FREE NBA PICKS
*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.
DP’S PLAYER PROP
SEASON RECORD: 33-20
Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop, exclusive to subscribers.
WASHINGTON @ CLEVELAND
Strap yourself in. K Love is going to wind back the clock and go big on the Wizards who will be commuting from Miami after playing an extra 5 minutes of hoops.
Love is averaging 14.8 shots in January, connecting on 46% from the floor with gives me enough confidence to suggest he will shoot it at volume against the leaky, fatigued and defensively out of positioned Wizards.
The big 232.0 line also suggests the bookies are predicting points.
DP’S PICK – KEVIN LOVE OVER 20.5 POINTS – WIN
NBA PARLAY
PARLAY
- LA LAKERS @ BROOKLYN – LA LAKERS WIN
- DALLAS @ PORTLAND – DALLAS WIN
ODDS – $2.61 – WIN
TREND BET
DALLAS @ PORTLAND
MAVERICKS TRENDS
- 10-2-1 ATS in last 13 games as a road favorite.
- 20-6-2 ATS in last 28 road games.
- 3-1-1 ATS in last 5 games overall.
TRAIL BLAZERS TRENDS
- 7-18-1 ATS in last 26 overall.
- 3-11-2 ATS in last 16 vs teams above .600.
- 2-9 ATS in last 11 games as an underdog.
- 2-9 ATS in last 11 vs teams above .500.
- 0-6-1 ATS in last 7 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Mavericks are 20-7 ATS in the last 27 meetings.
- Mavericks are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Portland.
TREND BET – DALLAS -4.0 – WIN
*Strongest trend bet of the night. Not necessarily our pick.
If trends are your thing, this is your pick.
WASHINGTON @ CLEVELAND
TEAM TRENDS
WIZARDS TRENDS
- 16-5 ATS in last 21 games playing on 0 days rest.
- 3-7 ATS in last 10 vs teams below .400.
- 2-6 ATS in last 8 vs teams below .500.
- 0-4 ATS in last 4 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 vs teams below .400.
- Over is 7-2 in last 9 road games.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 overall.
CAVALIERS TRENDS
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 vs teams below .500.
- 22-8-1 ATS in last 31 vs teams below .400.
- 19-39-1 ATS in last 59 games as a home favorite.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 home games.
- Under is 7-1 in last 8 games playing on 2 days rest.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams below .400.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 home games.
- Over is 8-3 in last 11 overall.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Cleveland.
SEASON SERIES
| 09.11.19 | WAS | CLE | 100 : 113 |
PLAYER TRENDS
-
Kevin Love has 3 assists or less in each of his last 16 games against the Wizards. (3.5)
-
Bradley Beal has scored 25+ points in 12 of his last 13 games on the second leg of a back-to-back. (25.5
-
Cedi Osman has scored 14+ points in each of the Cavaliers’ last 6 home games against Eastern opponents. (12.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| WAS | 14 | 29 | 9-11 | 5-18 |
| CLE | 12 | 32 | 6-15 | 6-17 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| WAS | 114.7 | 120.1 | -5.4 | 234.8 |
| CLE | 104.8 | 113.9 | -9.1 | 218.7 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| WAS | UNDER | WAS |
| +2.5 | 229.5 | 124-112 |
The Cavs look to end a 5-game slide after Monday’s 106-86 loss to the visiting Knicks, which marked Cleveland’s third loss by 20+ points during the stretch. The Cavs have also lost 10 of their past 12 games.
Washington have also been in struggle town and lost for the 4th time in 5 games with Wednesday’s 134-129 OT loss to the Heat. The Wizards forced OT before falling to 5-18 in away games by losing the opener of a 4-game trip.
The Cavaliers have won 9 of the past 13 match-ups, including a 113-100 road win on Nov. 8th.
OUR PICK – WASHINGTON +2.5
LA LAKERS @ BROOKLYN
TEAM TRENDS
LAKERS TRENDS
- 6-1 ATS in last 7 games playing on 0 days rest.
- 4-2 ATS in last 5 road games.
- 5-3 ATS in last 7 games overall.
- 9-4-1 ATS in last 14 vs teams below .500.
- 4-10-1 ATS in last 14 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 road games.
- Under is 17-6-3 in last 26 games playing on 0 days rest.
NETS TRENDS
- 0-4 ATS in last 4 games overall.
- 0-4 ATS in last 4 vs teams above .600.
- Under is 6-0-1 in last 7 vs teams above .500.
- Over is 6-1 in last 7 vs teams above .600.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Lakers are 10-3-2 ATS in the last 15 meetings in Brooklyn.
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
- Under is 14-2 in the last 16 meetings in Brooklyn.
PLAYER TRENDS
- LeBron James has 29+ points in each of his last 7 games with his team as a favorite against the Nets. (26.5)
- Kyrie Irving has scored 24+ points in 4 of his last 5 games against the Lakers. (23.5)
- Caris LeVert has scored 18+ points in five of his last six home games against Western opponents. (13.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| LAL | 35 | 9 | 16-5 | 19-4 |
| BKN | 18 | 24 | 11-11 | 7-13 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| LAL | 113.7 | 106.1 | +7.6 | 219.8 |
| BKN | 109.3 | 111.6 | -2.3 | 220.9 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| LAL | UNDER | LAL |
| -5.0 | 230.0 | 128-113 |
Lakers are handling the back-to-backs well going 6-1 ATS and against the slumping Nets, tonight looks good for a -5.5 for the Lake Show.
Brooklyn have dropped 4-straight and 11 of its last 13 after falling 117-111 to the 76ers on Monday. Kyrie Irving (shoulder), recently returned from a 26-game is listed as probable after missing the 76ers game with hamstring tightness.
Can’t go past the Lakers with the Nets current form. They’re smart enough to handle back-to-backs as is shown with the 6-0 record.
OUR PICK – LA LAKERS -5.0
DALLAS @ PORTLAND
TEAM TRENDS
MAVERICKS TRENDS
- 10-2-1 ATS in last 13 games as a road favorite.
- 20-6-2 ATS in last 28 road games.
- 3-1-1 ATS in last 5 games overall.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 vs teams below .500.
- Over is 8-3 in last 11 games following an ATS loss.
TRAIL BLAZERS TRENDS
- 7-18-1 ATS in last 26 games overall.
- 3-11-2 ATS in last 16 vs teams above .600.
- 2-9 ATS in last 11 games as an underdog.
- 2-9 ATS in last 11 vs teams above .500.
- 0-6-1 ATS in last 7 home games.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams above .500.
- Over is 32-13-1 in last 46 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Mavericks are 20-7 ATS in the last 27 meetings.
- Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
- Mavericks are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Portland.
- Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Portland.
SEASON SERIES
| 18.01.20 | DAL | POR | 120 : 112 |
| 28.10.19 | DAL | POR | 119 : 121 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Kristaps Porzingis has 18+ points in each of his last 4 gmes against the Blazers. (16.5)
- Luka Doncic has 10+ rebounds in each of the Mavericks’ last 4 Thursday games. (9.5)
- Damian Lillard has 34+ points in each of the Blazers’ last 3 games. (30.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| DAL | 27 | 16 | 13-11 | 14-5 |
| POR | 19 | 26 | 10-10 | 9-16 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| DAL | 116.4 | 109.4 | +7.0 | 225.8 |
| POR | 111.9 | 114.1 | -2.2 | 226.0 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| DAL | OVER | DAL |
| -4.0 | 229.5 | 133-125 |
Lillard topped his own records with 61 points and eleven 3-pointers (60 and 10 were the old tops) during Monday’s 129-124 OT win over the visiting Warriors.
Lillard became the 6th player in NBA history with multiple 60+-point games, joining Hall of Famers Wilt Chamberlain (32 times), Kobe Bryant (six), Michael Jordan (5), Elgin Baylor (4) plus Houston Rockets star James Harden (4).
Dallas has its star in Doncic and he made a career-best eight 3-pointers with 35 points, 8 rebounds and 7 assists as the Mavericks posted a 120-112 home win over the Trail Blazers last Friday. Doncic has 12 triple-doubles this season.
Gotta go Overs and Dallas.
OUR PICK – DALLAS WIN & OVER 229.5
