Expert NBA Basketball Picks

2 GAMES – NBA PICKS – 19/1/19

January 19, 2020

FREE NBA PICKS

*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.

DP’S NBA PLAYER PROP

SEASON RECORD: 30-19

Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop, exclusive to subscribers.

INDIANA @ DENVER

Brogdon has totaled 20+ points in two of his past three games and has a nice match up on the road against the Nuggets who are short-handed in the back-court.

Brogdon is shooting 44% on the floor this year and is one of the best FT shooters in the game. He makes the most of his opportunities at the rim and is a classy finisher.

This game will be close wire to wire with Brogdon the primary closer for the Pacers.

DP’S PICK – MALCOLM BROGDON OVER 16.5 POINTS – WIN

NBA PARLAY

PARLAY

MIAMI @ SAN ANTONIO – UNDER 222.0
INDIANA @ DENVER – OVER 211.5

ODDS – $3.65 – WIN

MIAMI @ SAN ANTONIO

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

HEAT TRENDS

2-5-1 ATS in last 8 games following a straight win.
Over is 4-0 in last 4 road games.
Over is 13-3 in last 16 when their opponent allows 100+ points in their last game.
Over is 18-7-1 in last 26 overall.

SPURS TRENDS

5-1 ATS in last 6 games vs teams above .600.
4-1 ATS in last 5 games vs teams above .500.
8-21 ATS in last 29 home games.
4-10-1 ATS in last 15 games as a favorite.
7-19 ATS in last 26 games as a home favorite.
Over is 8-1 in last 9 games following a straight loss.
Over is 7-1 in last 8 home games.
Over is 10-4 in last 14 overall.
Over is 18-6 in last 24 games as a favorite.

MATCHUP TRENDS

Heat are 4-10 ATS in the last 14 meetings.
Heat are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings in San Antonio.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->

16.01.20
MIA
SAS
106 : 100

PLAYER TRENDS

DeMar DeRozan has 25+ points in the Spurs’ last 8 games. (22.5)
Bam Adebayo has 5+ assists in the Heat’s last 7 games against Western Conference teams. (4.5)
Dejounte Murray has 13 points in the Spurs’ last 4 home games against Eastern Conference teams. (10.5)
Patty Mills has 13+ points in the Spurs’ last 4 games against the Heat. (11.5)
Kendrick Nunn has 20+ points in the Heat’s last 3 games. (15.5)
Jimmy Butler has 12 points or less in his last 2 games against the Spurs. (20.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
MIA	29	12	18-1	11-11
SAS	17	23	11-10	6-13

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT. AV
MIA	111.6	107.8	+3.8	219.4
SAS	113.8	114.9	-1.1	228.7

PICKS ATS

Spread	Points	Result
MIA	UNDER	SAS
+1.0	222.0	107-102

THE RUB

Miami are a league best 18-1 at home and leaned on its offensive balance to improve to .500 on the road Friday, with 7 players scoring in double figures in a 115-108 win at OKC on Friday to improve to 11-11 away from home.

Miami beat the Spurs 106-100 at home on Wednesday and San Antonio weren’t any better at home on Friday, choking up a 14-point lead in the 4th quarter and losing 121-120 to the East-worst Hawks.

Overs is getting a lot of love from the tipsters, however these two have not topped the 222.0 points line dating back to the 1999/2000 season and had a 106-100 slog a few days ago.

OUR PICK – UNDER 222.0

PLAYER PROP – DEMAR DEROZAN OVER 22.5 POINTS

Has scored 25+ points in his last eight games.
Has scored over 23.5 points in 12 of his last 13 games.
Scored 30 points on Miami a few days back.
DeRoazan is 9th in the NBA in ppg over the last 3 weeks at 27.9 ppg.