Expert NBA Basketball Picks

NBA PICKS & TRENDS TODAY – 5/2/21

February 5, 2021

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PARLAY

TONIGHT'S PARLAY

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FAVS PARLAY

Some strong favorites tonight. Worth a punt.

TORONTO @ BROOKLYN – BROOKLYN WIN
UTAH @ CHARLOTTE – UTAH WIN
BOSTON @ LA CLIPPERS – LA CLIPPERS WIN

ODDS – 2.77

*RECOMMEND TO TAKE AS SINGLES (PARLAYS ARE VERY TOUGH TO GET OVER THE LINE DURING COVID-TIMES)

PLAYER PROP PARLAY

Player props are where the money is lately.

~~TORONTO @ BROOKLYN – KEVIN DURANT OVER 27.5 PTS~~ (Late OUT – COVID Tracing)
CHICAGO @ ORLANDO – LAURI MARKKANEN OVER 18.5 PTS
UTAH @ CHARLOTTE – RUDY GOBERT OVER 12.5 PTS

ODDS – 6.95

*RECOMMEND TO TAKE AS SINGLES (PARLAYS ARE VERY TOUGH TO GET OVER THE LINE DURING COVID-TIMES)

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BETONLINE PARLAY

TONIGHT'S BETONLINE PARLAY

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PARLAY

DETROIT @ PHOENIX – PHOENIX WIN
TORONTO @ BROOKLYN – KYLE LOWRY 6+ REBOUNDS
TORONTO @ BROOKLYN – JAMES HARDEN 9+ ASSISTS

ODDS: +195

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+440% PROFIT LAST 10 PARLAYS

NEW ORLEANS @ INDIANA

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS

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() = BOOKIE LINE

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TREND BET

TONIGHT'S TREND BET

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NEW ORLEANS

Over is 4-0 in last 4 road games.
Over is 13-3 in last 16 overall.

INDIANA

Over is 6-1 in last 7 home games.
Over is 4-1-1 in last 6 overall.
Over is 4-1 in last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
Over is 6-2-1 in last 9 games as a favorite.

MATCHUP

Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

TREND BET – OVER TOTAL POINTS

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MATCHUP TRENDS

Pelicans are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Indiana.
Pelicans are 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
NOR	8	12	5-5	3-7
IND	12	10	7-6	5-4

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT.AV.
NOR	111.1	112.5	-1.4	223.6
IND	113.9	112.2	+1.7	226.1

PICKS ATS

Spread	Points	Result
NOR	OVER	NOR
+3.0	226.5	114-113

MATCH FACT – The Pelicans have won the first half in 5 of their last 6 games.

PICK – NEW ORLEANS +3.0

PROP – NEW ORLEANS 1ST 1/2 HEAD TO HEAD

CHICAGO @ ORLANDO

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS

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Cole Anthony has 14+ points in the Magic’s last 4 games against East teams. (12.5)
Evan has scored 19+ points in 4 of the Magic’s last 5 games at Amway Center. (18.5)
Zach LaVine has scored 32+ points in 4 of the Bulls’ last 6 road games. (24.5)

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() = BOOKIE LINE

MATCHUP TRENDS

Under is 19-7 in the last 26 meetings in Orlando.
Under is 20-6 in the last 26 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
CHI	8	12	3-7	5-5
ORL	8	14	4-7	4-7

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT.AV.
CHI	114.8	117.1	-2.3	231.9
ORL	104.8	111.6	-6.8	216.4

PICKS ATS

Spread	Points	Result
ORL	OVER	ORL
+1.5	221.5	123-119

Bulls have struggled defensively, allowing an average of 117.1 ppg over the season.

PICK – OVER 221.5 TOTAL PTS

TORONTO @ BROOKLYN

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS

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Kevin Durant has 28+ points in 9 of his last 10 games at Barclays Center. (27.5)
Norman Powell has 20+ points in his last five games. (18.5)
Kyrie Irving has 26+ points in 8 of his last 10 games. (24.5)
Pascal Siakam has 9+ rebounds in 4 of his last 5 games in road games. (7.5)
James Harden has 11+ assists in 8 of his last 9 games. (10.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

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MATCHUP TRENDS

Raptors are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Brooklyn.
Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Brooklyn.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
TOR	9	12	6-5	3-7
BKN	14.0	9	10-4	4-5

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT.AV.
TOR	111.8	110.1	+1.7	221.9
BKN	122.3	117.8	+4.5	240.1

PICKS ATS

Spread	Points	Result
BKN	UNDER	TOR
-5.5	242.5	123-117

Line total stays above 240 for the Nets. If Brooklyn click again tonight they’ll have too many options for the Raptors to cover.

NOTE : DURANT WAS TESTED AT START OF GAME, DID NOT START UNTIL MID 1ST QTR, THEN REMOVED 3R QTR DUT TO TESTING.

PLAYER PROP

PLAYER PROP BET

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Durant’s cleared the 27.5 line in 14 of his 17 games, and 7 of his last 8 games since Harden joined the Nets.

PFs against Toronto score at 6% above average over the last month making them the 6th easiest team for PFs to score against.

Durant is clearing 27.5 points in 82% of his games this season this line is low for the league’s 2nd top scorer.

PICK – KEVIN DURANT OVER 27.5 PTS (Late out – COVID Tracing)

NOTE : DURANT WAS TESTED AT START OF GAME, DID NOT START UNTIL MID 1ST QTR, THEN REMOVED 3R QTR DUT TO TESTING.

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PICK – BROOKLYN -5.0

MILWAUKEE @ CLEVELAND

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS

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Giannis Antetokounmpo has 33+ points in his last 4 road games against the Cavs. (27.5)
Jrue Holiday has 21+ points in 4 of the Bucks’ last 5 road games. (16.5)
Khris Middleton has 7+ assists in 5 of the Bucks’ last 7 games. (5.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

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TREND BET

TONIGHT'S TREND BET

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MILWAUKEE

Over is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
Over is 4-0 in last 4 games as a favorite.
Over is 11-5 in last 16 games as a road favorite.

CLEVELAND

Over is 4-0 in last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Over is 6-1 in last 7 games as an underdog.
Over is 6-1 in last 7 home games.
Over is 7-3 in last 10 overall.

MATCHUP

Over is 27-12 in the last 39 meetings.

TREND BET – OVER TOTAL POINTS

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MATCHUP TRENDS

Bucks are 1-3-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Cleveland.
Bucks are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
Over is 27-12 in the last 39 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
MIL	13	8	9-2	4-6
CLE	10	12	7-5	3-7

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT.AV.
MIL	121.0	112.2	+8.8	233.2
CLE	103.7	108.7	-5.0	212.4

PICKS ATS

Spread	Points	Result
MIL	UNDER	MIL
-10.5	227.5	123-105

Bucks rank 3rd in the NBA in offensive efficiency and the Cavs rank last. Long night for the Cleveland crew tonight.

Last meeting was an ugly 100-90 Bucks win on 10th Jan.

MATCH FACT – The Bucks have won 24 of their last 25 games against Central Division teams.

PICK – UNDER 227.5 TOTAL PTS

UTAH @ CHARLOTTE

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS

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Rudy Gobert has 15+ points in the Jazz’s last 5 games against the Hornets. (12.5)
Bojan Bogdanovic has 18+ points in the Jazz’s last 4 games. (16.5)
Jordan Clarkson has 18+ points in 6 of the Jazz’s last 7 road games. (16.5)
LaMelo Ball has 16+ points in the Hornets’ last 3 home games. (13.5)
Donovan Mitchell has 6+ rebounds in 5 of his last 7 games. (4.5)
Devonte’ Graham has 6+ assists in 6 of the Hornets’ last 8 home games. (5.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

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MATCHUP TRENDS

Jazz are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Charlotte.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
UTA	16	5	9-2	7-3
CHA	10	12	5-6	5-6

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT.AV.
UTA	113.8	106.2	+7.6	220.0
CHA	109.6	110.5	-0.9	220.1

PICKS ATS

Spread	Points	Result
UTA	UNDER	UTA
-7.0	222.5	138-121

Utah on a B2B after a 112-90 win over the Hawks last night, but when you’re hot you’re hot. Jazz have won 13 of their last 14.

Charlotte have been solid, but we aren’t gonna look the fool tonight.

PICK – UTAH -7.0

WASHINGTON @ MIAMI

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS

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Bradley Beal has the 1st basket in 4 of his last 6 road games against Eastern teams.
Jimmy Butler has 25+ points in 4 of his last 5 games. (21.5)
Tyler Herro has 20+ points in 4 of his last 5 games with the Heat as favorites against the Wizards. (17.5)
Bam Adebayo has 11+ rebounds in 6 of the Heat’s last 7 games against the Wizards. (10.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

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MATCHUP TRENDS

Wizards are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
Wizards are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Miami.
Over is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings.
Over is 10-3 in the last 13 meetings in Miami.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
MIA	7	14	5-7	2-7
WAS	5	13	2-7	3-6

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT.AV.
MIA	106.5	111.9	-5.4	218.4
WAS	116.3	121.1	-4.8	237.4

PICKS ATS

Spread	Points	Result
MIA	OVER	MIA
-6.5	228.5	122-95

The two matchups so far this season have been mirror images.

On the 10th Jan, Miami won a high scoring 132-121 meeting, while on the 4th of Feb, the Wizards won in a 103-100 sog.

Heat rank 20th in defensive efficiency and the Wizards rank 28th. Swing back to Overs in this meeting.

PICK – OVER 228.5 TOTAL PTS

MINNESOTA @ OKLAHOMA CITY

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS

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Al Horford has 4+ assists in 6 of his last 7 games against the Timberwolves. (3.5)

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() = BOOKIE LINE

MATCHUP TRENDS

Timberwolves are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
Timberwolves are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Oklahoma City.
Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
Over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Oklahoma City.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
MIN	5	16	4-7	1-9
OKC	9	11	2-7	7-4

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT.AV.
MIN	106.4	115.4	-9.0	221.8
OKC	107.1	114.1	-7.0	221.2

PICKS ATS

Spread	Points	Result
MIN	OVER	MIN
-2.5	218.5	106-103

Absolutely awful game for every reason.

PICK – NO BET

DETROIT @ PHOENIX

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS

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Blake Griffin has 15+ points in 17 of his last 18 games against the Suns. (12.5)
Jerami Grant has 24+ points in 8 of the Pistons’ last 9 road games. (21.5)
Deandre Ayton has 13+ rebounds in 8 of the Suns’ last 9 games. (12.5)
Devin Booker has 5+ assists in 7 of the Suns’ last 8 games against Central teams. (4.5)
Mason Plumlee has a double-double in 4 of the Pistons’ last 5 games.

() = BOOKIE LINE

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MATCHUP TRENDS

Pistons are 26-8 ATS in the last 34 meetings.
Pistons are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Phoenix.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
DET	5	16	4-7	1-9
PHX	11	9	4-4	7-5

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT.AV.
DET	108.2	112.9	-4.7	221.1
PHX	109.9	108.3	+1.6	218.2

PICKS ATS

Spread	Points	Result
PHX	UNDER	PHX
-7.0	215.5	109-92

Both love to play the slow tempo, so Unders is nice.

Last outing was a grinding 110-105 Detroit win in OT (93-93 before OT).

MATCH FACTS

The Pistons have lost 12 of their last 13 road games.
Eight of the Pistons’ last 9 road games have gone Over the total points line.
PICK – PHOENIX -7.0

BOSTON @ LA CLIPPERS

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS

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Kawhi Leonard has the 1st basket in 3 of his last 4 games against the Celtics.
Paul George has 26+ points in his last 4 night games. (23.5)
Serge Ibaka has 13+ points in 5 of the Clippers’ last 6 games as favorites. (11.5)
Kawhi Leonard has 31+ points in the Clippers’ last 3 home games. (26.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

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MATCHUP TRENDS