FREE NBA PICKS
*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.
DP’S NBA PLAYER PROP
SEASON RECORD: 37-23
Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop, exclusive to subscribers.
UTAH @ PORTLAND
Bogdanovic has the hot hand from 3 right now, totaling 25 over his past 5 appearances and gets a good look at the Trail Blazers who will be coming off a long emotional 48 evening at Staples.
If Bogdanovic can get his foot down and get to the line, he should cover with ease, as his FT’s numbers have been at a season low 1 made over his past two games, which is well below his year to date average of 3.9.
DP’S PICK – BOJAN BOGDANOVIC OVER 20.5 POINTS – WIN
TREND BET
MINNESOTA @ LA CLIPPERS
TIMBERWOLVES TRENDS
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 road games.
- Over is 5-2 in last 7 overall.
- Over is 42-20 in last 62 games after allowing 125+ points in their last game.
CLIPPERS TRENDS
- Over is 7-1-1 in last 9 home games.
- Over is 8-3 in last 11 games vs teams below .400.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Over is 12-3 in the last 15 meetings in L.A..
- Over is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.
TREND BET – OVER 228.5
*Strongest trend bet of the night.
If trends are your thing, this is your pick.
MINNESOTA @ LA CLIPPERS
TEAM TRENDS
TEAM TRENDS ->
TIMBERWOLVES TRENDS
- 4-9 ATS in last 13 games playing on 3+ days rest.
- 8-20-1 ATS in last 29 games overall.
- 7-18-1 ATS in last 26 games vs teams above .600.
- 0-4 ATS in last 4 games vs teams above .500.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 road games.
- Over is 5-2 in last 7 overall.
- Over is 42-20 in last 62 games after allowing 125+ points in their last game.
CLIPPERS TRENDS
- 6-1 ATS in last 7 games following a straight up loss of 10+ points.
- 1-5 ATS in last 6 games vs teams below .400.
- Over is 7-1-1 in last 9 home games.
- Over is 8-3 in last 11 games vs teams below .400.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Over is 12-3 in the last 15 meetings in L.A..
- Timberwolves are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in L.A..
- Over is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
SEASON SERIES ->
| 14.12.19 | MIN | LAC | 117 : 124 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Andrew Wiggins has 22+ points in the Timberwolves’ last 4 games. (20.5)
- Karl-Anthony Towns has 24 points or less in 6 of the Timberwolves’ last 8 games against the Clippers. (27.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| MIN | 15 | 32 | 6-18 | 9-14 |
| LAC | 33 | 15 | 19-5 | 14-10 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| MIN | 111.6 | 115.3 | -3.7 | 226.9 |
| LAC | 115.4 | 109.6 | +5.8 | 225.0 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| LAC | OVER | |
| -10.0 | 228.5 |
OUR PICK – LA CLIPPERS -10.0
PLAYER PROP – KARL-ANTHONY TOWNS UNDER 27.5 POINTS
NEW YORK @ INDIANA
TEAM TRENDS
TEAM TRENDS ->
KNICKS TRENDS
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 games vs teams above .600.
- 5-2 ATS in last 7 games overall.
- 8-21 ATS in last 29 games playing on 2 days rest.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 road games.
- Under is 6-2 in last 8 overall.
- Under is 11-1 in last 12 Saturday games.
- Over is 19-8 in last 27 games playing on 2 days rest.
PACERS TRENDS
- 4-0 ATS in last 4 games as a favorite.
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 games vs teams below .400.
- 7-3 ATS in last 10 games overall.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 games vs teams below .400.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 home games.
- Over is 13-5 in last 18 overall.
- Under is 13-5 in last 18 vs teams below .500.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Knicks are 4-11 ATS in the last 15 meetings in Indiana.
SEASON SERIES
SEASON SERIES ->
| 08.12.19 | NY | IND | 103 : 104 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Julius Randle has 24+ points in 4 of the Knicks’ last 5 road games against Eastern opponents. (20.5)
- Malcolm Brogdon has 9+ assists in the Pacers’ last 3 home games. (6.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| NY | 13 | 36 | 7-18 | 6-18 |
| IND | 31 | 17 | 18-5 | 13-12 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| NY | 104.1 | 111.8 | -7.7 | 215.9 |
| IND | 110.1 | 107.0 | +3.1 | 217.1 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| NY | UNDER | |
| -11.0 | 213.5 |
OUR PICK – NEW YORK +11.0
MIAMI @ ORLANDO
TEAM TRENDS
TEAM TRENDS ->
HEAT TRENDS
- 2-5 ATS in last 7 road games.
- 1-6 ATS in last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-1-1 in last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 8-2 in last 10 road games.
- Over is 18-7 in last 25 overall.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams below .500.
MAGIC TRENDS
- 0-4 ATS in last 4 games overall.
- 0-4 ATS in last 4 games vs teams above .600.
- 0-5 ATS in last 5 games vs teams above .500.
- Under is 5-1-1 in last 7 overall.
- Under is 9-2-1 in last 12 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 18-7-1 in last 26 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Heat are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
- Over is 13-5-1 in the last 19 meetings in Orlando.
- Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
SEASON SERIES ->
| 28.01.20 | MIA | ORL | 113 : 92 |
| 04.01.20 | ORL | MIA | 105 : 85 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Jimmy Butler has 7+ assists in 7 of the Heat’s last 8 games against Southeast opponents. (5.5)
- Duncan Robinson has 13+ points in 4 of the Heat’s last 5 games against Southeast opponents. (11.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| MIA | 32 | 15 | 21-3 | 11-12 |
| ORL | 21 | 27 | 13-11 | 8-16 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| MIA | 112.0 | 108.3 | +3.7 | 220.3 |
| ORL | 103.5 | 104.7 | -1.2 | 208.2 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| MIA | OVER | |
| -2.5 | 206.0 |
OUR PICK – MIAMI WIN
GOLDEN STATE @ CLEVELAND
TEAM TRENDS
TEAM TRENDS ->
WARRIORS TRENDS
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 road games vs teams with a losing home record.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams below .500.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 road games.
CAVALIERS TRENDS
- 17-7-1 ATS in last 25 games vs teams below .400.
- 29-59-1 ATS in last 89 games as a favorite.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 games vs teams below .500.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 home games.
- Over is 8-1 in last 9 games vs teams below .400.
- Over is 13-3 in last 16 overall.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Warriors are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
- Warriors are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Cleveland.
PLAYER TRENDS
- D’Angelo Russell has 26+ points in 5 of the Warriors’ last 6 games. (24.5)
- Collin Sexton has 24+ points in 4 of the Cavaliers’ last 5 games against Western opponents. (21.5)
- Draymond Green has 9 assists in his last 3 games at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse. (5.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| GSW | 10 | 39 | 7-17 | 3-22 |
| CLE | 13 | 36 | 6-19 | 7-17 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| GSW | 105.6 | 114.3 | -8.7 | 219.9 |
| CLE | 105.4 | 114.1 | -8.7 | 219.5 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| CLE | UNDER | |
| -1.5 | 224.5 |
OUR PICK – UNDER 224.5
PLAYER PROP – DRAYMOND GREEN OVER 5.5 ASSISTS
BROOKLYN @ WASHINGTON
TEAM TRENDS
TEAM TRENDS ->
NETS TRENDS
- 6-15 ATS in last 21 games playing on 0 days rest.
- 4-13 ATS in last 17 games overall.
- 1-7 ATS in last 8 road games.
- 1-10 ATS in last 11 games as an underdog.
- 0-8 ATS in last 8 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in last 7 games playing on 0 days rest.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
WIZARDS TRENDS
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 home games.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 games as a home favorite.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Nets are 4-13 ATS in the last 17 meetings in Washington.
- Nets are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
PLAYER TRENDS
- Bradley Beal has 34+ points in the Wizards’ last 5 games. (29.5)
- Spencer Dinwiddie has 23+ points in 4 of the Nets’ last 5 games on the second leg of a back-to-back. (19.5)
- Jarrett Allen has 10+ rebounds in 8 of the Nets’ last 10 road games against Eastern opponents. (9.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| BKN | 21 | 26 | 13-12 | 8-14 |
| WAS | 16 | 31 | 10-11 | 6-20 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| BKN | 110.2 | 112.1 | -1.9 | 222.3 |
| WAS | 115.7 | 121.0 | -5.3 | 236.7 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| BKN | UNDER | |
| -1.0 | 242.0 |
OUR PICK – BROOKLYN WIN
PLAYER PROP – BRADLEY BEAL OVER 29.5 POINTS
PHILADELPHIA @ BOSTON
TEAM TRENDS
TEAM TRENDS ->
76ERS TRENDS
- 3-9-1 ATS in last 13 games vs teams above .500.
- 3-12-1 ATS in last 16 road games.
- 1-7-1 ATS in last 9 road games vs teams with a winning home record.
- Under is 6-0 in last 6 games vs. teams above .600.
- Under is 6-2 in last 8 road games.
CELTICS TRENDS
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 games overall.
- 5-2 ATS in last 7 games vs teams above .600.
- 5-2 ATS in last 7 home games.
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 overall.
- Under is 19-8 in last 27 games vs teams above .600.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- 76ers are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Boston.
- 76ers are 5-11 ATS in the last 16 meetings.
- Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Boston.
SEASON SERIES
SEASON SERIES ->
| 10.01.20 | PHI | BOS | 109 : 98 |
| 13.12.19 | BOS | PHI | 109 : 115 |
| 24.10.19 | PHI | BOS | 107 : 93 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Ben Simmons has 10+ rebounds in 4 of the 76ers’ last 5 games as road underdogs. (7.5)
- Al Horford has 15+ points in his last 3 games against the Celtics. (11.5)
- Jayson Tatum has 26+ points in the Celtics’ last 3 Saturday games. (21.5)
- Joel Embiid has 34+ points in the 76ers’ last 2 road games against the Celtics. (25.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| PHI | 31 | 18 | 22-2 | 9-16 |
| BOS | 32 | 15 | 19-5 | 13-10 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| PHI | 108.7 | 105.2 | +3.5 | 213.9 |
| BOS | 112.4 | 105.5 | +6.9 | 217.9 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| BOS | UNDER | |
| +1.0 | 217.5 |
OUR PICK – BOSTON WIN
ATLANTA @ DALLAS
TEAM TRENDS
TEAM TRENDS ->
HAWKS TRENDS
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 games vs teams above .600.
- 3-8 ATS in last 11 games as a road underdog.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
- Over is 6-1 in last 7 games vs teams above .600.
- Over is 16-7 in last 23 road games.
MAVERICKS TRENDS
- 5-1-2 ATS in last 8 games vs teams below .400.
- 12-4-2 ATS in last 18 games vs teams below .500.
- 5-2-2 ATS in last 9 games overall.
- 3-9-1 ATS in last 13 home games.
- Over is 15-3 in last 18 games vs teams below .400.
- Over is 5-2 in last 7 games playing on 0 days rest.
- Over is 12-5 in last 17 games as a home favorite.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Dallas.
- Hawks are 10-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
- Hawks are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Dallas.
PLAYER TRENDS
- Trae Young has 13+ assists in each of his last 5 games. (11.5)
- Kevin Huerter has 6+ rebounds in 5 of the Hawks’ last 6 games against Western opponents. (5.5)
- John Collins has 28+ points in 3 of the Hawks’ last 4 games as underdogs. (20.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| ATL | 13 | 36 | 8-16 | 5-20 |
| DAL | 29 | 19 | 13-12 | 16-7 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| ATL | 109.2 | 118.1 | -8.9 | 227.3 |
| DAL | 116.2 | 110.4 | +5.8 | 226.6 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| ATL | UNDER | |
| +4.0 | 236.0 |
OUR PICK – UNDER 232.5
CHARLOTTE @ SAN ANTONIO
TEAM TRENDS
TEAM TRENDS ->
HORNETS TRENDS
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 games following a loss of 10+ points.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 games following a straight loss.
SPURS TRENDS
- 5-2 ATS in last 7 games overall.
- 10-23 ATS in last 33 home games.
- 1-5 ATS in last 6 home games vs teams with a road winning % below .400.
- Over is 6-0 in last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Under is 10-4 in last 14 games playing on 2 days rest.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Hornets are 3-9 ATS in the last 12 meetings in San Antonio.
- Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in San Antonio.
PLAYER TRENDS
- Devonte’ Graham has 10+ assists in the Hornets’ last 3 games as underdogs against Southwest opponents. (7.5)
- Terry Rozier has 29 points in the Hornets’ last 2 Saturday games. (19.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| CHA | 16 | 32 | 8-15 | 8-17 |
| SAS | 21 | 26 | 13-12 | 8-14 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| CHA | 103.2 | 110.4 | -7.2 | 213.6 |
| SAS | 113.6 | 114.4 | -0.8 | 228.0 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| CHA | OVER | |
| +9.0 | 214.5 |
OUR PICK – SAN ANTONIO WIN & OVER 214.5
PLAYER PROP – TERRY ROZIER OVER 19.5 POINTS
LA LAKERS @ SACRAMENTO
TEAM TRENDS
TEAM TRENDS ->
LAKERS TRENDS
- 4-0 ATS in last 4 games playing on 0 days rest.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 11-2-1 in last 14 vs teams below .500.
- Under is 9-2 in last 11 road games vs teams with a losing home record.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 games vs teams below .400.
- Over is 7-2 in last 9 overall.
- Over is 6-2 in last 8 road games.
KINGS TRENDS
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 games vs teams above .600.
- 0-3-1 ATS in last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 home games.
- Over is 9-1 in last 10 overall.
- Over is 21-6 in last 27 vs teams above .500.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Over is 20-9-1 in the last 30 meetings in Sacramento.
- Lakers are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Sacramento.
- Under is 11-3-1 in the last 15 meetings.
- Lakers are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
SEASON SERIES ->
| 16.11.19 | LAL | SAC | 99 : 97 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Bogdan Bogdanovic has 17+ points in the Kings’ last 4 games against the Lakers. (15.5)
- De’Aaron Fox has 21+ points in 6 of the Kings’ last 7 games against Western opponents. (20.5)
- LeBron James has 12+ assists in 4 of the Lakers’ last 5 games as favorites against Western opponents. (10.5)
- Nemanja Bjelica has 4+ assists in the Kings’ last 3 games as home underdogs. (2.5)
- Anthony Davis has 37+ points in his last 2 games against Western opponents. (26.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| LAL | 36 | 11 | 16-6 | 20-5 |
| SAC | 18 | 30 | 8-14 | 10-16 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| LAL | 113.7 | 106.7 | +7.0 | 220.4 |
| SAC | 107.3 | 110.3 | -3.0 | 217.6 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| LAL | UNDER | |
| -6.5 | 226.0 |
OUR PICK – UNDER 226.0
UTAH @ PORTLAND
TEAM TRENDS
TEAM TRENDS ->
JAZZ TRENDS
- 9-1-1 ATS in last 11 Saturday games.
- 11-3 ATS in last 14 games vs teams below .500.
- 0-3-1 ATS in last 4 games overall.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.
- Over is 6-1 in last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in last 7 road games.
- Over is 7-3 in last 10 overall.
TRAIL BLAZERS TRENDS
- 6-12-2 ATS in last 19 games vs teams above .600.
- 6-13-1 ATS in last 19 games overall.
- 2-7-1 ATS in last 10 home games.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 overall.
- Over is 6-2 in last 8 home games vs teams with a winning road record.
- Over is 7-3 in last 10 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 34-16-1 in last 51 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Jazz are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Portland.
- Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
- Over is 16-6 in the last 22 meetings in Portland.
SEASON SERIES
SEASON SERIES ->
| 27.12.19 | UTA | POR | 121 : 115 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Donovan Mitchell has 5+ rebounds in 7 of the Jazz’s last 8 games against Northwest opponents. (3.5)
- Damian Lillard has 36+ points in 5 of the Blazers’ last 6 home games against the Jazz. (32.5)
- Joe Ingles has 6+ assists in 6 of the Jazz’s last 7 night games. (5.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| UTA | 32 | 16 | 18-4 | 14-12 |
| POR | 22 | 27 | 12-11 | 10-16 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| UTA | 111.2 | 106.7 | +4.5 | 217.9 |
| POR | 113.3 | 114.9 | -1.6 | 228.2 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| UTA | OVER | |
| -5.0 | 227.5 |
OUR PICK – UTAH -5.0
