9 GAMES – NBA PICKS – 9/12/19

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*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.

NBA PARLAY

PARLAY

  • Memphis @ Golden State – Under 219.5
  • Sacramento @ Houston – Clint Capela Over 14.5 Rebounds

ODDS – $3.64 – WIN


DP’S PLAYER PROP

8-3 Season Record

Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop, exclusive to subscribers.

SACRAMENTO @ HOUSTON

Capela is primed to capitalize on the glass against the Kings who are the 3rd worst rebounding unit in the league, and will carry heavy legs on the 2nd-set of a back to back & 4th straight road game.

With seven  20+ rebounding games this year, Capela is presented with a strong match up to add to this tally, in particular, after coming off a softer than usual set of 10 & 13 in two straight W’s for the Rockets.

DP’S BEST BET – CLINT CAPELA OVER 14.5 REBOUNDS – WIN


TREND BETS

OKLAHOMA CITY @ UTAH

OKLAHOMA CITY

  • 4-0 ATS in last 4 games playing on 0 days rest.
  • 7-2 ATS in last 9 vs teams above .500.
  • 7-3 ATS in last 10 games overall.

UTAH

  • 2-5 ATS in last 7 games as a home favorite.
  • 5-12-1 ATS in last 18 Monday games.

MATCHUP

  • Thunder are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Utah.
  • Thunder are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

TREND BET – OKLAHOMA CITY +8.5 – WIN


MEMPHIS @ GOLDEN STATE

MEMPHIS

  • Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams below .400.
  • Under is 14-5 in last 19 Monday games.

GOLDEN STATE

  • Under is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
  • Under is 6-0 in last 6 vs teams below .400.
  • Under is 8-2 in last 10 when their opponent allows 100+ points in their last game.
  • Under is 10-4 in last 14 home games vs teams with losing road records.

MATCHUP

  • Under is 15-7 in the last 22 meetings.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Golden State.

TREND BET – UNDER 219.5 – WIN


LA CLIPPERS @ INDIANA

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

CLIPPERS TRENDS

  • 1-4 ATS in last 5 games as a road favorite.
  • 1-4 ATS in 5 vs teams above .600.
  • 2-7 ATS in their last 8 road games.
  • Under is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams above .600.
  • Over is 6-2 in last 8 games as a road favorite.

PACERS TRENDS

  • 4-11 ATS in last 15 vs teams above .600.
  • 2-7-1 ATS in last 10 vs teams above .500.
  • 16-5-1 ATS in last 22 home vs. a team with a road winning % below .400.
  • Under is 21-7 in last 28 vs teams above .600.
  • Over is 8-3 in last 11 home games following a road trip of 7+ days.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Clippers are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
  • Clippers are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Indiana.
  • Under is 13-3 in the last 16 meetings in Indiana.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Myles Turner has 16+ points in the Pacers’ last 4 home games against Pacific teams.
  • T.J. Warren has 24+ points in four of the Pacers’ last 5 games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME
LAC 17 7 13-1
IND 15 8 9-2

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
LAC 115.3 108.7 +6.6 224.0
IND 109.2 104.5 +4.7 213.7

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
IND Under LAC
+2.5 217.0 110-99

THE RUB

The Pacers look to continue their climb in the East with 5 of the next 6 at home, starting with a visit from the road-weary Clippers.

The Pacers rebounded from just their 2nd loss in 9 games after a challenge from the Knicks on the road Saturday, before earning a 104-103 win.

The Clippers play their 5th game in 9 days to and coach Rivers stated that George or Leonard could be rested with another 3-game, 4-day stretch starting at Toronto on Wednesday.

Too many unknown rest factors for the Clippers in this one.

OUR PICK  – INDIANA +2.5


CLEVELAND @ BOSTON

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

CAVALIERS TRENDS

  • 1-4 ATS in last 5 vs teams above .600.
  • 2-10 ATS in last 12 games overall.
  • 1-6 ATS in last 7 vs teams above .500.
  • 0-4 ATS in last 4 road games.
  • Over is 4-0 in last 4 road games.
  • Over is 22-10 in last 32 games playing on 1 days rest.

CELTICS TRENDS

  • 4-1 ATS in last 5 games overall.
  • 4-1-1 ATS in last 6 home games.
  • 1-3-1 ATS in last 5 vs teams below .500.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams below .500.
  • Under is 8-3 in last 11 overall.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Boston.
  • Cavaliers are 1-3-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Under is 12-5 in the last 17 meetings in Boston.
  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
06.11.19 CLE BOS 113 : 119

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Jaylen Brown has 21+ points in his last 7 games at TD Garden.
  • Kemba Walker has 25+ points in 6 of his last 7  games at TD Garden.
  • Collin Sexton has 21+ points in the Cavaliers’ last 3 games against the Celtics.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME
CLE 5 17 3-9
BOS 16 5 9-0

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
CLE 102.9 113.2 -10.3 216.1
BOS 110.7 103.5 +7.2 214.2

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
BOS Under BOS
-12.0 216.0 110-88

THE RUB

The 5-17 Cavs visit the 16-5 Boston Celtics at TD Garden.

The Celtics, winners of 5  of their last 6, are coming off wins of 19 and 13 points over the Heat and Nuggets. The Cavs have lost 6-straight and 12 of 13, a slide extended by a 47-point loss to the Philadelphia 76ers on Saturday.

The Cavs are up against the wall tonight, facing a Celtics side that is yet to lose at home and most recently beata the Nuggets 108-95. In a further boost to Boston, Gordon Hayward (questionable) could return from a 13-game absence.

Boston with confidence.

OUR PICK  –  BOSTON -12.0


TORONTO @ CHICAGO

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

RAPTORS TRENDS

  • 13-3 ATS in last 16 vs teams below .500.
  • 12-4 ATS in last 16 games playing on 0 days rest.
  • 5-2 ATS in last 7 vs teams below .400.
  • 21-9-1 ATS in last 31 games overall.
  • Over is 6-0 in last 6 vs teams below .400.
  • Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams below .500.

BULLS TRENDS

  • 9-24 ATS in last 33 home games.
  • 2-7 ATS in last 9 vs teams above .600.
  • 2-8 ATS in last 10 vs teams above .500.
  • Under is 5-1 in last 6 overall.
  • Under is 5-1 in last 6 home games.
  • Over is 14-4 in last 18 vs teams above .500.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Raptors are 6-15 ATS in the last 21 meetings.
  • Over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Chicago.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
  • Raptors are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Chicago.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
27.10.19 CHI TOR 84 : 108

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Wendell Carter Jr. has 10+ rebounds in the Bulls’ last 4 games.
  • Zach LaVine has 13 points or less in his last 3 games against the Raptors.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME
TOR 15 7 9-2
CHI 8 16 4-8

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
TOR 112.5 105.9 +6.6 218.4
CHI 106.0 109.2 -3.2 215.2

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
TOR UNDER TOR
-4.5 215.5 93-92

THE RUB

Both are on the 2nd leg of a back-to-back tonight.

The Bulls have struggled to buck lowly expectations, holding a poor 1-10 record when classed as underdogs, putting the Raptors in a good spot to get back into the winner’s circle.

Toronto has won the last 10 meetings, including a 108-84 win at Chicago earlier this season.

OUR PICK  – TORONTO -4.5 & UNDER 215.5


SACRAMENTO @ HOUSTON

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

KINGS TRENDS

  • 5-0 ATS in last 5 vs teams above .600.
  • 7-0 ATS in last 7 vs teams above .500.
  • 13-3 ATS in last 16 games overall.
  • 8-2 ATS in last 10 road games.
  • 3-11 ATS in last 14 games playing on 0 days rest.
  • Under is 5-0 in last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.
  • Under is 6-0 in last 6 vs teams above .600.
  • Under is 6-1 in last 7 road games.
  • Under is 9-3 in last 12 overall.
  • Under is 5-2 in last 7 vs teams above .500.

ROCKETS TRENDS

  • 5-1 ATS in last 6 vs teams below .400.
  • 6-2 ATS in last 8 home games.
  • 5-2 ATS in last 7 vs teams below .500.
  • 11-5 ATS in last 16 games overall.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams below .400.
  • Under is 23-10-2 in last 35 games playing on 1 days rest.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Kings are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
  • Kings are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Houston.
  • Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Clint Capela has 19+ rebounds in 7 of his last 8 games against West teams.
  • James Harden has 40+ points in the Rockets’ last 3 games against teams who are playing on the 2nd leg of a back-to-back.
  • Russell Westbrook has 10+ assists in the Rockets’ last 3 games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME
SAC 9 13 5-4
HOU 15 7 9-2

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
SAC 105.1 108.5 -3.4 213.6
HOU 120.5 114.9 +5.6 235.4

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
HOU Under SAC
-12.0 227.5 119-118

THE RUB

The Rockets swept last season’s 4-game series, winning each game by double-digits, and have lost just once from their last 10 games at Toyota Center.

Sacramento held on to win 110-106 in Dallas last night after leading by as many as 24. The Kings snapped a 4-game road losing streak while doing so.

Rockets too good here.

OUR PICK  –  UNDER 227.5


ORLANDO @ MILWAUKEE

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

MAGIC TRENDS

  • 4-1 ATS in last 5 road games.
  • 3-7-1 ATS in last 11 vs teams above .500.
  • 2-6-1 ATS in last 9 vs teams above .600.
  • Over is 8-2 in last 10 when their opponent scores 100+ points in their last game.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams above .600.
  • Under is 3-1-1 in last 5 vs teams above .500.
  • Over is 9-4 in last 13 overall.

BUCKS TRENDS

  • 4-0 ATS in last 4 games overall.
  • 18-8-1 ATS in last 27 games following a ATS win.
  • 30-12-1 ATS in last 43 games following a win of 10+ points.
  • Over is 24-9 in last 33 games playing on 2 days rest.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Magic are 1-3-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings.
  • Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
02.11.19 ORL MIL 91 : 123

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Markelle Fultz has scored the 1st basket in 3 of the Magic’s last 4 games against East teams.
  • Aaron Gordon has 5 rebounds or less in his last four games against Central teams.
  • Markelle Fultz has 15+ points in 4 of the Magic’s last 5 games against East teams.
  • Eric Bledsoe has 15+ points in 9 of his last 10 games against the Magic.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME
ORL 11 11 8-4
MIL 20 3 10-1

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
ORL 103.0 102.6 +0.4 205.6
MIL 121.0 107.4 +13.6 228.4

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
MIL Under MIL
-12.0 219.0 110-101

THE RUB

The Bucks go in search of their 15th straight win tonight, the franchise’s longest winning streak since 1973.

The Bucks have taken the first two of this season series with dominance winning their first encounter 123-91 in Orlando and the second 119-91 at home. That marked the 3rd straight home game the Bucks have conceded less than 100 points, a streak that could well continue against Orlando’s 28th-ranked offence.

The Bucks don’t know the meaning of taking the foot off the accelerator so far this season, and another 10+ win is on the cards here.

OUR PICK  –  MILWAUKEE -12.0


DETROIT @ NEW ORLEANS

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

PISTONS TRENDS

  • 10-22-1 ATS in last 33 games overall.
  • 3-12-1 ATS in last 16 road games.
  • 0-4 ATS in last 4 games playing on 2 days rest.
  • 2-6 ATS in last 8 Monday games.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 games overall.
  • Over is 8-2 in last 10 games playing on 2 days rest.
  • Under is 4-1 in last 5 road games.

PELICANS TRENDS

  • 9-2 ATS in last 11 Monday games.
  • 7-17 ATS in last 24 vs teams below .500.
  • 3-8 ATS in last 11 games as a favorite.
  • 3-8 ATS in last 11 vs teams below .400.
  • 0-5 ATS in last 5 games overall.
  • Under is 6-0 in last 6 vs teams below .400.
  • Under is 5-1 in last 6 overall.
  • Under is 5-1 in last 6 home games.
  • Under is 5-1 in last 6 home games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Under is 5-1 in Pelicans last 6 home games.
  • Under is 11-5 in the last 16 meetings in New Orleans.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Jrue Holiday has 22+ points in 6 of the Pelicans’ last 7 games in New Orleans.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME
DET 9 14 7-5
NOR 6 17 4-8

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
DET 108.7 108.5 +0.2 217.2
NOR 113.2 120.2 -7.0 233.4

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
DET Under DET
+1.0 228.0 105-103

THE RUB

New Orleans enter tonight on the heels of the franchise’s biggest regular season loss. That 130-84 beat down in Dallas marked 8 straight losses for the Pelicans.

There should remain hope for the host Pelicans though, given Detroit has struggled on the road recently, losing 9 of its last 10 such games.

OUR PICK  – DETROIT WIN & UNDER 228.0


MINNESOTA @ PHOENIX

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

TIMBERWOLVES TRENDS

  • 10-3 ATS in last 13 Monday games.
  • 10-4 ATS in last 14 road games.
  • 2-5 ATS in last 7 games overall.
  • Over is 6-2 in last 8 road games.

SUNS TRENDS

  • 8-3 ATS in last 11 vs teams below .500.
  • 0-4 ATS in last 4 home games.
  • 3-7 ATS in last 10 games as a home underdog.
  • Over is 8-1 in last 9 home games.
  • Over is 12-4 in last 16 overall.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Timberwolves are 2-6-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
  • Under is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings in Phoenix.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
24.11.19 MIN PHO 98 : 100

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Andrew Wiggins has 25+ points in 6 of his last 6 road games.
  • Karl-Anthony Towns has 13+ rebounds in 6 of the Timberwolves’ last 7 games against Pacific teams.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME
MIN 10 12 3-7
PHO 10 12 5-7

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
MIN 114.8 117.1 -2.3 231.9
PHO 115.3 114.2 +1.1 229.5

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
PHO Under PHO
-3.5 234.0 125-109

THE RUB

Each hold a 10-12 record and this will mark their 2nd meeting this season, the first going to the Suns 100-98 in Houston.

Minnesota were 142-125 losers to the Lakers at Staples Center last night, their highest score conceded since January 15. The Timberwolves have given up 120+ points in 3 straight games and will need to tighten things up against the explosive Suns.

We’ll wait for the Total Points.

OUR PICK  – UNDER 234.0


OKLAHOMA CITY @ UTAH

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

THUNDER TRENDS

  • 4-0 ATS in last 4 games playing on 0 days rest.
  • 7-2 ATS in last 9 vs teams above .500.
  • 7-3 ATS in last 10 games overall.
  • Over is 4-0 in last 4 games playing on 0 days rest.
  • Under is 41-18-1 in last 60 games as an underdog.
  • Under is 55-26-1 in last 82 games as a road underdog.

JAZZ TRENDS

  • 2-5 ATS in last 7 games as a home favorite.
  • 5-12-1 ATS in last 18 Monday games.
  • Over is 4-0 in last 4 games as a home favorite.
  • Under is 7-0 in last 7 vs teams below .500.
  • Over is 4-0 in last 4 home games.
  • Over is 7-2 in last 9 overall.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
  • Thunder are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
  • Under is 12-2 in the last 14 meetings in Utah.
  • Thunder are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Utah.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
24.10.19 UTA OKC 100 : 95

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Rudy Gobert has 13+ rebounds in 9 of his last 11 games with the Jazz as favorites.
  • Donovan Mitchell has 25+ points in 4 of the Jazz’s last 5 home games against the Thunder.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME
OKC 10 12 7-5
UTA 13 10 9-2

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
OKC 108.6 108.5 +0.1 217.1
UTA 106.6 106.1 +0.5 212.7

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
OKC Under OKC
+8.5 213.5 104-90

THE RUB

Playing the second leg of a back-to-back, OKC visit Utah Jazz.

This will mark the 2nd meeting between these teams, the first going the way of the Jazz 100-95 in Utah off the back of Donovan Mitchell’s 32-point display.

Utah were beat Memphis 126-112 at home last out, marking its 5th win in 6 games against West teams.

OKC have also won 5 of their last 6 six games in conference play after beating Portland 108-96 last night.

In a boost to the Grizzlies chances of creating an upset, Mike Conley has once again been ruled out for Utah.

OUR PICK – UNDER 213.5


MEMPHIS @ GOLDEN STATE

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

GRIZZLIES TRENDS

  • 4-9 ATS in last 13 Monday games.
  • 1-4 ATS in last 5 games overall.
  • 1-5 ATS in last 6 vs teams below .400.
  • Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams below .400.
  • Under is 14-5 in last 19 Monday games.

WARRIORS TRENDS

  • 5-2 ATS in last 7 vs teams below .400.
  • 17-35-1 ATS in last 53 home games.
  • 10-28-1 ATS in last 39 games following a straight up win.
  • Under is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
  • Under is 6-0 in last 6 vs teams below .400.
  • Under is 8-2 in last 10 when their opponent allows 100+ points in their last game.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Golden State.
  • Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Under is 15-7 in the last 22 meetings.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Golden State.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
20.11.19 MEM GSW 95 : 114

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Jaren Jackson has scored the 1st basket in 4 of the Grizzlies’ last 5 games against West teams.
  • Eric Paschall has 17+ points in the Warriors’ last 4 games against Southwest teams.
  • Jaren Jackson has 4 rebounds or less in 4 of the Grizzlies’ last 5 games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME
MEM 6 16 3-10
GSW 5 19 2-7

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
MEM 108.7 117 -8.3 225.7
GSW 104.7 114 -9.3 218.7

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
GSW Under MEM
-3.0 219.5 110-102

THE RUB

The Warriors are classed as favorites for a game for the first time since October tonight.

Golden State welcomed back Draymond Green, D’Angelo Russell and Kevon Looney during their just completed 5-game East trip, which they finished with a 100-98 win at Chicago on Friday.

Trends scream Unders all the way here.

OUR PICK – UNDER 219.5

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