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DP’S NBA PLAYER PROP
Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop, exclusive to Subscribers.
MEMPHIS @ UTAH
The Utah Jazz are presented with a strong opportunity to snap their 3 game losing streak against the lowly ranked Grizzlies.
With Mike Conley sidelined, Donovan Mitchell is set to take the reins as the primary ball handler, which will increase his usage and shot count significantly. Expect him to follow up on his 29 against the Lakers which another stat pad game.
DP’S BEST BET – DONOVAN MITCHELL OVER 24.5
TREND BET
CLEVELAND @ PHILADELPHIA
CLEVELAND
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams above .600.
- Under is 8-3 in last 11 vs teams above .500.
- Under is 20-9 in last 29 games playing on 0 days rest.
PHILADELPHIA
- Under is 7-1 in last 8 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams below .400.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 home games.
MATCHUP
- Under is 19-8 in the last 27 meetings.
TREND BET – UNDER 214.5
NEW ORLEANS @ DALLAS
TEAM TRENDS
PELICANS TRENDS
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 road games.
- 1-6 ATS in last 7 games as a road underdog.
- 0-4 ATS in last 4 games overall.
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 games vs teams above .600.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
- Over is 15-7 in last 22 games after allowing 125+ points in their last game.
MAVERICKS TRENDS
- 4-0 ATS in last 4 games overall.
- 7-0 ATS in last 7 games as a favorite.
- 6-0 ATS in last 6 games vs teams below .500.
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 games vs teams below .400.
- Over is 11-2 in last 13 games vs teams below .400.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 home games.
- Over is 10-4 in last 14 games following a straight win.
- Over is 14-6 in last 20 overall.
-
Over is 13-6 in last 19 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Pelicans are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
- Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.
SEASON SERIES
| 04.12.19 | NOR | DAL | 97 : 118 |
| 26.10.19 | NOR | DAL | 116 : 123 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Kristaps Porzingis has 9+ rebounds in 5 of the Mavericks’ last 6 home games against West teams.
- Luka Doncic has scored the 1st basket in 3 of the Mavericks’ last 6 games as home favourites.
- Jrue Holiday has 25+ points in his last 2 games against the Mavericks in Dallas.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| NOR | 6 | 16 | 4-8 | 2-8 |
| DAL | 15 | 6 | 7-4 | 8-2 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| NOR | 114.5 | 119.7 | -5.2 | 234.2 |
| DAL | 118.0 | 109.4 | +8.6 | 227.4 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| NOR | OVER | 130-84 |
| +9.0 | 233.0 | DAL |
THE RUB
Dallas had little trouble with New Orleans on the road in a 118-97 win on Tuesday. The Mavericks are winners of 4 straight and 9 of their last 10 games, with Doncic continuing his claims for MVP.
The Pelicans followed up their loss against Dallas with a 139-132 overtime home loss to the Suns on Thursday and are losers of 7 straight.
The Mavericks rank 1st offensively and the Pelicans like to play at a fast tempo.
Take Overs if you must, or maybe leave this one out.
OUR PICK – OVER 233.0
INDIANA @ NEW YORK
TEAM TRENDS
PACERS TRENDS
- 4-0 ATS in last 4 road games.
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 games overall.
- 7-2 ATS in last 9 vs teams below .500.
- 5-2 ATS in last 7 vs teams below .400.
- Over is 6-1-1 in last 8 games playing on 0 days rest.
- Over is 5-2 in last 7 overall.
- Under is 10-4 in last 14 vs teams below .400.
- Under is 12-5 in last 17 vs teams below .500.
KNICKS TRENDS
- 16-36-1 ATS in last 53 vs teams above .600.
- 13-30 ATS in last 43 home games.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 games overall.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 vs teams above .500.
- Under is 11-3 in last 14 home games.
- Under is 17-8-1 in last 26 overall.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Pacers are 5-11 ATS in the last 16 meetings in New York.
PLAYER TRENDS
- Julius Randle has 19+ points in the Knicks’ last 4 games against East teams.
- Domantas Sabonis has 22+ points in the Pacers’ last 2 games against the Knicks at MSG.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| IND | 14 | 8 | 9-2 | 5-6 |
| NY | 4 | 18 | 3-9 | 1-9 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| IND | 109.5 | 104.5 | +5.0 | 214.0 |
| NY | 100.5 | 111.3 | -10.8 | 211.8 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| IND | UNDER | IND |
| -5.0 | 209.5 | 104-103 |
THE RUB
New York, losers of 8-straight, are an East-worst 4-18, also ranking last in in scoring at 100.5 ppg.
Indiana has won 7 of its past 9 but one of the losses occurred Friday when the Detroit Pistons used a 51-33 rebounding advantage to help post a 108-101 home win.
Can’t see the Knicks causing an upset, even with the Pacers 5-11 ATS in the last 16 meetings in New York.
OUR PICK – INDIANA -5.0
CLEVELAND @ PHILADELPHIA
TEAM TRENDS
CAVALIERS TRENDS
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.
- 2-8 ATS in last 10 games overall.
- 1-5 ATS in last 6 vs teams above .500.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams above .600.
- Under is 8-3 in last 11 vs teams above .500.
- Under is 20-9 in last 29 games playing on 0 days rest.
76ERS TRENDS
- 2-7 ATS in last 9 vs teams below .400.
- 2-8 ATS in last 10 vs teams below .500.
- 1-5 ATS in last 6 games overall.
- Under is 7-1 in last 8 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams below .400.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Cavaliers are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
- Under is 19-8 in the last 27 meetings.
- Under is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings in Philadelphia.
- Cavaliers are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Philadelphia.
SEASON SERIES
| 18.11.19 | CLE | PHI | 95 : 114 |
| 13.11.19 | PHI | CLE | 98 : 97 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Ben Simmons has scored the 1st basket in 3 of the 76ers’ last 6 home games.
- Ben Simmons has 22+ points in 3 of the 76ers’ last 4 games at home against the Cavaliers.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| CLE | 5 | 16 | 3-9 | 2-7 |
| PHI | 15 | 7 | 10-0 | 5-7 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| CLE | 103.3 | 111.9 | -8.6 | 215.2 |
| PHI | 108.8 | 104.4 | +4.4 | 213.2 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| PHI | UNDER | PHI |
| -11.5 | 214.5 | 141-94 |
THE RUB
Then 76ers have won 8 of its past 10 games but one of those was Thursday’s 119-113 road loss to the Washington Wizards, a game which crucified millions of parlays around the world.
Cleveland suffered its 5th-straight loss and 11th in 12 games when it lost 93-87 to the visiting Magic on Friday.
The 76ers are 10-0 at home but just 5-7 on the road.
Embiid suffered a left hip contusion and will not play tonight.
At -11.5 we just cannot go there again with the 76ers. Total Points the better option.
OUR PICK – UNDER 214.5
PHOENIX @ HOUSTON
TEAM TRENDS
SUNS TRENDS
- 3-7 ATS in last 10 games overall.
- 1-6 ATS in last 7 games after scoring 125+ points in their last game.
- 0-5 ATS in last 5 games following a straight win.
- 0-5 ATS in last 5 vs teams above .500.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 overall.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams above .600.
- Over is 16-5 in last 21 when their opponent scores 100+ points in their last game.
- Over is 10-4 in last 14 vs teams above .500.
ROCKETS TRENDS
- 6-1 ATS in last 7 games as a home favorite.
- 6-1 ATS in last 7 home games.
- 5-1 ATS in last 6 vs teams below .500.
- 11-4 ATS in last 15 games overall.
- 10-4 ATS in last 14 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 9-4 in last 13 vs teams below .500.
- Under is 11-5 in last 16 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Over is 12-5 in the last 17 meetings.
- Suns are 21-8 ATS in the last 29 meetings in Houston.
- Suns are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
PLAYER TRENDS
- James Harden has 8+ rebounds in the Rockets’ last 5 games against the Suns.
- Devin Booker has scored the 1st basket in his last 2 games in Houston.
- Devin Booker has 30+ points in 5 of the Suns’ last 6 Saturday games.
- Clint Capela has 21+ points in his last 3 games with the Rockets as favourites.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| PHO | 10 | 11 | 5-7 | 5-4 |
| HOU | 14 | 7 | 8-2 | 6-5 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| PHO | 115.6 | 114.1 | +1.5 | 229.7 |
| HOU | 120.8 | 115.2 | +5.6 | 236.0 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| HOU | UNDER | HOU |
| -10.0 | 242.0 | 115-109 |
THE RUB
The Rockets are getting set for two in a row at home, where they own an 8-2 record.
The Suns are 5-4 on the road after a 139-132 OT win at New Orleans on the 2nd night of a back-to-back.
The Rockets have beaten the Suns on 11 straight outings, including 3 times last season. (Harden had 30 or more points in each of those games in 2018-19).
Harden has feasted upon Phoenix in recent years, tallying 40+points against them 6 times, all since April 2012.
Both rank in the top 5 in offensively and the Rockets lead the league in tempo so Overs is the logical bet, but 242.0? Damn….
OUR PICK – HOUSTON -10.0
MEMPHIS @ UTAH
TEAM TRENDS
GRIZZLIES TRENDS
- 3-7 ATS in last 10 vs teams above .500.
- Under is 20-7 in last 27 road vs teams with home winning %’s over .600.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 road games.
JAZZ TRENDS
- 2-5 ATS in last 7 vs teams below .500.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 games overall.
- 1-5 ATS in last 6 games as home favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 games as home favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 home games.
- Over is 6-2 in last 8 overall.
- Under is 6-2 in last 8 vs teams below .400.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 vs teams below .500.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Under is 18-8 in the last 26 meetings.
- Grizzlies are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
- Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Utah.
- Grizzlies are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Utah.
SEASON SERIES
| 30.11.19 | MEM | UTA | 94 : 103 |
| 16.11.19 | MEM | UTA | 107 : 106 |
PLAYER TRENDS
- Jaren Jackson Jr. has scored the 1st basket in 3 of the Grizzlies’ last 4 games against West teams.
- Jonas Valanciunas has 20+ points in the Grizzlies’ last 4 Saturday road games.
- Donovan Mitchell has 29+ points in 4 of the Jazz’s last 5 home games.
- Rudy Gobert has 14+ rebounds in 5 of his last 6 home games.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| MEM | 6 | 15 | 3-10 | 3-5 |
| UTA | 12 | 10 | 8-2 | 4-8 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT. AV |
| MEM | 108.5 | 116.5 | -8.0 | 225.0 |
| UTA | 105.7 | 105.9 | -0.2 | 211.6 |
PICKS ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| UTA | UNDER | UTA |
| -12.0 | 220.0 | 126-112 |
THE RUB
Utah looks to snap a 3-game losing streak tonight after falling to 12-10 following a 121-96 loss to the Lakers.
The Grizzlies fell to 6-15 overall following a 106-99 loss on Wednesday to the Chicago Bulls.
Keen on Unders here.
OUR PICK – UNDER 220.0
