11 GAMES – NBA TIPS – 24/1/19

FREE NBA PICKS

*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.

DP’S PLAYER PROP

SEASON RECORD: 33-20

Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop, exclusive to subscribers.

MILWAUKEE @ CHARLOTTE

The Hornets and Bucks headline NBA Friday, with this fixture being played in Paris, in what I consider a very tough match up for the inconsistent Hornets.

De’Vonte Graham throughout the course of this season has been hit or miss – hot and cold.

Of late, Graham is down on his season average on shot attempts in January from 15.5 to 14.5 and more importantly is more 37% on the floor.

He actually shoots it at a higher clip from 23 feet away than he does from inside which is a concern against the Bucks who close out on 3 point shooters well, especially at the guard spot.

I’ll happily sit on the Unders for the International game.

DP’S PICK – De’Vonte Graham Under 18.5

NBA PARLAY

  • BOSTON @ ORLANDO – UNDER 213.5
  • INDIANA @ GOLDEN STATE – INDIANA WIN

ODDS – $2.73 – WIN

TREND BET

BOSTON @ ORLANDO

CELTICS TRENDS

  • Under is 4-1 in Celtics last 5 games as a road favorite.
  • Under is 4-1 in Celtics last 5 vs teams below.600.

MAGIC TRENDS

  • Under is 7-1 in Magic last 8 home games.
  • Under is 3-1-1 in Magic last 5 games vs teams above .600.
  • Under is 11-4-1 in Magic last 16 overall.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Orlando.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

TREND BET – UNDER 213.5 – WIN

*Strongest trend bet of the night. Not necessarily our pick.

If trends are your thing, this is your pick.

MILWAUKEE @ CHARLOTTE

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

BUCKS TRENDS

  • 10-3 ATS in last 13 vs teams below .400.
  • 8-3 ATS in last 11 road games.
  • 7-15-1 ATS in last 23 games playing on 3+ days rest.
  • Over is 4-0 in last 4 vs teams below .500.
  • Under is 7-1 in last 8 games playing on 3+ days rest.
  • Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams below .400.

HORNETS TRENDS

  • 7-20 ATS in last 27 vs teams above .600.
  • 3-11 ATS in last 14 vs teams above .500.
  • 1-5 ATS in last 6 home games.
  • Under is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
  • Over is 5-2 in last 7 vs teams above .500.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Bucks are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Charlotte.
  • Bucks are 2-5-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
  • Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.
  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Charlotte.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
01.12.19 MIL CHA 137 : 96

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Devonte’ Graham has 16 points or less in 4 of the Hornets’ last 5 games against Eastern opponents. (18.5)
  • Khris Middleton has made 3 or more 3-pointers in 4 of the Bucks’ last 5 games. (2.5)
  • Terry Rozier has 28+ points in each of the Hornets’ last 3 games against Central opponents. (18.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
MIL 39 6 21-2 18-4
CHA 15 30 7-14 8-16

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
MIL 119.4 106.7 +12.7 226.1
CHA 103.3 110.5 -7.2 213.8

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
MIL Over MIL
-13.0 219.0 116-103

OUR PICK  –  Milwaukee -13.0

MEMPHIS @ DETROIT

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

GRIZZLIES TRENDS

  • 3-10 ATS in last 13 games as a road favorite.
  • 5-1 ATS in last 6 games following a straight up loss of 10+ points.
  • Under is 5-0 in last 5 overall.
  • Under is 6-1 in last 7 road games vs teams with a losing home record.

PISTONS TRENDS

  • 6-13 ATS in last 19 games overall.
  • 8-38-3 ATS in last 59 games as an underdog.
  • 4-11-1 ATS in last 16 games following a ATS win.
  • 2-8 ATS in last 10 home games.
  • Over is 9-1 in last 10 home games vs teams with a losing road record.
  • Over is 6-1 in last 7 home games.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 overall.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Grizzlies are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
  • Grizzlies are 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Detroit.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Andre Drummond has scored 15 points or less in each of his last 5 games against Western opponents. (17.5)
    Derrick Rose has 7 or more assists in each of the Pistons’ last 3 home games. (6.5)
  • Dillon Brooks has scored 19+ points in 7 of the Grizzlies’ last 9 games. (16.5)
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. has scored 23+ points in 5 of the Grizzlies’ last 7 games against Central opponents. (17.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
MEM 20 24 12-13 8-11
DET 17 28 9-13 8-15

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
MEM 113.2 116.1 -2.9 229.3
DET 109.3 110.6 -1.3 219.9

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
MEM Under MEM
+2.0 227.5 125-112

OUR PICK  –  Memphis +2.0

BOSTON @ ORLANDO

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

CELTICS TRENDS

  • 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
  • 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games.
  • 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Over is 4-1 in Celtics last 5 overall.
  • Under is 4-1 in Celtics last 5 games as a road favorite.
  • Under is 4-1 in Celtics last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

MAGIC TRENDS

  • 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Under is 7-1 in Magic last 8 home games.
  • Under is 3-1-1 in Magic last 5 games vs teams above .600.
  • Under is 11-4-1 in Magic last 16 overall.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Celtics are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Orlando.

  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Evan Fournier has 4 or more assists in each of the Magic’s last 4  home games. (3.5)
  • Terrence Ross has scored 17+ points in each of the Magic’s last 3 Friday games. (14.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
BOS 29 14 18-5 11-9
ORL 21 24 13-9 8-15

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
BOS 112.5 105.4 +7.1 217.9
ORL 104 104.3 -0.3 208.3

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
ORL Under BOS
-1.0 213.5 109-98

OUR PICK  –  Orlando WIN

TORONTO @ NEW YORK

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

RAPTORS TRENDS

  • 4-1 ATS in last 5 games overall.
  • 1-5 ATS in last 6 road games vs teams with a losing home record.
  • Over is 4-0 in last 4 vs teams below .400.
  • Over is 5-0 in last 5 road games.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 overall.

KNICKS TRENDS

  • 7-20 ATS in last 27 home games vs teams with a winning road record.
  • Under is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
  • Under is 5-1 in last 6 home games vs teams with a road winning % over .600.
  • Under is 17-7 in last 24 home games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in New York.
  • Raptors are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
28.11.19 TOR NY 126 : 98

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Kyle Lowry has 26+ points in each of the Raptors’ last 4 road games against Atlantic opponents. (17.5)
  • Marcus Morris Sr. has 20+ points in 6 of his last 7 home games against Eastern opponents. (17.5)
  • Norman Powell has 20+ points in each of the Raptors’ last 3 road games. (15.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
TOR 30 14 16-7 14-7
NY 12 33 6-16 6-17

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
TOR 111.9 105.9 +6.0 217.8
NY 104.0 112.0 -8.0 216.0

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
TOR Under TOR
-7.5 215.5 118-112

OUR PICK  –  Toronto -7.5

SACRAMENTO @ CHICAGO

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

KINGS TRENDS

  • 2-5 ATS in last 7 vs teams below .400.
  • 5-15-1 ATS in last 21 games overall.
  • 2-6 ATS in last 8 road games.
  • Over is 6-0 in last 6 overall.
  • Over is 7-1 in last 8 road games.
  • Over is 5-2 in last 7 vs teams below .400.

BULLS TRENDS

  • 5-1 ATS in last 6 vs teams below .400.
  • 7-3 ATS in last 10 vs teams below .500.
  • 17-35 ATS in last 52 home games.
  • Under is 5-0 in last 5 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 home games.
  • Under is 10-3 in last 13 vs teams below .400.
  • Under is 5-2 in last 7 overall.
  • Under is 9-4 in last 13 vs teams below .500.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Under is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings.
  • Kings are 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Kings are 13-3-1 ATS in the last 17 meetings in Chicago.
  • Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Chicago.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
03.12.19 SAC CHI 106 : 113

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Harrison Barnes has 15+ points in each of his last 9 games against the Bulls. (13.5)
  • Zach LaVine has made 4 or more 3-pointers in each of the Bulls’ last 4 games against Pacific opponents. (3.5)
  • De’Aaron Fox has 21+ points in 4 of the Kings’ last 5 games. (19.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
SAC 15 29 8-13 7-16
CHI 17 29 10-14 7-15

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
SAC 106.8 110.5 -3.7 217.3
CHI 105.9 107.9 -2.0 213.8

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
CHI Under SAC
-2.0 220.0 98-81

OUR PICK  –  Under 220.0

LA CLIPPERS @ MIAMI

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

CLIPPERS TRENDS

  • 8-3 ATS in last 11 games following a ATS loss.
  • 9-4 ATS in last 13 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • 2-5 ATS in last 7 games as a favorite.
  • Under is 7-1 in last 8 games vs teams above .600.
  • Under is 8-1 in last 9 road games vs teams with a home winning % over .600.
  • Over is 8-3-1 in last 12 games as a favorite.

HEAT TRENDS

  • 5-1-1 ATS in last 7 games vs teams above .600.
  • 9-2 ATS in last 11 games as a home underdog.
  • 16-5-1 ATS in last 22 home games.
  • Under is 8-0 in last 8 vs teams above .500.
  • Over is 6-1 in last 7 games vs teams above .600.
  • Over is 19-7-1 in last 27 overall.

  • Over is 12-4 in last 16 home games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Clippers are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Miami.
  • Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Miami.
  • Under is 9-0 in the last 9 meetings.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Lou Williams has 18 points or less in 8 of his last 9 road games against Eastern opponents. (20.5)
  • Kawhi Leonard has 32+ points in each of his last 4 games. (30.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
LAC 31 14 19-4 12-10
MIA 31 13 20-1 11-12

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
LAC 115.6 109.4 6.2 225.0
MIA 112.1 108.4 3.7 220.5

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
MIA Under LAC
+2.5 223.5 122-117

OUR PICK  –  Miami +2.5

HOUSTON @ MINNESOTA

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

ROCKETS TRENDS

  • 1-4 ATS in last 5 games overall.
  • 1-5 ATS in last 6 vs teams below .400.
  • 1-6 ATS in last 7 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.
  • 0-5 ATS in last 5 road games.
  • Under is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
  • Over is 6-2 in last 8 vs teams below .400.

TIMBERWOLVES TRENDS

  • 7-18-1 ATS in last 26 home games.
  • 1-4 ATS in last 5 vs teams above .600.
  • 1-6 ATS in last 7 games overall.
  • Over is 6-1 in last 7 when their opponent allows 100+ points in their last game.
  • Over is 5-2 in last 7 overall.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Over is 19-8 in the last 27 meetings.
  • Rockets are 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings.
  • Over is 10-3 in the last 13 meetings in Minnesota.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
12.01.20 HOU MIN 139 : 109
17.11.19 MIN HOU 105 : 125

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Russell Westbrook has 28+ points in each of his last 13 games against Western opponents. (27.5)
  • Karl-Anthony Towns has 11+ rebounds in 8 of the Timberwolves’ last 9 home games against the Rockets. (10.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
HOU 27 16 15-7 12-9
MIN 15 29 6-15 9-14

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
HOU 118.4 114.0 +4.4 232.4
MIN 111.1 114.6 -3.5 225.7

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
HOU Over HOU
-5.0 233.5 131-124

OUR PICK  –  Houston WIN

DENVER @ NEW ORLEANS

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

NUGGETS TRENDS

  • 3-8-1 ATS in last 12 vs teams below .400.
  • 5-0-2 ATS in last 7 games following a straight up loss.
  • 3-8-2 ATS in last 13 vs teams below .500.
  • Over is 7-1 in last 8 road games vs teams with a losing home record.
  • Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams below .500.
  • Under is 6-2 in last 8 overall.
  • Over is 7-3 in last 10 road games.

PELICANS TRENDS

  • 6-1-1 ATS in last 8 vs teams above .500.
  • 6-1 ATS in last 7 home games.
  • 13-3-1 ATS in last 17 games overall.
  • 5-1-2 ATS in last 8 vs teams above .600.
  • Over is 6-0 in last 6 vs teams above .600.
  • Over is 7-0 in last 7 home games.
  • Over is 12-1 in last 13 overall.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Nuggets are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in New Orleans.
  • Nuggets are 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
  • Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in New Orleans.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
26.12.19 DEN NOR 100 : 112
01.11.19 NOR DEN 122 : 107

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Lonzo Ball has 7 or more assists in each of the Pelicans’ last 6 games at Smoothie King Center. (7.5)
  • Nikola Jokic has 12+ rebounds in each of the Nuggets’ last 4 games against Western opponents. (11.5)
  • Brandon Ingram has 31+ points in 4  of the Pelicans’ last 5 games against Northwest opponents. (23.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
DEN 30 14 17-6 13-8
NOR 17 28 8-14 9-14

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
DEN 109.3 106.0 +3.3 215.3
NOR 114.5 117.7 -3.2 232.2

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
NOR Over DEN
-3.5 230.5 113-106

OUR PICK  –  Over 230.5

ATLANTA @ OKLAHOMA CITY

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

HAWKS TRENDS

  • 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  • 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games.
  • Over is 5-0 in Hawks last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Under is 5-1 in Hawks last 6 road games.
  • Over is 4-1 in Hawks last 5 overall.

THUNDER TRENDS

  • 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games overall.
  • 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win.
  • 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
  • Over is 5-0 in Thunder last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
  • Over is 4-0 in Thunder last 4 home games.
  • Over is 6-1 in Thunder last 7 overall.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Hawks are 9-21 ATS in the last 30 meetings.
  • Over is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings in Oklahoma City.
  • Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Chris Paul has 8 or more assists in each of his last 11 home games against the Hawks. (6.5)
  • Danilo Gallinari has 23+ points in 6 of his last 7 games. (20.5)
  • Chris Paul has 19+ points in each of the Thunder’s last 3 games. (17.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
ATL 11 34 6-16 5-18
OKC 26 19 14-9 12-10

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
ATL 107.7 117.0 -9.3 224.7
OKC 109.9 108.1 +1.8 218.0

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
OKC Over OKC
-10.5 224.5 140-111

OUR PICK  –  OKC -10.5

PHOENIX @ SAN ANTONIO

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

SUNS TRENDS

  • 4-0 ATS in last 4 games as a road underdog.
  • 5-1 ATS in last 6 road games.
  • 2-7 ATS in last 9 games overall.
  • 1-6 ATS in last 7 vs teams below .500.
  • Over is 10-2 in last 12 games following a loss of 10+ points.
  • Over is 6-2 in last 8 games as an underdog.
  • Under is 5-1 in last 6 after allowing 100+ points in their last game.

SPURS TRENDS

  • 7-3 ATS in last 10 games overall.
  • 9-21 ATS in last 30 home games.
  • 4-10-1 ATS in last 15 games as a favorite.
  • 7-19 ATS in last 26 games as a home favorite.
  • Over is 7-1 in last 8 games following an ATS win.
  • Over is 5-1 in last 6 games as a home favorite.
  • Over is 7-2 in last 9 home games.
  • Over is 12-5 in last 17 overall.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Suns are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings in San Antonio.
  • Suns are 2-5-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
  • Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in San Antonio.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
21.01.20 PHO SAS 118 : 120
15.12.19 PHO SAS 119 : 121
(109 : 109)

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Devin Booker has 32+ points in each of the Suns’ last 7 games against Western opponents. (28.5)
  • LaMarcus Aldridge has 21+ points in 4 of his last 5 home games against the Suns. (20.5)
  • Patty Mills has 15+ points in 4 of the Spurs’ last 5  home games. (10.5)
  • Deandre Ayton has 20+ points in each of the Suns’ last 3 road games. (17.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
PHO 18 26 9-16 9-10
SAC 15 29 8-13 7-16

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
PHO 113.0 114.1 -1.1 227.1
SAC 106.8 110.5 -3.7 217.3

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
SAS Under PHO
-4.0 229.0 103-99

OUR PICK  –  San Antonio WIN

INDIANA @ GOLDEN STATE

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

PACERS TRENDS

  • 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
  • 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
  • 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
  • Over is 5-1 in Pacers last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
  • Over is 12-5 in Pacers last 17 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

WARRIORS TRENDS

  • 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Friday games.
  • Under is 12-5 in Warriors last 17 home games.
  • Over is 14-6-1 in Warriors last 21 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Over is 7-3-1 in the last 11 meetings in Golden State.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Domantas Sabonis has 22+ points in each of the Pacers’ last 3 games as road favourites against Western opponents. (18.5)
  • D’Angelo Russell has 26+ points in each of the Warriors’ last 3 games. (22.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
IND 29 16 17-5 12-11
GSW 10 35 7-15 3-20

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
IND 109.1 106.1 +3.0 215.2
GSW 105.6 113.6 -8.0 219.2

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
IND Over IND
-5.5 214.5 129-111

OUR PICK  –  Indiana WIN

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