FREE NBA TIPS – 4/8/20

FREE NBA PICKS

*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.


DP’S NBA PLAYER PROP

SEASON RECORD: 55-31

SACRAMENTO VS DALLAS

The Mavericks are desperate for a win to avoid finishing as the 7th seed which ultimately will result in a first round match up with the Clippers.

Hardaway Jr gets an extremely good look against a Kings outfit who struggle to defend the perimeter.

The Kings look like a mess on the defensive end and I expect the Mavs to exploit them from the get-go.

DP’S PICK – TIM HARDAWAY JR OVER 14.5 POINTS – WIN

NBA PARLAY

  • HOUSTON VS PORTLAND – PORTLAND WIN
  • SACRAMENTO VS DALLAS – DALLAS WIN
  • MIAMI VS BOSTON – UNDER 223.5 TOTAL POINTS

ODDS – $3.35 – WIN


TREND BET

PHOENIX VS LA CLIPPERS

LA CLIPPERS

  • 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs teams below .500.
  • 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
  • 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
  • 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 2 days rest.

PHOENIX

  • 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs teams above .600.

MATCHUP

  • Suns are 2-9 ATS in the last 11 meetings.

TREND BET – LA CLIPPERS -9.0

*Strongest trend bet of the night. If trends are your thing, this is your pick.


MILWAUKEE VS BROOKLYN

MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS

  • Nets are 9-27-1 ATS in the last 37 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
19.01.20 BKN MIL 97 : 117

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
MIL 54 13 28-3 25-9
BKN 31 35 18-14 12-20

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
MIL 118.6 107.6 +11.0 226.2
BKN 111.0 111.6 -0.6 222.6

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PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
BKN BKN
+17.5 TBC 119-116

The Nets are missing key players and trail Orlando by a 1/2  game for 8th place in the East standings. On Sunday, they outscored the Wizards by 10 points during the 4th quarter on the way to a 118-110 win.

The Bucks have split their last 10, but were unable to make the plays down the stretch of a 120-116 loss against Houston on Sunday.

Caris LeVert (thigh) and F Joe Harris (back) are both expected to miss, which should make it an easy night for the Bucks.

Given the chances of the Bucks sitting down the stretch, the -17.5 is way too high.

PICK  – NO BET

IF YOU MUST – BROOKLYN +17.5


SACRAMENTO VS DALLAS

MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS

  • Mavericks are 1-4-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
  • Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
13.02.20 DAL SAC 130 : 111
16.01.20 SAC DAL 123 : 127
09.12.19 DAL SAC 106 : 110

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

  • Buddy Hield has 17+ points in the Kings’ last 6 games against the Mavericks. (14.5)
  • Luka Doncic has 28 points or less in 5 of the Mavericks’ last 6 games against the Kings. (30.5)
  • Kristaps Porzingis has 11+ rebounds in 7 of his last 9 games. (10.5)
  • Bogdan Bogdanovic has four or more assists in 6 of the Kings’ last 9 games. (2.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
SAC 28 38 14-17 14-19
DAL 40 29 19-15 21-12

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
SAC 109.3 111.5 -2.2 220.8
DAL 116.8 111.0 +5.8 227.8

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
DAL UNDER DAL
-5.5 237.5 114-110

The Mavs look to snap a 2-game losing streak after losing their 2nd straight on Sunday to the Phoenix Suns 117-115.

The Kings also look to snap a 2-game losing streak after falling behind big early, eventually losing 132-116 to the Magic on Sunday.

Like Dallas to finally hit their strides tonight.

Unders best.

PICK  – DALLAS WIN & UNDER 237.5 TOTAL POINTS


LA CLIPPERS VS PHOENIX

MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS

  • Suns are 2-9 ATS in the last 11 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
27.02.20 PHO LAC 92 : 102
18.12.19 LAC PHO 120 : 99
27.10.19 PHO LAC 130 : 122

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

  • Marcus Morris Sr. has 16+ points in each of his last 10 games against the Suns. (11.5)
  • Kawhi Leonard has 6 rebounds or less in the Clippers’ last 5 games. (6.5)
  • Devin Booker has 27+ points in the Suns’ last four games. (26.5)
  • Ivica Zubac has 6 points or less in the Clippers’ last 4 games. (8.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
LAC 45 21 25-7 19-13
PHO 28 39 13-22 13-17

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
LAC 116.1 109.5 +6.6 225.6
PHO 112.8 113.9 -1.1 226.7

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
LAC OVER PHO
-9.0 229.5 117-115

Phoenix killed our parlay on Sunday after pulling away from a Dallas double digit half time lead. So our eyes are not keen on this one.

Not liking the line either way here, so we’ll take the Overs with the Suns 9th in pace and the Clippers 8th in the league in pace of play.

PICK  – OVER 229.5 TOTAL POINTS


INDIANA VS ORLANDO

MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS

  • Magic are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
24.11.19 IND ORL 111 : 106
11.11.19 ORL IND 102 : 109

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

  • Evan Fournier has 19+ points in 5 of the Magic’s last 6 games against Eastern teams. (16.5)
  • Aaron Gordon has 4+ assists in 15 of his last 17 games. (3.5)
  • T.J. Warren has 34+ points in the Pacers’ last 2 games. (23.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
IND 41 26 21-11 18-15
ORL 32 35 16-15 14-20

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
IND 109.6 107.5 +2.1 217.1
ORL 107.1 107.6 -0.5 214.7

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
IND IND
-2.0 TBC 120-109

The Magic go for their 3rd straight win after beating the Kings 132-116 on Sunday and are in 7th place in the East, just a 1/2 -game in front of the 8th placed Nets.

The Pacers play the 2nd half of a B2B tonight after 111-100 a win over the Wizards yesterday and are 5th in the East, 2 games behind 4th placed Miami.

Orlando are the surprise packets in the restart, and have covered in each of their last 6 and in 9 of their last 10.

The Pacers are 2-0 in the season series.

PICK  – INDIANA -2.0


MIAMI VS BOSTON

MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS

  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
29.01.20 MIA BOS 101 : 109
05.12.19 BOS MIA 112 : 93

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

  • Jayson Tatum has 20 points or less in his 8 previous games against the Heat. (22.5)
  • Bam Adebayo has 11+ rebounds in 5 of the Heat’s last 6 games as underdogs. (10.5)
  • Gordon Hayward has 22+ points in the Celtics’ last 3 games as favorites. (15.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
MIA 42 25 27-5 14-19
BOS 44 22 23-9 20-12

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
MIA 112.2 108.8 +3.4 221.0
BOS 113.2 107.3 +5.9 220.5

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
MIA UNDER MIA
+3.5 223.5 112-106

Love the Unders here with Celtics 18th in the league in pace and the Heat 27th.

PICK  – UNDER 223.5 TOTAL POINTS


PORTLAND VS HOUSTON

MATCHUP BETTING TRENDS

  • Rockets are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
  • Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
30.01.20 POR HOU 125 : 112
16.01.20 HOU POR 107 : 117
19.11.19 HOU POR 132 : 108

PLAYER BETTING TRENDS

  • C.J. McCollum has 27+ points in 5 of the Blazers’ last 6 games as underdogs. (24.5)
  • Russell Westbrook has 31+ points in 15 of his last 22 games. (30.5)
  • Damian Lillard has 11+ assists in 3 of the Blazers’ last 4 games against the Rockets. (8.5)
  • James Harden has 18 points or less in the Rockets’ last 2 games against the Blazers. (34.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
POR 30 38 18-14 11-23
HOU 42 24 22-10 18-14

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
POR 114.2 115.7 -1.5 229.9
HOU 118.7 114.9 +3.8 233.6

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
POR OVER POR
+4.0 244.5 110-104

The Rockets look for their 3rd straight win since returning after defeated the Bucks 120-116 on Sunday and moved to within 1 game of the 3rd-place Nuggets in the Western standings.

Portland was dealt a blow to its postseason hopes after a 128-124 loss on Sunday to the Celtics. They are behind the 8th place Grizzlies by 2.5  games with 6 games to play.

Overs looks to be the play here, and the bookies have set a huge line at 244.5.

PICK  – PORTLAND +4.0