FREE NBA PICKS
*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.
DP’S NBA PLAYER PROP
SEASON RECORD: 42-28
Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop, exclusive to subscribers.
HOUSTON @ UTAH
The Rockets small ball line up is rolling right now and I fully anticipate Harden to pour in the points tomorrow against a Utah backcourt that will experience immense trouble defending him.
Last time these two teams met, Harden had 28 points on on 11-23 on the floor (47.8%) making just 2 of 13 from 3 (15.4%) which is well below his season average. On this occasion the Rockers went down by 1 point with Westbrook dominating the shot count at a game high 33 attempts.
Harden is extremely well rested, courtesy of the AS break and a blow-out win against the Warriors the other day.
He should be hot from the get-go in this Western Conference clash.
DP’S PICK – JAMES HARDEN OVER 31.5 POINTS
TREND BET
SACRAMENTO @ LA CLIPPERS
KINGS TRENDS
- Over is 8-0 in last 8 road games vs teams with a home winning % over .600.
- Over is 6-1 in last 7 games vs teams above .600.
- Over is 13-3 in last 16 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.
- Over is 13-3 in last 16 road games.
- Over is 21-8 in last 29 overall.
CLIPPERS TRENDS
- Over is 8-3-1 in last 12 home games.
- Over is 5-2-1 in last 8 vs teams below .500.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Over is 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings.
- Over is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings in L.A.
TREND BET – OVER
*Strongest trend bet of the night.
If trends are your thing, this is your pick.
SACRAMENTO @ LA CLIPPERS
TEAM TRENDS
KINGS TRENDS
- 2-6 ATS in last 8 games vs teams above .600.
- 3-8-1 ATS in last 12 games vs teams above .500.
- Over is 8-0 in last 8 road games vs teams with a home winning % over .600.
- Over is 6-1 in last 7 games vs teams above .600.
- Over is 13-3 in last 16 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.
- Over is 13-3 in last 16 road games.
- Over is 21-8 in last 29 overall.
CLIPPERS TRENDS
- 6-1 ATS in last 7 games following a ATS loss.
- Over is 8-3-1 in last 12 home games.
- Over is 5-2-1 in last 8 vs teams below .500.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Kings are 1-8 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
- Kings are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in L.A..
- Over is 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings.
- Over is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings in L.A..
SEASON SERIES
| 31.01.20 | LAC | SAC | 103 : 124 |
| 01.01.20 | SAC | LAC | 87 : 105 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Harrison Barnes has 12 points or less in each of the Kings’ last 6 road games against Western opponents. (13.5)
- Montrezl Harrell has 21+ points in 4 of the Clippers’ last 5 home games against the Kings. (17.5)
- De’Aaron Fox has 24+ points in the Kings’ last 3 games against Pacific opponents. (20.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| SAC | 22 | 33 | 12-15 | 10-18 |
| LAC | 37 | 18 | 22-5 | 15-13 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| SAC | 108.3 | 111.1 | -2.8 | 219.4 |
| LAC | 115.9 | 110.3 | +5.6 | 226.2 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| LAC | Over | |
| -10.5 | 227.5 |
PICK – LA Clippers -10.5
BROOKLYN @ CHARLOTTE
TEAM TRENDS
NETS TRENDS
- 6-1 ATS in last 7 games as a favorite.
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 games overall.
- 3-9 ATS in last 12 road games.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 overall.
- Under is 19-7 in last 26 road games vs teams with a losing home record.
HORNETS TRENDS
- 3-7 ATS in last 10 home games.
- Under is 6-2 in last 8 vs teams below .500.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Nets are 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings.
- Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Charlotte.
- Nets are 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Charlotte.
SEASON SERIES
| 12.12.19 | BKN | CHA | 108 : 113 |
| 07.12.19 | CHA | BKN | 104 : 111 |
| 21.11.19 | BKN | CHA | 101 : 91 |
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PLAYER TRENDS
- Miles Bridges has 16+ points in the Hornets’ last 8 games. (15.5)
- Spencer Dinwiddie has 13 points or less in his last 8 road games against the Hornets. (20.5)
- Joe Harris has 16+ points in the Nets’ last 5 games as road favorites. (13.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| BKN | 25 | 29 | 16-12 | 9-17 |
| CHA | 19 | 36 | 8-17 | 11-19 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| BKN | 110.4 | 111.0 | -0.6 | 221.4 |
| CHA | 102.9 | 109.9 | -7.0 | 212.8 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| CHA | Over | |
| +3.0 | 212.0 |
PICK – Charlotte WIN
DALLAS @ ATLANTA
TEAM TRENDS
MAVERICKS TRENDS
- 7-2-2 ATS in last 11 games vs teams below .400.
- 36-15-3 ATS in last 54 road games.
- 11-5-2 ATS in last 18 games overall.
- Over is 7-0 in last 7 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 road games.
- Over is 17-4 in last 21 games vs teams below .400.
HAWKS TRENDS
- 5-1-1 ATS in last 7 home games.
- 6-2 ATS in their 8 games vs teams above .600.
- Over is 11-1 in last 12 home games.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams above .500.
- Over is 13-4 in last 17 overall.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Mavericks are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Atlanta.
- Mavericks are 2-10 ATS in the last 12 meetings.
- Under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 02.02.20 | DAL | ATL | 123 : 100 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Trae Young has 34+ points in his last 6 games at State Farm Arena. (32.5)
- John Collins has 22+ points in 7 of the Hawks’ last 8 games. (20.5)
- Kristaps Porzingis has 10+ rebounds in 7 of his last 8 games against Eastern opponents. (9.5)
- Luka Doncic has 10+ rebounds in his last 5 games with the Mavs as road favourites against Eastern opponents. (9.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| DAL | 34 | 22 | 15-14 | 19-8 |
| ATL | 16 | 41 | 10-17 | 6-24 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| DAL | 116.5 | 110.4 | +6.1 | 226.9 |
| ATL | 110.5 | 119.0 | -8.5 | 229.5 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| DAL | Over | |
| -6.0 | 239.0 |
PICK – Over 239.0
PHOENIX @ CHICAGO
TEAM TRENDS
SUNS TRENDS
- 5-16 ATS in last 21 games overall.
- 1-6 ATS in last 7 games vs teams below .400.
- 0-5 ATS in last 5 road games.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 games vs teams below .400.
- Under is 7-3 in last 10 games as a favorite.
BULLS TRENDS
- 17-39 ATS in last 56 home games.
- 1-7 ATS in last 8 games overall.
- 0-5 ATS in last 5 games vs teams below .500.
- Over is 8-1 in last 9 overall.
- Under is 12-5 in last 17 games vs teams below .400.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago.
PLAYER TRENDS
- Kelly Oubre Jr. has 12 points or less in his 9 games against the Bulls. (18.5)
- Devin Booker has 22 points or less in the Suns’ last 4 road games. (26.5)
- Deandre Ayton has 12+ rebounds in 5 of the Suns’ last 6 road games against Eastern opponents. (10.5)
- Ricky Rubio has 9+ assists in 9 of his last 11 games against Eastern opponents. (7.5)
- Zach LaVine has 31+ points in 7 of the Bulls’ last 9 Saturday games. (29.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| PHO | 22 | 34 | 11-18 | 11-16 |
| CHI | 19 | 37 | 11-17 | 8-20 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| PHO | 112.2 | 113.7 | -1.5 | 225.9 |
| CHI | 106.1 | 109.4 | -3.3 | 215.5 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| PHO | Under | |
| -1.0 | 219.5 |
PICK – Phoenix -1.0
CLEVELAND @ MIAMI
TEAM TRENDS
CAVALIERS TRENDS
- 5-0 ATS in last 5 road games.
- 5-11 ATS in last 16 games vs teams above .600.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams above .500.
- Over is 13-6 in last 19 road games.
HEAT TRENDS
- 18-7-1 ATS in last 26 home games.
- 2-5 ATS in last 7 games vs teams below .400.
- 1-5 ATS in last 6 games overall.
- Over is 13-3 in last 16 games vs teams below .400.
- Over is 14-6 in last 20 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Cavaliers are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Miami.
- Cavaliers are 1-7 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
- Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Miami.
SEASON SERIES
| 21.11.19 | MIA | CLE | 124 : 100 |
| 15.11.19 | CLE | MIA | 97 : 108 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Duncan Robinson has 17+ points in 4 of the Heat’s last 5 games. (13.5)
- Collin Sexton has 24+ points in the Cavaliers’ last 3 games on the 2nd leg of a back-to-back. (21.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| CLE | 15 | 40 | 7-22 | 8-18 |
| MIA | 35 | 20 | 22-3 | 13-17 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| CLE | 106.3 | 114.9 | -8.6 | 221.2 |
| MIA | 111.9 | 108.7 | +3.2 | 220.6 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| MIA | Under | |
| -13.5 | 220.5 |
PICK – Miami -13.5
PHILADELPHIA @ MILWAUKEE
TEAM TRENDS
76ERS TRENDS
- 2-5 ATS in last 7 games vs teams above .600.
- 4-12-1 ATS in last 17 games vs teams above .500.
- 6-19-2 ATS in last 27 road games.
- 0-7-1 ATS in last 8 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 9-1 in last 10 games vs teams above .600.
- Over is 6-1 in last 7 vs teams above .500.
- Under is 8-3 in last 11 road games.
BUCKS TRENDS
- 6-0 ATS in last 6 games as a favorite.
- 6-1 ATS in last 7 games overall.
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 home games.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 games vs teams above .500.
- Over is 6-1 in last 7 vs teams above .500.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- 76ers are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee.
- Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Milwaukee.
- Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 07.02.20 | MIL | PHI | 112 : 101 |
| 26.12.19 | PHI | MIL | 121 : 109 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Ben Simmons has 9+ assists in the 76ers’ last 5 games against the Bucks. (7.5)
- Giannis Antetokounmpo has 16+ rebounds in the Bucks’ last 4 games as home favorites against the 76ers. (13.5)
- Joel Embiid has 30+ points in 4 of the 76ers’ last 5 games against the Bucks. (24.5)
- Khris Middleton has 6+ assists in 5 of the Bucks’ last 6 home games. (3.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| PHI | 35 | 21 | 26-2 | 9-19 |
| MIL | 47 | 8 | 25-3 | 22-5 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| PHI | 108.7 | 106.2 | +2.5 | 214.9 |
| MIL | 119.7 | 107.5 | +12.2 | 227.2 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| MIL | Over | |
| -8.5 | 226.5 |
PICK – Over 226.5
HOUSTON @ UTAH
TEAM TRENDS
ROCKETS TRENDS
- 9-2 ATS in last 11 games vs teams above .600.
- 5-2 ATS in last 7 games overall.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams above .500.
- Under is 23-11-1 in last 35 games vs teams above .600.
JAZZ TRENDS
- 3-7-1 ATS in last 11 games overall.
- 1-4-1 ATS in last 6 home games.
- 1-7-1 ATS in last 9 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams above .500.
- Over is 10-3 in last 13 games following a ATS loss.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 games vs teams above .600.
- Over is 11-5 in last 16 overall.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Utah.
- Rockets are 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Utah.
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 10.02.20 | HOU | UTA | 113 : 114 |
| 28.01.20 | UTA | HOU | 117 : 126 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Donovan Mitchell has 26+ points in the Jazz’s last 4 home games against the Rockets. (24.5)
- Russell Westbrook has 32+ points in 5 of his last 6 road games. (30.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| UTA | 36 | 19 | 20-6 | 16-13 |
| HOU | 35 | 20 | 19-8 | 16-12 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| UTA | 111.1 | 107.3 | +3.8 | 218.4 |
| HOU | 118.5 | 114.3 | +4.2 | 232.8 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| HOU | Over | |
| +2.0 | 235.0 |
PICK – Houston +2.0
