FREE NBA PICKS
*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.
DP’S PLAYER PROP
SEASON RECORD: 22-12
Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop, exclusive to subscribers.
UTAH @ ORLANDO
I hope everyone enjoyed the bonus prop on offer night, let’s keep the momentum going!
On NBA Saturday, I’m keen to play the over 19.5 for Bojan Bogdanovic for a few reasons on the road against the Orlando Magic who are playing the second set of a back to back.
Despite returning a modest number of points per game as of late, Bojan continues to get good looks with Donovan running the point. He remains the second focal point in terms of shot attempts and shoots the 3 at an exceptional clip at 43% on the season.
Last time these two sides squared up, Bojan dropped the hammer with 6 triples, totaling 30 points on 11-22 from the floor. And I fully expect the resilient SF to get moving early against the Magic who consumed plenty of energy in a hard fought victory against the Heat less their best defensive player in J Isaac.
Bojan’s most underrated asset is his ability to draw contact and earn multiple trips to the charity. He is coming off a perfect 9/9 against the Bulls and his 89% connection rate gives us every chance to pour in the points.
DP’S PICK – BOJAN BOGDANOVIC OVER 19.5
Gamble Responsibly.
PARLAY
PARLAY
- TORONTO @ BROOKLYN – TORONTO +2.0
- OKLAHOMA CITY @ CLEVELAND – OKLAHOMA CITY WIN
- DENVER @ WASHINGTON – OVER 221.0
ODDS – $4.99
- UTAH @ ORLANDO – BOJAN BOGDANOVIC OVER 19.5 POINTS
ODDS – $9.53 – WINNING BET
TREND BETS
SEASON RECORD: 14-16
MEMPHIS @ LA CLIPPERS
GRIZZLIES TRENDS
- Over is 6-0 in Grizzlies last 6 games vs teams above .600.
- Over is 7-2 in Grizzlies last 9 vs teams above .500.
- Over is 5-1 in Grizzlies last 6 overall.
CLIPPERS TRENDS
- Over is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 games vs teams below .400.
- Over is 6-2 in Clippers last 8 home games.
- Over is 5-2 in Clippers last 7 overall.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Over is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings.
- Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in L.A.
TREND BET – OVER 230.0 – WINNING BET
*Strongest trend bet of the night. Not necessarily our pick.
If trends are your thing, this is your pick.
MEMPHIS @ LA CLIPPERS
TEAM TRENDS
TEAM TRENDS ->
GRIZZLIES TRENDS
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 games following a straight up loss.
- 5-1 in last 6 overall.
- Over is 6-0 in Grizzlies last 6 games vs teams above .600.
- Over is 7-2 in Grizzlies last 9 vs teams above .500.
- Over is 5-1 in Grizzlies last 6 overall.
CLIPPERS TRENDS
- 7-1 ATS in last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.
- 8-2 ATS in last 10 vs teams below .500.
- 5-2 ATS in last 7 home games.
- 9-4 ATS in last 13 games overall.
- Over is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 games vs teams below .400.
- Over is 6-2 in Clippers last 8 home games.
- Over is 5-2 in Clippers last 7 overall.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in L.A.
- Grizzlies are 2-5-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
- Over is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings.
- Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in L.A.
SEASON SERIES
SEASON SERIES ->
| 28.11.19 | MEM | LAC | 119 : 121 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Montrezl Harrell has 20+ points in the Clippers’ last 4 games as favorites against the Grizzlies. (17.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| MEM | 13 | 22 | 7-12 | 6-10 |
| LAC | 25 | 11 | 15-3 | 10-8 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| MEM | 111.4 | 116.6 | -5.2 | 228.0 |
| LAC | 115.3 | 108.3 | +7.0 | 223.6 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| LAC | OVER | MEM |
| -11.0 | 230.0 | 140-114 |
OUR PICK – OVER 230.0
TORONTO @ BROOKLYN
TEAM TRENDS
TEAM TRENDS ->
RAPTORS TRENDS
- 20-6 ATS in last 26 games playing on 1 days rest.
- 8-3 ATS in last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- 20-8 ATS in last 28 vs teams below .500..
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
- Under is 5-1-1 in last 7 road games.
NETS TRENDS
- 7-2 ATS in last 9 home games.
- 0-4 ATS in last 4 games overall.
- Under is 4-1-1 in last 6 vs teams above .600.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Raptors are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Brooklyn.
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Brooklyn.
SEASON SERIES
SEASON SERIES ->
| 15.12.19 | TOR | BKN | 110 : 102 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Taurean Prince has 2 rebounds or less in his last 5 home games against the Raptors. (6.5)
- Kyle Lowry has 11 assists in 4 of the Raptors’ last 5 road games against the Nets. (7.5)
- Kyle Lowry has 26+ points in the Raptors’ last 3 road games against Atlantic Division teams. (21.5)
- Spencer Dinwiddie has 25+ points in 5 of the Nets’ last 7 games. (24.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| TOR | 23 | 12 | 14-5 | 9-7 |
| BKN | 16 | 17 | 9-6 | 7-11 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| TOR | 110.5 | 105.3 | +5.2 | 215.8 |
| BKN | 110.6 | 111.7 | -1.1 | 222.3 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| TOR | UNDER | TOR |
| +1.0 | 217.0 | 121-102 |
OUR PICK – TORONTO +2.0
UTAH @ ORLANDO
TEAM TRENDS
TEAM TRENDS ->
JAZZ TRENDS
- 6-0 ATS in last 6 games overall.
- 4-0 ATS in last 4 road games.
- 4-0 ATS in last 4 vs teams below .500.
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 16-6 in last 22 vs teams below .500.
MAGIC TRENDS
- 3-7 ATS in last 10 home games.
- 1-3-1 ATS in last 5 vs teams above .600.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams above .500.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 vs teams above .600.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Jazz are 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Orlando.
- Jazz are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
SEASON SERIES ->
| 18.12.19 | UTA | ORL | 109 : 102 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Evan Fournier has 18+ points in the Magic’s last 6 home games against Western Conference teams. (17.5)
- Joe Ingles has 13+ points in the Jazz’s last 10 games against Southeast Division teams. (12.5)
- Rudy Gobert has 17+ points in 6 of the Jazz’s last 7 road games. (14.5)
- Nikola Vucevic has 16 points or less in 15 of his 16 last games against the Jazz. (17.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| UTA | 22 | 12 | 13-3 | 9-9 |
| ORL | 16 | 19 | 11-7 | 5-12 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| UTA | 107.9 | 105.6 | +2.3 | 213.5 |
| ORL | 103.5 | 104.1 | -0.6 | 207.6 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| UTA | OVER | UTA |
| -3.5 | 205.5 | 109-96 |
OUR PICK – UTAH -3.5
INDIANA @ ATLANTA
TEAM TRENDS
TEAM TRENDS ->
PACERS TRENDS
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 games as a favorite.
- 14-6-1 ATS in last 21 games playing on 1 days rest.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
- Under is 13-5 in last 18 vs teams below .400.
- Under is 12-4 in last 16 vs teams below .500.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 road games.
HAWKS TRENDS
- 3-7 ATS in last 10 games as an underdog.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 games overall.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 vs teams above .600.
- 1-6 ATS in last 7 games playing on 0 days rest.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 home games.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 vs teams above .600.
- Under is 20-8 in last 28 vs teams above .500.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Under is 12-4 in the last 16 meetings in Atlanta.
- Under is 12-3 in the last 15 meetings.
- Pacers are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Atlanta.
SEASON SERIES
SEASON SERIES ->
| 14.12.19 | ATL | IND | 100 : 110 |
| 30.11.19 | IND | ATL | 105 : 104 (94 : 94) |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Domantas Sabonis has 14+ rebounds in the Pacers’ last 4 games against opponents who are playing on the 2nd leg of a back-to-back. (12.5)
- T.J. Warren has 21+ points in the Pacers’ last 3 games as favorites. (18.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| IND | 22 | 13 | 15-4 | 7-9 |
| ATL | 7 | 28 | 3-12 | 4-16 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| IND | 109.3 | 105.9 | +3.4 | 215.2 |
| ATL | 107.1 | 117.3 | -10.2 | 224.4 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| ATL | UNDER | ATL |
| +7.5 | 222.0 | 116-111 |
OUR PICK – UNDER 222.0
OKLAHOMA CITY @ CLEVELAND
TEAM TRENDS
TEAM TRENDS ->
THUNDER TRENDS
- 4-0 ATS in last 4 games overall.
- 5-0 ATS in last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
- 7-1 ATS in last 8 road games.
- 2-7 ATS in last 9 vs teams below .400.
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 overall.
- Under is 7-1 in last 8 road games.
- Under is 7-2 in last 9 vs teams below .500.
CAVLIERS TRENDS
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 games as an underdog.
- 3-10 ATS in last 13 vs teams above .500.
- Under is 9-4 in last 13 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Thunder are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Cleveland.
- Under is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings in Cleveland.
- Thunder are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
SEASON SERIES ->
| 29.11.18 | OKC | CLE | 100 : 83 |
| 08.11.18 | CLE | OKC | 86 : 95 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Collin Sexton has 21+ points in 4 of the Cavaliers’ last 5 games. (17.5)
- Kevin Love has 11 points or less in his last 3 games against the Thunder at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse. (17.5)
- Chris Paul has 9+ assists in his last 8 road games against the Cavaliers. (7.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| OKC | 19 | 15 | 12-6 | 7-9 |
| CLE | 10 | 24 | 6-11 | 4-13 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| OKC | 108.3 | 107.1 | +1.2 | 215.4 |
| CLE | 104.4 | 113.2 | -8.8 | 217.6 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| OKC | UNDER | OKC |
| -6.0 | 213.5 | 121-106 |
OUR PICK – UNDER 213.5
BOSTON @ CHICAGO
TEAM TRENDS
TEAM TRENDS ->
CELTICS TRENDS
- 4-0 ATS in last 4 games as a road favorite.
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 vs teams below .400.
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 road games.
- 9-3 ATS in last 12 games as a favorite.
- 5-2 ATS in last 7 games overall.
- Under is 7-1 in last 8 games playing on 0 days rest.
- Under is 11-5 in last 16 vs teams below .500.
BULLS TRENDS
- 7-3 ATS in last 10 games as an underdog.
- 11-5 ATS in last 16 games overall.
- 15-32 ATS in last 47 home games.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams above .600.
- Under is 7-3 in last 10 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Celtics are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Chicago.
- Celtics are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
- Under is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings in Chicago.
PLAYER TRENDS
- Zach LaVine has 17 points or less in 8 of his last 9 games against the Celtics. (24.5)
- Jayson Tatum has 18 points or less in his last 6 games against the Bulls.
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| BOS | 24 | 8 | 14-2 | 10-6 |
| CHI | 13 | 22 | 7-12 | 6-10 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| BOS | 111.4 | 103.7 | +7.7 | 215.1 |
| CHI | 105.7 | 106.8 | -1.1 | 212.5 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| BOS | UNDER | BOSTON |
| +1.0 | 209.5 | 111-104 |
OUR PICK – BOSTON +1.0 & UNDER 209.5
DENVER @ WASHINGTON
TEAM TRENDS
TEAM TRENDS ->
NUGGETS TRENDS
- 1-4-1 ATS in last 6 games overall.
- 1-5-2 ATS in last 8 games as a favorite.
- 0-5-1 ATS in last 6 vs teams below .400.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 vs teams below .500.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 road games.
WIZARDS TRENDS
- 12-2 ATS in last 14 games playing on 0 days rest.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 vs teams above .600.
- Under is 6-0 in last 6 vs teams above .500.
- Over is 6-1 in last 7 overall.
- Over is 17-5 in last 22 games as a home underdog.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Nuggets are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Washington.
- Nuggets are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
- Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings in Washington.
- Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
SEASON SERIES ->
| 27.11.19 | DEN | WAS | 117 : 104 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Will Barton has 5+ assists in the Nuggets’ last 5 road games. (3.5)
- Nikola Jokic has 22+ points in 5 of the Nuggets’ last 6 games as favourites. (20.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| DEN | 24 | 10 | 15-4 | 9-6 |
| WAS | 10 | 24 | 5-10 | 5-14 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| DEN | 108.6 | 104.3 | +4.3 | 212.9 |
| WAS | 115.8 | 121.1 | -5.3 | 236.9 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| DEN | OVER | WAS |
| -10.0 | 221.5 | 128-114 |
OUR PICK – OVER 221.5
CHARLOTTE @ DALLAS
TEAM TRENDS
TEAM TRENDS ->
HORNETS TRENDS
- 5-17 ATS in last 22 vs teams above .600.
- 1-5 ATS in last 6 games overall.
- 0-4 ATS in last 4 vs teams above .500.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams above .500.
- Over is 8-3 in last 11 road games.
- Over is 5-2 in last 7 vs teams above .600.
MAVERICKS TRENDS
- 4-0 ATS in last 4 vs teams below .400.
- 9-2 ATS in last 11 vs teams below .500.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 home games.
- Over is 12-2 in last 14 vs teams below .400.
- Over is 7-2 in last 9 games as a home favorite.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Hornets are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
- Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
PLAYER TRENDS
- Dwight Powell has 7+ rebounds in the Mavericks’ last 4 home games against the Hornets. (6.5)
- Devonte’ Graham has 10+ assists in the Hornets’ last 4 night games. (8.5)
- Seth Curry has made 3+ three-pointers in the Mavericks’ last 3 games as favorites. (2.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| CHA | 14 | 23 | 7-11 | 7-12 |
| DAL | 22 | 12 | 10-7 | 12-5 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| CHA | 103.9 | 110.6 | -6.7 | 214.5 |
| DAL | 116.5 | 108.9 | +7.6 | 225.4 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| DAL | OVER | CHA |
| -11.0 | 216.0 | 123-120 1OT |
OUR PICK – DALLAS -11.0
DETROIT @ GOLDEN STATE
TEAM TRENDS
TEAM TRENDS ->
PISTONS TRENDS
- 13-6 ATS in last 19 games as a road favorite.
- 5-16-1 ATS in last 22 road games.
- 1-8 ATS in last 9 games overall.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in last 7 vs teams below .400.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 overall.
- Under is 8-3 in last 11 road games.
WARRIORS TRENDS
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 vs teams below .500.
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 home games.
- 5-2 ATS in last 7 games overall.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 home games.
- Under is 13-3 in last 16 vs teams below .400.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 overall.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Golden State.
- Pistons are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
PLAYER TRENDS
- Derrick Rose has 20+ points in his last 6 Saturday games. (18.5)
- Draymond Green has 6 points or less in 6 of his last 7 games against the Pistons. (10.5)
- Draymond Green has 8+ assists in 6 of his last 7 games against the Pistons. (6.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| DET | 12 | 23 | 8-10 | 4-13 |
| GSW | 9 | 27 | 6-11 | 3-16 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| DET | 108.4 | 111.4 | -3.0 | 219.8 |
| GSW | 105.3 | 113.0 | -7.7 | 218.3 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| DET | UNDER | DET |
| -3.5 | 217.5 | 111-104 |
OUR PICK – UNDER 217.5
SAN ANTONIO @ MILWAUKEE
TEAM TRENDS
TEAM TRENDS ->
SPURS TRENDS
- 5-0-1 ATS in last 6 games following a straight up loss.
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 vs teams above .600.
- 3-0-1 ATS in last 4 road games.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams above .500.
- Over is 5-2 in last 7 overall.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 vs teams above .600.
BUCKS TRENDS
- 13-4 ATS in last 17 games overall.
- 13-4 ATS in last 17 games as a favorite.
- 8-3 ATS in last 11 home games.
- 37-18-1 ATS in last 56 vs teams below .500.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 home games.
- Under is 6-2 in last 8 overall.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Spurs are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Milwaukee.
- Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee.
- Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
PLAYER TRENDS
- Giannis Antetokounmpo has 32+ points in the Bucks’ last 4 games against Western Conference teams. (30.5)
- DeMar DeRozan has 28+ points in 5 of his last 6 games against the Bucks. (21.5)
- Khris Middleton has 15 points or less in 4 of the Bucks’ last 5 home games. (19.5)
- LaMarcus Aldridge has 11+ rebounds in the Spurs’ last 3 games. (8.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| SAS | 14 | 19 | 10-9 | 4-10 |
| MIL | 31 | 5 | 17-2 | 14-3 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| SAS | 113.1 | 114.8 | -1.7 | 227.9 |
| MIL | 119.4 | 106.5 | +12.9 | 225.9 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| SAS | OVER | MIL |
| +12.0 | 228.0 | 127-118 |
OUR PICK – SAN ANTONIO +12.0
NEW ORLEANS @ SACRAMENTO
TEAM TRENDS
TEAM TRENDS ->
PELICANS TRENDS
- 4-0 ATS in last 4 games overall.
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 games playing on 0 days rest.
- 3-1-1 ATS in last 5 road games.
- 4-9 ATS in last 13 vs teams below .400.
- 2-6 ATS in last 8 vs teams below .500.
- Under is 8-0 in last 8 vs teams below .400.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 road games.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 overall.
KINGS TRENDS
- 2-7 ATS in last 9 games overall.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 vs teams below .400.
- 1-7 ATS in last 8 home games.
- 0-6 ATS in last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % below .400.
- Under is 7-0 in last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams below .400.
- Over is 20-8-1 in last 29 vs teams below .500.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Pelicans are 9-19-1 ATS in the last 29 meetings in Sacramento.
- Pelicans are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
- Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
PLAYER TRENDS
- De’Aaron Fox has 22+ points in his last 4 games against Southwest Division teams. (18.5)
- Buddy Hield has 23+ points in 5 of the Kings’ last 6 games as home favourites. (21.5)
- Jrue Holiday has 20+ points in his last 3 road games against the Kings. (19.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| NOR | 11 | 24 | 6-11 | 5-13 |
| SAC | 13 | 22 | 7-9 | 6-13 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| NOR | 112.3 | 116.6 | -4.3 | 228.9 |
| SAC | 105.6 | 108.7 | -3.1 | 214.3 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| NOR | OVER | NOR |
| +4.0 | 221.5 | 117-115 |
OUR PICK – NEW ORLEANS +4.0
