FREE NBA PICKS
*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.
DP’S NBA PLAYER PROP
SEASON RECORD: 24-14
Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop, exclusive to subscribers.
DETROIT @ CLEVELAND
Despite all the trade talk surrounding Andre Drummond, I’m going to take 
him with confidence to cover his rebound line of 16.5 against the Cavaliers.
Drummond is averaging 15.9 boards on the year but his on-court leadership is vital right now for the Pistons who are severely short-handed.
Of late, Drummond has returned 3 games of 18 boards in his past 5 games, with the latest big sum coming against the Lakers who protect the rim and glass with pride.
Fronting up against the depleted Cavs should be an easy task.
K Love & T Thompson are questionable, which means extended minutes with J Henson & A Zizic. This will favor Drummond immensely.
We won yesterday on rebounds, so let’s roll the dice on the boards once more.
DP’S PICK – ANDRE DRUMMOND OVER 16.5 REBOUNDS – WIN
PARLAYS
PARLAY
- DETROIT @ CLEVELAND – OVER 215.0
- MINNESOTA @ MEMPHIS – MEMPHIS WIN
- SACRAMENTO @ PHOENIX – OVER 226.0
ODDS – $6.07 – WIN
TREND BETS
SEASON RECORD: 16-16
DETROIT @ CLEVELAND
TEAM TRENDS
PISTONS TRENDS
- Over is 6-0 in last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 games vs teams below .400.
- Over is 6-2 in last 8 overall.
CAVALIERS TRENDS
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams below .500.
- Over is 5-2 in last 7 overall.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Cleveland.
- Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
TREND BET – OVER 215.0 – WIN
*Strongest trend bet of the night. Not necessarily our pick.
If trends are your thing, this is your pick.
DETROIT @ CLEVELAND
TEAM TRENDS
PISTONS TRENDS
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 games as a favorite.
- 5-2 ATS in last 7 games vs teams below .400.
- 5-12-1 ATS in last 18 road games.
- 3-8 ATS in last 11 games overall.
- Over is 6-0 in last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 games vs teams below .400.
- Over is 6-2 in last 8 overall.
- Under is 9-4 in last 13 road games.
CAVALIERS TRENDS
- 19-7-1 ATS in last 27 games vs teams below .400.
- 5-11-1 ATS in last 17 home games.
- 0-4 ATS in last 4 games overall.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams below .500.
- Over is 5-2 in last 7 overall.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Pistons are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Cleveland.
- Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Cleveland.
- Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 04.12.19 | CLE | DET | 94 : 127 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Andre Drummond has 16 points or less in 13 of his last 15 road games. (16.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| DET | 13 | 24 | 8-10 | 5-14 |
| CLE | 10 | 26 | 6-13 | 4-13 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| DET | 108.2 | 111.0 | -2.8 | 219.2 |
| CLE | 104.4 | 113.6 | -9.2 | 218.0 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| DET | OVER | DET |
| -3.0 | 215.0 | 115-113 |
THE RUB
Detroit is playing shorthanded with Blake Griffin (knee) Marcus Morris (foot) and guards Luke Kennard (knee) and Reggie Jackson (back).
The Cavaliers will aim to end a 4-game slide against the Pistons, who have lost 9 of their last 11 games.
There are troubles in the Cleveland camp, with Kevin Love publicly expressing frustration by yelling at general manager Koby Altman Saturday morning shootaround and displayed that emotion at times later that night during a 121-106 loss to Oklahoma City.
OUR PICK – DETROIT WIN & OVER 215.0
PORTLAND @ TORONTO
TEAM TRENDS
TRAIL BLAZERS TRENDS
- 1-6-1 ATS in last 8 games overall.
- 1-6 ATS in last 7 road games.
- 1-9-2 ATS in last 12 games vs teams above .600.
- 0-6 ATS in last 6 games vs teams above .500.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 vs teams above .500.
- Under is 7-2 in last 9 road games.
- Over is 38-18 in last 56 games vs teams above .600.
RAPTORS TRENDS
- 20-8 ATS in last 28 games vs teams above .500.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
- Over is 9-4 in last 13 games following a ATS win.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Trail Blazers are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Toronto.
- Over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Toronto.
- Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 14.11.19 | POR | TOR | 106 : 114 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Hassan Whiteside has 14 points or less in his last 5 games against the Raptors at Scotiabank Arena. (TBC)
- Damian Lillard has scored 30+ points in 5 of the last 6 games.
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| POR | 15 | 22 | 8-9 | 7-13 |
| TOR | 24 | 12 | 14-5 | 10-7 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| POR | 112.3 | 114.0 | -1.7 | 226.3 |
| TOR | 110.8 | 105.2 | +5.6 | 216.0 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| POR | OVER | POR |
| +2.5 | 220.0 | 101-99 |
THE RUB
Toronto shot 31.5% from the floor, and went 6-of-42 from 3-point, in an 84-76 loss at Miami on Thursday but were a different team on Saturday, going off for 73 points in the 2nd half, cruising to a 121-102 win at Brooklyn.
The Blazers are losers of 6 of their last 7 and followed the lone win in that span, a 122-103 win at Washington, with a 122-111 loss at Miami on Sunday.
Marc Gasol (hamstring), F Pascal Siakam (groin), and F Norman Powell (shoulder) all remain out indefinitely.
Too many moving pieces to be confident in any outlay here.
OUR PICK – NO BET
IF YOU MUST – PORTLAND WIN
OKLAHOMA CITY @ BROOKLYN
TEAM TRENDS
THUNDER TRENDS
- 5-0 ATS in last 5 games overall.
- 4-0 ATS in last 4 road games.
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 games vs teams above .500.
- Over is 11-1 in last 12 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 overall.
-
Under is 7-2 in last 9 road games.
NETS TRENDS
- 5-0 ATS in last 5 games as a home underdog.
- 7-3 ATS in last 10 home games.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 games vs teams above .500.
- 0-5 ATS in last 5 games overall.
- Over is 5-2 in Nts last 7 overall.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Thunder are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Brooklyn.
- Thunder are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
- Over is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings in Brooklyn.
PLAYER TRENDS
- Dennis Schroder has 21+ points in 5 of his last 6 road games against Eastern Conference teams. (20.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| OKC | 20 | 16 | 12-6 | 8-10 |
| BKN | 16 | 19 | 9-7 | 7-12 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| OKC | 108.8 | 107.5 | +1.3 | 216.3 |
| BKN | 109.7 | 111.7 | -2.0 | 221.4 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| OKC | OVER | OKC |
| +1.0 | 216.0 | 111-103 1OT |
THE RUB
Heading into tonight the Thunder are, surprisingly, one of the hottest teams in the NBA with a record of 20-16 and 9-2 in 11 games since Dec. 14.
The Nets aim to halt a 6-game slide, failing to reach 100 points for the third time during the slide when they fell 101-89 to the Magic on Monday.
OKC for us.
OUR PICK – OKLAHOMA CITY WIN
MINNESOTA @ MEMPHIS
TEAM TRENDS
TIMBERWOLVES TRENDS
- 4-0 ATS in last 4 games overall.
- 4-1-1 ATS in last 6 road games.
- 3-7 ATS in last 10 games as a favorite.
- 3-10-1 ATS in last 14 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.
- Under is 8-0 in last 8 after allowing 100+ points in their last game.
- Under is 7-0 in last 7 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 road games.
- Under is 8-2 in last 10 overall.
GRIZZLIES TRENDS
- 4-1-1 ATS in last 6 games overall.
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 home games.
- 7-3 ATS in last 10 games vs teams above .500.
- Over is 7-0 in last 7 home games.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
- Over is 7-3 in last 10 vs teams above .500.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Timberwolves are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
- Timberwolves are 8-20 ATS in the last 28 meetings in Memphis.
- Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Memphis.
- Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 02.12.19 | MIN | MEM | 107 : 115 |
| 07.11.19 | MEM | MIN | 137 : 121 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Ja Morant has 4 assists in the Grizzlies’ last 3 home games against Western Conference teams. (7.5)
- Jae Crowder has 12+ points in his last 4 games against the Timberwolves. (10.5)
- Jonas Valanciunas has 18+ points in his last 3 home games against Western Conference teams. (15.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| MIN | 14 | 21 | 5-11 | 9-10 |
| MEM | 15 | 22 | 7-12 | 8-10 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| MIN | 111.8 | 114.3 | -2.5 | 226.1 |
| MEM | 112.4 | 116.4 | -4.0 | 228.8 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| MEM | OVER | MEM |
| -2.5 | 228.0 | 119-112 |
THE RUB
Memphis smashed the Clippers 140-114 on Saturday and continued that form on the 2nd night of the back-to-back, going 54.2% from the floor in a 121-114 win at Phoenix on Sunday. The Grizzlies are winners of 9 of their last 15 and are averaging 117.9 ppg in that span.
The Timberwolves are 4-2 since suffering through an 11-game losing streak and are surviving despite the absence of Karl-Anthony Towns, who sat out the last 10 games with a knee injury and remains questionable.
Memphis in the groove in a game that should bring the points.
OUR PICK – MEMPHIS WIN & OVER 228.0
SACRAMENTO @ PHOENIX
TEAM TRENDS
KINGS TRENDS
- 12-5 ATS in last 17 road games.
- 12-5 ATS in last 17 road games.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 games vs teams below .400.
- 1-5 ATS in last 6 games vs teams above .500.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 road games.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 games vs teams below .400.
SUNS TRENDS
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 games overall.
- 3-7 ATS in last 10 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % below .400.
- Over is 13-4 in last 17 home games.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 games vs teams below .400.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Kings are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Phoenix.
- Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Phoenix.
SEASON SERIES
| 29.12.19 | SAC | PHO | 110 : 112 |
| 20.11.19 | SAC | PHO | 120 : 116 |
| 24.10.19 | PHO | SAC | 124 : 95 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Devin Booker has 32+ points in the Suns’ last 6 games. (27.5)
- Kelly Oubre Jr. has 20+ points in 4 of the Suns’ last 5 games. (18.5)
- Buddy Hield has 20 points or less in the Kings’ last 5 road games. (21.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| SAC | 13 | 23 | 7-10 | 6-13 |
| PHO | 14 | 22 | 7-13 | 7-9 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| SAC | 105.9 | 109 | -3.1 | 214.9 |
| PHO | 114.2 | 115.2 | -1.0 | 229.4 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| SAC | OVER | SAC |
| +6.5 | 226.0 | 114-103 |
THE RUB
Devin Booker looks to stretch his franchise-record streak of 30-point games to 7 tonight. Booker’s 40-point outing Sunday was his 6th straight of 30+ point game to move past the previous mark shared by Charlie Scott (twice) and Charles Barkley.
The Kings are tied for the NBA lead in games decided by three or fewer with 12.
OUR PICK – OVER 226.5
NEW YORK @ LA LAKERS
TEAM TRENDS
KNICKS TRENDS
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 games overall.
- 6-2 ATS in last 8 road games.
- 6-13 ATS in last 19 games vs teams above .600.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.
- Under is 21-8 in last 29 games after scoring 125+ points in their last game.
LAKERS TRENDS
- 2-5 ATS in last 7 games vs teams below .400.
- 2-8-1 ATS in last 11 games overall.
- 1-4-1 ATS in last 6 home games.
- 9-2-1 ATS in last 12 home games vs. a team with a road winning % below .400.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 vs teams above .500.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 games vs teams below .400.
- Under is 7-3 in last 10 overall.
- Under is 39-17-1 in last 57 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Knicks are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
- Knicks are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Los Angeles.
- Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles.
- Over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings.
PLAYER TRENDS
- Anthony Davis has 31+ points in his last 5 games against the Knicks. (27.5)
- Marcus Morris has 21+ points in 5 of his last 6 games against Pacific Division teams. (18.5)
- LeBron James has 12+ assists in 4 of the Lakers’ last 5 games. (11.5)
() = BOOKIE LINE
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| NY | 10 | 26 | 5-12 | 5-14 |
| LAL | 29 | 7 | 14-4 | 15-3 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| NY | 104.7 | 111.8 | -7.1 | 216.5 |
| LAL | 112.7 | 105.4 | +7.3 | 218.1 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| LAL | UNDER | |
| -12.5 | 222.0 |
THE RUB
The Los Angeles Lakers seek their sixth consecutive victory, while the Knicks will try to end Los Angeles’ 20-0 mark against teams below .500 this season.
Despite the Knicks dominance over the sub .500’s, they are struggling ATS, failing to cover 9 of their last 11 games.
On the flip side, the Knicks are just 6-13 ATS in last 19 games vs teams above .600.
Lakers to flex tonight.
OUR PICK – LA LAKERS -12.5
