Expert NBA Basketball Picks

4 GAMES – NBA PICKS – 19/12/19

December 19, 2019

FREE NBA PICKS

*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.

DP’S PLAYER PROP

SEASON RECORD: 13-9

Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop, exclusive to subscribers.

BROOKLYN @ SAN ANTONIO

The Spurs ageing big man is perfectly suited for a big stat line against the Brooklyn Nets who he scored 34 & 20 on in last years double set.

Aldridge enters with a full two days rest and whilst the Spurs have been inconsistent all year, this man continues to shoot 50% on the floor, and most recently increased his shot count from 14.9 to 16.5 in December which has resulted in a more competitive Spurs unit.

Whilst Aldridge fluctuates significantly from a points production point of view, he does score big when he draws a favourable match up. His deft touch, ability to knock a long two and low-post fade-away jumper should cause headaches all night long for the Brooklyn bigs.

DP’S BEST BET – LAMARCUS ALDRIDGE OVER 18.5 POINTS

TREND BETS

SEASON RECORD: 11-8

BROOKLYN @ SAN ANTONIO

NETS TRENDS

Under is 5-1 in last 6 overall.
Under is 5-2 in last 7 games vs teams below .400.
Under is 5-2 in last 7 road games.

SPURS TRENDS

Over is 10-3 in last 13 games as a home favorite.
Over is 13-5 in last 18 games as a favorite.
Under is 11-5 in last 16 vs teams above .500.

MATCHUP TRENDS

Under is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings in San Antonio.
Under is 19-6-1 in the last 26 meetings.

TREND BET – UNDER 219.5

UTAH @ ATLANTA

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

JAZZ TRENDS

8-3 ATS in last 11 road games vs teams with home winning %’s below .400.
0-4 ATS in last 4 games following a ATS win.
Over is 6-1 in last 7 games following a straight up win.
Over is 5-1 in last 6 overall.
Under is 5-1 in last 6 games as a road favorite.
Under is 6-2 in last 8 road games vs teams with losing home records.

HAWKS TRENDS

1-4 ATS in last 5 games overall.
1-4 ATS in last 5 games vs teams above .500.
Over is 16-5 in last 21 overall.
Over is 6-2 in last 8 vs teams above .500.
Over is 14-5 in last 19 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.

MATCHUP TRENDS

Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Atlanta.

PLAYER TRENDS

Donovan Mitchell has 28+ points in the Jazz’s last 3 games. (26.5)
Trae Young has 30+ points in the Hawks’ last 4 games as underdogs against West teams. (27.5)
Rudy Gobert has 15+ rebounds in the Jazz’s last 4 games. (13.5)
Joe Ingles has 13+ points in the Jazz’s last 3 games against the Hawks. (11.5)
Bojan Bogdanovic has 6+ 3-pointers in the Jazz’s last two games. (3.5)

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
UTA	16	11	11-3	5-8
ATL	6	22	3-10	3-12

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT. AV
UTA	107.1	106.3	+0.8	213.4
ATL	108.5	118.7	-10.2	227.2

PICKS ATS

Spread	Points	Result
UTA	OVER	UTA
-6.0	224.0	111-106

THE RUB

The 6-22 Hawks own the worst record in the East after losing 5-straight and are coming off an embarrassing 143-120 loss to the Knicks on Tuesday.

The Hawks allowed 130+ ppg in 5 of the last 9 games and let the Knicks, who are last in the NBA in scoring at an average of 102.7 ppg, shoot 55.8% from the floor.

The Jazz are winners of 3-straight and 4 of 5 after a stretch of 5 losses in 6 games and finished off a two-game homestand beating the Magic 109-102 on Tuesday.

OUR PICK – UTAH -6.0

LA LAKERS @ MILWAUKEE

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

LAKERS TRENDS

6-14 ATS in last 20 games as a road favorite.
4-1 ATS in last 5 games following a straight loss.
Over is 8-1 in last 9 vs teams above .500.
Under is 8-3 in last 11 games as a favorite.
Under is 7-3 in last 10 road games.
Under is 9-4 in last 13 overall.

BUCKS TRENDS

7-1 ATS in last 8 when their opponent scores 100+ points in their last game.
7-2 ATS in last 9 games overall.
9-3 ATS in last 12 games as an underdog.
5-2 ATS in last 7 home games.
3-7 ATS in last 10 games vs teams above .600.
Over is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
Under is 4-1 in last 5 games vs teams above .600.
Over is 15-6 in last 21 games as an underdog.

MATCHUP TRENDS

Lakers are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
Lakers are 4-9 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Milwaukee.

PLAYER TRENDS

Brook Lopez has 16+ points in his 8 home games against the Lakers. (8.5)
LeBron James has 3+ three-pointers in his last 3 games against the Bucks.
Giannis Antetokounmpo has 37+ points in 3 of his last 4 games against West teams. (33.5)

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
LAL	24	4	10-2	14-2
MIL	24	4	13-2	11-2

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT. AV
LAL	112.9	103.9	+9.0	216.8
MIL	121.0	108.1	+12.9	229.1

PICKS ATS

Spread	Points	Result
LAL	UNDER	MIL
+5.0	227.5	111-104

THE RUB

The two share the best record in the NBA and both lost their most recent game, with Milwaukee seeing an 18-game winning streak end and LA having its 7-game win streak end.

The Lakers had their 14-game road winning streak end Tuesday, losing 105-102 to the Pacers with star power forward Anthony Davis (ankle) sidelined.

Lakers and Bucks rank 1st and 2nd in defensive efficiency, so the Totals market will be one to watch when up.

Kuzma OUT, Davis Game-Time. Take the Unders in early betting.

OUR PICK – UNDER 227.5

BROOKLYN @ SAN ANTONIO

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

NETS TRENDS

5-0 ATS in last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
4-1 ATS in last 5 games vs teams below .400.
8-2 ATS in last 10 games vs teams below .500.
7-2 ATS in last 9 games overall.
Under is 5-1 in last 6 overall.
Under is 5-2 in last 7 games vs teams below .400.
Under is 5-2 in last 7 road games.

SPURS TRENDS

7-18-1 ATS in last 26 games overall.
7-19 ATS in last 26 games as a home favorite.
5-17 ATS in last 22 home games.
1-10 ATS in last 11 games following an ATS win.
Over is 9-1 in last 10 Thursday games.
Over is 10-3 in last 13 games as a home favorite.
Over is 13-5 in last 18 games as a favorite.
Under is 11-5 in last 16 vs teams above .500.

MATCHUP TRENDS

Nets are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings in San Antonio.
Nets are 9-25-1 ATS in the last 35 meetings.
Under is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings in San Antonio.
Under is 19-6-1 in the last 26 meetings.

PLAYER TRENDS

Joe Harris has 17+ points in 4 of the Nets’ last 5 road games against Southwest teams. (14.5)
DeMar DeRozan has 21+ points in 8 of the Spurs’ last 9 games against East teams. (19.5)
DeMar DeRozan has 5+ assists in 9 of the Spurs’ last 10 night games at AT&T Center. (4.5)

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
BKN	15	12	8-5	7-7
SAS	10	16	7-7	3-9

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT. AV
BKN	111.7	111.5	+0.2	223.2
SAS	111.7	115.4	-3.7	227.1

PICKS ATS

Spread	Points	Result
SAS	UNDER	SAS
-2.5	219.5	118-105

THE RUB

The Spurs had an absolute meltdown last time on the court, throwing away a 25 point lead against the Rockets.

San Antonio scored 72 points in the first half and 35 after the break in the 109-107 loss after playing 4 consecutive overtime games.

Zero faith in the Spurs at this point, so we’d leave this one out.

OUR PICK – UNDER 219.5

HOUSTON @ LA CLIPPERS

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

ROCKETS TRENDS

8-1 ATS in last 9 games playing on 2 days rest.
5-2 ATS in last 7 games vs teams above .500.
1-5 ATS in last 6 games overall.
1-5 ATS in last 6 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.
Under is 10-2 in last 12 games as an underdog.
Over is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams above .500.
Under is 5-2 in last 7 overall.
Under is 20-8 in last 28 road games.
Under is 36-15-1 in last 52 games vs teams above .600.

LAKERS TRENDS

4-0 ATS in last 4 games as a home favorite.
4-0 ATS in last 4 home games.
6-1 ATS in last 7 games as a favorite.
5-1 ATS in last 6 games overall.
4-1 ATS in last 5 games vs teams above .500.
Under is 4-0 in last 4 games vs teams above .600.
Under is 9-3 in last 12 games following an ATS win.
Over is 14-6 in last 20 home games vs teams with winning road records.
Under is 9-4 in last 13 games as a home favorite.

MATCHUP TRENDS

Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->

23.11.19	LAC	HOU	122 : 119
14.11.19	HOU	LAC	102 : 93

PLAYER TRENDS

Paul George has 27+ points in his last 5 Thursday appearances. (25.5)
Clint Capela has 19+ rebounds in his last 4 road games against West teams. (15.5)
James Harden has 50+ points in 3 of the Rockets’ last 4 road games. (37.5)

WIN/LOSS