3 GAMES – NBA PICKS – 9/3/20

FREE NBA PICKS

*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.

DP’S NBA PLAYER PROP

SEASON RECORD: 50-34

Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop, exclusive to subscribers.

MILWAUKEE @ DENVER

Denver need to address their game at both ends of the floor and they get the perfect chance to do so against the Milwaukee Bucks who are playing the second leg of a back to back without the Greek Freak.

It all starts with Jokic who in two of their past three losses has totaled an unacceptable 24 points.

With no Giannis playing – the open lane and paint because is obvious, as now he only has to contend with the Lopez brothers, less that rim protecting help from Giannis.

I expect Jokic to get extremely busy early (high volume shot count) and remain aggressive over the course of the game.

DP’S PICK – NIKOLA JOKIC OVER 20.5 POINTS


TREND BET

CHARLOTTE @ ATLANTA

HAWKS TRENDS

  • 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
  • 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

 HORNETS TRENDS

  • 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
  • 22-5 ATS in their last 27 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
  • 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Hornets are 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings.

TREND BET – CHARLOTTE ATS

*Strongest trend bet of the night. If trends are your thing, this is your pick.


CHARLOTTE @ ATLANTA

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Hornets are 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings.
  • Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.
  • Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Atlanta.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
09.12.19 CHA ATL 107 : 122

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
CHA 22 41 10-21 12-20
ATL 19 46 13-19 6-27

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
CHA 102.2 109.3 -7.1 211.5
ATL 111.0 119.2 -8.2 230.2

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
CHA OVER ATL
+5.0 224.0 143-138 1OT

If the Hornets are going to have any chance of a playoff spot in the final weeks of season, they’ll have to do some of damage against the Hawks. The teams meet 3 times in a 4-week span, beginning Monday night in Atlanta.

Charlotte has won 6 of its past 11 to give itself a slight pulse in the race but it will play four of its next five on the road.

The Hawks have won five of their last seven and eight of their last 11 at home.

PICK  – CHARLOTTE +5.0 


MILWAUKEE @ DENVER

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Bucks are 6-13-1 ATS in the last 20 meetings in Denver.
  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
  • Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Denver.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
01.02.20 MIL DEN 115 : 127

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
MIL 53 11 28-3 25-8
DEN 42 21 24-8 18-13

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
MIL 119.0 107.3 +11.7 226.3
DEN 110.6 107.6 +3.0 218.2

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
DEN 219.5 DEN
-3.5 UNDER 109-95

The Bucks will try to break a slump without  Giannis when they complete a three-game road trip at the Denver tonight. Giannis missed Sunday’s 140-131 loss at Phoenix due to a knee sprain and will not return until Thursday against Boston, at the earliest.

The Nuggets are just 1 games out of 2nd place in the West, but have gone 4-5 over their last 9, including Saturday’s 104-102 awful loss at Cleveland

Denver have allowed an average of 116.4 ppg over the last 5 games, almost 9 more than their season mark.

PICK  – DENVER -3.5 


TORONTO @ UTAH

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Utah.
  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
  • Raptors are 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings.
  • Raptors are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Utah.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
02.12.19 TOR UTA 130 : 110

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
TOR 45 18 23-9 22-9
UTA 41 22 21-9 20-13

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
TOR 113.2 106.8 +6.4 220.0
UTA 111.3 108.0 +3.3 219.3

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
UTA UNDER TOR
+4.0 225.0 101-92

The Jazz have been streaky all season, and are on another run after sweeping a 4-game road trip. They’ll try to extend their latest streak to 6-wins tonight.

The current run for Utah comes after a 4-game losing streak, which followed a 4-game winning streak and before that a 5-game losing streak and a 19-2 run.

The Raptors will be finishing up a 5-game trip and looking to end it with 4-straight wins.

PICK  – UNDER 225.0