NBA PLAYOFF PICKS – 10/5/23

NBA PLAYOFF PICKS & PROPS

*These NBA Playoff picks and props are done the previous game day, adjust selections should spreads and lineups change.


MIAMI @ NEW YORK – GAME 5

MIAMI LEAD SERIES 3-1

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Heat are 13-5 ATS in the last 18 meetings in New York.
  • Under is 20-6 in the last 26 meetings in New York.
  • Heat are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.wo games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
MIA 44 38 27-14 17-24
NY 47 35 23-18 24-17

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
MIA 109.5 109.8 -0.3 219.3
NY 116.0 113.1 +2.9 229.1

PLAYOFF SERIES

GAME 4 MIA NY 109:101
GAME 3 MIA NY 105:86
GAME 2 NY MIA 111:105
GAME 1 NY MIA 101-108
30.03.23 NY MIA 119:115
23.03.23 MIA NY 100:93
04.03.23 MIA NY 120:122
03.02.23 NY MIA 106:104

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
MIA OVER NY
+3.5 209.0 112-103

BETTING TRENDS – 

  • The Heat have won 4 of their last 5 games as underdogs.
  • The Heat have won the 1st half in 5 of their last 6 playoff games against the Knicks.
  • 8 of the Heat’s last 9 games as underdogs have gone Overs.
  • Max Strus has 16+ points in the Heat’s last 3 games.
  • Jimmy Butler has 32+ points in the Heat’s last 3 playoff series closeout games.
  • Gabe Vincent has 15+ points in the Heat’s last 5 road games.
  • Kyle Lowry has 4+ rebounds in 11 of his last 12 road games against the Knicks.

PICK – MIAMI +3.5


LA LAKERS @ GOLDEN STATE – GAME 5

LA LAKERS LEAD SERIES 3-1

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
  • Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Golden State.
  • Lakers are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
GSW 44 38 33-8 11-30
LAL 43 39 23-18 20-21

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
GSW 118.9 117.1 +1.8 236.0
LAL 117.2 116.6 +0.6 233.8

PLAYOFF SERIES

GAME 4 LAL GSW 104:101
GAME 3 LAL GSW 127:97
GAME 2 GSW LAL 127:100
GAME 1 GSW LAL 112:117
06.03.23 LAL GSW 113:105
24.02.23 LAL GSW 124:111
12.02.23 GSW LAL 103:109
19.10.22 GSW LAL 123:109

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
LAL UNDER GSW
+7.5 225.5 121-106

BETTING TRENDS – 

  • The Warriors have won 17 of their last 18 home games following a road loss.
  • The Lakers have lost the 1st half in 15 of their last 16 playoff games as road underdogs.
  • 5 of the last 6 games between the Lakers and Warriors at Chase Center have gone Overs.
  • Jarred Vanderbilt has 6+ points in his last 6 road games against the Warriors.
  • LeBron James has 40+ points in his 3 previous Game 5s of a playoff series against the Warriors.
  • Draymond Green has 10+ points in 9 of the Warriors’ last 11 playoff games when facing elimination.
  • Stephen Curry has made 5+ three-pointers in 7 of the Warriors’ last 8 home games.
  • Austin Reaves has made 2+ three-pointers in 5 of the Lakers’ last 7 road games.

PICK – LA LAKERS +7.5