FREE NBA PICKS
*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.
DP’S NBA PLAYER PROP
SEASON RECORD: 38-23
Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop, exclusive to subscribers.
CHICAGO @ TORONTO
With injured Raptors returning including Powell, Siakam and VanVleet, Kyle Lowry’s usage has been down of late.
The assist line of 7.5 seems high based on Lowry’s recent output, clearing the 7.5 line in just 1 of his last 8 outings (where he tallied 13 against the Hawks), throwing out his assist average.
Teams average 7% less assists against the Bulls in comparison to the NBA average – all of these issues including a possible blowout suggests Lowry may find it difficult to have 8+ assists this evening in Toronto.
DP’S PICK – KYLE LOWRY UNDER 7.5 ASSISTS (Result – 6 Assists) – WIN
PARLAY
PLAYER PROP PARLAY
- NEW ORLEANS @ HOUSTON – BRANDON INGRAM OVER 23.5 POINTS
- CHICAGO @ TORONTO – ZACH LAVINE UNDER 28.5 POINTS
- CHICAGO @ TORONTO – KYLE LOWRY UNDER 7.5 ASSISTS
ODDS – $6.95 – WIN
Gamble Responsibly.
TREND BET
NEW ORLEANS @ HOUSTON
PELICANS TRENDS
- 9-1-1 ATS in last 11 games as an underdog.
- 7-1-1 ATS in last 9 road games.
- 16-4-1 ATS in last 21 games overall.
- 7-2-1 ATS in last 10 games vs teams above .500.
ROCKETS TRENDS
- 3-7 ATS in last 10 games overall.
- 2-6 ATS in last 8 games as a favorite.
- 2-6 ATS in last 8 games vs teams below .500.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Pelicans are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Houston.
- Pelicans are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
TREND BET – NEW ORLEANS +5.5
*Strongest trend bet of the night.
If trends are your thing, this is your pick.
DENVER @ DETROIT
TEAM TRENDS
NUGGETS TRENDS
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 games overall.
- 4-9-2 ATS in last 15 games vs teams below .500.
- 3-8-1 ATS in last 12 games vs teams below .400.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 overall.
- Over is 10-4 in last 14 vs teams below .500.
PISTONS TRENDS
- 16-34-3 ATS in last 53 games vs teams above .500.
- 18-41-1 ATS in last 60 games overall.
- 5-15 ATS in last 20 games vs teams above .600.
- 3-13 ATS in last 16 home games.
- 0-7 ATS in last 7 home games vs teams with a winning road record.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 home games vs teams with a road winning % over .600.
- Over is 16-5 in last 21 overall.
- Over is 20-8 in last 28 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Nuggets are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
- Nuggets are 5-11 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Detroit.
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Detroit.
- Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.
PLAYER TRENDS
- Derrick Rose has 21+ points in his last 9 games. (19.5)
- Nikola Jokic has 12+ rebounds in 5 of the Nuggets’ last 6 road games. (10.5)
- Will Barton has 28+ points in the Nuggets’ last 2 games as road favorites. (16.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| DEN | 34 | 15 | 19-6 | 15-9 |
| DET | 17 | 33 | 9-17 | 8-16 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| DEN | 109.5 | 106.1 | +3.4 | 215.6 |
| DET | 109.0 | 111.4 | -2.4 | 220.4 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| DEN | OVER | DET |
| -2.0 | 216.0 | 128-123 1OT |
The Nuggets will look to avoid after knocking off Utah at home Thursday night, the Nuggets completed a tough back-to-back with an impressive 127-115 winat the NBA-best Bucks on Friday.
Jokic fell 1 assist short of a triple-double and Will Barton nearly had one also as the Nuggets won for the 10th time in their last 14.
The Pistons are finding it tough through a 5-game losing streak, tied for their longest this season after Friday’s 105-92 home loss to Toronto. They shot 35.4% from the floor while falling to 9-17 in Motown.
No reason not to ride the hot hand.
OUR PICK – DENVER -2.0
NEW ORLEANS @ HOUSTON
TEAM TRENDS
PELICANS TRENDS
- 9-1-1 ATS in last 11 games as an underdog.
- 7-1-1 ATS in last 9 road games.
- 16-4-1 ATS in last 21 games overall.
- 7-2-1 ATS in last 10 games vs teams above .500.
- Over is 8-0 in last 8 games following a straight up win of 10+ points.
- Over is 6-1 in last 7 road games.
- Over is 14-3 in last 17 overall.
- Over is 6-2 in last 8 games vs teams above .600.
- Over is 7-3 in last 10 games playing on 1 days rest.
ROCKETS TRENDS
- 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
- 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.
- 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games vs teams below .500.
- 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockets last 6 home games vs teams with a losing road record.
- Over is 4-1 in Rockets last 5 overall.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Under is 31-15-1 in the last 47 meetings.
- Pelicans are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Houston.
- Pelicans are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
- Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Houston.
SEASON SERIES
| 30.12.19 | NOR | HOU | 127 : 112 |
| 12.11.19 | NOR | HOU | 116 : 122 |
| 27.10.19 | HOU | NOR | 126 : 123 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Derrick Favors has 11+ rebounds in his last 10 games with the Pelicans as underdogs against Western opponents. (9.5)
- Russell Westbrook has 31+ points in 7 of his last 8 games. (30.5)
- Brandon Ingram has 27+ points in his last 3 games against the Rockets. (23.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| NOR | 20 | 29 | 10-15 | 10-14 |
| HOU | 30 | 18 | 16-7 | 14-11 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| NOR | 115.2 | 117.1 | -1.9 | 232.3 |
| HOU | 118.7 | 114.7 | +4.0 | 233.4 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| NOR | UNDER | HOU |
| +5.5 | 245.0 | 117-109 |
Zion has the look of a future MVP and he’ll get a chance to take on two former winners tonight. Williamson needed just 29 minutes to score 24 points in a 139-111 win over Memphis on Friday, averaging 19.2 points on 62.5% shooting through his first 5 career games.
Both rank in the top 4 in tempo and so the over is tempting, but we’ll stick with the Pels +5.5.
OUR PICK – NEW ORLEANS +5.5
PHOENIX @ MILWAUKEE
TEAM TRENDS
SUNS TRENDS
- 6-1 ATS in last 7 games as a road underdog.
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 games vs teams above .600.
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 road games.
- 4-9 ATS in last 13 games overall.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-2-1 in last 8 vs teams above .500.
BUCKS TRENDS
- 25-9 ATS in last 34 games following a straight up loss.
- 15-6 ATS in last 21 games vs teams below .500.
- 2-5 ATS in last 7 games as a home favorite.
- 2-5 ATS in last 7 home games.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 home games.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams below .500.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Suns are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
- Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.
- Suns are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Milwaukee.
- Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee.
PLAYER TRENDS
- Devin Booker has 32+ points in the Suns’ last 7 games as road underdogs. (27.5)
- Deandre Ayton has 20+ points in the Suns’ last 3 road games against Eastern opponents. (17.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| PHO | 20 | 28 | 9-17 | 11-11 |
| MIL | 41 | 7 | 22-3 | 19-4 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| PHO | 113.0 | 113.5 | -0.5 | 226.5 |
| MIL | 119.9 | 107.6 | +12.3 | 227.5 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| PHO | UNDER | MIL |
| +12.5 | 233.5 | 129-108 |
The Bucks will look to recoup after a 127-115 home loss to the Nuggets. Milwaukee own the NBA’s best record at 41-7 but fell to 22-3 at home with the loss to the Nuggets on Friday, outscored by 19 points in the 2nd half.
Devin Booker was upset at his All-Star snub when rosters were announced on Thursday and responded with 27 points at home against the Thunder the next night, but it was not enough in a 111-107 loss. Phoenix dropped 4 of its last 6 games overall but are 4-1 in their last 5 on the road, including wins at Boston and Dallas.
OUR PICK – UNDER 233.5
CHICAGO @ TORONTO
TEAM TRENDS
BULLS TRENDS
- 3-8-1 ATS in last 12 games as an underdog.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 games overall.
- 1-6 ATS in last 7 games vs teams above .600.
- 1-7-1 ATS in last 9 games vs teams above .500.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams above .500.
RAPTORS TRENDS
- 7-3 ATS in last 10 games overall.
- 17-8 ATS in last 25 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 games vs teams below .400.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams below .500.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 home games.
- Over is 7-3 in last 10 overall.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Bulls are 21-8 ATS in the last 29 meetings in Toronto.
- Bulls are 16-6 ATS in the last 22 meetings.
- Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Toronto.
- Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 10.12.19 | CHI | TOR | 92 : 93 |
| 27.10.19 | CHI | TOR | 84 : 108 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Zach LaVine has 20 points or less in each of his last 4 games against the Raptors. (27.5)
- Tomas Satoransky has 3 assists or less in his 7 previous games against the Raptors at Scotiabank Arena. (5.5)
- Kyle Lowry has 14 points or less in his last 5 games against the Bulls. (17.5)
- Serge Ibaka has 20+ points in the Raptors’ last 5 games against Central opponents. (18.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| CHI | 19 | 32 | 11-15 | 8-17 |
| TOR | 35 | 14 | 17-7 | 18-7 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| CHI | 106.0 | 108.3 | -2.3 | 214.3 |
| TOR | 112.3 | 106.0 | +6.3 | 218.3 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| TOR | UNDER | TOR |
| -10.0 | 217.5 | 129-102 |
The Raptors look like a championship contender and will look to push their streak to 11 in a row tonight. The Raptors are doing what’s expected with sub-.500 teams and cleaned up a 2-game road trip by breezing past the Pistons 105-92 on Friday.
Also snubbed from the All-Star game is Zach LaVine, who was one of the more notable outs in the East. LaVine posted team highs of 22 points and 8 assists on Friday but could not pull his team to a win as Chicago dropped to 0-2 on the three-game road trip with a 133-118 loss at Brooklyn.
OUR PICK – TORONTO -10.0
