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*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.
DP’S PLAYER PROP
SEASON RECORD: 18-11
Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop, exclusive to subscribers.
PORTLAND @ NEW YORK
It’s been a tough year for the Trail Blazers, in particular, a most recent stretch of 4 straight defeats but a win against the Knicks tomorrow will kick start their 5 game road trip.
Despite owning a (14-20) record, Damian Lillard continues to put his best foot forward averaging 27.2 points on the year.
Of late, Lillard has returned 3 straight 30+ performances whilst averaging 5 triples per game.
Last time these two teams met, Lillard poured in 8 triples to amass 31 points in a 28 point victory.
Whilst I think this fixture will be far trickier, Lillard will continue to shoot it at volume and take control on offense with little support around him aside from CJ.
Lillard over 27.5 to give me my first prop win of 2020!
DP’S PICK – DAMIAN LILLARD OVER 27.5 POINTS
TREND BETS
MINNESOTA @ MILWAUKEE
TIMBERWOLVES TRENDS
- 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 road games.
- 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games overall.
- 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs teams above .600.
- Under is 6-0 in last 6 after allowing 100+ in their last game.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 road games.
- Under is 6-1 in last 7 overall.
- Under is 8-1 in last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % over .600.
BUCKS TRENDS
- 8-0 ATS in last 8 games vs teams below .400.
- 8-1 ATS in last 9 games playing on 1 days rest.
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 home games.
- 13-3 ATS in last 16 games overall.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 overall.
- Under is 7-3 in last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Timberwolves are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee.
- Timberwolves are 3-9 ATS in the last 12 meetings.
- Under is 12-5-1 in the last 18 meetings.
TREND BET – MILWAUKEE -16.5 & UNDER 227.5
*Strongest trend bet of the night. Not necessarily our pick.
If trends are your thing, this is your pick.
ORLANDO @ WASHINGTON
TEAM TRENDS
MAGIC TRENDS
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 games vs teams below .400.
- 6-0 ATS in last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- 0-3-1 ATS in last 4 road games.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
- Under is 15-6 in last 21 games vs teams below .400.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 games as a road favorite.
WIZARDS TRENDS
- 2-5 ATS in last 7 home games.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 games following a straight up win.
- 0-5 ATS in last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % below .400.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Magic are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
- Magic are 5-11-1 ATS in the last 17 meetings in Washington.
- Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Washington.
SEASON SERIES
| 04.12.19 | WAS | ORL | 120 : 127 |
| 18.11.19 | ORL | WAS | 125 : 121 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Nikola Vucevic has 24+ points in five of his last six appearances against Southeast Division opponents. (20.5)
- Evan Fournier has 23+ points in four of the Magic’s last five road games against Eastern Conference opponents. (20.5)
- Jonathan Isaac has nine or more rebounds in each of the Magic’s last three games as favourites. (8.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| ORL | 14 | 19 | 10-7 | 4-12 |
| WAS | 10 | 22 | 5-8 | 5-14 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| ORL | 102.9 | 104.8 | -1.9 | 207.7 |
| WAS | 116.6 | 121.0 | -4.4 | 237.6 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| ORL | OVER | ORL |
| -6.5 | 220.0 | 122-101 |
The injury-ravaged Wizards are coming off one of their best wins of the season as little-used players take their turns to step up.
Washington got a franchise-record 80 points off the bench in Monday’s 123-105 home win over the Heat while key players like Bradley Beal (leg), Moritz Wagner (ankle), Davis Bertans (quad) and Rui Hachimura (groin) and Thomas Bryant (foot) all sat out.
The Magic are healthier, are coming off a disappointing loss, and are better defensively.
OUR PICK – ORLANDO -6.5
PORTLAND @ NEW YORK
TEAM TRENDS
TRAIL BLAZERS TRENDS
- 0-4-1 ATS in last 5 games overall.
- 3-7 ATS in last 10 games playing on 1 days rest.
- 0-4 ATS in last 4 road games.
- Under is 6-1 in last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 road games.
- Over is 5-2 in last 7 overall.
- Under is 7-3 in last 10 games vs teams below .400.
KNICKS TRENDS
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 games vs. a team with a losing record.
- 15-32 ATS in last 47 home games.
- 7-16 ATS in last 23 home games vs. a team with a road winning % below .400.
- Under is 13-5 in last 18 home games.
- Under is 15-7 in last 22 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Trail Blazers are 6-13-1 ATS in the last 20 meetings in New York.
- Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 11.12.19 | POR | NY | 115 : 87 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Hassan Whiteside has 16+ rebounds in each of the Trail Blazers’ last five games as favourites. (14.5)
- Damian Lillard has 29+ points in seven of the Trail Blazers’ last eight games as favourites against the Knicks. (27.5)
- C.J. McCollum has 25+ points in five of the Trail Blazers’ last six games as favourites. (22.5)
- Julius Randle has 30+ points in each of the Knicks’ last three games. (21.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| POR | 14 | 20 | 8-9 | 6-11 |
| NY | 9 | 24 | 4-12 | 5-12 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| POR | 112.6 | 114.0 | -1.4 | 226.6 |
| NY | 103.3 | 111.4 | -8.1 | 214.7 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| POR | UNDER | NY |
| -4.0 | 223.0 | 117-93 |
Portland look to record their 7th-straight win over New York. The Blazers rolled to a 115-87 home victory over the Knicks on Dec. 10th and the 28-point margin is Portland’s largest win of the season.
New York is playing its lone home contest of a 7-game stretch and the span started with back-to-back wins at the Nets and Wizards as they improved to 5-6 since interim coach Mike Miller took over for the fired David Fizdale.
Gotta go the Blazers, with Melo looking to salute the Garden once more.
OUR PICK – PORTLAND -4.0
MINNESOTA @ MILWAUKEE
TEAM TRENDS
TIMBERWOLVES TRENDS
- 2-5-1 ATS in last 8 road games.
- 3-10-1 ATS in last 14 games overall.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 games vs teams above .600.
- Under is 6-0 in last 6 after allowing 100+ points in their last game.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 road games.
- Under is 6-1 in last 7 overall.
- Under is 8-1 in last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % over .600.
BUCKS TRENDS
- 8-0 ATS in last 8 games vs teams below .400.
- 8-1 ATS in last 9 games playing on 1 days rest.
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 home games.
- 13-3 ATS in last 16 games overall.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 overall.
- Under is 7-3 in last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Timberwolves are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee.
- Timberwolves are 3-9 ATS in the last 12 meetings.
- Under is 12-5-1 in the last 18 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 05.11.19 | MIN | MIL | 106 : 134 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Giannis Antetokounmpo has 34+ points in each of the Bucks’ last three games against Western Conference opponents. (28.5)
- Khris Middleton has 26+ points in each of the Bucks’ last two games against the Timberwolves. (18.5)
- Gorgui Dieng has 15+ rebounds in each of the Timberwolves’ last two games as underdogs.(8.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| MIN | 12 | 20 | 4-11 | 8-9 |
| MIL | 30 | 5 | 16-2 | 14-3 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| MIN | 112.3 | 115.8 | -3.5 | 228.1 |
| MIL | 119.8 | 106.6 | +13.2 | 226.4 |
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PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| MIN | OVER | MIL |
| +17.0 | 227.5 | 106-104 |
Trends strongly leading towards the Bucks to beat another sub .500 team into submission tonight, however an -17.0 spread is something that we haven’t seen since the Warriors were at their peak over the last 5 years.
Overs the best bet here and the -17.0 is way too much for us after the last couple of weeks NBA results.
OUR PICK – MINNESOTA +17.0 & OVER 227.0
PHOENIX @ LA LAKERS
TEAM TRENDS
SUNS TRENDS
- 2-6 ATS in last 8 games vs teams above .600.
- 3-8 ATS in last 11 games following a ATS win.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-2 in last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
LAKERS TRENDS
- 2-6 ATS in last 8 games overall.
- 7-1 ATS in last 8 games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 overall.
- Under is 37-16-1 in last 54 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Suns are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 13.11.19 | PHO | LAL | 115 : 123 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Devin Booker has 30+ points in each of his last six road appearances against Pacific Division opponents. (24.5)
- Anthony Davis has 11+ rebounds in five of his last six appearances against the Suns. (9.5)
- LeBron James has 13+ assists in three of his last four appearances against Western Conference opponents. (10.5)
- Ricky Rubio has 11+ assists in six of his last nine appearances against the Lakers at Staples Center. (9.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| PHO | 13 | 20 | 6-12 | 7-8 |
| LAL | 26 | 7 | 11-4 | 15-3 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| PHO | 114.3 | 115.1 | -0.8 | 229.4 |
| LAL | 112.4 | 105.3 | +7.1 | 217.7 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| PHO | OVER | LAL |
| +11.0 | 226.5 | 117-107 |
LeBron recorded 10+ assists in 4-straight games and he became the 9th player in NBA history to reach 9,000 career assists during Sunday’s 108-95 home triumph over Dallas.
Both rank in the top 10 offensively, so the Overs nice, but going to leave out of the parlay.
OUR PICK – OVER 226.5
