8 GAMES – NBA PICKS – 8/12/19

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*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.

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SEASON RECORD – 7-3

DENVER @ BROOKLYN

Whilst Brooklyn have dramatically improved their rebounding stocks this year, I’m expecting Jokic to control the paint against Jarrett Allen on both ends if the floor which should set him up for a high rebounding game.

Last season, the Joker totaled 35 rebounds across two fixtures. He should once again have his own way throughout the 4 quarters

DP’S BEST BET –  JOKIC OVER 10.5 REBOUNDS – WIN


TREND BET

TORONTO @ PHILADELPHIA

TORONTO

  • Under is 7-2 in last 9 vs teams above .500.

76ERS

  • Under is 7-1 in last 8 overall.
  • Under is 4-1 in last 5 home games.
  • Under is 7-2 in last 9 vs teams above .500.
  • Under is 19-7 in last 26 vs teams above .600.

MATCHUP

  • Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.

TREND BET – UNDER 214.5 – WIN


DENVER @ BROOKLYN

TEAM TRENDS

NUGGETS TRENDS

  • 3-8 ATS in last 11 vs teams above .500.
  • Under is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
  • Over is 4-1-1 in last 6 vs teams above .500.
  • Under is 35-16 in last 51 games as a favorite.

NETS TRENDS

  • 4-0 ATS in last 4 home games.
  • Under is 3-1-1 in last 5 home games.
  • Under is 10-4-1 in last 15 games following an ATS win.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Brooklyn.
  • Nuggets are 3-9 ATS in the last 12 meetings.
  • Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.
  • Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Brooklyn.

SEASON SERIES

15.11.19 DEN BKN 101 : 93

 

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Joe Harris has 19+ points in 4 of the Nets’ last 5 games as underdogs.
  • Nikola Jokic has 12+ rebounds in 4 of the Nuggets’ last 5 games against the Nets.
  • Spencer Dinwiddie has 29+ points in the Nets’ last 2 games at Barclays Center.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
DEN 14 6 8-3 6-3
BKN 12 10 6-4 6-6

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
DEN 106.7 101.8 +4.9 208.5
BKN 113.0 113.4 -0.4 226.4

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
DEN Over BKN
-2.5 209.5 105-102

THE RUB

Kyrie will miss again which is turning into the norm for Brooklyn, however they have still managed to average 112.8 ppg in their last 5. Formidable opponent in Denver could put a stop to that having a league leading defense.

OUR PICK  –  DENVER WIN


ATLANTA @ CHARLOTTE

TEAM TRENDS

HAWKS TRENDS

  • 2-5 ATS in last 7 road games.
  • 1-7 ATS in last 8 vs teams below .500.
  • Over is 12-3 in last 15 overall.
  • Over is 11-3 in last 14 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.
  • Over is 6-2 in last 8 vs teams below .400.

HORNETS TRENDS

  • 14-3 ATS in last 17 vs teams below .400.
  • 2-6 ATS in last 8 games as home favorite.
  • Under is 4-0 in last 4 home games.
  • Over is 5-2 in last 7 vs teams below .500.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Hawks are 1-8-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Charlotte.
  • Hawks are 3-9 ATS in the last 12 meetings.
  • Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
  • Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Charlotte.

SEASON SERIES

FIRST MEETING

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Trae Young has 37+ points in  the Hawks’ last 3 games as underdogs.
  • Terry Rozier has 20+ points in the Hornets’ last 3 games as favourites.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
ATL 5 17 3-8 2-9
CHA 9 15 5-7 4-8

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
ATL 108.0 117.8 -9.8 225.8
CHA 105.4 112.8 -7.4 218.2

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
CHA Under ATL
-2.5 224.5 122-107

THE RUB

Although Trae Young is putting up some big scores, the Hawks still can’t manage wins. 5 wins to tally this season and a 2-9 road record doesn’t give them much hope.

OUR PICK  –  CHARLOTTE WIN


CHICAGO @ MIAMI

TEAM TRENDS

BULLS TRENDS

  • 2-7 ATS in last 9 vs teams above .600.
  • 2-8 ATS in last 10 vs teams above .500.
  • Under is 5-1 in last 6 overall.
  • Over is 17-5 in last 22 road vs teams with winning home records.

HEAT TRENDS

  • 10-1-1 ATS in last 12 vs teams below .400.
  • 9-1 ATS in last 10 home games.
  • 11-2 ATS in last 13 games as a favorite.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams below .400.
  • Under is 14-5 in last 19 vs teams below .500.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Under is 14-6 in the last 20 meetings.
  • Bulls are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Miami.
  • Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Miami.

SEASON SERIES

23.11.19 CHI MIA 108 : 116

 

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Zach LaVine has 25+ points in the Bulls’ last 5 road games.
  • Jimmy Butler has 25+ points in his last 3 Sunday night games against Central teams.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
CHI 8 15 4-8 4-7
MIA 16 6 9-0 7-6

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
CHI 106.0 109.2 -3.2 215.2
MIA 111.0 105.5 +5.5 216.5

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
MIA Over MIA
-7.0 212.0 110-105 1OT

THE RUB

Miami are one of 3 remaining teams that have not lost on home court and the they stitched up the win against the Bulls in the first quarter the last time they met.

OUR PICK  –  OVER 212.0


TORONTO @ PHILADELPHIA

TEAM TRENDS

RAPTORS TRENDS

  • 13-5-1 ATS in last 19 vs teams above .500.record.
  • 21-9-1 ATS in last 31 games overall.
  • 11-5-1 ATS in last 17 vs teams above .600.
  • Under is 7-2 in last 9 vs teams above .500.

76ERS TRENDS

  • 5-2 ATS in last 7 vs teams above .600.
  • 7-3 ATS in last 10 vs teams above .500.
  • Under is 7-1 in last 8 overall.
  • Under is 4-1 in last 5 home games.
  • Under is 7-2 in last 9 vs teams above .500.
  • Under is 19-7 in last 26 vs teams above .600.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Raptors are 17-8 ATS in the last 25 meetings.
  • Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

26.11.19 TOR PHI 101 : 96

 

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Kyle Lowry has 26+ points in his last 3 games with the Raptors as road underdogs.
  • Pascal Siakam has 34+ points in the Raptors’ last 2 games against teams on the 2nd leg of a back-to-back.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
TOR 15 6 9-2 6-4
PHI 16 7 11-0 5-7

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
TOR 112.9 105.7 +7.2 218.6
PHI 110.2 104.0 +6.2 214.2

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
PHI Under PHI
-3.0 214.5 110-104

THE RUB

After going scoreless against the Raptors last out, all eyes will be on Joel Embiid…. expect a return of serve while on home court.

OUR PICK  –  PHILADELPHIA -3.0


LA CLIPPERS @ WASHINGTON

TEAM TRENDS

CLIPPERS TRENDS

  • 1-7 ATS in last 8 road games.
  • 8-2 ATS in last 10 games following a straight loss.
  • Over is 8-0 in last 8 vs teams below .500.
  • Under is 5-2 in last 7 road games.

WIZARDS TRENDS

  • 23-11 ATS in last 34 games as a home underdog.
  • Over is 6-0 in last 6 vs teams above .500.
  • Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams above .600.
  • Over is 9-4 in last 13 home games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Clippers are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
  • Over is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

02.12.19 LAC WAS 150 : 125

 

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Paul George has scored the 1st basket in the Clippers’ last 3 games as favourites.
  • Kawhi Leonard has 34+ points his last 5 Sunday games against East teams.
  • Davis Bertans has 21+ points in the Wizards’ last 4 games as home underdogs.
  • Paul George has 28+ points in 5 of his last 6 road games against the Wizards.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
LAC 16 7 13-1 3-6
WAS 7 14 4-5 3-9

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
LAC 114.4 108.3 +6.1 222.7
WAS 118.1 121.9 -3.8 240.0

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
LAC Over LAC
-8.0 236.0 135-119

THE RUB

The Wizards were able to take down Philly at home which caught us all off guard. Can’t see a repeat against the Clippers’ stacked lineup.

OUR PICK  –  LA CLIPPERS -8.0


SACRAMENTO @ DALLAS

TEAM TRENDS

KINGS TRENDS

  • 5-0 ATS in last 5 vs teams above .600.
  • 7-0 ATS in last 7 vs teams above .500.
  • 13-3 ATS in last 16 games overall.
  • 8-2 ATS in last 10 road games.
  • Under is 6-0 in last 6 vs teams above .600.
  • Under is 6-1 in last 7 road games.
  • Under is 9-3 in last 12 overall.

MAVERICKS TRENDS

  • 4-0 ATS in last 4 games overall.
  • 7-0 ATS in last 7 games as a favorite.
  • 6-0 ATS in last 6 vs teams below .500.
  • Over is 11-2 in last 13 vs teams below .400.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 home games.
  • Over is 14-6 in last 20 overall.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Over is 18-8 in the last 26 meetings in Dallas.
  • Kings are 16-5 ATS in the last 21 meetings.
  • Kings are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Dallas.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Kristaps Porzingis has 22+ points in his last 5 Sunday home games.
  • Luka Doncic has 10+ assists in 7 of the Mavericks’ last 8 games against Pacific teams.
  • Harrison Barnes has 18+ points in 5 of the Kings’ last 7 games as underdogs.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
SAC 8 13 5-4 3-9
DAL 16 6 8-4 8-2

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
SAC 104.9 108.6 -3.7 213.5
DAL 118.5 108.2 +10.3 226.7

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
DAL Over SAC
-7.5 216.5 110-106

THE RUB

Dallas have the 2nd best points differential in the league and are rolling with Luka, who just was crowned Western Conference player of the month. Let the high scoring continue.

OUR PICK  –  OVER 216.5


OKLAHOMA CITY @ PORTLAND

TEAM TRENDS

THUNDER TRENDS

  • 7-3 ATS in last 10 games overall.
  • 0-4 ATS in last 4 vs teams below .400.
  • 5-2 ATS in last 7 games as an underdog.
  • Under is 7-0 in last 7 games after scoring 125+ points in their last game.
  • Under is 5-2 in last 7 vs teams below .400.
  • Under is 41-18-1 in last 60 games as underdogs.

TRAIL BLAZERS TRENDS

  • 6-1-1 ATS in last 8 games following a loss 10+ points.
  • 4-9-2 ATS in tHeir last 15 home games.
  • 10-4 ATS in last 14 home vs teams with road winning %’s below .400.
  • Over is 26-8-1 in last 35 home games.
  • Under is 9-3 in last 12 vs teams below .500.
  • Over is 10-3-1 in last 14 home vs teams with road winning %’s below .400.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Thunder are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
  • Thunder are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Portland.

SEASON SERIES

28.11.19 POR OKC 136 : 119
31.10.19 OKC POR 99 : 102

 

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Steven Adams has scored the 1st basket in 3 of the Thunder’s last 4 games.
  • Damian Lillard has 27+ points in the Trail Blazers’ last 5 home games against the Thunder.
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has 17 points or less in the Thunder’s last 6 road games.
  • Steven Adams has 14+ points in  the Thunder’s last 4 games.
  • Hassan Whiteside has 15+ rebounds in the Trail Blazers’ last 3 games as favourites.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
OKC 9 12 7-5 2-7
POR 9 14 4-5 5-9

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
OKC 108.6 109.1 -0.5 217.7
POR 113.4 115.7 -2.3 229.1

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
POR Under OKC
-4.0 223.0 108-96

THE RUB

Portland are starting to turn the corner since the inclusion of Melo. Two losses to the Lakers and Clippers shouldn’t deter them as most teams are losing to the LA residents.

OUR PICK  –  PORTLAND WIN


MINNESOTA @ LA LAKERS

TEAM TRENDS

TIMBERWOLVES TRENDS

  • 10-4 ATS in last 14 road games.
  • 2-5 ATS in last 7 games overall.
  • 1-4-1 ATS in last 6 vs teams above .500.
  • Under is 7-0 in last 7 road vs teams with home winning %’s over .600.
  • Under is 10-3-1 in last 14 vs teams above .500.
  • Over is 6-2 in last 8 road games.

LAKERS TRENDS

  • 4-1 ATS in last 5 games overall.
  • 12-5 ATS in last 17 home games.
  • Over is 8-2-1 in last 11 games after scoring 125+ points in their last game.
  • Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams below .500.
  • Under is 6-2 in last 8 overall.
  • Under is 35-15-1 in last 51 home games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Los Angeles.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
  • Timberwolves are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Los Angeles.
  • Timberwolves are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

FIRST MEETING

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Anthony Davis has 29+ points in his last four games against the Timberwolves.
  • LeBron James has 11+ assists in his last five Sunday night appearances.
  • Karl-Anthony Towns has scored the 1st basket in 5 of his last 7 road games against West teams.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
MIN 10 11 3-7 7-4
LAL 20 3 9-2 11-1

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
MIN 114.3 115.9 -1.6 230.2
LAL 113.3 103.7 +9.6 217.0

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
LAL Under LAL
-9.5 227.0 142-125

THE RUB

The Lakers last 2 losses have occurred on a Sunday but we aren’t thinking the same tonight. They are very loved up in themselves (check the instagram post) and are coming off an impressive road-trip.

OUR PICK  –  LA LAKERS -9.5