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*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.
DP’S PLAYER PROP
SEASON RECORD: 32-19
Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop, exclusive to subscribers.
LA CLIPPERS @ DALLAS
Luka will be on a mission tomorrow to prove he can secure signature wins at 
home against Tier 1 franchises.
Luka’s upside in a game like this is significant. His ability to read double teams and pocket pass is the best in the league.
I’m locking him in for 10+ dimes (12+ if KP plays).
DP’S PICK – LUKA DONCIC OVER 8.5 ASSISTS – WIN
LA CLIPPERS @ DALLAS
TEAM TRENDS
CLIPPERS TRENDS
- 2-5 ATS in last 7 games overall.
- 5-2 ATS in last 7 games as a road favorite.
- 7-2 ATS in last 9 games playing on 2 days rest.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 vs teams above .500.
- Under is 6-1 in last 7 games vs teams above .600.
- Under is 8-2 in last 10 road games vs teams with a winning home record.
- Over is 5-1-1 in last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-2-1 in last 8 overall.
MAERICKS TRENDS
- 3-0-1 ATS in last 4 games overall.
- 3-7-1 ATS in last 11 home games.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 games vs teams above .600.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 games vs teams above .600.
- Over is 5-2 in last 7 vs teams above .500.
- Over is 5-2 in last 7 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Clippers are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Dallas.
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Dallas.
SEASON SERIES
| 27.11.19 | DAL | LAC | 99 : 114 |
PLAYER BETTING TRENDS
- Patrick Beverley has 6+ assists in the Clippers’ last 6 games. (5.5)
- Luka Doncic has 27 points or less in 5 of the Mavericks’ last 6 games. (29.5)
- Kawhi Leonard has 32+ points in 4 of the Clippers’ last 5 games. (30.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| LAC | 30 | 13 | 19-4 | 11-9 |
| DAL | 27 | 15 | 13-10 | 14-5 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| LAC | 116.2 | 109.6 | +6.6 | 225.8 |
| DAL | 116.7 | 109.4 | +7.3 | 226.1 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| DAL | UNDER | LAC |
| -1.5 | 232.5 | 110-107 |
The Mavs have won 3-straight and should get Porzingis (knee) back tonight. Porzingis, 17.3 ppg and 9.4 rpg , has missed the previous 10 games but went through full practice Sunday and flooks ready to go.
The Clippers have also won 3-straight after getting past the Pelicans 133-130 on Saturday. Kawhi scored 39 and the Clippers rallied in the 4th after giving up 80 first-half points.
The Mavs rank 1st in the league offensively and the Clippers rank 5th, so the Overs is tempting, however the first meeting was a relatively low-scoring 114-99 win to the Clippers, the loss of PG13 also means less points (also less defense so…), so we’ll go with the Unders.
Paul George (hamstring) sits out tonight and with the Unicorn 70/30 to return for the Mavs, we’ll take the -1.5 while it’s there.
OUR PICK – DALLAS -1.5
