10 GAMES – NBA FREE PICKS – 28/2/20

FREE NBA PICKS

FREE NBA PICKS

*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.

DP’S NBA PLAYER PROP

SEASON RECORD: 45-31

Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop, exclusive to subscribers.

OKLAHOMA CITY @ MILWAUKEE

The Thunder are presented with a really tricky assignment when they take the road to Milwaukee, on the second leg of a back to back and 3rd game in 4 days.

With a blowout potentially on the cards, I’m going to take the under 18.5 points on Chris Paul who has one too many things going against him in this fixture.

The multiple defensive switches he may face, combined with the 35 minutes he played in the night prior, I think Donovan may give Schroder the go-ahead on minutes.

DP’S PICK – CHRIS PAUL UNDER 19.5 POINTS – WIN


TREND BET

MINNESOTA @ ORLANDO

MAGIC TRENDS 

  • Over is 5-0 in last 5 overall.
  • Over is 4-0-1 in last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
  • Over is 6-0-1 in last 7 games following a ATS win.

TIMBERWOLVES TRENDS

  • Over is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
  • Over is 4-0 in last 4 road games.
  • Over is 5-1 in last 6 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
  • Over is 13-3 in last 16 games as an underdog.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Orlando.
  • Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

TREND BET – OVER TOTAL POINTS – WIN

*Strongest trend bet of the night. If trends are your thing, this is your pick.


MINNESOTA @ ORLANDO

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Timberwolves are 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Orlando.
  • Timberwolves are 5-16 ATS in the last 21 meetings.
  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Orlando.
  • Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Markelle Fultz has seven or more assists in each of the Magic’s last five games. (5.5)
  • Malik Beasley has 21+ points in each of the Timberwolves’ last four night games. (17.5)
  • Evan Fournier has three or more three-pointers in each of the Magic’s last four home games. (2.5)
  • Aaron Gordon has 25+ points in four of the Magic’s last five games. (17.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
MIN 17 40 7-21 10-19
ORL 26 32 15-14 11-18

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
MIN 113.0 116.9 -3.9 229.9
ORL 104.6 106.1 -1.5 210.7

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
Orlando Over ORL
-7.5 233.5 136-125

PICK  –  Orlando WIN


BROOKLYN @ ATLANTA

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Atlanta.
  • Under is 13-4-1 in the last 18 meetings.
  • Nets are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Atlanta.
  • Nets are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
13.01.20 BKN ATL 108 : 86
22.12.19 BKN ATL 122 : 112
05.12.19 ATL BKN 118 : 130

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Spencer Dinwiddie has eight or more assists in six of the Nets’ last seven games. (7.5)
  • Taurean Prince has 23 points in three of his last four games at State Farm Arena. (13.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
BKN 26 31 16-13 10-18
ATL 17 43 11-18 6-25

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
BKN 110.5 110.6 -0.1 221.1
ATL 110.7 119.2 -8.5 229.9

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
Atlanta Under ATL
+3.0 236.0 141-118

PICK  –  Atlanta WIN


CHARLOTTE @ TORONTO

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Hornets are 27-13 ATS in the last 40 meetings.
  • Hornets are 15-7 ATS in the last 22 meetings in Toronto.
  • Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Toronto.
  • Over is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
09.01.20 CHA TOR 110 : 112
(100 : 100)
19.11.19 TOR CHA 132 : 96

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Miles Bridges has 17+ points in each of the Hornets’ last seven road games. (14.5)
  • Devonte’ Graham has eight or more assists in five of his last six road games. (6.5)
  • Kyle Lowry has 10+ assists in six of his last seven games . (8.5)
  • Pascal Siakam has five or more three-pointers in three of the Raptors’ last four games at Scotiabank Arena. (2.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
CHA 20 38 9-18 11-20
TOR 42 16 23-8 19-8

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
CHA 102.3 110.0 -7.7 212.3
TOR 113.0 106.1 +6.9 219.1

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
Toronto Over CHA
-14.0 215.5 99-96

PICK  –  Toronto -14.0


SACRAMENTO @ MEMPHIS

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Under is 17-8 in the last 25 meetings.
  • Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Memphis.
  • Kings are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Memphis.
  • Kings are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
21.02.20 SAC MEM 129 : 125
03.01.20 SAC MEM 128 : 123
22.12.19 MEM SAC 119 : 115

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Jonas Valanciunas has 16+ rebounds in each of his last three home games against opponents who are playing on the second leg of a back-to-back. (10.5)
  • Dillon Brooks has 20+ points in eight of the Grizzlies’ last 11 games at FedExForum. (17.5)
  • Ja Morant has 20+ points in five of the Grizzlies’ last seven home games against Pacific Division opponents. (18.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
SAC 24 34 12-15 12-19
MEM 28 30 16-13 12-17

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
SAC 108.4 110.6 -2.2 219.0
MEM 112.8 115.3 -2.5 228.1

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
Memphis Over SAC
-3.5 226.5 104-101

PICK  –  Memphis -3.5


DALLAS @ MIAMI

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Mavericks are 0-3-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Miami.
  • Mavericks are 0-4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Miami.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
15.12.19 DAL MIA 118 : 122
(112 : 112)

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Bam Adebayo has seven or more assists in each of the Heat’s last four games. (5.5)
  • Luka Doncic has 19 points or less in each of his three previous games against the Heat. (TBC)
  • Kendrick Nunn has 21+ points in each of the Heat’s last three games. (14.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
DAL 36 23 16-14 20-9
MIA 36 22 23-4 13-18

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
DAL 116.6 110.5 +6.1 227.1
MIA 112.5 109.3 +3.2 221.8

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
Dallas Under MIA
+4.0 228.5 126-118

PICK  –  Dallas +4.0


OKLAHOMA CITY @ MILWAUKEE

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.
  • Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Milwaukee.
  • Thunder are 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Milwaukee.
  • Thunder are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
11.11.19 OKC MIL 119 : 121

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Giannis Antetokounmpo has 31+ points in each of his last seven games in night games at Fiserv Forum. (29.5)
  • Chris Paul has nine or more assists in each of the Thunder’s last five road games. (7.5)
  • Steven Adams has 15+ points in each of the Thunder’s last four games. (11.5)
  • Danilo Gallinari has 24+ points in each of the Thunder’s last three road games. (20.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
OKC 37 22 20-12 17-10
MIL 50 8 26-3 24-5

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
OKC 111.3 108.1 +3.2 219.4
MIL 119.8 107.6 +12.2 227.4

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
Milwaukee Over MIL
-10.5 229.5 133-88

PICK  –  Over 229.5


CLEVELAND @ NEW ORLEANS

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Cavaliers are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings in New Orleans.
  • Cavaliers are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
  • Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
  • Over is 12-2 in the last 14 meetings in New Orleans.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
29.01.20 CLE NOR 111 : 125

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Derrick Favors has 12+ points in each of his last eight home games against the Cavaliers. (8.5)
  • Jrue Holiday has nine or more assists in each of the Pelicans’ last six games. (8.5)
  • Darius Garland has six or more assists in each of his last four games with the Cavaliers as underdogs against Western Conference opponents. (4.5)
  • Collin Sexton has 23+ points in six of the Cavaliers’ last seven road games. (21.5)
  • Kevin Love has 10+ rebounds in four of his last five road games against the Pelicans. (9.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
CLE 17 41 9-22 8-19
NOR 25 33 11-17 14-16

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
CLE 106.6 114.7 -8.1 221.3
NOR 115.8 117.0 -1.2 232.8

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
New Orleans Under NOR
-11.5 235.0 116-104

PICK  –  New Orleans -11.5


DETROIT @ PHOENIX

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Phoenix.
  • Pistons are 24-8 ATS in the last 32 meetings.
  • Pistons are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Phoenix.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
06.02.20 DET PHX 116 : 108

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Ricky Rubio has nine or more assists in each of his last eight games with the Suns as favourites. (8.5)
  • Christian Wood has 20+ points in each of the Pistons’ last four road games. (18.5)
  • Derrick Rose has 20+ points in 15 of his last 19 games . (18.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
DET 19 41 11-20 8-21
PHX 24 35 11-19 13-16

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
DET 107.7 110.9 -3.2 218.6
PHX 112.2 113.3 -1.1 225.5

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
Phoenix Over DET
-6.0 218.5 113-111

PICK  –  Phoenix -6.0


WASHINGTON @ UTAH

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Wizards are 1-7 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
  • Under is 15-7 in the last 22 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
13.01.20 WAS UTA 116 : 127

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Mike Conley has 18+ points in each of his last six games against the Wizards. (14.5)
  • Donovan Mitchell has 31+ points in each of the Jazz’s last three games. (26.5)
  • Bradley Beal has four or more three-pointers in each of the Wizards’ last three games. (2.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
WAS 21 36 14-15 7-21
UTA 36 22 20-9 16-13

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
WAS 115.7 119.9 -4.2 235.6
UTA 111.0 108.1 +2.9 219.1

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
Utah Under UTA
-10.5 231.5 129-119

PICK  –  Under 231.5


DENVER @ LA CLIPPERS

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Nuggets are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in L.A..
  • Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
  • Under is 37-16 in the last 53 meetings.
  • Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
13.01.20 DEN LAC 114 : 104

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Will Barton has 17+ points in each of his last five road games against the Clippers. (13.5)
  • Paul George has 11 points or less in each of his last four games . (17.5)
  • Nikola Jokic has 14+ rebounds in each of the Nuggets’ last three games against the Clippers. (10.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
DEN 40 18 23-7 17-11
LAC 39 19 23-6 16-13

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
DEN 110.7 106.8 +3.9 217.5
LAC 115.6 109.8 +5.8 225.4

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
LA Clippers Over LAC
-5.5 219.0 132-103

PICK  –  LA Clippers WIN