FREE NBA PICKS – 11/8/20

FREE NBA PICKS TONIGHT

*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.


DP’S PLAYER PROP

SEASON RECORD: 57-34

BOSTON VS MEMPHIS

The ever consistent two-guard for the Boston Celtics will fine tune his craft against the Memphis Grizzlies in what should be a great hit out for the C’s before Stevens rests all starters in their final regular season game against the Wizards.

Jaylen has totalled 19 or more in 5 of his 6 games in the bubble whilst making 3 or more 3’s in also 5 of 6 games.

Don’t let these numbers rattle you, rather encourage what should be another solid outing. Dillon Brooks is not a great transition defender, so I expect JB to get to the cup on the fast-break.

DP’S PICK – JAYLEN BROWN OVER 18.5 POINTS


PARLAY

  • BOSTON VS MEMPHIS – BOSTON WIN
  • DALLAS VS PORTLAND – PORTLAND WIN
  • WASHINGTON VS MILWAUKEE – MILWAUKEE WIN

ODDS – $3.58 – WIN


TREND BETS

DALLAS VS PORTLAND

DALLAS

  • Over is 5-0 in last 5 vs teams below .500.
  • Over is 20-8 in last 28 home games vs teams with a losing road record.
  • Over is 4-0 in last 4 games as an underdog.
  • Over is 4-0 in last 4 games following a straight up win.

PORTLAND

  • Over is 4-0 in last 4 vs teams above .500.
  • Over is 22-8 in last 30 overall.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Over is 4-0 in last 4 games as a favorite.
  • Over is 4-0 in last 4 games following a ATS win.

MATCHUP

  • Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

TREND BET – OVER 231.5 TOTAL POINTS – WIN

*Strongest trend bet of the night. If trends are your thing, this is your pick.


ORLANDO VS BROOKLYN

MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS

  • Nets are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Over is 9-4-1 in the last 14 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
01.08.20 BKN ORL 118 : 128
25.02.20 BKN ORL 113 : 115
07.01.20 ORL BKN 101 : 89

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

  • Nikola Vucevic has 12+ rebounds in 5 of the Magic’s last 7 games against the Nets. (11.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
ORL 32 39 17-16 15-23
BKN 34 36 20-15 14-21

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV
ORL 107.1 108.0 -0.9 215.1
BKN 111.5 112.3 -0.8 223.8

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
BKN UNDER BKN
+6.5 223.5 108-96

The Nets have won 2-straight and will play Toronto in the 1st round of the Playoffs. Brooklyn pushed out to a 21-point lead early and held on late for a 129-120 win against the Clippers on Sunday.

Orlando lost Jonathan Isaac to a knee injury and come into this looking to end a 4-game losing streak after being unable to make the plays down the stretch of a 122-119 overtime loss to Boston on Sunday.

Orlando F Aaron Gordon (hamstring) and G Evan Fournier (illness) are doubtful.

PICKS  – BROOKLYN +6.5


SAN ANTONIO VS HOUSTON

MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS

  • Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
17.12.19 HOU SAS 109 : 107
04.12.19 SAS HOU 135 : 133
(115 : 115)

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

  • Russell Westbrook has 9+ rebounds in his last 11 games against the Spurs. (7.5)
  • Ben McLemore has 20 points in the Rockets’ last 2 games. (14.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
SAS 31 38 18-15 13-23
HOU 44 25 24-10 20-15

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV
SAS 114.0 115.3 -1.3 229.3
HOU 118.5 114.6 +3.9 233.1

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
HOU OVER SAS
-2.5 231.5 123-105

The Rockets look for their 3rd-straight win after beating the Kings 129-112 on Sunday. Austin Rivers set a new career-high by scoring 41 points as a reserve as Houston outscored Sacramento 32-15 in the 3rd quarter to open the floodgates.

San Antonio looks for its 3rd-straight win also after knocking off New Orleans 122-113 on Sunday. DeMar DeRozan led with 27 points. The Spurs moved past Phoenix into 10th spot in the West and trail 9th placed Portland by just a 1/2 game in its attempt to reach the postseason.

The Spurs are fighting for their playoff life. While Houston have an outside chance at catching Denver for 3rd place in the West.

The two series matchups this season have ended in a Spurs OT win and a Houston 109-107 win.

PICK  – OVER 231.5 TOTAL POINTS


PHILADELPHIA VS PHOENIX

MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS

  • Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
05.11.19 PHX PHI 114 : 109

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

  • Devin Booker has 32+ points in the Suns’ last 5 games against the 76ers. (29.5)
  • Deandre Ayton has 13+ rebounds in 5 of the Suns’ last 6 games against Atlantic opponents. (11.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
PHI 42 28 31-2 11-26
PHX 32 39 16-22 16-17

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV
PHI 110.2 108.0 +2.2 218.2
PHX 113.2 113.5 -0.3 226.7

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
PHI OVER PHX
+8.5 223.5 130-117

The Suns are on a back-to-back after pushing their streak to 6-0 with a 128-101 victory over the Thunder last night in another impressive display that we again did not expect.

Philadelphia are in 6th spot in the East but trail both the 4th and 5th place teams by just 1 game and could move as high as 4th place with a win here. The 76ers lost to Portland 124-121 on Sunday for their 2nd loss in 5 seeding games.

Fool us again Phoenix, we dare you.

PICK  – OVER 223.5 TOTAL POINTS


MEMPHIS VS BOSTON

MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS

  • Celtics are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
  • Over is 21-5 in the last 26 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
23.01.20 BOS MEM 119 : 95

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

  • Jonas Valanciunas has 13 points or less in 8 of his last 9 games against the Celtics. (15.5)
  • Dillon Brooks has 22+ points in the Grizzlies’ last 3 games. (19.5)
  • Jayson Tatum has 28+ points in 7 of the Celtics’ last 9 games against Western opponents. (22.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
MEM 33 38 19-16 14-22
BOS 47 23 26-9 21-14

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV
MEM 112.6 113.7 -1.1 226.3
BOS 113.9 107.5 +6.4 221.4

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
BOS UNDER BOS
-4.0 224.5 122-107

The Celtics look for their 4th-straight win after beating the Magic 122-119 on Sunday. Gordon Hayward made 3 free throws to put Boston ahead in OT for a gritty win against the Magic. Boston are assured to finish 3rd in the East.

Memphis fell to Toronto 108-99 and have lost 4 of their 6 games in the bubble. Memphis are in the 8th and final spot of the West but only 1 ½ Games separate the Grizzlies and the 11th place Suns. Memphis must win here and win their final seeding game to guarantee a play-in game against one of the other three teams.

Memphis have won just 1 of its first 6 seeding games and are in danger of falling out of the playoffs. The Grizzlies have failed to cover 6 of their last 7. Boston has covered the spread in 6 of its last 8 against Memphis

PICK  – BOSTON -4.0


DALLAS VS PORTLAND

MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS

  • Trail Blazers are 7-21 ATS in the last 28 meetings.
  • Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
24.01.20 POR DAL 125 : 133
18.01.20 DAL POR 120 : 112
28.10.19 DAL POR 119 : 121

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

  • Damian Lillard has 33+ points in 3 of the Trail Blazers’ last 4 games against the Mavericks. (30.5)
  • Carmelo Anthony has 20+ points in the Trail Blazers’ last 2 games. (14.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
DAL 43 30 20-17 23-13
POR 33 39 21-15 12-24

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV
DAL 117.0 111.5 +5.5 228.5
POR 114.4 115.7 -1.3 230.1

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
POR OVER POR
-1.5 231.5 134-131

Portland moved to within a 1/2 game of the 8th placed Grizzlies after a 124-121 win on Sunday over Philadelphia. Lillard led Portland with 51 points as the Blazers battle for the 8th and final playoff spot in the West.

Dallas are on a back-to-back after a 122-114 comeback win over Utah last night. Dallas came up big in the 4th quarter, pouring in a 34-14 point quarter to overcome the Jazz.

The Blazers must win here to either move into 8th spot or remain in 9th place in the West.

PICK  – PORTLAND -1.5 & OVER 231.5 TOTAL POINTS


SACRAMENTO VS NEW ORLEANS

MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS

  • Over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings.
  • Pelicans are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
07.08.20 SAC NOR 140 : 125
05.01.20 SAC NOR 115 : 117

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
SAC 29 41 15-19 14-22
NOR 30 40 15-21 15-19

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV
SAC 109.7 112.1 -2.4 221.8
NOR 115.8 117.0 -1.2 232.8

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
SAC UNDER SAC
+1.0 230.5 112-106

The Pelicans lost to the Spurs 122-113 on Sunday and were knocked out of the post-season. JJ Reddick with 31 points, while Zion Williamson scored 25.

Sacramento lost its 2nd-straight after losing to Houston 129-112 on Sunday. De’Aaron Fox led the Kings in the loss with 26 points.

Both teams have been eliminated from playoff contention in the West, which could either mean a lot of points or none.

PICK  – SACRAMENTO +1.0


WASHINGTON VS MILWAUKEE

MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS

  • Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
25.02.20 WAS MIL 134 : 137
(123 : 123)
29.01.20 MIL WAS 151 : 131

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

  • Troy Brown Jr. has 8+ rebounds in 4 of the Wizards’ last 5 games. (6.5)
  • Thomas Bryant has 19+ points in 4 of the Wizards’ last 5 games. (16.5)
  • Rui Hachimura has 12 points or less in 8 of the Wizards’ last 10 games. (15.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
WAS 24 46 16-19 8-27
MIL 55 16 30-5 25-11

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV
WAS 114.7 119.4 -4.7 234.1
MIL 118.7 108.4 +10.3 227.1

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
MIL OVER MIL
-7.0 229.5 126-113

The Bucks will complete a back-to-back after a 114-106 loss to the Raptors last night, without Giannis. Milwaukee has clinched 1st spot in the East and it’s stars will see less limited game time over their last 2 seeding games.

The Wizards have one foot out the door after being eliminated from playoff contention in the East. Players will be looking to solidify their contracts for next season over the remaining games. Washington has lost all 6 games since entering the bubble, their most recent loss a 121-103 set back to OKC.

Another garbage betting situation, but the Bucks should be looking to regain some swagger.

PICK  – MILWAUKEE -7.0