NBA EXPERT PICKS – 9/2/21

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TONIGHT'S PARLAY
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PARLAY

  • ORLANDO @ PORTLAND – PORTLAND WIN
  • HOUSTON @ NEW ORLEANS – OVER 218.5 TOTAL PTS
  • BOSTON @ UTAH – UNDER 221.5 TOTAL PTS

ODDS – 6.55

Buy some points (alternate lines) on these markets if you’d like some extra security).

TREND BET PARLAY

  • ORLANDO @ PORTLAND – OVER 220.0 TOTAL PTS
  • PHILADELPHIA @ SACRAMENTO – OVER 231.0 TOTAL PTS

ODDS – 3.67

Stongest statistical trends of the night. Not necessarily our picks. If trends are your thing, this is your parlay.

PLAYER PROP PARLAY

  • HOUSTON @ NEW ORLEANS – ZION WILLIAMSON OVER 23.5 PTS
  • BOSTON @ UTAH – DONOVAN MITCHELL OVER 5.5 ASTS

ODDS – 3.65

*RECOMMEND TO TAKE AS SINGLES (PARLAYS ARE VERY TOUGH TO GET OVER THE LINE DURING COVID-TIMES)

PLEASE GAMBLE RESPONSIBLY LADS.

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BROOKLYN @ DETROIT

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS
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  • Jerami Grant has 25+ points in 4 of the Pistons’ last 5 games against East teams. (23.5)
  • Blake Griffin has 20+ points in his last 5 home games against the Nets. (12.5)
  • James Harden has 33+ points in his last 3 games against the Pistons. (26.5)
  • Kyrie Irving has 6+ rebounds in his last 4 road games against the Pistons. (5.5)
  • Mason Plumlee has 9+ rebounds in 4 of the Pistons’ last 5 home games. (8.5)
  • Kyrie Irving has 7+ assists in his last 3 road games. (8.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Nets are 15-6 ATS in the last 21 meetings.
  • Nets are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Detroit.
  • Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Detroit.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
BKN 14 11 10-5 4-6
DET 5 18 4-7 1-11

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
BKN 121.5 118.2 +3.3 239.7
DET 108.4 113.7 -5.3 222.1

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
BKN UNDER DET
-6.5 232.5 122-111

The Nets are dropping a league-high 121.5 ppg and rank 29th in the league in points allowed with an average of 118.2 ppg.

Detroit have only hit the 232.5 total points mark in 4 of their 23 game, but it would take a game man to place any $ on the Unders, so we’ll stick with the -6.5 line for the Nets, with little faith.

MATCH FACT – The Pistons have lost their last 6 games after coming off overtime.

PICK – BROOKLYN -6.5

NEW YORK @ MIAMI

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS
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  • Kelly Olynyk has 10+ points in his last 10 games against the Knicks. (8.5)
  • Julius Randle has 23+ points in 4 of the Knicks’ last 5 games. (21.5)
  • Bam Adebayo has 21+ points in 5 of the Heat’s last 6 games against East teams. (17.5)
  • Jimmy Butler has 7+ rebounds in his last 7 games. (6.5)
  • Tyler Herro has 4+ assists in 6 of his last 9 games at AmericanAirlines Arena. (3.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Knicks are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
NY 11 14 5-6 6-8
MIA 9 14 6-7 3-7

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
NY 102.7 104.1 -1.4 206.8
MIA 107.3 110.7 -3.4 218.0

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
MIA UNDER MIA
-6.5 208.5 98-96

Both rank in the bottom 3rd of the NBA in offensive efficiency.

You’d be a brave man to take Overs in a Knicks’ game at this point.

Best bet is no bet at all.

PICK – MIAMI -6.5

HOUSTON @ NEW ORLEANS

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS
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  • DeMarcus Cousins has 18+ points in 15 of his last 16 games against the Pelicans. (13.5)
  • Lonzo Ball has 16+ points in the Pelicans’ last 3 games. (13.5)
  • Zion Williamson has 26+ points in 4 of the Pelicans’ last 5 home games against Western opponents. (24.5)
  • Brandon Ingram has 27+ points in 4 of his last 5 games against the Rockets. (23.5)
  • Lonzo Ball has 8+ assists in 5 of his last 6 games against the Rockets. (4.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Under is 19-6-1 in the last 26 meetings in New Orleans.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
HOU 11 12 5-5 6-7
NOR 10 12 6-5 4-7

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
HOU 110.3 109.3 +1.0 219.6
NOR 111.5 112.3 -0.8 223.8

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
NOR OVER NOR
-5.5 218.5 130-101

The Rockets have gone 1-3 after their 6-0 run a week back, but John Wall and Eric Gordon (both rest) should return tonight after last night’s loss to the Hornets.

Pelicans with a night off and healthy look the goods, but prefer the total points line.

The first meeting this season was a high-scoring 112- 126 Houston win in New Orleans.

PICK – OVER 218.5 TOTAL POINTS

GOLDEN STATE @ SAN ANTONIO

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS
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  • Stephen Curry has 32+ points in 3 of the Warriors’ last 4 games. (30.5)
  • Kelly Oubre Jr. has 7+ rebounds in 6 of his last 7 games against the Spurs. (5.5)
  • Draymond Green has 10+ assists in the Warriors’ last 3 games. (7.5)
  • Andrew Wiggins has 3+ assists in 3 of his last 4 games against the Spurs. (2.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in San Antonio.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
GSW 12 12 8-5 4-7
SAS 14 10 7-7 7-3

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
GSW 113.9 113.8 +0.1 227.7
SAS 111.0 111.3 -0.3 222.3

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
SAS UNDER GSW
+1.0 233.5 114-91

Lat night the Spurs got over the Warriors in a tough fought 105-100 slog-fest in San Antonio.

Warriors are 2nd in the league in tempo and San Antonio rank 11th. Overs tempting.

It’s Groundhog Day tonight, but thinking the 233.0 might be a little high here.

PICK – UNDER 233.5 TOTAL POINTS

ORLANDO @ PORTLAND

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS
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  • Gary Trent Jr. has 18+ points in 6 of the Blazers’ last 7 games. (15.5)
  • Damian Lillard has 36+ points in his last 3 games against the Magic. (31.5)
  • Nikola Vucevic has 14+ rebounds in 3 of the Magic’s last 4 games. (11.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

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TREND BET

TONIGHT'S TREND BET
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PORTLAND

  • Over is 4-0 in Trail Blazers last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
  • Over is 4-1 in Trail Blazers last 5 overall.
  • Over is 4-1 in Trail Blazers last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Over is 4-1 in Trail Blazers last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
  • Over is 26-11-1 in Trail Blazers last 38 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

ORLANDO

  • Over is 4-0 in Magic last 4 games playing on 2 days rest.
  • Over is 20-6-2 in Magic last 28 road games.
  • Over is 5-2 in Magic last 7 overall.

MATCHUP

  • Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

TREND BET – OVER TOTAL POINTS

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Magic are 1-5-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
  • Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
ORL 9 15 5-8 4-7
POR 12 10 5-5 7-5

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
ORL 105.0 112.2 -7.2 217.2
POR 114.9 116.2 -1.3 231.1

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
POR OVER POR
-4.5 220.0 106-97

Portland should be fresh having been on ice since last Monday.

Orlando has been playing through several injuries and Michael Carter-Williams and Aaron Gordon are out tonight, while 2nd leading scorer Evan Fournier (back) is questionable.

MATCH FACTS – 

  • 13 of the Blazers’ last 15 games without C.J. McCollum have gone over the total points line.
  • The Blazers have lost the first half in 6 of their last 7 games as favorites.

PICK – PORTLAND WIN / OVER 220.0 TOTAL POINTS

PHILADELPHIA @ SACRAMENTO

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS
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  • NIL
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TREND BET

TONIGHT'S TREND BET
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PHILADELPHIA

  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 road games.
  • Over is 12-5 in last 17 overall.
  • Over is 11-5 in last 16 after allowing 100+ points in their last game.
  • Over is 10-2 in last 12 games as a favorite.
  • Over is 6-1 in last 7 games following a straight up win.

SACRAMENTO

  • Over is 6-1 in last 7 home games.
  • Over is 5-1 in last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Over is 25-10 in last 35 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Over is 5-0 in last 5 games as a home underdog.
  • Over is 12-2 in last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

TREND BET – OVER 231.0 TOTAL POINTS

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • 76ers are 10-2 ATS in the last 12 meetings in Sacramento.
  • 76ers are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
PHI 17 7 11-2 6-5
SAC 12 11 7-6 5-5

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
PHI 114.1 110.1 +4.0 224.2
SAC 113.7 118.2 -4.5 231.9

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
PHI OVER PHI
-4.5 231.0 119-111

MATCHUP FACT – The 76ers have won the first half in their last 3 games against Sacramento.

PICK – PHILADELPHIA -4.5

BOSTON @ UTAH

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS
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  • Donovan Mitchell has 27+ points in the Jazz’s last 3 games with Mike Conley out. (25.5)
  • Royce O’Neale has 3 assists in the Jazz’s last 5 home games. (2.5)
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() = BOOKIE LINE

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Over is 12-5 in the last 17 meetings in Utah
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
BOS 12 10 5-3 7-7
UTA 19 5 9-2 10-3

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
BOS 111.0 109.2 +1.8 220.2
UTA 114.3 105.7 +8.6 220.0

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
UTA UNDER UTA
-4.5 221.5 122-108

Both play at slower tempo, so Unders is tempting.

Game of the night, who would dare to back against the Jazz after going 15-1 over the last 16 (only loss was to the Nuggets).

Boston are 4-6 over their last 10.

MATCH FACT – Boston have covered the line in 17 of their last 25 games as road underdogs.

PICK – UNDER 221.5 TOTAL POINTS

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