4 GAMES – NBA TIPS – 30/11/19

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*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.

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NBA PARLAY

  • Atlanta @ Houston – Houston -13.5 – WIN
  • Charlotte @ Milwaukee – Over 225.0 – WIN

ODDS – $3.66


DP’S PLAYER PROP

Expert NBA props analyst Daniel Parisi has joined the team for an exclusive daily prop.

“The Houston Rockets play host to the young Atlanta Hawks who will be on a back-to-back after playing an extra 5 minutes of hoops against the Pacers. 

The Rockets should be too powerful in this fixture, with a blowout on the cards, resulting in reduced minutes for the leagues most prolific scorer. We are gambling against the clock in this one, but we’ll take it at UNDER 39.5.”

ATLANTA @ HOUSTON – JAMES HARDEN UNDER 39.5 POINTS


DENVER @ SACRAMENTO

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

NUGGETS TRENDS

  • 5-1 ATS in last 6 games overall.
  • 5-1-1 ATS in last 7 vs teams below .500.
  • Under is 4-1 in last 5 games following an ATS win.
  • Under is 8-3 in last 11 overall.
  • Over is 10-4 in last 14 road games.
  • Over is 17-8 in last 25 vs teams below .500.

KINGS TRENDS

  • 4-0 ATS in last 4 home games.
  • 4-0 ATS in last 4 vs teams above .600.
  • 6-0 ATS in last 6 vs teams above .500.
  • 11-1 ATS in last 12 games overall.
  • 9-1 ATS in last 10 games following an ATS win.
  • Under is 5-0 in last 5 vs teams above .600.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams above .500.
  • Under is 40-19-1 in last 60 overall.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Nuggets are 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
  • Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Sacramento.
  • Favorite is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Buddy Hield has scored the first basket in 3 of the Kings’ last 4 home games.
  • Nikola Jokic has 13+ rebounds in the Nuggets’ last 6 games as favourites against Pacific Division opponents.
  • Harrison Barnes has 17+ points in 10 of his last 13 games against the Nuggets.
  • Bogdan Bogdanovic has 17+ points in 7 of his last 9 games.
  • Paul Millsap has scored 14+ in 7 of the Nuggets’ last 9 games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
DEN 13 3 8-2 5-1
SAC 7 10 4-3 3-7

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT
DEN 107.3 101.9 +5.4 209.2
SAC 104.5 108.2 -3.7 212.7

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
DEN Over
-4.5 207.5

THE RUB

The Nuggets took the win in Sac-Town earlier this season and are streaking on 6 wins.

OUR PICK  –  Denver WIN


INDIANA @ PHILADELPHIATEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

PACERS TRENDS

  • 9-4-1 ATS in last 14 games overall.
  • 10-21-1 ATS in last 32 road games.
  • 1-4 ATS in last 5 vs teams above .600.
  • 1-7-1 ATS in last 9 vs teams above .500.
  • Over is 5-1-1 in last 7 games playing on 0 days rest.
  • Under is 13-3-1 in last 17 vs teams above .500.
  • Under is 21-6 in last 27 vs teams above .600.
  • Under is 14-6 in last 20 road games.

76ERS TRENDS

  • 5-1 ATS in last 6 vs teams above .600.
  • 7-2 ATS in last 9 vs teams above .500.
  • 3-7 ATS in last 10 games overall.
  • Under is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
  • Under is 6-0 in last 6 vs teams above .500.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.
  • Under is 4-1 in last 5 home games.
  • Under is 21-7 in last 28 vs teams above .600.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings.
  • Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Ben Simmons has scored the first basket in 3 of the 76ers’ last 4 home games.
  • T.J. Warren has scored 19+ points in the Pacers’ last 5 road games against East teams.
  • Jeremy Lamb has 17+ points in his last 4 games with his team as an underdog.
  • Domantas Sabonis has 13+ rebounds in the Pacers’ last 4 games as underdogs.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
IND 13 6 9-2 3-4
PHI 12 6 8-0 5-6

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT
IND 109.3 103.8 +5.5 213.1
PHI 108.3 103.6 +4.7 211.9

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
PHI Under
-5.5 208.0

THE RUB

The 76ers almost had an uh-oh moment in New York last night but were able to take over in the last quarter for a rare road win. Both the Pacers and 76ers are on B2Bs, while Philly are welcoming back Horford and are currently unbeaten on home court.

OUR PICK  –  Philadelphia -5.5


ATLANTA @ HOUSTON

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

HAWKS TRENDS

  • 4-1 ATS in last 5 vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • 5-2 ATS in last 7 vs teams above .500.
  • 7-3 ATS in last 10 road vs. a team with a home winning % over .600.
  • 1-4 ATS in last 5 road games.
  • Over is 10-1 in last 11 overall.
  • Over is 6-1 in last 7 road games.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams above .600.

ROCKETS TRENDS

  • 4-0 ATS in last 4 vs teams below .400.
  • 4-0 ATS in last 4 vs teams below .500.
  • 5-1 ATS in last 6 home games.
  • 9-3 ATS in last 12 games overall.
  • Under is 10-4 in last 14 overall.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Hawks are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Houston.
  • Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
  • Favorite is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
  • Road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • James Harden has scored the first basket in each of the Rockets’ last 3 Saturday games.
  • Trae Young has 29+ points in the Hawks’ last 4 games.
  • Russell Westbrook has scored 30+ points in 5 of his last 6 games against the Hawks.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
ATL 4 15 2-7 2-8
HOU 12 6 7-2 5-4

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT
ATL 107.6 117.1 -9.5 224.7
HOU 118.2 114.7 +3.5 222.9

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
Houston Over
-13.5 235.5

THE RUB

The Hawks have now lost 9 straight and take on the Rockets on a road B2B. Trae Young will try his best to compete with Harden from the arc but this is shaping up to be a typical Rockets beat down.

OUR PICK  –  Houston -13.5


CHARLOTTE @ MILWAUKEE

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

HORNETS TRENDS

  • 4-0 ATS in last 4 games playing on 0 days rest.
  • 5-13 ATS in last 18 vs teams above .600.
  • 0-4 ATS in last 4 road games.
  • Over is 3-1-1 in last 5 vs teams above .600.
  • Over is 11-5 in last 16 vs teams above .500.

BUCKS TRENDS

  • 2-6 ATS in last 8 vs teams below .500.
  • 1-4 ATS in last 5 vs teams below .400.
  • 1-4 ATS in last 5 home games.
  • 1-4 ATS in last 5 games overall.
  • Over is 10-4 in last 14 vs teams below .500.
  • Over is 5-2 in last 7 home vs. a team with a losing road record.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Home team is 7-1-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
  • Hornets are 5-1-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
  • Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
  • Hornets are 1-3-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Terry Rozier has 18+ points in the Hornets’ last 4 road games.
  • Terry Rozier has scored the first basket in the Hornets’ last 2 games.
  • Wesley Matthews has 11+ points in 5 of his last 6 home games against the Hornets.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
CHA 8 12 4-5 4-7
MIL 16 3 7-1 9-2

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT
CHA 106.0 112.9 -6.9 218.9
MIL 119.4 110.2 +9.2 229.6

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
Milwaukee Over
-14.5 225.0

THE RUB

During the Bucks 10 game win streak, they have let their opponent break the 100 barrier 8 times. Milwaukee to keep in going with both teams on a B2B but the Overs is calling.

OUR PICK  –  Over 225.0