 76ers are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Washington.
  • Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Bradley Beal has 33+ points in the Wizards’ last 3 games as home underdogs.
  • Ben Simmons has scored the 1st basket in 4 of the 76ers’ last 8 games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
PHI 15 6 10-0 5-6
WAS 6 13 3-5 3-8

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. PTS
PHI 108.6 103.7 +4.9 212.3
WAS 118.9 122.9 -4.0 241.8

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
PHI Under WAS
-7.5 235.0 119-113

THE RUB

This could get messy. The 76ers are a top 5 team in defensive effectiveness and will be able to put the brakes on a high scoring Wizards unit.

What will hurt Washington is their lack of depth in the paint with both Bryant and Wagner ruled out. Could be a feast for Embiid and co.

Watch out for the late load management announcements.

OUR PICK  –  Philadelphia -7.5 


DENVER @ NEW YORK

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

NUGGETS TRENDS

  • 7-1 ATS in last 8 vs teams below .400.
  • 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 vs teams below .500.
  • 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
  • Under is 5-1 in last 6 overall.
  • Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams below .400.
  • Under is 5-2 in last 7 road games.

KNICKS TRENDS

  • 16-35-1 ATS in last 52 vs teams above .600.
  • 5-11 ATS in last 16 vs teams above .500.
  • 13-29 ATS in last 42 home games.
  • Over is 7-1 in last 8 vs teams above .500.
  • Under is 24-9 in last 33 home games.
  • Under is 17-7-1 in last 25 overall.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Nuggets are 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
  • Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Julius Randle has 21+ points in his last 4 games against the Nuggets.
  • Nikola Jokic has 21+ points in the Nuggets’ last 3 games in New York.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
DEN 13 5 8-3 5-2
NY 4 17 3-8 1-9

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. PTS
DEN 106.1 101.9 +4.2 208.0
NY 100.9 110.4 -9.5 211.3

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
DEN Under DEN
-7.0 203.0 129-92

THE RUB

The Nuggets got their colors lowered on home court to the Lakers and the critics are starting to turn on Jokic and his conditioning.

All Denver need to worry about is scoring as their opponents in the Knicks struggle to reach triple figures on the best of nights.

OUR PICK  –  Denver -7.0


HOUSTON @ TORONTO

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

ROCKETS TRENDS

  • 8-3 ATS in last 11 games as a favorite.
  • 2-5 ATS in last 7 vs teams above .600.
  • 10-4 ATS in last 14 games overall.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
  • Over is 6-2 in last 8 s teams above .500.
  • Under is 20-8 in last 28 road games.
  • Under is 35-15-1 in last 51 vs teams  above .600.

RAPTORS TRENDS

  • 5-0 ATS in last 5 games as a favorite of 0.5-4.5.
  • 10-3 ATS in last 13 games as a favorite.
  • 21-8-1 ATS in last 30 games overall.
  • 18-7-1 ATS in last 26 home games.
  • Over is 7-1 in last 8 home games.
  • Over is 6-2 in last 8 overall.
  • Over is 5-2 in last 7 vs teams above .600.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Rockets are 4-12 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Toronto.
  • Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Russell Westbrook has 12+ assists in his last 4 games at Scotiabank Arena.
  • Russell Westbrook has 26+ points in 5 of his last 7 games against the Raptors.
  • James Harden has scored the 1st basket in 4 of the Rockets’ last 7 road games against East teams.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
HOU 13 7 8-2 5-5
TOR 15 5 9-1 6-4

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. PTS
HOU 120.9 115.5 +5.4 236.4
TOR 113.1 105.0 +8.1 218.1

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
TOR Over HOU
-2.5 230.5 119-109

THE RUB

The Raptors let their perfect home record come undone against the Heat which also coincided with Lowry’s return. Maybe some rust and impact to chemistry contributed?

Houston will have to leave all the baggage of their last loss to the Spurs at the border. Even though it is likely to go in their favor, the Rockets haven’t got the best reputation in bouncing back after scrutiny.

OUR PICK  –   Toronto WIN


PHOENIX @ NEW ORLEANS

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

SUNS TRENDS

  • 5-1 ATS in last 6 vs teams below .400.
  • 8-3 ATS in last 11 games playing on 0 days rest.
  • 5-2 ATS in last 7 road games.
  • 7-3 ATS in last 10 vs teams below .500.
  • 1-4 ATS in last 5 games overall.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
  • Under is 5-2 in last 7 road games.

PELICANS TRENDS

  • 8-1 ATS in last 9 games as underdogs of 11.0+.
  • 5-2 ATS in last 7 home games.
  • 1-5 ATS in last 6 games overall.
  • Under is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
  • Under is 5-0 in last 5 home games.
  • Over is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams below .500.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Suns are 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
  • Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in New Orleans.
  • Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
22.11.19 PHO NOR 121 : 124

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Devin Booker has scored the 1st basket in 3 of his last 4 road games against Southwest teams.
  • J.J. Redick has 17+ points in his last five games against the Suns.
  • Brandon Ingram has 8+ rebounds in his last 4 games against Pacific teams.
  • Devin Booker has 25+ points in 6 of the Suns’ last 7 games on the second leg of a back-to-back.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
PHO 9 11 5-7 4-4
NOR 6 15 4-7 2-8

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. PTS
PHO 114.4 113.3 +1.1 227.7
NOR 113.7 118.8 -5.1 232.5

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
Phoenix Over PHO
+4.0 233.0 139-132 1OT

THE RUB

Not the greatest defensive teams here, this has got high scoring all over it. Watch out for Booker who usually catches fire in these matchups while the Suns had a bad night in Orlando yesterday.

The Pelicans have lost 6 straight games while their last win came on the road to the Suns.

OUR PICK  –  Phoenix +4.0