NBA FREE PICKS – 4/1/21

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*These NBA free picks and research are done the previous game day evening, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.

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PARLAYS

TONIGHT'S PARLAY
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PARLAY – BUY CHAMPAGNE

  • NEW YORK @ ATLANTA – ATLANTA -5.5
  • OKLAHOMA CITY @ MIAMI – UNDER 213.5 TOTAL POINTS
  • SACRAMENTO @ GOLDEN STATE – SACRAMENTO WIN

@6.98

PARLAY – BUY BEERS

  • NEW YORK @ ATLANTA – ATLANTA WIN
  • OKLAHOMA CITY @ MIAMI – UNDER 223.5 TOTAL POINTS (ALT LINE)
  • SACRAMENTO @ GOLDEN STATE – SACRAMENTO +5.5 (ALT LINE)

@2.58

*Recommend to take as single bets.

PLEASE GAMBLE RESPONSIBLY LADS.

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TREND BET

TONIGHT'S TREND BET
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INDIANA

  • Under is 7-1 in last 8 games as an underdog.
  • Under is 7-2 in last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Under is 17-5-1 in last 23 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Under is 5-2 in last 7 road games.
  • Under is 9-4 in last 13 overall.

NEW ORLEANS

  • Under is 4-0 in last 4 games as a favorite.
  • Under is 4-0 in last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Under is 6-1 in last 7 home games.
  • Under is 13-3 in last 16 overall.
  • Under is 18-7-1 in last 26 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

MATCHUP

  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in New Orleans.

TREND BET –  UNDER 218.0 TOTAL POINTS

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CLEVELAND @ ORLANDO

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS
  • Andre Drummond has scored the first basket in three of the Cavaliers’ last four games.

() = BOOKIE LINE

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Cavaliers are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
  • Cavaliers are 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings in Orlando.
  • Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.
  • Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Orlando.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
CLE 4 2 2-1 2-1
ORL 4 2 1-2 3-0

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
CLE 108.0 105.3 +2.7 213.3
ORL 112.0 111.8 +0.2 223.8

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
CLE UNDER ORL
+5.5 216.5 103-83

After starting 4-0 for the first time in franchise history, Orlando lost 116-92 to the 76ers on Thursday and a 108-99 setback two nights later against OKC.

Cleveland rallied from a 15-point deficit in the second half to post a 96-91 surprise win over the Hawks on Saturday.

Too many injury concerns and variables here in what would be a garbage game anyway.

PICK – NO BET

IF YOU MUST – UNDER 216.5 TOTAL POINTS


CHARLOTTE @ PHILADELPHIA

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS
  • Tobias Harris has 20+ points in eight of his last nine appearances against the Hornets. (18.5)
  • Terry Rozier has 19+ points in eight of his last 10 appearances. (18.5)
  • Gordon Hayward has 20+ points in four of his last five road appearances against the 76ers. (17.5)
  • Joel Embiid has 29+ points in five of his last six appearances at Wells Fargo Center. (26.5)
  • Ben Simmons has nine or more rebounds in each of his last four home appearances against the Hornets. (7.5)
  • Devonte’ Graham has nine or more assists in each of the Hornets’ last two games against the 76ers. (5.5

() = BOOKIE LINE

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Hornets are 3-9 ATS in the last 12 meetings.
  • Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
CHA 2 4 1-2 1-2
PHI 5 1 3-0 2-1

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
CHA 108.3 111.3 -3.0 219.6
PHI 109.8 101.8 +8.0 211.6

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
CHA UNDER PHI
+9.5 221.5 118-101

The East leading 76ers will look to continue their dominance over the Hornets when the two teams meet for the second time in three days.

The Sixers’ 127-112 win over the Hornets on Saturday was their 12th in a row in the series.

The Sixers also will be searching for their fourth straight win overall and 19th in a row in Philadelphia dating to before play began in the NBA bubble last season.

The 76ers rank first in the league in defensively so Unders is nice.

PICK – UNDER 221.5 TOTAL POINTS


NEW YORK @ ATLANTA

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS
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  • Trae Young has 42+ points in each of the Hawks’ last three games against the Knicks. (29.5)
  • Mitchell Robinson has 15+ points in each of the Knicks’ last three games against the Hawks. (9.5)
  • Reggie Bullock has 13+ points in each of his last four road appearances against the Hawks. (9.5)
  • Julius Randle has 33+ points in each of the Knicks’ last two games against the Hawks. (23.5)
  • Clint Capela has 13+ rebounds in each of his last three appearances against the Knicks. (11.5)
  • Elfrid Payton has nine or more assists in each of his last six appearances against the Hawks. (6.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Knicks are 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Atlanta.
  • Knicks are 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
  • Over is 16-7 in the last 23 meetings.
  • Over is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings in Atlanta.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
NY 3 3 1-1 2-2
ATL 4 2 1-1 3-1

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
NY 101.7 104.7 -3.0 206.4
ATL 120.0 112.2 +7.8 232.2

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
ATL UNDER NY
-5.5 223.5 113-108

The Hawks on the second night of a back-to-back were fatigued and made a number of errors in Saturday’s 96-91 loss to Cleveland.

New York will be playing the final game of their four-game road trip. The Knicks won two of the first three games on the trip, including Saturday’s 106-102 win over the Pacers.

On Saturday, the Hawks finished with 20 turnovers in the loss to Cleveland after having zero in the first quarter. Atlanta threw away a 15-point second-half lead and suffered from a lack of energy.

The Hawks won two of the three meetings against the Knicks last season.

PICK – ATLANTA -5.5


OKLAHOMA CITY @ MIAMI

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS
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  • Goran Dragic has 17+ points in seven of the Heat’s last eight games as favourites. (15.5)
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has seven or more assists in four of the Thunder’s last five games. (5.5)
  • Jimmy Butler has seven or more assists in six of his last eight games. (5.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Thunder are 6-2-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
  • Thunder are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Miami.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Miami.
  • Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
OKC 2 3 0-3 2-0
MIA 2 3 2-1 0-2

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
OKC 102.6 109.4 -6.8 212.0
MIA 103.4 111.2 -7.8 214.6

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
MIA UNDER MIA
-7.5 214.5 118-90

OKC are 0-3 at home and 2-0 on the road and entered the weekend ranked 30th in free-throw percentage (62.3%). Yet, in Saturday night’s 108-99 win over the Magic, the Thunder converted on 90.5% of their free throws (19-of-21).

The Heat have alternated a loss with a win in all four of their games following their season-opening defeat to Orlando. Due in part to injuries, Miami has fielded a different starting lineup in all five games.

PICK – UNDER 214.5 TOTAL POINTS


BOSTON @ TORONTO

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS
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  • Fred VanVleet has 25+ points in each of the Raptors’ last three games as favourites. (18.5)
  • Jaylen Brown has 25+ points in seven of the Celtics’ last nine games. (23.5)
  • Jayson Tatum has 29 points in each of the Celtics’ last two games against the Raptors. (25.5)
  • Pascal Siakam has seven or more rebounds in five of the Raptors’ last six games against the Celtics. (6.5)
  • Kyle Lowry has seven or more assists in six of the Raptors’ last seven games as favourites. (6.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Celtics are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
  • Celtics are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Toronto.
  • Under is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings.
  • Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Toronto.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
BOS 4 3 2-1 2-2
TOR 1 4 1-1 0-3

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
BOS 111.6 112.3 -0.7 223.9
TOR 104.4 107.0 -2.6 211.4

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
BOS UNDER BOS
+4.5 218.5 126-114

The sliding Raptors will look to correct a poor start to the sason when they host the Boston Celtics at their temporary home in Tampa, Fla.

They will catch the Celtics on the second half of a back-to-back. Boston had a 122-120 win over the Pistons on Sunday following a 16-foot jumper by Jayson Tatum with 2.9 seconds to play.

The Celtics, who eliminated the Raptors in the second round of the playoffs last season, have had their own struggles. They lost their third game of the season Friday in Detroit.

PICK – BOSTON +3.0


DALLAS @ HOUSTON

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS
  • COMING SOON

() = BOOKIE LINE

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Mavericks are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
  • Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Houston.
  • Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings.
  • Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Houston.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
DAL 2 4 1-1 1-3
HOU 2 2 2-0 0-2

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
DAL 106.8 106.0 +0.8 212.8
HOU 115.3 116.3 -1.0 231.6

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
HOU UNDER DAL
-3.5 229.5 113-100

Through four games, Houston ranked 22nd defensively, allowing 111.8 ppg per 100 possessions. The Rockets employed a switching defense under former coach Mike D’Antoni, a system Silas planned to scrap this season.

The Mavericks have yet to find a rhythm with the lofty expectations set before them this season. Dallas has been without center Kristaps Porzingis thus far and played without All-NBA guard Luka Doncic in a 118-108 road loss to the Chicago Bulls on Sunday.

Houston could be without Harden who has a sprained ankle and missed the Rockets win over the Kings on Saturday

PICK – NO BET

IF YOU MUST – DON’T


DETROIT @ MILWAUKEE

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo has 28+ points in 12 of his last 13 appearances at Fiserv Forum. (26.5)
  • Jrue Holiday has 20+ points in seven of his last eight appearances against the Pistons. (15.5)
  • Khris Middleton has 21+ points in five of his last six home appearances against the Pistons. (19.5)
  • Brook Lopez has five or more rebounds in five of the Bucks’ last six games against the Pistons. (4.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

MATCHUP TRENDS

    • Pistons are 0-5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Milwaukee.
    • Pistons are 7-20-2 ATS in the last 29 meetings.
    • Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
DET 1 5 1-3 0-2
MIL 3 3 2-0 1-3

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
DET 110.3 116.3 -6.0 226.6
MIL 124.5 110.5 +14 235.0

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
MIL UNDER MIL
-13.5 223.5 125-115

Milwaukee went 3-0 against the Pistons last season, with Antetokounmpo averaging 32.0 points, 11.7 rebounds and 2.3 assists in those wins.

Antetokounmpo posted 29 points, 12 rebounds and eight assists in their last game, a 126-96 trouncing of Chicago on Friday.

Detroit is coming off a similar two-game home set with Boston. The Pistons won the first meeting on Friday by three points, then dropped a two-point loss to Boston, 122-120, on Sunday.

PICK – MILWAUKEE -13.5


INDIANA @ NEW ORLEANS

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS
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  • Steven Adams has 15+ points in six of his last seven appearances against the Pacers. (10.5)
  • Lonzo Ball has 13+ points in each of the Pelicans’ last five games at Smoothie King Center. (11.5)
  • Malcolm Brogdon has 24+ points in each of his last three appearances against Western Conference opponents. (19.5)
  • Myles Turner has eight or more rebounds in seven of his last eight appearances against the Pelicans. (7.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Pacers are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in New Orleans.
  • Pacers are 1-8 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in New Orleans.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
IND 4 2 3-2 1-0
NOR 4 2 2-0 2-2

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
IND 114.3 106.8 +7.5 221.1
NOR 104.7 102.0 +2.7 206.7

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
NOR UNDER IND
-1.5 218.5 118-116 1OT

The New Orleans Pelicans have won two games in a row for the first time this season and will try to build on their momentum tonight.

New Orleans lost a double-digit lead in the fourth quarter before battling back to edge Toronto 120-116 on Saturday night. The Pelicans had a 101-89 lead early in the fourth quarter against Toronto, but the Raptors took a 113-111 lead with 2:47 left.

Indiana had a fourth-quarter lead before a surprise loss to the visiting Knicks 106-102 on Saturday.

PICK – NEW ORLEANS -1.5


SACRAMENTO @ GOLDEN STATE

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

PLAYER TRENDS
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  • Andrew Wiggins has 22+ points in seven of his last eight appearances on the second leg of a back-to-back. (18.5)
  • Kelly Oubre Jr. has 17+ points in six of his last seven appearances against the Kings. (14.5)
  • Harrison Barnes has 19+ points in each of the Kings’ last three road games. (14.5)
  • Stephen Curry has 35+ points in each of his last three appearances against the Kings. (28.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

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MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Kings are 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Golden State.
  • Kings are 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
SAC 3 3 2-1 1-2
GSW 3 3 1-1 2-2

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
SAC 111.3 113.3 -2.0 224.6
GSW 113.0 123.7 -10.7 236.7

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
SAC UNDER GSW
-1.5 234.5 137-106

Curry dropped in a career-high 62 points Sunday in a 137-122 home win over Portland last night. Vintage Curry if ever we’d witnessed it.

The 62 points were not only an NBA season-high and eight points more than Curry had ever scored before, but they were the most by a Warrior since Rick Barry went for 64 points in 1974.

Curry topped 50 points for the 7th time in his career, shooting 18-for-31 overall, 8-for-16 on 3-pointers and 18-for-19 at the line.

Sacremento were riding high following a 125-115 home win over Denver that was their third victory in four games to open the season, but a two-game stay in Houston resulted in a pair of losses, putting them in the position of needing a win tonight in order to avoid an 0-3 trip.

PICK – SACRAMENTO -1.5