FREE NBA PICKS
*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.
NBA PARLAY
PARLAY
- Denver @ Philadelphia – Philadelphia -4.0
- Atlanta @ Miami – Miami WIN
ODDS – $2.29 – WIN
FAVORITES PARLAY
- Denver @ Philadelphia – Philadelphia WIN
- Atlanta @ Miami – Miami WIN
- New York @ Portland – WIN
ODDS – $2.23 – WIN
DP’S NBA PLAYER PROP
SEASON RECORD: 8-3
Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop, exclusive to subscribers.
NEW YORK @ PORTLAND
Portland are set to host their 4th straight home fixture against a Knicks outfit 
who have lost 9 straight and have held opponents to 100 points or less on just 1 occasion in 23 outings.
Enter CJ McCollum who should be too crafty and hungry for points after returning an uncharacteristic 13 of 34 (38% on the floor) across his past two fixtures, both which have resulted in defeats.
I fully expect CJ to get back to his season average of 44% on the floor and cover his 20.5 comfortably as the Blazers put the Knicks to the sword.
DP’S BEST BET – CJ MCCOLLUM OVER 20.5 POINTS
TREND BET
DENVER @ PHILADELPHIA
NUGGETS TRENDS
- 2-5-1 ATS in last 8 road games.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 games overall.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 vs teams above .500.
76ERS TRENDS
- 6-2 ATS in last 8 vs teams above .600.
- 8-3 ATS in last 11 vs teams above .500.
- 5-2 ATS in last 7 games as a home favorite.
- 5-2 ATS in last 7 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Nuggets are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
- Nuggets are 1-3-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Philadelphia.
TREND BET – PHILADELPHIA -4.0 – WIN
WASHINGTON @ CHARLOTTE
TEAM TRENDS
WIZARDS TRENDS
- 2-6 ATS in last 8 games as a favorite.
- 4-12 ATS in last 16 games as a road favorite.
- 12-26-1 ATS in last 39 road vs teams with losing home records.
- Over is 9-3 in last 12 vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Over is 29-13-1 in last 43 when their opponent allows 100+ points in their last game.
CHARLOTTE TRENDS
- 12-3 ATS in last 15 vs teams below .400.
- 3-7 ATS in last 10 games as an underdog.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 games overall.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams below .400.
- Under is 6-1 in last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 7-2 in last 9 vs teams below .500.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Wizards are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Charlotte.
- Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 23.11.19 | WAS | CHA | 125 : 118 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Davis Bertans has 19+ points in the Wizards’ last 5 games.
- Bradley Beal has 23 points or less in 4 of the Wizards’ last 5 road games.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| WAS | 7 | 15 | 4-6 | 3-9 |
| CHA | 9 | 16 | 5-8 | 4-8 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| WAS | 118.2 | 122.5 | -4.3 | 240.7 |
| CHA | 105.4 | 113.1 | -7.7 | 218.5 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| WAS | Over | CHA |
| -1.5 | 229.0 | 114-107 |
THE RUB
Washington will have to overcome an 8-game road losing streak against East teams in order to hand Charlotte its 3rd home loss tonight.
Washington enters tonight 3rd in scoring offense, averaging 118.2 ppg, but last in scoring defense, giving up 122.5 ppg.
The Hornets are 1-3 as part of the five-game homestand that closes with the Washington game.
Overs for a small stake.
OUR PICK – OVER 229.0
ATLANTA @ MIAMI
TEAM TRENDS
HAWKS TRENDS
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 vs teams above .600.
- 1-7 ATS in last 8 games following a ATS win.
- 7-18-1 ATS in last 26 games following a win 10+ points.
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 vs teams above .500.
- Over is 13-3 in last 16 overall.
- Over is 12-3 in last 15 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.
- Over is 8-2 in last 10 road games.
- Over is 5-2 in last 7 vs teams above .600.
HEAT TRENDS
- 10-2-1 ATS in last 13 vs teams below .400.
- 9-2 ATS in last 11 vs teams below .500.
- 9-2 ATS in last 11 home games.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 games overall.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams below .400.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 home games.
- Over is 16-5 in last 21 games following a ATS loss.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Hawks are 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Miami.
- Under is 20-6 in the last 26 meetings in Miami.
SEASON SERIES
| 01.11.19 | ATL | MIA | 97 : 106 |
| 30.10.19 | MIA | ATL | 112 : 97 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Trae Young has 29+ points in the Hawks’ last 7 games as underdogs.
- Tyler Herro has 18+ points in the Heat’s last 5 home games.
- Bam Adebayo has 21+ points in the Heat’s last 3 home games against East teams.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| ATL | 6 | 17 | 3-8 | 3-9 |
| MIA | 17 | 6 | 10-0 | 7-6 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| ATL | 108.7 | 117.3 | -8.6 | 226.0 |
| MIA | 111.0 | 105.5 | +5.5 | 216.5 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| MIA | Under | MIA |
| -8.5 | 218.5 | 135-122 1OT |
THE RUB
The Hawks (6-17) have won 9 of their last 12 road games and rank 3rd worst defensively at 117.3 ppg allowed.
This will mark the 3rd meeting between these two, with the Heat holding a 2-0 lead after downing the Hawks both at home and on the road.
The Heat had to work to keep their perfect home record with an OT win over Chicago on Sunday but come into tonight with a 10-0 record at home, with wins in 5 of their last 6 despite injuries to Justise Winslow (back) and Goran Dragic (groin).
Trae Young is averaging 34.4 points over his last eight games, but that won’t help them get over the line tonight given that the Heat love to feast on the bottom dwellers with a 10-2-1 record ATS in their last 13 vs teams below .400.
OUR PICK – MIAMI -8.5
DENVER @ PHILADELPHIA
TEAM TRENDS
NUGGETS TRENDS
- 2-5-1 ATS in last 8 road games.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 games overall.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 vs teams above .500.
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.
- Over is 8-1 in last 9 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 overall.
- Under is 36-16 in last 52 when their opponent allows 100+ points in their last game.
76ERS TRENDS
- 6-2 ATS in last 8 vs teams above .600.
- 8-3 ATS in last 11 vs teams above .500.
- 5-2 ATS in last 7 games as a home favorite.
- 5-2 ATS in last 7 home games.
- Under is 6-1-1 in last 8 games following a straight up win.
- Under is 7-1-1 in last 9 when their opponent allows 100+ points in their last game.
- Under is 4-1-1 in last 6 vs teams above .500.
- Under is 7-2-1 in last 10 overall.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Nuggets are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
- Nuggets are 1-3-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Philadelphia.
- Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 09.11.19 | DEN | PHI | 100 : 97 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Nikola Jokic has 21+ points in the Nuggets’ last 7 games as underdogs.
- Tobias Harris has 21+ points in the 76ers’ last 3 games as favorites against Northwest teams.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| DEN | 14 | 7 | 8-3 | 6-4 |
| PHI | 17 | 7 | 12-0 | 5-7 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| DEN | 106.5 | 101.9 | +4.6 | 208.4 |
| PHI | 110.2 | 104 | +6.2 | 214.2 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| PHI | Under | PHI |
| -4.0 | 208.5 | 97-92 |
THE RUB
The Sixers look for their 13th straight win at home tonight.
Set to meet for the 2nd and final time this season, the Nuggets and 76ers first meeting was a thriller, as the Nuggets overcame a 21-point 4th-quarter deficit to win 100-97.
Completing a similar result at a venue where Philadelphia is 12-0 this season certainly won’t be easy for the Nuggets.
These two teams rank in the top six in defensive efficiency, Unders a nice play.
OUR PICK – PHILADELPHIA WIN & UNDER 208.5
NEW YORK @ PORTLAND
TEAM TRENDS
KNICKS TRENDS
- 7-19 ATS in last 26 games playing on 2 days rest.
- 1-5 ATS in last 6 vs teas below .400.
- 1-7 ATS in last 8 vs teams below .500.
- 3-8 ATS in last 11 road vs teams with losing home records.
- Under is 11-3 in last 14 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.
- Under is 6-2 in last 8 vs teams below .400.
- Over is 7-3 in last 10 vs teams below .500.
- Under is 18-8-1 in last 27 overall.
TRAIL BLAZERS TRENDS
- 21-10 ATS in last 31 home vs teams with road winning %’s below .400.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 games overall.
- 4-10-2 ATS in last 16 home games.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams below .500.
- Over is 15-5-1 in last 21 home vs teams with losing road records.
- Over is 26-9-1 in last 36 home games.
- Over is 21-8-1 in last 30 games as a home favorite.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Knicks are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Portland.
- Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Portland.
- Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
PLAYER TRENDS
- Damian Lillard has 29+ points in 6 of the Blazers’ last 7 games as favourites against the Knicks.
- Marcus Morris has 20+ points in 5 of the Knicks’ last 6 games against West teams.
- Hassan Whiteside has 13+ rebounds in his last 3 games against the Knicks.
- Julius Randle, who averaged 28.5 points across his last 4 games against Portland.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| NY | 4 | 19 | 3-10 | 1-9 |
| POR | 9 | 15 | 4-6 | 5-9 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| NY | 100.6 | 111.0 | -10.4 | 211.6 |
| POR | 112.7 | 115.4 | -2.7 | 228.1 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| POR | Under | POR |
| -9.0 | 222.5 | 115-87 |
THE RUB
The 4-19 Knicks are without a win in 9 outings. They hold an even longer losing streak (14 games) against Northwest Division opponents.
Although better off at 9-15, Portland are enduring an underwhelming start to 2019-20.
These two teams rank in the bottom 3rd of the league defensively so trends for Unders is solid. But Portland to get some confidence in this one is the bet.
OUR PICK – PORTLAND -9.0
