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*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.
DP’S PLAYER PROP
SEASON RECORD: 33-20
Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop, exclusive to subscribers.
MILWAUKEE @ CHARLOTTE
The Hornets and Bucks headline NBA Friday, with this fixture being played in Paris, in what I consider a very tough match up for the inconsistent Hornets.
De’Vonte Graham throughout the course of this season has been hit or miss – hot and cold.
Of late, Graham is down on his season average on shot attempts in January from 15.5 to 14.5 and more importantly is more 37% on the floor.
He actually shoots it at a higher clip from 23 feet away than he does from inside which is a concern against the Bucks who close out on 3 point shooters well, especially at the guard spot.
I’ll happily sit on the Unders for the International game.
DP’S PICK – De’Vonte Graham Under 18.5
NBA PARLAY
- BOSTON @ ORLANDO – UNDER 213.5
- INDIANA @ GOLDEN STATE – INDIANA WIN
ODDS – $2.73 – WIN
TREND BET
BOSTON @ ORLANDO
CELTICS TRENDS
- Under is 4-1 in Celtics last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in Celtics last 5 vs teams below.600.
MAGIC TRENDS
- Under is 7-1 in Magic last 8 home games.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Magic last 5 games vs teams above .600.
- Under is 11-4-1 in Magic last 16 overall.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Orlando.
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
TREND BET – UNDER 213.5 – WIN
*Strongest trend bet of the night. Not necessarily our pick.
If trends are your thing, this is your pick.
MILWAUKEE @ CHARLOTTE
TEAM TRENDS
TEAM TRENDS ->
BUCKS TRENDS
- 10-3 ATS in last 13 vs teams below .400.
- 8-3 ATS in last 11 road games.
- 7-15-1 ATS in last 23 games playing on 3+ days rest.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 vs teams below .500.
- Under is 7-1 in last 8 games playing on 3+ days rest.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams below .400.
HORNETS TRENDS
- 7-20 ATS in last 27 vs teams above .600.
- 3-11 ATS in last 14 vs teams above .500.
- 1-5 ATS in last 6 home games.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-2 in last 7 vs teams above .500.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Bucks are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Charlotte.
- Bucks are 2-5-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
- Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.
- Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Charlotte.
SEASON SERIES
SEASON SERIES ->
| 01.12.19 | MIL | CHA | 137 : 96 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Devonte’ Graham has 16 points or less in 4 of the Hornets’ last 5 games against Eastern opponents. (18.5)
- Khris Middleton has made 3 or more 3-pointers in 4 of the Bucks’ last 5 games. (2.5)
- Terry Rozier has 28+ points in each of the Hornets’ last 3 games against Central opponents. (18.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| MIL | 39 | 6 | 21-2 | 18-4 |
| CHA | 15 | 30 | 7-14 | 8-16 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| MIL | 119.4 | 106.7 | +12.7 | 226.1 |
| CHA | 103.3 | 110.5 | -7.2 | 213.8 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| MIL | Over | MIL |
| -13.0 | 219.0 | 116-103 |
OUR PICK – Milwaukee -13.0
MEMPHIS @ DETROIT
TEAM TRENDS
TEAM TRENDS ->
GRIZZLIES TRENDS
- 3-10 ATS in last 13 games as a road favorite.
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 games following a straight up loss of 10+ points.
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 overall.
- Under is 6-1 in last 7 road games vs teams with a losing home record.
PISTONS TRENDS
- 6-13 ATS in last 19 games overall.
- 8-38-3 ATS in last 59 games as an underdog.
- 4-11-1 ATS in last 16 games following a ATS win.
- 2-8 ATS in last 10 home games.
- Over is 9-1 in last 10 home games vs teams with a losing road record.
- Over is 6-1 in last 7 home games.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Grizzlies are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
- Grizzlies are 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Detroit.
PLAYER TRENDS
- Andre Drummond has scored 15 points or less in each of his last 5 games against Western opponents. (17.5)
Derrick Rose has 7 or more assists in each of the Pistons’ last 3 home games. (6.5) - Dillon Brooks has scored 19+ points in 7 of the Grizzlies’ last 9 games. (16.5)
- Jaren Jackson Jr. has scored 23+ points in 5 of the Grizzlies’ last 7 games against Central opponents. (17.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| MEM | 20 | 24 | 12-13 | 8-11 |
| DET | 17 | 28 | 9-13 | 8-15 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| MEM | 113.2 | 116.1 | -2.9 | 229.3 |
| DET | 109.3 | 110.6 | -1.3 | 219.9 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| MEM | Under | MEM |
| +2.0 | 227.5 | 125-112 |
OUR PICK – Memphis +2.0
BOSTON @ ORLANDO
TEAM TRENDS
TEAM TRENDS ->
CELTICS TRENDS
- 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
- 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games.
- 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 4-1 in Celtics last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Celtics last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in Celtics last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
MAGIC TRENDS
- 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 1 days rest.
- Under is 7-1 in Magic last 8 home games.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Magic last 5 games vs teams above .600.
- Under is 11-4-1 in Magic last 16 overall.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Celtics are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
- Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Orlando.
-
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
PLAYER TRENDS
- Evan Fournier has 4 or more assists in each of the Magic’s last 4 home games. (3.5)
- Terrence Ross has scored 17+ points in each of the Magic’s last 3 Friday games. (14.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| BOS | 29 | 14 | 18-5 | 11-9 |
| ORL | 21 | 24 | 13-9 | 8-15 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| BOS | 112.5 | 105.4 | +7.1 | 217.9 |
| ORL | 104 | 104.3 | -0.3 | 208.3 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| ORL | Under | BOS |
| -1.0 | 213.5 | 109-98 |
OUR PICK – Orlando WIN
TORONTO @ NEW YORK
TEAM TRENDS
TEAM TRENDS ->
RAPTORS TRENDS
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 games overall.
- 1-5 ATS in last 6 road games vs teams with a losing home record.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 vs teams below .400.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 road games.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
KNICKS TRENDS
- 7-20 ATS in last 27 home games vs teams with a winning road record.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 home games vs teams with a road winning % over .600.
- Under is 17-7 in last 24 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in New York.
- Raptors are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
SEASON SERIES ->
| 28.11.19 | TOR | NY | 126 : 98 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Kyle Lowry has 26+ points in each of the Raptors’ last 4 road games against Atlantic opponents. (17.5)
- Marcus Morris Sr. has 20+ points in 6 of his last 7 home games against Eastern opponents. (17.5)
- Norman Powell has 20+ points in each of the Raptors’ last 3 road games. (15.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| TOR | 30 | 14 | 16-7 | 14-7 |
| NY | 12 | 33 | 6-16 | 6-17 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| TOR | 111.9 | 105.9 | +6.0 | 217.8 |
| NY | 104.0 | 112.0 | -8.0 | 216.0 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| TOR | Under | TOR |
| -7.5 | 215.5 | 118-112 |
OUR PICK – Toronto -7.5
SACRAMENTO @ CHICAGO
TEAM TRENDS
TEAM TRENDS ->
KINGS TRENDS
- 2-5 ATS in last 7 vs teams below .400.
- 5-15-1 ATS in last 21 games overall.
- 2-6 ATS in last 8 road games.
- Over is 6-0 in last 6 overall.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 road games.
- Over is 5-2 in last 7 vs teams below .400.
BULLS TRENDS
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 vs teams below .400.
- 7-3 ATS in last 10 vs teams below .500.
- 17-35 ATS in last 52 home games.
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 home games.
- Under is 10-3 in last 13 vs teams below .400.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 overall.
- Under is 9-4 in last 13 vs teams below .500.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Under is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings.
- Kings are 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
- Kings are 13-3-1 ATS in the last 17 meetings in Chicago.
- Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Chicago.
SEASON SERIES
SEASON SERIES ->
| 03.12.19 | SAC | CHI | 106 : 113 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Harrison Barnes has 15+ points in each of his last 9 games against the Bulls. (13.5)
- Zach LaVine has made 4 or more 3-pointers in each of the Bulls’ last 4 games against Pacific opponents. (3.5)
- De’Aaron Fox has 21+ points in 4 of the Kings’ last 5 games. (19.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| SAC | 15 | 29 | 8-13 | 7-16 |
| CHI | 17 | 29 | 10-14 | 7-15 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| SAC | 106.8 | 110.5 | -3.7 | 217.3 |
| CHI | 105.9 | 107.9 | -2.0 | 213.8 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| CHI | Under | SAC |
| -2.0 | 220.0 | 98-81 |
OUR PICK – Under 220.0
LA CLIPPERS @ MIAMI
TEAM TRENDS
TEAM TRENDS ->
CLIPPERS TRENDS
- 8-3 ATS in last 11 games following a ATS loss.
- 9-4 ATS in last 13 games playing on 1 days rest.
- 2-5 ATS in last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 7-1 in last 8 games vs teams above .600.
- Under is 8-1 in last 9 road games vs teams with a home winning % over .600.
- Over is 8-3-1 in last 12 games as a favorite.
HEAT TRENDS
- 5-1-1 ATS in last 7 games vs teams above .600.
- 9-2 ATS in last 11 games as a home underdog.
- 16-5-1 ATS in last 22 home games.
- Under is 8-0 in last 8 vs teams above .500.
- Over is 6-1 in last 7 games vs teams above .600.
- Over is 19-7-1 in last 27 overall.
-
Over is 12-4 in last 16 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Clippers are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Miami.
- Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Miami.
- Under is 9-0 in the last 9 meetings.
PLAYER TRENDS
- Lou Williams has 18 points or less in 8 of his last 9 road games against Eastern opponents. (20.5)
- Kawhi Leonard has 32+ points in each of his last 4 games. (30.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| LAC | 31 | 14 | 19-4 | 12-10 |
| MIA | 31 | 13 | 20-1 | 11-12 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| LAC | 115.6 | 109.4 | 6.2 | 225.0 |
| MIA | 112.1 | 108.4 | 3.7 | 220.5 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| MIA | Under | LAC |
| +2.5 | 223.5 | 122-117 |
OUR PICK – Miami +2.5
HOUSTON @ MINNESOTA
TEAM TRENDS
TEAM TRENDS ->
ROCKETS TRENDS
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 games overall.
- 1-5 ATS in last 6 vs teams below .400.
- 1-6 ATS in last 7 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.
- 0-5 ATS in last 5 road games.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
- Over is 6-2 in last 8 vs teams below .400.
TIMBERWOLVES TRENDS
- 7-18-1 ATS in last 26 home games.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 vs teams above .600.
- 1-6 ATS in last 7 games overall.
- Over is 6-1 in last 7 when their opponent allows 100+ points in their last game.
- Over is 5-2 in last 7 overall.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Over is 19-8 in the last 27 meetings.
- Rockets are 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings.
- Over is 10-3 in the last 13 meetings in Minnesota.
SEASON SERIES
SEASON SERIES ->
| 12.01.20 | HOU | MIN | 139 : 109 |
| 17.11.19 | MIN | HOU | 105 : 125 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Russell Westbrook has 28+ points in each of his last 13 games against Western opponents. (27.5)
- Karl-Anthony Towns has 11+ rebounds in 8 of the Timberwolves’ last 9 home games against the Rockets. (10.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| HOU | 27 | 16 | 15-7 | 12-9 |
| MIN | 15 | 29 | 6-15 | 9-14 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| HOU | 118.4 | 114.0 | +4.4 | 232.4 |
| MIN | 111.1 | 114.6 | -3.5 | 225.7 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| HOU | Over | HOU |
| -5.0 | 233.5 | 131-124 |
OUR PICK – Houston WIN
DENVER @ NEW ORLEANS
TEAM TRENDS
TEAM TRENDS ->
NUGGETS TRENDS
- 3-8-1 ATS in last 12 vs teams below .400.
- 5-0-2 ATS in last 7 games following a straight up loss.
- 3-8-2 ATS in last 13 vs teams below .500.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 road games vs teams with a losing home record.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams below .500.
- Under is 6-2 in last 8 overall.
- Over is 7-3 in last 10 road games.
PELICANS TRENDS
- 6-1-1 ATS in last 8 vs teams above .500.
- 6-1 ATS in last 7 home games.
- 13-3-1 ATS in last 17 games overall.
- 5-1-2 ATS in last 8 vs teams above .600.
- Over is 6-0 in last 6 vs teams above .600.
- Over is 7-0 in last 7 home games.
- Over is 12-1 in last 13 overall.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Nuggets are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in New Orleans.
- Nuggets are 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
- Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in New Orleans.
SEASON SERIES
SEASON SERIES ->
| 26.12.19 | DEN | NOR | 100 : 112 |
| 01.11.19 | NOR | DEN | 122 : 107 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Lonzo Ball has 7 or more assists in each of the Pelicans’ last 6 games at Smoothie King Center. (7.5)
- Nikola Jokic has 12+ rebounds in each of the Nuggets’ last 4 games against Western opponents. (11.5)
- Brandon Ingram has 31+ points in 4 of the Pelicans’ last 5 games against Northwest opponents. (23.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| DEN | 30 | 14 | 17-6 | 13-8 |
| NOR | 17 | 28 | 8-14 | 9-14 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| DEN | 109.3 | 106.0 | +3.3 | 215.3 |
| NOR | 114.5 | 117.7 | -3.2 | 232.2 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| NOR | Over | DEN |
| -3.5 | 230.5 | 113-106 |
OUR PICK – Over 230.5
ATLANTA @ OKLAHOMA CITY
TEAM TRENDS
TEAM TRENDS ->
HAWKS TRENDS
- 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games.
- Over is 5-0 in Hawks last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Under is 5-1 in Hawks last 6 road games.
- Over is 4-1 in Hawks last 5 overall.
THUNDER TRENDS
- 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games overall.
- 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win.
- 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
- Over is 5-0 in Thunder last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
- Over is 4-0 in Thunder last 4 home games.
- Over is 6-1 in Thunder last 7 overall.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Hawks are 9-21 ATS in the last 30 meetings.
- Over is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings in Oklahoma City.
- Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
PLAYER TRENDS
- Chris Paul has 8 or more assists in each of his last 11 home games against the Hawks. (6.5)
- Danilo Gallinari has 23+ points in 6 of his last 7 games. (20.5)
- Chris Paul has 19+ points in each of the Thunder’s last 3 games. (17.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| ATL | 11 | 34 | 6-16 | 5-18 |
| OKC | 26 | 19 | 14-9 | 12-10 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| ATL | 107.7 | 117.0 | -9.3 | 224.7 |
| OKC | 109.9 | 108.1 | +1.8 | 218.0 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| OKC | Over | OKC |
| -10.5 | 224.5 | 140-111 |
OUR PICK – OKC -10.5
PHOENIX @ SAN ANTONIO
TEAM TRENDS
TEAM TRENDS ->
SUNS TRENDS
- 4-0 ATS in last 4 games as a road underdog.
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 road games.
- 2-7 ATS in last 9 games overall.
- 1-6 ATS in last 7 vs teams below .500.
- Over is 10-2 in last 12 games following a loss of 10+ points.
- Over is 6-2 in last 8 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 after allowing 100+ points in their last game.
SPURS TRENDS
- 7-3 ATS in last 10 games overall.
- 9-21 ATS in last 30 home games.
- 4-10-1 ATS in last 15 games as a favorite.
- 7-19 ATS in last 26 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 games following an ATS win.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 7-2 in last 9 home games.
- Over is 12-5 in last 17 overall.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Suns are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings in San Antonio.
- Suns are 2-5-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
- Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in San Antonio.
SEASON SERIES
SEASON SERIES ->
| 21.01.20 | PHO | SAS | 118 : 120 |
| 15.12.19 | PHO | SAS | 119 : 121 (109 : 109) |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Devin Booker has 32+ points in each of the Suns’ last 7 games against Western opponents. (28.5)
- LaMarcus Aldridge has 21+ points in 4 of his last 5 home games against the Suns. (20.5)
- Patty Mills has 15+ points in 4 of the Spurs’ last 5 home games. (10.5)
- Deandre Ayton has 20+ points in each of the Suns’ last 3 road games. (17.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| PHO | 18 | 26 | 9-16 | 9-10 |
| SAC | 15 | 29 | 8-13 | 7-16 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| PHO | 113.0 | 114.1 | -1.1 | 227.1 |
| SAC | 106.8 | 110.5 | -3.7 | 217.3 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| SAS | Under | PHO |
| -4.0 | 229.0 | 103-99 |
OUR PICK – San Antonio WIN
INDIANA @ GOLDEN STATE
TEAM TRENDS
TEAM TRENDS ->
PACERS TRENDS
- 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
- 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
- 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Pacers last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Over is 12-5 in Pacers last 17 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
WARRIORS TRENDS
- 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Friday games.
- Under is 12-5 in Warriors last 17 home games.
- Over is 14-6-1 in Warriors last 21 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Over is 7-3-1 in the last 11 meetings in Golden State.
PLAYER TRENDS
- Domantas Sabonis has 22+ points in each of the Pacers’ last 3 games as road favourites against Western opponents. (18.5)
- D’Angelo Russell has 26+ points in each of the Warriors’ last 3 games. (22.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| IND | 29 | 16 | 17-5 | 12-11 |
| GSW | 10 | 35 | 7-15 | 3-20 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| IND | 109.1 | 106.1 | +3.0 | 215.2 |
| GSW | 105.6 | 113.6 | -8.0 | 219.2 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| IND | Over | IND |
| -5.5 | 214.5 | 129-111 |
OUR PICK – Indiana WIN
