10 GAMES – NBA PICKS – 4/12/19

FREE NBA PICKS

*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.

NBA PARLAY

  • Milwaukee @ Detroit  –  Milwaukee -6.5
  • Miami @ Boston – Boston WIN

ODDS – $5.14 – WIN

DP’S NBA PLAYER PROP

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MIAMI @ BOSTON

Jaylen Brown enters on 2+ days rest and squares up against the Heat who playing the 2nd leg of a back-to-back + an extra 5 minutes of overtime against the Raptors.

At the 2, Brown is primed to continue his form, returning 21+ points in 4 of his last 5 starts. This will be the Heat’s 3rd consecutive match to also complete a 3 in 4 set which will help the bouncy guard get up and down the court against a fatiguing Heat outfit.

BEST BET – JAYLEN BROWN OVER 19.5 POINTS – WIN

TREND BET

MILWAUKEE @ DETROIT

MILWAUKEE

  • Over is 5-2 in last 7 vs teams below .500.

DETROIT

  • Over is 7-1 in last 8 home vs teams with winning road records.
  • Over is 5-1 in last 6 home games.
  • Over is 17-5 in last 22 vs teams above .600.
  • Over is 5-2 in last 7 vs teams above .500.

MATCHUP

  • Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.

TREND BET – OVER 224.5 – WIN

GOLDEN STATE @ CHARLOTTE

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

WARRIORS TRENDS

  • 4-1 ATS in last 5 vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
  • 5-1 ATS in last 6 games following a straight up loss.
  • Under is 4-0 in last 4 vs teams below .500.
  • Under is 4-1 in last 5 overall.

HORNETS TRENDS

  • 13-3 ATS in last 16 vs teams below .400.
  • 9-3 ATS in last 12 home vs teams with a road winning % below .400.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams below .400.
  • Over is 5-2 in last 7 overall.
  • Under is 5-2 in last 7 home games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
  • Warriors are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Charlotte.
  • Favorite is 5-1-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
  • Road team is 7-1-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
03.11.19 GSW CHA 87 : 93

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Terry Rozier has 19+ points in 5 of the Hornets’ last 7 games.
  • Devonte’ Graham has 9+ assists in 6 of the Hornets’ last 7 home games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
GSW 4 18 2-7 2-11
CHA 8 14 4-6 4-8

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. PTS
GSW 105.5 115.1 -9.6 220.6
CHA 105.4 113.8 -8.4 219.2

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
CHA OVER CHA
-2.5 213.0 106-91

THE RUB

With no great confidence, we like the Hornets here only due to their opponents being the Warriors. If the Over comes in around 215.0, you’d be better off reaching for that.

OUR PICK  –  Charlotte WIN

MILWAUKEE @ DETROIT

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

BUCKS TRENDS

  • 2-5 ATS in last 7 road games.
  • 3-7 ATS in last 10 road vs teams with winning home records.
  • Over is 5-2 in last 7 vs teams below .500.

PISTONS TRENDS

  • 6-2 ATS in last 8 home games.
  • 8-21-1 ATS in last 30 games overall.
  • 1-11-1 ATS in last 13 vs teams above .500.
  • 0-4 ATS in last 4 vs teams above .600.
  • Over is 7-1 in last 8 home vs teams with winning road records.
  • Over is 5-1 in last 6 home games.
  • Over is 17-5 in last 22 vs teams above .600.
  • Over is 5-2 in last 7 vs teams above .500.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Bucks are 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Detroit.
  • Favorite is 12-3-2 ATS in the last 17 meetings.
  • Bucks are 18-7-2 ATS in the last 27 meetings.
  • Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
24.11.19 MIL DET 104 : 90

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Giannis has scored 33+ points in 4 of the Bucks’ last 5 road games.
  • Blake Griffin has 22+ points in 6 of his last 7 games with the Pistons as underdogs.
  • Brook Lopez has 7+ rebounds in 4 of the Bucks’ last 5 road games against Central teams.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
MIL 18 3 9-1 9-2
DET 8 13 6-4 2-9

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. PTS
MIL 120.8 108.4 +12.4 229.2
DET 109.0 108.0 +1.0 217.0

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
MIL OVER MIL
-6.5 224.5 127-103

THE RUB

The Bucks are rolling and do they love to feast on the lower teams, especially in the East with an average winning margin of 26 points per game over their last 4 (opponents include the Hawks, Hornets, Knicks & Cavs)

Let’s not forget they go for win number 13 in a row tonight.

OUR PICK  –  Milwaukee -6.5

PHOENIX @ ORLANDO

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

SUNS TRENDS

  • 7-2 ATS in last 9 vs teams below .500.
  • 5-2 ATS in last 7 road games.
  • 2-6 ATS in last 8 games overall.
  • Under is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams below .500.
  • Over is 10-3 in last 13 overall.
  • Under is 5-2 in last 7 road games.

MAGIC TRENDS

  • 2-6 ATS in last 8 games overall.
  • 1-4 ATS in last 5 vs teams below .500.
  • 0-4 ATS in last 4 home games.
  • Under is 5-2 in last 7 vs teams below .500.
  • Over is 7-3 in last 10 overall.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Suns are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Orlando.
  • Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
  • Road team is 19-7 ATS in the last 26 meetings.
  • Underdog is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Aaron Gordon has scored the 1st basket in the last 3 games between the Suns and Magic.
  • Devin Booker has 14 points or less in 5 of his last 6 games against the Magic.
  • Aaron Gordon has 17+ points in 4 of the Magic’s last 5 games against the Suns.
  • Aaron Gordon has 8+ rebounds in 4 of the Magic’s last 5 home games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
PHO 9 10 5-7 4-3
ORL 9 11 7-4 2-7

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. PTS
PHO 114.4 112.5 +1.9 226.9
ORL 102.3 102.9 -0.6 205.2

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
Phoenix Under ORL
-1.5 215.0 128-114

THE RUB

The Suns are one of 5 teams in the West with a positive Road record and getting the Magic on a B2B improves their chances even more.

OUR PICK  –  Phoenix -1.5

BROOKLYN @ ATLANTA

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

NETS TRENDS

  • 5-1 ATS in last 6 vs teams below .500.
  • 4-1 ATS in last 5 vs teams below .400.
  • 5-2 ATS in last 7 games overall.
  • Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams below .400.
  • Under is 5-2-1 in last 8 overall.
  • Under is 5-2-1 in last 8 vs teams below .500.

HAWKS TRENDS

  • 6-0 ATS in last 6 vs. NBA Atlantic.
  • 1-6 ATS in last 7 games following a ATS win.
  • Over is 8-2 in last 10 when their opponent scores 100+ points in their last game.
  • Over is 11-3 in last 14 overall.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Atlanta.
  • Nets are 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
  • Nets are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Atlanta.
  • Under is 15-5-1 in the last 21 meetings.
  • Underdog is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Jarrett Allen has 17+ points in 4  of the Nets’ last 5 road games.
  • Joe Harris has 18+ points in 4 of the Nets’ last 5 road games against East teams.
  • Trae Young has 10+ assists in 5 of the Hawks’ last 6 home games against Atlantic teams.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
BKN 10 10 6-4 4-6
ATL 5 16 3-7 2-9

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. PTS
BKN 112.2 113.7 -1.5 225.9
ATL 107.6 117.2 -9.6 224.8

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
BKN UNDER BKN
-1.0 229.0 130-118

THE RUB

The Hawks were able to snap a 10 game losing streak albeit against the Warriors. Against the Nets, Atlanta’s problems on the defensive end remain and Brooklyn will look to take care of business.

OUR PICK  –  Brooklyn -1.0

MIAMI @ BOSTON

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

HEAT TRENDS

  • 13-5-1 ATS in last 19 games overall.
  • 1-4 ATS in last 5 vs teams above .600.
  • 0-4 ATS in last 4 vs teams above .500.
  • 0-3-1 ATS in last 4 games playing on 0 days rest.
  • Under is 4-1-1 in last 6 road games.
  • Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams above .600.
  • Over is 17-7 in last 24 games playing on 0 days rest.

CELTICS TRENDS

  • 8-1 ATS in last 9 vs teams above .500.
  • 5-2 ATS in last 7 games overall.
  • 5-12-2 ATS in last 19 home games.
  • 2-5 ATS in last 7 vs teams above .600.
  • Under is 13-3 in last 16 vs teams above .600.
  • Over is 11-4 in last 15 vs teams above .500.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Heat are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Boston.
  • Heat are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
  • Underdog is 19-7 ATS in the last 26 meetings.
  • Road team is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Kemba Walker has 25+ points in his last 5 games at TD Garden.
  • Jimmy Butler has 20+ points in 5 of the Heat’s last 6 games against East teams.
  • Jaylen Brown has 22+ points in 4 of the Celtics’ last 5 games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
MIA 15 5 8-0 7-5
BOS 14 5 7-0 7-5

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. PTS
MIA 111.9 105.4 +6.5 217.3
BOS 110.7 104.5 +6.2 215.2

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
BOS UNDER BOS
-5.5 213.0 112-93

THE RUB

With only three sides left in the league with perfect records on home court including Miami, the Heat are looking to take another down tonight. Fresh after giving the Raptors their first home loss of the season in OT, Miami on a B2B get a chance to do the same at Boston.

Would be remarkable to pull off such a feat, but can’t see the same result tonight.

OUR PICK  –  Boston WIN

MEMPHIS @ CHICAGO

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

GRIZZLIES TRENDS

  • 1-4 ATS in last 5 vs teams below .400.
  • 1-5 ATS in last 6 after scoring 100+ points or more in their last game.
  • 8-21 ATS in their last 29 vs. East teams.
  • Over is 3-1-1 in last 5 vs teams below .500.
  • Over is 9-1-1 in last 11 Wednesday games.
  • Over is 7-3-1 in last 11 vs teams below .400.

BULLS TRENDS

  • 8-23 ATS in last 31 home games.
  • 4-12 ATS in last 16 games following an ATS win.
  • 8-22 ATS in last 30 games following a straight win.
  • Over is 4-0 in last 4 games following a ATS win.
  • Over is 5-1-1 in last 7 vs teams below .500.
  • Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams below .400.
  • Under is 5-2 in last 7 after allowing 100+ points in their last game.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings.
  • Road team is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings.
  • Grizzlies are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
26.10.19 MEM CHI 102 : 110

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Jaren Jackson Jr. has scored the 1st basket in 3 of the Grizzlies’ last 4 games.
  • Zach LaVine has 28+ points in 4 of the Bulls’ last 5 games.
  • Wendell Carter Jr. has 15+ points in 4 of his last 5 games with the Bulls as home favourites.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
MEM 6 14 3-10 3-4
CHI 7 14 3-7 4-7

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. PTS
MEM 109.0 117.1 -8.1 226.1
CHI 106.4 110.1 -3.7 216.5

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
MEM UNDER CHI
+6.0 223.5 106-99

THE RUB

Home court hasn’t been that generous to the Bulls with 4 of their 7 wins coming on the Road. Chicago are our Bogey team and we give Memphis a chance to keep it close.

OUR PICK  –  Chicago WIN & Under 223.5

INDIANA @ OKLAHOMA CITY

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

PACERS TRENDS

  • 6-1-1 ATS in last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • 5-1 ATS in last 6 after allowing 100+ points in their last game.
  • 4-1 ATS in last 5 road games.
  • 4-1 ATS in last 5 games overall.
  • 6-2 ATS in last 8 vs teams below .500.
  • 1-6-1 ATS in last 8 games following a win of 10+ points.
  • Over is 5-1 in last 6 overall.
  • Over is 5-1 in last 6 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.
  • Over is 5-2 in last 7 road games.
  • Over is 7-3 in last 10 vs teams below .500.

THUNDER TRENDS

  • 4-0 ATS in last 4 home games.
  • 7-1 ATS in last 8 vs teams above .500.
  • 5-1 ATS in last 6 vs teams above .600.
  • 6-2 ATS in last 8 games overall.
  • Under is 6-0 in last 6 vs teams above .500.
  • Over is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams above .600.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 home games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings.
  • Favorite is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Oklahoma City.
  • Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Pacers are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Oklahoma City.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
13.11.19 IND OKC 111 : 85

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Steven Adams has scored the 1st basket in 3 of his last 4 games in OKC.
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has 22+ points in his last 5 home games against East teams.
  • Malcolm Brogdon has 19+ points in 5 of his last 6 road games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
IND 13 7 9-2 4-5
OKC 8 11 6-4 2-7

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. PTS
IND 110.0 104.6 +5.4 214.6
OKC 107.5 108.3 -0.8 215.8

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
OKC Over IND
-1.0 212.5 107-100

THE RUB

The Pacers are quietly moving up the Standings in the East and are now 2 games behind 2nd spot. Although their opponent in OKC do perform better on home court with 6 out of their 8 wins all happening Chesapeake Energy Arena.

OUR PICK  –  OKC -1.0

MINNESOTA @ DALLAS

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

TIMBERWOLVES TRENDS

  • 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
  • 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 vs teams above .500.
  • 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games playing on 2 days rest.
  • Under is 6-0 in last 6 vs. West teams.
  • Under is 6-1 in last 7 overall.

MAVERICKS TRENDS

  • 7-1 ATS in last 8 games overall.
  • 6-1 ATS in last 7 vs. West teams.
  • 4-1 ATS in last 5 home games.
  • 11-3 ATS in last 14 vs teams above .500.
  • Under is 4-0 in last 4 vs teams above .500.
  • Over is 13-5 in last 18 overall.
  • Over is 12-5 in last 17 home games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Dallas.
  • Under is 12-3-1 in the last 16 meetings.
  • Road team is 35-17 ATS in the last 52 meetings.
  • Timberwolves are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Dallas.
  • Timberwolves are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Karl-Anthony Towns has scored the 1st basket in the Timberwolves’ last 4 road games against Southwest teams.
  • Andrew Wiggins has 25+ points his last 4 road games.
  • Kristaps Porzingis has 15 points or less in the Mavericks’ last 4 games.
  • Luka Doncic has 33+ points in 4 of the Mavericks’ last 5 games as favourites.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
MIN 10 9 3-7 7-2
DAL 14 6 6-4 8-2

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. PTS
MIN 113.7 114.4 -0.7 228.1
DAL 117.8 109.2 +8.6 227.0

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
DAL Under DAL
-4.5 232.0 121-114

THE RUB

Dallas are the darlings of the league at the moment led by Luka Doncic and we can’t get enough of them. Yes they are on a B2B and be weary of the load management calls.

The Wolves have had some good luck on the road but dont be fooled with 5 of those 7 road wins coming against East opponents.

Porzingis has cleared 17.5 points just once in his last 7 games, averaging 13.3 ppg during this slump, shooting the ball at 38% from the field. Under 17.5 points could be a nice prop to take

OUR PICK –  Dallas -4.5

TEAM TRENDS

LAKERS TRENDS

  • 7-2 ATS in last 9 vs teams above .500.
  • 2-5 ATS in last 7 games overall.
  • 1-6 ATS in last 7 vs. West teams.
  • Under is 5-0 in Lakers last 5 overall.
  • Under is 18-6-3 in last 27 games playing on 0 days rest.
  • Under is 11-5 in last 16 vs teams above .500.

JAZZ TRENDS

  • 2-6 ATS in last 8 home vs teams with winning road records.
  • Under is 6-1 in last 7 vs teams above .500.
  • Over is 5-2 in last 7 overall.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Utah.
  • Lakers are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
  • Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
26.10.19 LAL UTA 95 : 86

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Bojan Bogdanovic has scored the 1st basket in the Jazz’s last 3 games against Pacific teams.
  • Anthony Davis has 25+ points in the Lakers’ last 4 games.
  • Rudy Gobert has 14+ rebounds in his last 5 home games.
  • LeBron James has 29+ points in 5 e of his last 6 games against the Jazz.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
LAL 18 3 9-2 9-1
UTA 12 9 8-1 4-8

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. PTS
LAL 111.9 103.7 8.2 215.6
UTA 106.1 105.1 1 211.2

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
UTA Under LAL
-2.5 212.5 121-96

THE RUB

The Lakers got an advantage against their critics last night with a big Road win in Denver which is regarded as one of the hardest places to win in.

On a B2B, they get another curve ball in heading to Salt Lake City to take on a Jazz team that does just as good holding home court. Allowing for the fatigue factor to come in, like the Under here.

OUR PICK – Under 212.5

SACRAMENTO @ PORTLAND

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

KINGS TRENDS

  • 5-0 ATS in last 5 vs. West teams.
  • 7-1 ATS in last 8 road games.
  • 12-2 ATS in last 14 games overall.
  • 5-2 ATS in last 7 vs teams below .500.
  • Under is 5-0 in last 5 road games.
  • Under is 10-3 in last 13 vs teams below .500.
  • Under is 41-20-1 in last 62 overall.

TRAIL BLAZERS TRENDS

  • 3-8-2 ATS in their last 13 home games.
  • 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 0 days rest.
  • Over is 24-8-1 in Trail Blazers last 33 home games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Favorite is 6-1-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
  • Under is 18-5 in the last 23 meetings in Portland.
  • Under is 33-14 in the last 47 meetings.
  • Home team is 7-3-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
  • Kings are 2-5-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
  • Kings are 0-3-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Portland.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
13.11.19 SAC POR 107 : 99

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Damian Lillard has 27+ points in 7 of the Blazers’ last 8 home games.
  • C.J. McCollum has 22+ points in 6 of the Blazers’ last 7 games against West teams.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
SAC 8 11 5-4 3-7
POR 8 12 3-4 5-8

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. PTS
SAC 104.3 107.8 -3.5 212.1
POR 113.6 114.7 -1.1 228.3

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
POR UNDER POR
-3.0 218.5 127-116

THE RUB

The Kings last 5 road games have seen them only break the 100 point barrier twice. Including the B2B factor for Portland coming off a tough matchup against the Clippers, we are liking the Under.

OUR PICK  –  Under 218.5

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