NBA FINALS PICKS – MIAMI @ DENVER – GAME 1

NBA PLAYOFF PICKS & PROPS

*NBA Playoff picks and props are done the previous game day, adjust selections should spreads and lineups change.

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MIAMI @ DENVER – GAME 1

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Heat are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Denver.
  • Heat are 9-25 ATS in the last 34 meetings.
  • Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Denver.
  • Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
MIA 44 38 27-14 17-24
DEN 53 29 34-7 19-22

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
MIA 109.5 109.8 -0.3 219.3
DEN 115.8 112.5 +3.3 228.3

SEASON SERIES

14.02.23 MIA DEN 108:112
31.12.22 DEN MIA 124:119

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
DEN OVER DEN
-8.5 218.5 104:93

BETTING TRENDS – 

  • The Nuggets have won their last 10 home games.
  • The last 5 games between the Heat and Nuggets have gone Overs.
  • The Nuggets have won the 1st half in their last 5 games against the Heat at Ball Arena.
  • Nikola Jokic has 29+ points in 7 of the Nuggets’ last 9 games.
  • Nikola Jokic has a triple-double in 5 of the Nuggets’ last 6 games.
  • Nikola Jokic has 16+ rebounds in 5 of the Nuggets’ last 6 home games.
  • Nikola Jokic has 11+ assists in 7 of the Nuggets’ last 8 games.
  • Bam Adebayo has 19+ points in 4 of the Heat’s last 5 games against the Nuggets.
  • Jimmy Butler has 2+ steals in his last 9 road games.
  • Jimmy Butler has 8+ assists in the Heat’s last 5 NBA Finals games.
  • Jimmy Butler has 35+ points in 3 of the Heat’s last 4 Game 1s of a playoff series.
  • Kyle Lowry has 10+ points in his last 5 NBA Finals games.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has made 3+ three-pointers in the Nuggets’ last 4 games.
  • Max Strus has made 4+ three-pointers in the Heat’s last 3 games against the Nuggets.
  • Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has made 2+ three-pointers in the  Nuggets’ last 5 games.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has 8+ rebounds in 6 of the Nuggets’ last 8 games.
  • Caleb Martin has a double-double in the Heat’s last 2 games.
  • Aaron Gordon has at least 1 block in the Nuggets’ last 3 games.
  • Bruce Brown has 2+ steals in 5 of his last 7 games against the Heat.
  • Jamal Murray has 2+ steals in the Nuggets’ last 5 games.

PICK – OVER 218.5 TOTAL PTS