FREE NBA TIPS
*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.
DP’S PLAYER PROP
SEASON RECORD: 48-31
Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop, exclusive to subscribers.
DETROIT @ SACRAMENTO
Well, I hope everyone enjoyed the spoils with the Rockets getting the road win and RoCo bringing in 16 rebounds, to sail past the 6.5 on offer.
Moving onto tonight, my attention turns towards the Sacramento Kings who have won 7 of their past 10 games.
Luke Walton has clearly made clear his preferred rotations and whilst they are winning, I think we can benefit with another winning prop.
Nemanja Bjelica has all the tools to post over his prop total of 11.5 courtesy of that lethal deep 3 is he capable of making connecting on 46% throughout February. He is also playing 30 minutes per game on 9 shot attempts. With Walton rotating the backcourt far more than the front court, I have far more trust in the consistencies shown in Bjelica’s stats that give me the green light.
DP’S PICK – Nemanja Bjelica Over 11.5 Points
NBA PARLAY
PARLAY
- CHARLOTTE @ MILWAUKEE – MILWAUKEE -10.5
- DALLAS @ MINNESOTA – DALLAS WIN
- DETROIT @ SACRAMENTO – SACRAMENTO WIN
PARLAY ODDS – $3.41
TREND BET
DALLAS @ MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVES TRENDS
- 17-35-1 ATS in last 53 games overall.
- 17-35-1 ATS in last 53 home games.
- 1-5 ATS in last 6 games as a home underdog.
- 1-6 ATS in last 7 home games vs teams with a winning road record.
MAVERICKS TRENDS
- 16-4-1 ATS in last 21 games as a road favorite.
- 8-3-2 ATS in last 13 games vs teams below .400.
- 33-15-3 ATS in last 51 road games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Mavericks are 16-7 ATS in the last 23 meetings in Minnesota.
- Mavericks are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
TREND BET – DALLAS -6.5 – WIN
*Strongest trend bet of the night. If trends are your thing, this is your pick.
CHARLOTTE @ MILWAUKEE
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Bucks are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Charlotte.
- Bucks are 2-6-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 25.01.20 | CHA | MIL | 103 : 116 |
| 01.12.19 | MIL | CHA | 137 : 96 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- P.J. Washington has seven or more rebounds in six of his last seven games at Spectrum Center. (5.5)
- Giannis Antetokounmpo has 16+ rebounds in nine of his last 11 games. (tbc)
- Miles Bridges has 17+ points in each of the Hornets’ last three games against Central opponents. (15.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| CHA | 21 | 38 | 9-18 | 12-20 |
| MIL | 51 | 8 | 27-3 | 24-5 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| CHA | 102.2 | 109.7 | -7.5 | 211.9 |
| MIL | 120.0 | 107.2 | +12.8 | 227.2 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| MIL | Under | MIL |
| -10.5 | 220.5 | 93-85 |
PICK – MILWAUKEE -10.5
PHILADELPHIA @ LA CLIPPERS
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in L.A..
- Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
- 76ers are 8-0 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 12.02.20 | PHI | LAC | 110 : 103 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Kawhi Leonard has 29+ points in seven of his last eight games against the 76ers. (24.5)
Tobias Harris has 22+ points in each of the 76ers’ last three games with Joel Embiid out. (20.5)
Josh Richardson has 17+ points in each of his last three games against the Clippers. (14.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| PHI | 37 | 23 | 28-2 | 9-21 |
| LAC | 40 | 19 | 24-6 | 16-13 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| PHI | 108.7 | 106.5 | +2.2 | 215.2 |
| LAC | 115.9 | 109.7 | +6.2 | 225.6 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| LAC | Under | LAC |
| -13.0 | 218.5 | 136-130 |
PICK – Under 218.5
DALLAS @ MINNESOTA
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Mavericks are 16-7 ATS in the last 23 meetings in Minnesota.
- Under is 19-7 in the last 26 meetings in Minnesota.
- Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
- Mavericks are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 25.02.20 | DAL | MIN | 139 : 123 |
| 05.12.19 | DAL | MIN | 121 : 114 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- D’Angelo Russell has 27+ points in each of the Timberwolves’ last three games. (24.5)
- Malik Beasley has 23+ points in each of the Timberwolves’ last three home games. (18.5)
- Juan Hernangomez has 14+ points in each of the Timberwolves’ last three home games. (10.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| DAL | 36 | 24 | 16-14 | 20-10 |
| MIN | 17 | 41 | 7-21 | 10-20 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| DAL | 116.7 | 110.7 | +6.0 | 227.4 |
| MIN | 113.2 | 117.3 | -4.1 | 230.5 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| DAL | Over | DAL |
| -6.5 | 237.0 | 111-91 |
PICK – Over 237.0
TORONTO @ DENVER
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Raptors are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Denver.
- Raptors are 7-20 ATS in the last 27 meetings.
- Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Denver.
- Over is 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings.
PLAYER TRENDS
- Pascal Siakam has 14 points or less in each of his five previous games against the Nuggets. (TBC)
- Nikola Jokic has 24+ points in each of the Nuggets’ last five day games. (21.5)
- Jamal Murray has six or more assists in each of the Nuggets’ last five home games. (4.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| TOR | 42 | 17 | 23-9 | 19-8 |
| DEN | 40 | 19 | 23-7 | 17-12 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| TOR | 112.7 | 106.0 | +6.7 | 218.7 |
| DEN | 110.5 | 107.2 | +3.3 | 217.7 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| TOR | Under | DEN |
| +5.0 | 217.5 | 133-118 |
PICK – Toronto +5.0
DETROIT @ SACRAMENTO
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Pistons are 2-5-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
- Pistons are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Sacramento.
- Under is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings.
- Under is 13-3-1 in the last 17 meetings in Sacramento.
SEASON SERIES
| 23.01.20 | DET | SAC | 127 : 106 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- De’Aaron Fox has eight or more assists in each of his last six home games against Eastern opponents. (6.5)
- Christian Wood has 20+ points in four of the Pistons’ last five road games. (18.5)
- Derrick Rose has 22+ points in each of his last four games against Pacific opponents. (20.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| DET | 20 | 41 | 11-20 | 9-21 |
| SAC | 25 | 34 | 12-15 | 13-19 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| DET | 107.8 | 110.9 | -3.1 | 218.7 |
| SAC | 108.3 | 110.5 | -2.2 | 218.8 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| SAC | Over | SAC |
| -7.5 | 216.5 | 106-100 |
PICK – Sacramento -7.5
LA LAKERS @ NEW ORLEANS
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Lakers are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in New Orleans.
- Lakers are 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
- Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.
- Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in New Orleans.
SEASON SERIES
| 26.02.20 | LAL | NOR | 118 : 109 |
| 04.01.20 | LAL | NOR | 123 : 113 |
| 28.11.19 | NOR | LAL | 110 : 114 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Zion Williamson has 28+ points in four of the Pelicans’ last five games against Western opponents. (24.5)
- Jrue Holiday has nine or more assists in six of the Pelicans’ last seven games. (7.5)
- Anthony Davis has 36.0 points in his three previous games against the Pelicans. (TBC)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| LAL | 45 | 13 | 21-7 | 24-6 |
| NOR | 26 | 33 | 12-17 | 14-16 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| LAL | 114.4 | 107.0 | +7.4 | 221.4 |
| NOR | 115.8 | 116.8 | -1.0 | 232.6 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| NOR | Over | LAL |
| +2.0 | 234.5 | 122-114 |
PICK – New Orleans +2.0
WASHINGTON @ GOLDEN STATE
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 04.02.20 | WAS | GSW | 117 : 125 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Shabazz Napier has five or more assists in 11 of his last 12 games as a starter. (4.5)
- Rui Hachimura has seven or more rebounds in each of the Wizards’ last four games against Pacific opponents. (6.5)
- Bradley Beal has 36+ points in six of the Wizards’ last seven road games. (34.5)
- Shabazz Napier has five or more assists in 11 of his last 12 games as a starter. (4.5)
- Davis Bertans has 16+ points in four of the Wizards’ last five games against Pacific Division. (14.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| WAS | 21 | 37 | 14-15 | 7-22 |
| GSW | 13 | 47 | 7-23 | 6-24 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| WAS | 115.8 | 120.1 | -4.3 | 235.9 |
| GSW | 105.8 | 114.8 | -9.0 | 220.6 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| WAS | Under | WAS |
| -5.5 | 228.5 | 124-110 |
PICK – Washington -5.5
