4 GAMES – NBA PICKS – 12/12/19

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*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.

DP’S PLAYER PROP

SEASON RECORD: 10-4

Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop, exclusive to subscribers.

DALLAS @ DETROIT

Luka Doncic and his surging Dallas Mavericks take the road to Mexico City to face the Detroit Pistons.

Doncic enters with a full 2 days rest and his numbers suggest on this metric that the most versatile guard in the league is set for a monster game on the dimes.

Doncic averages a high 10.6 assists with 2 day rest, well above his season average of 9.2.

With consideration of this game being played at altitude, we’re going to pass up on his points total and watch him flick it around like hot sauce.

DP’S BEST BET – LUKA DONCIC OVER 8.5 ASSISTS – WIN


TREND BET

SEASON RECORD: 6-4

DALLAS @ DETROIT

DETROIT

  • Over is 6-2 in last 8 games as a favorite.
  • Over is 7-3 in last 10 road games.
  • Over is 15-7 in last 22 overall.

DETROIT

  • Over is 8-2 in last 10 vs teams above .500.
  • Over is 16-5 in last 21 vs teams above .600.
  • Over is 6-2 in last 8 home games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Detroit.TREND BET – OVER 219.5 – WIN

PHILADELPHIA @ BOSTON

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

76ERS TRENDS

  • 6-2-1 ATS in last 9 vs teams above .600.
  • 8-3-1 ATS in last 12 vs teams above .500.
  • 1-5 ATS in last 6 road games.
  • Under is 4-0 in last 4 road games.
  • Under is 8-2-1 in last 11 overall.
  • Under is 20-7-1 in last 28 vs teams above .600.

CELTICS TRENDS

  • 4-0 ATS in last 4 games overall.
  • 4-0 ATS in last 4 home games.
  • 10-2 ATS in last 11 vs teams above .500.
  • Under is 6-0 in last 6 games playing on 0 days rest.
  • Under is 4-1 in last 5 home games.
  • Under is 16-5 in last 21 vs teams above .600.
  • Under is 9-3 in last 12 overall.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • 76ers are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Boston.
  • 76ers are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Boston.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
24.10.19 PHI BOS 107 : 93

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Jaylen Brown has 20+ points in his last 8 home games.
  • Jayson Tatum has 21+ points in the Celtics’ last 5 home games against the 76ers.
  • Kemba Walker has 6+ assists in the Celtics’ last 5 games against East teams.
  • Jaylen Brown has scored the 1st basket in the Celtics’ last 2 games.
  • Tobias Harris has 19+ points in 6 of the 76ers’ last 7 games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
PHI 18 7 13-0 5-7
BOS 17 6 10-0 7-6

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
PHI 109.6 103.5 +6.1 213.1
BOS 110.9 103.6 +7.3 214.5

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
PHI Under PHI
+1.5 211.0 115-109

THE RUB

The 76ers are 13-0 at home but are a shaky 5-7 in away games as they meet a Boston team with its own flawless 10-0 home mark.

Boston enter tonight on a 4-game home winning streak against the 76ers  and havn’t lost at TD Garden this season. Adding some flavor to this one, Al Horford returns to Boston for the first time since leaving for Philly in free agency.

Boston are on a back to back, and we sense the Celtics will get their first strike against their record at home tonight.

Both rank top 6 in the league in defensively so Unders also nice.

OUR PICK  – PHILADELPHIA +1.5 & UNDER 211.0


CLEVELAND @ SAN ANTONIO

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

CAVALIERS TRENDS

  • 20-7-1 ATS in last 28 vs teams below .400.
  • 1-4 ATS in last 5 vs teams below .500.
  • 0-4 ATS in last 4 games overall.
  • 0-5 ATS in last 5 road games.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 road games.

SPURS TRENDS

  • 7-1 ATS in last 8 games playing on 3+ days rest.
  • 6-17 ATS in last 23 games overall.
  • 5-16 ATS in last 21 home games.
  • 1-5 ATS in last 6 vs teams below .400.
  • 1-5 ATS in last 6 vs teams below .500.
  • Over is 9-1 in last 10 games playing on 3+ days rest.
  • Over is 8-2 in last 10 vs teams below .500.
  • Under is 4-1 in last 5 home games.
  • Under is 6-2 in last 8 overall.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
  • Over is 13-6 in the last 19 meetings.
  • Over is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings in San Antonio.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Patty Mills has 16+ points in the Spurs’ last 4  games as favourites against East teams.
  • DeMar DeRozan has 22+ points in 7 of his last 8 home games against the Cavs.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
CLE 5 19 3-10 2-9
SAS 9 14 7-6 2-8

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
CLE 102.6 113.2 -10.6 215.8
SAS 111.7 115.4 -3.7 227.1

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
SAS Under CLE
-10.0 219.5 117-109 1OT

THE RUB

The 5-19 Cleveland Cavaliers will battle the 9-14 San Antonio Spurs tonight.

The Cavs have lost their last 6 games on the road, the most recent 5 coming by a massive average margin of 30.6 points.

On the 2nd leg of a back-to-back, Cleveland could opt to rest Kevin Love and/or Tristan Thompson.

San Antonio enters with a 6-game winning streak against Cleveland.

OUR PICK  – UNDER 219.5 


DALLAS @ DETROIT

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

MAVERICKS TRENDS

  • 8-1 ATS in last 9 games as a favorite.
  • 8-1 ATS in last 9 road vs teams with winning home records.
  • 7-1 ATS in last 8 vs teams below .500.
  • 10-2 ATS in last 12 games overall.
  • 11-3-1 ATS in last 15 games following an ATS loss.
  • 15-5-1 ATS in last 21 road games.
  • Under is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams below .500.
  • Over is 6-2 in last 8 games as a favorite.
  • Over is 7-3 in last 10 road games.
  • Over is 15-7 in last 22 overall.

PISTONS TRENDS

  • 4-1 ATS in last 5 games overall.
  • 7-3 ATS in last 10 home games.
  • 1-5 ATS in last 6 vs teams above .600.
  • 2-6-1 ATS in last 9 games following a straight win.
  • Over is 8-2 in last 10 vs teams above .500.
  • Over is 16-5 in last 21 vs teams above .600.
  • Over is 6-2 in last 8 home games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Detroit.
  • Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Kristaps Porzingis has 18+ points in his last 6 games against the Pistons.
  • Blake Griffin has 24+ points in the Pistons’ last 4  games as underdogs against West teams.
  • Andre Drummond has 19+ points in the Pistons’ last 3 games against the Mavs.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
DAL 16 7 8-5 8-2
DET 10 14 7-5 3-9

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
DAL 118.0 108.3 +9.7 226.3
DET 108.6 108.3 +0.3 216.9

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
DAL Over DAL
-5.0 219.5 122-111

THE RUB

Detroit look for their 5th win in 6, having scraped past the Pelicans 105-103 thanks to a Derrick Rose game-winner on Monday. Comparatively.

Dallas will be hoping to regain some swagger after falling 110-106 to Sacramento at home, snapping what had been a 5-game streak.

The Mavs enter with a 4-game road winning streak and Porzingis could further improving that record, averaging 28.0 ppg from his last 5 games against the Pistons.

OUR PICK  – DALLAS -5.0


PORTLAND @ DENVER

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

TRAIL BLAZERS TRENDS

  • 3-7 ATS in last 10 road games.
  • 1-4-1 ATS in last 6 vs teams above .500.
  • 1-6-2 ATS in last 9 vs teams above .600.
  • Under is 4-1 in last 5 road games.
  • Over is 9-3 in last 12 vs teams above .500.
  • Under is 5-2 in last 7 games as a favorite.
  • Over is 11-5 in last 16 games following a straight win.
  • Over is 36-17 in last 53 vs teams above .600.

NUGGETS TRENDS

  • 4-1 ATS in last 5 vs teams below .500.
  • 1-4-1 ATS in last 6 games overall.
  • Under is 10-1 in last 11 home vs teams with road winning %’s below .400.
  • Under is 6-1 in last 7 overall.
  • Over is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams below .500.
  • Under is 23-8 in last 31 home games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Trail Blazers are 4-10-1 ATS in the last 15 meetings.
  • Over is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
24.10.19 POR DEN 100 : 108

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Hassan Whiteside has scored the 1st basket in his last 3 games in Denver.
  • Carmelo Anthony has 27+ points in 4 of his last 5 games in Denver.
  • Nikola Jokic has 22+ points in 5 of the Nuggets’ last 6 home games against Portland.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
POR 10 15 5-6 5-9
DEN 14 8 8-3 6-5

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
POR 112.8 114.3 -1.5 227.1
DEN 105.8 101.7 +4.1 207.5

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
POR Under DEN
+6.5 214.5 114-99

THE RUB

Denver have lost 6 of 6 and failed to score more than 102 points in any of those losses, culminating in a 97-92 loss to the 76ers on Tuesday.

Portland are fighting out of their own slump and secured a 2-2 homestand by taking advantage of the Knicks in a 115-87 win on Tuesday.

Jokic averages of 27.2 ppg and 13.3 rpg from his last 10 games against Portland. This will mark another return to Pepsi Center for Carmelo Anthony, who has never tasted victory at this venue since leaving the Nuggets in 2011.

Jamal Murray played just five minutes due to injury and along with Paul Millsap is questionable tonight.

OUR PICK  – PORTLAND +6.5

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