FREE NBA PLAYOFF PICKS – 30/8/20

FREE NBA PLAYOFF PICKS

*Original NBA Playoff picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.

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DP’S PLAYER PROP

SEASON RECORD: 62-35

Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop.

BOSTON VS TORONTO

While some teams are still battling it out in Round 1 of the playoffs, the defending Champions are well rested and get the chance to kick-start Round 2 with a win against the Celtics who for the record are the only team to have beaten the Raptors since entering the bubble. Lock yourself in for a long series.

I’m keen to take the points with Siakam in Game 1 of this series. He’s durability, shot-making and X-factor is a serious concern for the Celtics not only in the half-court but most effectively in transition.

Tatum struggled to stay out of foul trouble all series against the 76ers – and he could find himself in a vulnerable position on defense with the likes of Siakam going right at him on the wing. I expect Siakam to be explosive and aggressive in what should be a decent series start for the two-way All-Star.

DP’S PICK –  PASCAL SIAKAM OVER 21.5 POINTS

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PLAYER PROP PARLAY

• UTAH VS DENVER – JAMAL MURRAY OVER 26.5 POINTS
• TORONTO VS BOSTON – PASCAL SIAKAM OVER 21.5 POINTS

ODDS – $3.65

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TORONTO VS BOSTON

OPENING GAME

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

• Jayson Tatum has 28+ points in 5 of his last 6 games. (26.5)
• Marcus Smart has 14+ points in 4 of his last 5 games with the Celtics as underdogs. (12.5)
• Fred VanVleet has 22+ points in 4 of the Raptors’ last 5 playoff games. (18.5)
• Jaylen Brown has 3+ three-pointers in 5 of his last 6 games with the Celtics as underdogs. (2.5)
• Kyle Lowry has 7+ assists in 6 of the Raptors’ last 7 games against the Celtics. (6.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

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MATCHUP TRENDS

• Celtics are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/- 

PICKS ATS

Toronto were the first team to publicly state the idea of a boycott when guards Fred VanVleet and Norman Powell spoke to the media about how the shooting of Jacob Blake was affecting players.

If the Celtics and Raptors do take the court, it would be the 5th meeting between them this season, with Boston winning three of the four matchups, including a 122-100 win in the bubble on Aug. 7th.

Celtics have the recent wood over the Raps, but a tough bet.

Trends lean heavily to Unders, but would mind a few extra points over the 216.5.

PICK  –  NO BET

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DALLAS VS LA CLIPPERS

SERIES TIED 2-2

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

• Kawhi Leonard has 32+ points in the Clippers’ last 4 games. (31.5)
• Marcus Morris Sr. has 14+ points in 7 of his last 9 playoff games. (13.5)
• Paul George has 8+ rebounds in 3 of the Clippers’ last 4 games. (6.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

TREND BET

DALLAS VS LA CLIPPERS

DALLAS

• Over is 12-2 in last 14 games vs teams above .600.
• Over is 18-7-1 in last 26 playoff games as an underdog.
• Over is 38-18 in last 56 games playing on 1 days rest.
• Over is 4-0 in last 4 overall.

LA CLIPPERS

• Over is 4-0 in last 4 games as a favorite.
• Over is 16-5 in last 21 vs teams above .500.
• Over is 4-0 in last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.
• Over is 4-0 in last 4 overall.

MATCHUP

• Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

TREND BET – OVER 236.5 TOTAL POINTS

MATCHUP TRENDS

• Clippers are 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/- 

PICKS ATS

The Clippers restored order in Game 5, powering to a 154-111 win to take a 3-2 series lead, setting a franchise record for points in a playoff game.

PG13 finally found his groove, making 12 of 18 shots, including 4 of 8 from 3-point range, and scored 35 points. He admitted to emerging from mental struggles that had developed since being confined to the Bubble.

Doncic did all he could in Game 5, but shot just 6 of 17 from the floor and scored 22 points. He is listed as questionable in connection with his left ankle sprain from Game 3, but should suit up. The Clippers’ Marcus Morris Sr. stepped on Doncic’s bad ankle in Game 5 and took to social media to say “it was a mistake,” then refusing to apologize.

“I don’t want to talk to him,” Doncic said after the game. “He’s just saying a lot of bad stuff to me all game. Just, I don’t want to talk to him. I just got to move on. Like I said, everyone is going to have their own opinion and I just hope it wasn’t intentional. If that was intentional, that’s really bad.”

Big shots and bad blood have overshadowed the performance of Kawhi, who has averaged 32.8 ppg while shooting 52.3% overall.

Still no Porzingis, who will miss the remainder of this series.

Trends scream for Overs.

PICK – OVER 236.5 TOTAL POINTS

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UTAH VS DENVER

UTAH LEAD 3-2

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

• Nikola Jokic has 28+ points in 7 of the Nuggets’ last 8 games against the Jazz. (26.5)
• Mike Conley has 24+ points in 7 of his last 8 playoff games. (18.5)
• Jordan Clarkson has 18+ points in 4 of the Jazz’s last 5 games in the Bubble. (17.5)
• Donovan Mitchell has 4+ three-pointers in 5 of the Jazz’s last 6 games against the Nuggets. (3.5)
• Joe Ingles has 6+ assists in 11 of the Jazz’s last 13 games against the Nuggets. (5.5)
• Jamal Murray has 31+ points in 3 of the Nuggets’ last 4 games as underdogs against the Jazz. (26.5)
• Michael Porter Jr. has 2+ three-pointers in 8 of his last 12 games. (1.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

TREND BET

DENVER VS UTAH

DENVER

• Over is 5-0 in last 5 games vs teams above .600.
• Over is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams above .500.
• Over is 9-1 in last 10 games as an underdog.
• Over is 8-1 in last 9 playoff games as an underdog.
• Over is 16-5-1 in last 22 games playing on 1 days rest.
• Over is 19-6-1 in last 26 overall.

UTAH

• Over is 5-1 in last 6 games as a favorite.
• Over is 6-1 in last 7 games vs teams above .600.
• Over is 5-1 in last 6 games vs teams above .500.
• Over is 7-1 in last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.
• Over is 9-2 in last 11 overall.

MATCHUP

• Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

TREND BET –  OVER 218.5 TOTAL POINTS

MATCHUP TRENDS

• Nuggets are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
• Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/- 

PICKS ATS

Denver are still alive alive  thanks to Jamal Murray and Nikola Jokic’s Game 5 efforts. The Nuggets rallied from a 15-point deficit in the 3rd quarter to win, 117-107.

Murray and Jokic took turns dominating Game 5. Jokic scoring 21 points on a perfect 8-of-8 shooting in the 1st quarter. Then, Murray took over after halftime, pouring out 33 of his game-high 42 points over the final two quarters, hitting 14 of 18 shots over the last 24 minutes.

Utah will need similar heroics from someone other than Donovan Mitchell if the Jazz hope to end proceedings. Utah’s role players were nothing short of traffic cones in Game 5.

Mitchell has been excellent, averaging 37.6 ppg in the series at 54.5% from the floor and averaging 5.6 assists.

In their three wins, Utah have made 45% or better from the perimeter and averaged 17.3 made 3-pointers.

PICK  –  OVER 218.5 TOTAL POINTS