FREE NBA PICKS
*Original NBA tips and research are done a game day morning, adjust your NBA picks accordingly should spreads and lineups change.
PARLAY
- Portland @ New Orleans – Under 232.5 – WIN
- Golden State @ Memphis – Under 222.5 – WIN
ODDS – $3.64
GOLDEN STATE @ MEMPHIS
Warriors Trends
- 5-12-1 ATS in last 18 games.
- 3-8 ATS in last 11 vs teams below .500.
- 1-9 ATS in last 10 vs teams below .400.
- Over is 6-2 in last 8 vs teams below .500.
Grizzlies Trends
- 3-7 ATS in last 10 vs teams below .400.
- Over is 7-2-1 in last 10 vs teams below .400.
Matchup Trends
- Home team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
- Under is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in Memphis.
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| Golden St. | 2 | 12 | 1-6 | 1-6 |
| Memphis | 5 | 8 | 3-5 | 2-3 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF |
| Golden St. | 108.8 | 119.0 | -10.2 |
| Memphis | 110.1 | 118.8 | -8.7 |
Picks ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| Memphis | Under | Golden State |
| -6.5 | 222.5 | 114-95 |
With D’Angelo Russell (hand, out 2 weeks) sidelined Sunday, the Warriors lost 108-100 to the Pelicans for their 7th straight loss, and longest losing streak since 2011-12.
The Grizzlies won 3 straight before a 131-114 loss to Denver on Sunday to fall to 1-1 on their current 4-game homestand.
The Grizzlies have made at least 10 3-pointers in 7 straight games, tied for the longest streak in franchise history.
The Warriors rank last in the league defensively, while the Grizzlies rank 25th. The worry is Golden State having enough offense to contribute to the 222.5 total line.
We say no.
OUR PICK – Under 222.5
PORTLAND @ NEW ORLEANS
Trailblazers Trends
- 2-6-1 ATS in last 9 overall.
- 2-7 ATS in last 9 playing on 0 days rest.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 road games.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams below .500.
- Over is 7-3 in last 10 road games.
Pelicans Trends
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 home games.
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 overall.
- 2-6 ATS in last 8 vs teams below .400.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 overall.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams below .500.
- Over is 9-4 in last 13 vs teams below .400.
Matchup Trends
- Favorite is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
- Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
- Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
- Trail Blazers are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in New Orleans.
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| Portland | 5 | 9 | 1-4 | 4-5 |
| New Orleans | 4 | 9 | 3-4 | 1-5 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF |
| Portland | 112.5 | 115.4 | -2.9 |
| New Orleans | 115.7 | 120.0 | -4.3 |
Picks ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| Portland | Under | |
| -3.5 | 232.5 |
Melo returns!
Carmelo is expected to play in his first game in more than 12 months. The 10-time All-Star has a lot to prove after being booted by the Rockets early last season but said he is not interested in being defined by that short stint.
The Pelicans started 2019/20 a poor 1-7 but have since won 3 of their past 5 games, including Sunday’s 108-100 home win over the Warriors, relying on young players in the wake of starter injuries.
Portland averaged 127.3 ppg while winning all 3 of last season’s matchups.
Brandon Ingram (knee) and Lonzo (right adductor) are both being listed as questionable for the Pelicans.
Both rank in the top 10 in tempo and the top half of the league offensively, however Portland on a B2B, Pelicans injuries and a new lineup for the Blazers suggest to us a slight drop in points.
OUR PICK – Portland WIN & Under 232.5
PHOENIX @ SACRAMENTO
Suns Trends
- 5-0 ATS in last 5 vs teams below .500.
- 4-0 ATS in last 4 playing on 0 days rest.
- 9-3 ATS in last 12 road games.
- 9-3 ATS in last 12 games overall.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 overall.
- Under is 9-4 in last 13 vs teams below .500.
Kings Trends
- 7-0 ATS in last 7 games overall.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 home games.
Matchup Trends
- Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
- Suns are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
- Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Sacramento.
- Home team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| Phoenix | 7 | 5 | 5-4 | 2-1 |
| Sacramento | 5 | 7 | 3-3 | 2-4 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF |
| Phoenix | 114.9 | 109.6 | +5.3 |
| Sacramento | 104.4 | 108.4 | -4.0 |
Picks ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| Phoenix | Under | Sacramento |
| +2.0 | 220.5 | 120-116 |
The Kings go for their 6th win in 8 games tonight. Sacramento began the season with 5 straight losses but have picked up their game lately.
The Kings ended the 10-game streak of the Celtics with a a 100-99 win on Sunday. That marked the 3rd straight game and 4th in 6 games that the Kings have held opponents to 100 points or less.
The Suns lost 99-85 at home to the Celtics last night in a game that marked their lowest-score of the season.
The Kings went 3-1 against the Suns last season.
The Kings play at the second slowest tempo in the league.
De’Aaron Fox suffered a Grade 3 left ankle sprain and will miss the next few weeks for the Kings.
OUR PICK – Phoenix WIN
OKLAHOMA CITY @ LA LAKERS
Thunder Trends
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 vs teams above .500.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams above .500.
- Under is 34-16-1 in last 51 vs teams above .600.
Lakers Trends
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 vs teams below .400.
- 8-2 ATS in last 10 home games.
- 9-3 ATS in last 12 vs teams below .500.
- 12-4 ATS in last 16 games overall.
- Under is 35-16-1 in last 52 home games.
- Under is 15-7 in last 22 vs teams below .400.
Matchup Trends
- Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
- Favorite is 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings.
- Home team is 17-6 ATS in the last 23 meetings.
- Thunder are 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings.
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| OKC | 5 | 8 | 5-3 | 0-5 |
| L.A. Lakers | 11 | 2 | 7-1 | 4-1 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF |
| OKC | 105.6 | 105.8 | -0.2 |
| L.A. Lakers | 110.8 | 100.6 | +10.2 |
Picks ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| LA Lakers | Over | LA Lakers |
| -9.5 | 211.5 | 112-107 |
The Lakers have won 4 straight and 11 of 12 after rolling to a 122-101 home win over the Hawks on Sunday.
OKC fell to 0-5 on the road when they lost 90-88 loss to the Clippers on Monday in the front end of a back-to-back in LA. It marked the 2nd time in the past 3 games that OKC have scored less than 90 points and the 3rd time this season.
IF YOU MUST – Over 211.5
