9 GAMES – NBA TIPS – 8/1/19

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FREE NBA PICKS

*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.

DP’S NBA PLAYER PROP

SEASON RECORD: 25-14

Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop, exclusive to subscribers.

CHICAGO @ NEW ORLEANS

Back-to-back wins on the glass gives me a nice (24-14) record moving into NBA Wednesday and I’m keen ride the Brandon Ingram wave which is percolating.

The Pelicans have really turned the corner as of late-December early-January, winning 5 of their past 7 and Brandon Ingram is by far and large the Pels single most effective scoring proposition.

With Jrue Holiday sidelined, I expect BI to take around 20-22 shots which should gift us another win on the overs prop.

In two of his past three games, Ingram has taken 25+ shots and whilst he had a poor shooting night against the Lakers returning just 21 points, he’ll square up against the Bulls who have struggled defensively all season long.
If Ingram stays true to his season averages of 40% from 4 and 5.7 FT’s per game, he will clear this based on sheer volume (increasing shot count from 18 to 22)

DP’S PICK – BRANDON INGRAM OVER 25.5 POINTS – WIN

PARLAYS

PARLAY

  • MIAMI @ INDIANA – OVER 209.5
  • WASHINGTON @ ORLANDO – OVER 220.5
  • HOUSTON @ ATLANTA – HOUSTON -8.0

ODDS – $6.95 – WIN

TREND BETS

MILWAUKEE @ GOLDEN STATE

BUCKS TRENDS

  • 8-1 ATS in last 9 vs teams below .400.
  • 10-3 ATS in last 13 vs teams below .500.
  • 5-2 ATS in last 7 games as a road favorite.
  • 13-6 ATS in last 19 games overall.
  • 13-6 ATS in last 19 games as a favorite.

WARRIORS TRENDS

  • 1-4 ATS in last 5 games overall.
  • 3-9-1 ATS in last 13 vs teams above .500.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Bucks are 12-5-1 ATS in the last 18 meetings.
  • Bucks are 9-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Golden State.

TREND BET – MILWAUKEE -13.5

MIAMI @ INDIANA

HEAT TRENDS

  • Over is 11-2 in last 13 after allowing 100+ points in their last game.
  • Over is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams above .600.
  • Over is 12-3-1 in last 16 games as a favorite.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 road games.
  • Over is 11-3 in last 14 overall.

PACERS TRENDS

  • Over is 5-0 in last 5 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.
  • Over is 6-1 in last 7 overall.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams above .500.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.

TREND BET – OVER 209.5 – WIN

*Strongest trend bet of the night. Not necessarily our pick.

If trends are your thing, this is your pick.

SAN ANTONIO @ BOSTON

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

SPURS TRENDS

  • 4-0-1 ATS in last 5 road games.
  • 6-1 ATS in last 7 vs teams above .600.
  • 7-2 ATS in last 9 vs teams above .500.
  • 5-2 ATS in last 7 games overall.
  • Over is 7-1 in last 8 vs teams above .500.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 overall.

CELTICS TRENDS

  • 6-2 ATS in last 8 games following a straight loss.
  • 3-7-1 ATS in last 11 home games vs. a team with a road winning % below .400.
  • Under is 4-1 in last 5 overall.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Spurs are 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings.
  • Spurs are 13-3-1 ATS in the last 17 meetings in Boston.
  • Over is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
10.11.19 SAS BOS 115 : 135

PLAYER TRENDS

  • DeMar DeRozan has 24+ points in the Spurs’ last 5 games. (21.5)
  • LaMarcus Aldridge has 10+ rebounds in 4 of the Spurs’ last 5 games. (8.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
SAS 15 20 11-9 4-11
BOS 25 9 14-2 11-7

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
SAS 113.6 114.8 -1.2 228.4
BOS 110.9 103.5 +7.4 214.4

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
SAS OVER SAS
+6.0 219.5 129-114

THE RUB

The Celtics still have won 8 of their last 10 games and are 14-2 at home, playing their last 3 without Kemba with offensive struggles starting to show in their last outing with a season-worst 34.7-percent showing from the field in a 99-94 loss to the Wizards.

The Celtics rank 3rd in defensively while the Spurs rank 22nd, however the +6.0 for the Spurs is tempting, while the seasons first outing brought the points with a 135-115 Boston win.

OUR PICK  – OVER 219.5

TORONTO @ CHARLOTTE

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

RAPTORS TRENDS

  • 4-1 ATS in last 5 road games.
  • 5-0 ATS in last 5 games following a ATS loss.
  • 16-6 ATS in last 22 vs teams below .500.
  • 5-2 ATS in last 7 games as a favorite.
  • Over is 6-1-1 in last 8 vs teams below .500.
  • Under is 8-1-1 in last 10 games following a ATS loss.
  • Under is 5-1 in last 6 overall.
  • Over is 8-3 in last 11 vs teams below .400.

HORNETS TRENDS

  • 2-6 ATS in last 8 games overall.
  • 6-18 ATS in last 24 vs teams above .600.
  • 2-5 ATS in last 7 games as an underdog.
  • 0-4 ATS in last 4 home games.
  • Over is 3-0-1 in last 4 vs teams above .500.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
  • Over is 7-2 in last 9 vs teams above .600.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Over is 15-5-1 in the last 21 meetings in Charlotte.
  • Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
19.11.19 TOR CHA 132 : 96

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Serge Ibaka has 19+ points in 7 of the Raptors’ last 8 games against Eastern Conference teams. (18.5)
  • Terry Rozier has 28+ points in the Hornets’ last 3 games. (17.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
TOR 24 13 14-6 10-7
CHA 15 24 7-12 8-12

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
TOR 110.5 105.1 +5.4 215.6
CHA 104.4 111.0 -6.6 215.4

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
CHA OVER TOR
+3.5 207.5 112-110

THE RUB

Losers of 5 of their last 8, the banged-up Raptors will limp into Charlotte tonight. With Fred VanVleet (hamstring) joining a group of injured starters on the sidelines, the Raptors were unable to hold onto a late lead, losing 101-99 to Portland on Tuesday.

Charlotte have lost 7 of 9, including a 115-104 loss to the Pacers on Monday night.

Fred VanVleet strained his right hamstring and will join Marc Gasol, Pascal Siakam, and Norman Powell on the injury list

Toronto won 132-96 against visiting Charlotte on Nov. 18, but this outing will be different.

OUR PICK  – OVER 207.5

MIAMI @ INDIANA

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

HEAT TRENDS

  • 3-7 ATS in last 10 road games.
  • 4-1-1 ATS in last 6 vs teams above .600.
  • 15-7-1 ATS in last 23 games as a favorite.
  • 3-7 ATS in last 10 road games.
  • Over is 11-2 in last 13 after allowing 100+ points in their last game.
  • Over is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams above .600.
  • Over is 12-3-1 in last 16 games as a favorite.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 road games.
  • Over is 11-3 in last 14 overall.

PACERS TRENDS

  • 5-2 ATS in last 7 home games.
  • 15-7-1 ATS in last 23 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Over is 5-0 in last 5 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.
  • Over is 6-1 in last 7 overall.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams above .500.
  • Under is 25-11 in last 36 vs teams above .600.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Heat are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Heat are 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Indiana.
  • Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
28.12.19 MIA IND 113 : 112

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Goran Dragic has 6+ assists in his last 6 games against Central Division teams. (4.5)
  • Jimmy Butler has 20+ points in 7 of the Heat’s last 8 road games. (19.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
MIA 26 10 17-1 9-9
IND 23 14 15-4 8-10

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
MIA 111.1 107.3 +3.8 218.4
IND 109.5 106.2 +3.3 215.7

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
MIA OVER MIA
+1.0 209.5 122-108

THE RUB

The Heat will look to change their road-ways tonight in the opener of a three-game trip.

Miami is an NBA-best 17-1 at home but just breaking even at 9-9 on the road, trading wins and losses over their last 4 games, with the 2 losses coming by an average of 19 points to Washington and Orlando.

The Pacers are also off to a good start, going 23-14 overall and 15-4 at home.

Both teams rank rank top 10 in team assists with Indiana tied for 7th place (25.8) and Miami is 9th with (25.1).

OUR PICK  – OVER 209.5

WASHINGTON @ ORLANDO

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

WIZARDS TRENDS

  • 2-5 ATS in last 7 games following a straight up win.
  • 0-4 ATS in last 4 vs teams below .500.
  • Over is 6-0 in last 6 road games.
  • Over is 5-2 in last 7 vs teams below .500.
  • Over is 7-3 in last 10 overall.

MAGIC TRENDS

  • 5-1 ATS in last 6 vs teams below .400.
  • 7-2 ATS in last 9 vs teams below .500.
  • Under is 6-0 in last 6 home games.
  • Under is 7-1 in last 8 overall.
  • Under is 15-7 in last 22 vs teams below .400.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Orlando.
  • Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
  • Wizards are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Orlando.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
02.01.20 WAS ORL 101 : 122
04.12.19 WAS ORL 120 : 127
18.11.19 ORL WAS 125 : 121

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Evan Fournier has 15 points or less in 8 of his last 9 home games against the Wizards. (17.5)
  • Nikola Vucevic has 25+ points in 4 of the Magic’s last 5 home games against Southeast Division teams. (20.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
WAS 12 24 7-10 5-14
ORL 17 20 12-8 5-12

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
WAS 115.6 120.1 -4.5 235.7
ORL 103.2 103.8 -0.6 207.0

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
WAS OVER ORL
+10.0 220.5 123-89

THE RUB

The Magic are winners of 3 of their last 4 as they slowly try to climb back to .500.

Orlando averaged 124.7 ppg while taking the first three meetings this season.

The Wizards rank last in the league defensively and the Magic rank 6th, so Overs is a moral, especially if the surprising scoring output of Markelle Fultz and Ish Smith continue for their respective teams

OUR PICK  – OVER 220.5

HOUSTON @ ATLANTA

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

ROCKETS TRENDS

  • 5-1 ATS in last 6 games as a favorite.
  • 6-2 ATS in last 8 games overall.
  • 0-4 ATS in last 4 vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
  • 3-8 ATS in last 11 vs teams below .500.
  • Under is 7-2 in last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % below .400.
  • Under is 8-3 in last 11 games as a road favorite.

HAWKS TRENDS

  • 3-7 ATS in last 10 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Over is 18-8 in last 26 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.
  • Under is 6-1 in last 7 games following a ATS loss.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Rockets are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Atlanta.
  • Rockets are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
01.12.19 HOU ATL 158 : 111

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Trae Young has 29+ points in 4 of the Hawks’ last 5 games at State Farm Arena. (28.5)
  • James Harden has 44+ points in 4 of the Rockets’ last 5 games against Eastern Conference teams. (39.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
HOU 24 11 13-4 11-7
ATL 8 29 4-13 4-16

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
HOU 119.4 113.9 +5.5 233.3
ATL 107.5 117.3 -9.8 224.8

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
HOU OVER HOU
-8.0 235.5 122-115

THE RUB

The Rockets smashed the Hawks 158-111 on Nov. 30th in Houston, a game where Harden’s tallied 60-points. Harden didn’t even play in the 4th quarter and still wound up with his fourth 60-point game of his career. Houston shot 58.4% and hit 25 3-pointers in that victory.

Atlanta has won 2 of 4 since struggling through a second 10-game losing streak.

The Rockets have not played since Jan. 3 and should be rested enough to put the Hawks away in 3rd gear tonight.

OUR PICK  – HOUSTON -8.0

DENVER @ DALLAS

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

NUGGETS TRENDS

  • 2-5-1 ATS in last 8 games overall.
  • 1-5 ATS in last 6 games following a ATS win.
  • Over is 6-0 in last 6 overall.
  • Over is 6-0 in last 6 road games.
  • Over is 10-1 in last 11 when their opponent scores 100+ points in their last game.
  • Over is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams above .500.
  • Under is 8-3 in last 11 vs teams above .600.

MAVERICKS TRENDS

  • 13-5 ATS in last 18 vs teams above .600.
  • 11-5-1 ATS in last 17 games as a favorite.
  • 1-5-1 ATS in last 7 home games.
  • Over is 5-2 in last 7 home games.
  • Over is 20-8 in last 28 games as a favorite.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Nuggets are 2-6-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Dallas.
  • Nuggets are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
30.10.19 DEN DAL 106 : 109

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Luka Doncic has 31+ points in the Mavericks’ last 5 games as favorites. (30.5)
  • Jamal Murray has 15 points or less in the Nuggets’ last 4 games against Southwest Division teams. (19.5)
  • Nikola Jokic has 8+ assists in the Nuggets’ last 3 games against the Mavericks. (7.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
DEN 25 11 15-4 10-7
DAL 23 13 11-8 12-5

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
DEN 109.2 105.2 +4.0 214.4
DAL 116.7 109.3 +7.4 226.0

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
DEN UNDER DEN
+3.0 218.0 107-106

THE RUB

Doncic tallied 38 points, 11 rebounds and 10 assists during Monday’s 118-110 win at home over the Bulls for his ninth 30-point triple-double of the season, one more than the total of the rest of the NBA.

Dallas is 6th in the West, and at 23-13 are only just 2 games behind 2nd place Denver. The Mavs will face the Nuggets without Porzingis, who will miss his 5th straight game with right knee soreness.

Denver in a close one.

OUR PICK  – DENVER +3.0

CHICAGO @ NEW ORLEANS

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

BULLS TRENDS

  • 6-1-1 ATS in last 8 road games.
  • 5-2 ATS in last 7 vs teams below .400.
  • 0-3-1 ATS in last 4 games overall.
  • Under is 8-1 in last 9 vs teams below .400.
  • Over is 5-2 in last 7 road games.

PELICANS TRENDS

  • 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
  • 3-13 ATS in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a road winning % below .400.
  • Over is 5-0 in Pelicans last 5 overall.
  • Under is 8-1 in Pelicans last 9 vs teams below .400.
  • Over is 4-1 in Pelicans last 5 home games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Bulls are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
  • Over is 12-4-1 in the last 17 meetings in New Orleans.
  • Bulls are 14-3-1 ATS in the last 18 meetings in New Orleans.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Lonzo Ball has 21+ points in the Pelicans’ last 4 games. (15.5)
  • Zach LaVine has 28+ points in 5 of the Bulls’ last 6 road games against Western Conference teams. (26.5)
  • Brandon Ingram has 5+ assists in his last 3 games against the Bulls. (4.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
CHI 13 24 7-13 6-11
NOR 12 25 6-12 6-13

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
CHI 105.8 107.2 -1.4 213.0
NOR 112.8 116.9 -4.1 229.7

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
NOR UNDER NOR
-5.0 223.0 123-108

THE RUB

The Pelicans look to record their 7th win in their last 10 after victories in just 6 of their first 28 games before their current streak doubled their win total.

Chicago has lost 4 straight after falling 118-110 in Dallas on Monday.

New Orleans with little confidence.

OUR PICK  – NEW ORLEANS WIN

NEW YORK @ UTAH

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

KNICKS TRENDS

  • 4-1 ATS in last 5 games overall.
  • 6-2 ATS in last 8 road games.
  • 19-39-1 ATS in last 59 vs teams above .600.
  • Over is 4-0 in last 4 vs teams above .500.
  • Under is 11-2 in last 13 games playing on 0 days rest.

JAZZ TRENDS

  • 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
  • 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs teams below .500.
  • 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs teams below .400.
  • Over is 5-0 in Jazz last 5 vs teams below .500.
  • Over is 7-2 in Jazz last 9 home games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Knicks are 23-5 ATS in the last 28 meetings.
  • Knicks are 14-3 ATS in the last 17 meetings in Utah.
  • Over is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Rudy Gobert has 16+ rebounds in 7 of the Jazz’s last 8 home games against Eastern Conference teams. (15.5)
  • Donovan Mitchell has 26+ points in 4 of the Jazz’s last 5 games at Vivint Smart Home Arena. (25.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
NY 10 27 5-12 5-15
UTA 24 12 13-3 11-9

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
NY 104.2 111.9 -7.7 216.1
UTA 108.4 105.9 +2.5 214.3

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
UTA OVER UTA
-11.0 218.5 128-104

THE RUB

The Jazz are looking for their 7th straight win tonight, and have won 11 of their last 12, including Monday’s 128-126 road win over the Pelicans.

New York are 0-3 on a 4-game road trip after being smashed 117-87 by the Lakers on Tuesday.

The Jazz averaged 133 ppg while sweeping last season’s two meetings and have won 7 of the past 10 outings.

Knicks on a B2B against the Jazz who’ve held the Knicks by the balls in recent times.

OUR PICK  – UTAH -11.0

MILWAUKEE @ GOLDEN STATE

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

BUCKS TRENDS

  • 8-1 ATS in last 9 vs teams below .400.
  • 10-3 ATS in last 13 vs teams below .500.
  • 5-2 ATS in last 7 games as a road favorite.
  • 13-6 ATS in last 19 games overall.
  • 13-6 ATS in last 19 games as a favorite.
  • Under is 10-3 in last 13 road games vs. a team with a home winning % below .400.
  • Over is 5-2 in last 7 road games.

WARRIORS TRENDS

  • 1-4 ATS in last 5 games overall.
  • 3-9-1 ATS in last 13 vs teams above .500.
  • Under is 9-3 in last 12 home games.
  • Under is 7-2 in last 9 games as a home underdog

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Bucks are 12-5-1 ATS in the last 18 meetings.
  • Bucks are 9-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Golden State.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Eric Bledsoe has 20+ points in 6 of his last 7 games against the Warriors. (13.5)
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo has 24 points or less in his last 4 road games. (28.5)
  • Khris Middleton has 23+ points in 5 of the Bucks’ last 6 road games. (19.5)
  • Alec Burks has 20+ points in the Warriors’ last 3 games as home underdogs against Eastern Conference teams. (14.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
MIL 32 6 18-2 14-4
GSW 9 29 6-12 3-17

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
MIL 119.2 107.3 +11.9 226.5
GSW 105.1 112.9 -7.8 218.0

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
MIL UNDER MIL
-13.5 220.5 107-98

THE RUB

Can’t see much hope for the Warriors tonight with the Bucks set to make amends for a poor 1260-104 loss to the Spurs in their last game.

OUR PICK  – MILWAUKEE -13.5

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