FREE NBA PLAYOFF PICKS
*Original NBA Playoff picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.
DP’S PLAYER PROP
SEASON RECORD: 55-32
Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop.
LA LAKERS VS PORTLAND
This game has the potential for many individual props to win on the overs – but to be sure of a genuine banker, I’m going to play the rebounds market.
Whilst this game presents as a high scoring game with the total marked up at 230 – we have seen in each of Portland’s past two games (all being shootouts) the opposing center has had a field day on the glass: Valanciunas 17 and Allen 11.
LeBron will steer the ship, whilst AD looks to stretch Nurkic like some of his counterparts have done over the past few games. The Trail Blazers will also be within the services of Zach Collins which should pave the way for an armchair 11+ rebound game.
DP’S PICK – ANTHONY DAVIS OVER 10.5 REBOUNDS
NBA PARLAY
- INDIANA VS MIAMI – OVER 215.5 TOTAL POINTS
- LA LAKERS VS PORTLAND – OVER 228.5 TOTAL POINTS
ODDS – $3.67
TREND BETS
HOUSTON VS OKLAHOMA CITY
HOUSTON
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 vs teams above .500.
- Under is 6-1 in last 7 overall.
- Under is 46-20-1 in last 67 games vs teams above .600.
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 games as an underdog.
OKLAHOMA CITY
- Under is 7-2 in last 9 games vs teams above .600.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams above .500.
- Under is 38-16 in last 54 games playing on 3+ days rest.
MATCHUP
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
TREND BET – UNDER 225.5 TOTAL POINTS
*Strongest trend bet of the night. If trends are your thing, this is your pick.
MILWAUKEE VS ORLANDO
GAME 1
MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS
- Magic are 2-5-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
- Under is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 09.02.20 | ORL | MIL | 95 : 111 |
| 29.12.19 | MIL | ORL | 111 : 100 |
| 10.12.19 | MIL | ORL | 110 : 101 |
| 02.11.19 | ORL | MIL | 91 : 123 |
PLAYER BETTING TRENDS
- Brook Lopez has 17+ points in 5 of his last 6 games. (14.5)
- Eric Bledsoe has 6+ assists in his last 3 games against the Magic. (5.5)
- Giannis Antetokounmpo has 32+ points in 5 of his last 7 games. (31.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| MIL | 56 | 17 | 30-5 | 26-12 |
| ORL | 33 | 40 | 18-17 | 15-23 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT.AV |
| MIL | 118.7 | 108.6 | +10.1 | 227.3 |
| ORL | 107.3 | 108.3 | -1.0 | 215.6 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| MIL | UNDER | ORL |
| -10.5 | 224.5 | 122-110 |
The 8th-seed Magic went 3-5 in the bubble and lost Jonathan Isaac to a knee injury. On Thursday, Orlando ended a 5-game losing streak with a 133-127 win over New Orleans.
The Bucks won a league-best 56 regular season games and come into the postseason with plenty of queries. The Bucks led the league defensively, but their inability to defend the 3-point has been a worry in the bubble.
Orlando’s Aaron Gordon (hamstring) has missed the last 4 games, but should to be ready for Game 1. The Magic will look to exploit their weakness defending the three-point line.
Overs tempting, but the season series only brought totals of 211, 206, 211 & 214.
PICKS – MILWAUKEE -10.5
INDIANA VS MIAMI
GAME 1
MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS
- Heat are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 15.08.20 | IND | MIA | 109 : 92 |
| 11.08.20 | MIA | IND | 114 : 92 |
| 09.01.20 | IND | MIA | 108 : 122 |
| 28.12.19 | MIA | IND | 113 : 112 |
PLAYER BETTING TRENDS
- Goran Dragic has 14 points or less in 4 of his last 5 games against the Pacers. (15.5)
- Tyler Herro has 16+ points in the Heat’s last five games. (12.5)
- T.J. Warren has 32+ points in 4 of his last 6 games. (22.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| IND | 45 | 28 | 25-11 | 20-17 |
| MIA | 44 | 29 | 29-7 | 15-22 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT.AV |
| IND | 109.4 | 107.5 | +1.9 | 216.9 |
| MIA | 112.0 | 109.1 | +2.9 | 221.1 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| IND | OVER | MIA |
| +4.5 | 215.5 | 113-101 |
Miami finished 5th in the West after it’s 109-92 loss to the Pacers in the final game of the seeding schedule. However, most of the starters for both teams sat out.
With a win over Miami on Friday, Indiana took 4th spot in the East.
Miami went 3-1 in the season series, however, the Heat have failed to cover 6 of the last 8 against the Pacers and 4 of their last 5 overall. Indiana have has covered 6 of their last 8 and have won 12 of its last 16 games straight up.
Pacers are value here.
PICK – INDIANA +4.5 & OVER 215.5 TOTAL POINTS
HOUSTON VS OKLAHOMA CITY
GAME 1
MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
- Thunder are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 21.01.20 | HOU | OKC | 107 : 112 |
| 10.01.20 | OKC | HOU | 113 : 92 |
| 29.10.19 | HOU | OKC | 116 : 112 |
PLAYER BETTING TRENDS
- Steven Adams has 10 rebounds or less in 28 of his 30 last games against the Rockets. (10.5)
- Robert Covington has 12 points or less in the Rockets’ last 6 games. (13.5)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has 20+ points in 3 of his last 4 games against the Rockets. (19.5)
- Chris Paul has 9+ assists in 9 of his last 12 games against the Rockets. (7.5)
- James Harden has 39+ points in 4 of the Rockets’ last 6 games against the Thunder. (36.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| HOU | 44 | 28 | 24-12 | 20-16 |
| OKC | 44 | 28 | 23-14 | 21-14 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT.AV |
| HOU | 117.8 | 114.8 | +3.0 | 232.6 |
| OKC | 110.4 | 108.4 | +2.0 | 218.8 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| OKC | UNDER | HOU |
| -1.5 | 225.5 | 123-108 |
The Thunder and Rockets both finished the season with records of 44-28. Since the restart, the Thunder are 4-4 straight up and against the spread. In the final game of the seeding schedule, Oklahoma City lost to the Clippers 107-103.
Houston also went 4-4 straight up and against the spread in its seeding games. The Rockets lost to Philadelphia 76ers 134-96 in the final game of the regular season.
OKC have the wood over the Rockets going 2-1 in the season series and are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings against the Rockets.
Westbrook (quadriceps) is officially listed as out.
PICK – UNDER 225.5 TOTAL POINTS
LA LAKERS VS PORTLAND
GAME 1
MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS
- Trail Blazers are 46-22 ATS in the last 68 meetings.
- Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 01.02.20 | LAL | POR | 119 : 127 |
| 29.12.19 | POR | LAL | 120 : 128 |
| 07.12.19 | POR | LAL | 113 : 136 |
PLAYER BETTING TRENDS
- Jusuf Nurkic has 11+ rebounds in his last 5 games with the Blazers as underdogs against Western opponents. (10.5)
- Damian Lillard has 42+ points in the Blazers’ last 4 night games. (35.5)
- Anthony Davis has 12+ rebounds in his last 4 playoff games. (10.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| LAL | 52 | 19 | 25-10 | 27-9 |
| POR | 35 | 39 | 21-15 | 14-24 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT.AV |
| LAL | 113.4 | 107.6 | +5.8 | 221.0 |
| POR | 115.0 | 116.1 | -1.1 | 231.1 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| POR | OVER | LAL |
| +5.5 | 228.5 | 100-93 |
Portland beat the Grizzlies 126-122 on Saturday in their play-in game to have the right to face the Lakers as the 8th seed in the West. Since the restart in late July, Portland are 7-2 straight up and 5-3-1 ATS.
The Lakers finished the regular season as the No. 1 seed in the West with a record of 52-19 which was 3.5 games ahead of Clippers. Since the restart, the Lakers are 3-5 straight up and 1-7 ATS. The Lakers clinched top spot early in the bubble and used that to rest their roster during the final seeding games.
Hard to get a good read on the Lakers given their lineups being so inconsistent in the bubble, and perhaps a few internal dramas.
PICK – OVER 228.5 TOTAL POINTS
