TONIGHT’S FREE NBA TIPS
*Original NBA tips and research are done a game day morning, adjust your NBA picks accordingly should spreads and lineups change.
NBA PARLAY
- Washington @ Minnesota – Minnesota WIN
- Philadelphia @ OKC – Philadelphia WIN
- Boston @ Golden State – Boston -8.0
ODDS – $4.21
SAN ANTONIO @ ORLANDO
Spurs Trends
- 2-5 ATS in last 7 road games.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 games vs teams below .400.
- 1-5 ATS in last 6 games overall.
- Under is 6-2 in last 8 vs teams below .500.
- Under is 6-2 in last 8 vs teams below .500.
Magic Trends
- 15-7-1 ATS in last 23 home games.
- Under is 6-2-1 in last 9 home games.
- Under is 11-4-1 in last 16 overall.
Matchup Trends
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Orlando.
- Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.
- Spurs are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Orlando.
- Road team is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings.
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| San Antonio | 5 | 6 | 4-3 | 1-3 |
| Orlando | 4 | 7 | 4-3 | 0-4 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF |
| San Antonio | 112.4 | 114.2 | -1.8 |
| Orlando | 99.4 | 99.1 | +0.3 |
Picks ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| San Antonio | Under | Orlando |
| +3.5 | 212.5 | 111-109 |
THE RUB
A 129-114 loss at Minnesota was the 3rd straight loss and the 5th in 6 games, giving up an average of 125.7 points during a losing streak which saw Minnesota score 40 points in two different quarters Wednesday.
The Magic have been very solid defensively but haven’t always put up enough points to make find the winning formula. They did however, find a win against visiting 76ers, recording a nice 112-97 win to improve to 2-1 on the current 5-game homestand.
Trends lean towards Unders.
OUR PICK – Under 212.5
DETROIT @ CHARLOTTE
Pistons Trends
- 5-16-1 ATS in last 22 games overall.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 games vs teams under .500.
- 0-4-1 ATS in last 5 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
- Over is 6-1 in last 7 road games.
- Over is 11-5-2 in Pistons last 18 vs teams under .500.
Hornets Trends
- 8-1 ATS in last 9 games vs teams below .400.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 home games.
- Over is 13-5-2 in Hornets last 20 vs teams under .500.
Matchup Trends
- Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Charlotte.
- Under is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings.
- Pistons are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Charlotte.
- Pistons are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| Detroit | 4 | 8 | 3-3 | 1-5 |
| Charlotte | 4 | 7 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF |
| Detroit | 108.9 | 112.5 | -3.6 |
| Charlotte | 106.8 | 113.7 | -6.9 |
Picks ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| Detroit | Over | Charlotte |
| -3.0 | 219.0 | 109-106 |
THE RUB
The Pistons are 0-2 since Griffin debuted Monday against Minnesota and they’ve dropped 3 in a row overall.
Charlotte are on a 4-game skid, losing the last 3 by a total of 15 points.
Charlotte have won each of the last 6 meetings.
OUR PICK – Over 219.0
PHILADELPHIA @ OKLAHOMA CITY
76ers Trends
- 3-8 ATS in last 11 games vs teams below .400.
- 1-4-1 ATS in last 6 games vs teams below .500.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 road games.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 games vs teams below .400.
- Under is 7-2 in last 9 vs teams below .500.
- Over is 5-2 in last 7 overall.
Thunder Trends
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 games vs teams above .500.
- Under is 6-2 in last 8 home games.
- Under is 5-2 in last 7 vs teams above .500.
- Under is 36-16-1 in last 53 games vs teams above .600.
Matchup Trends
- Under is 10-3 in the last 13 meetings.
- Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Oklahoma City.
- 76ers are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Oklahoma City.
- 76ers are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| Philadelphia | 7 | 4 | 4-0 | 3-4 |
| OKC | 4 | 7 | 4-3 | 0-4 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF |
| Philadelphia | 108.5 | 105.9 | +2.6 |
| OKC | 105.3 | 106.0 | -0.7 |
Picks ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| Philadelphia | Under | OKC |
| -3.0 | 214.5 | 127-119 |
THE RUB
The Thunder fell to the Bucks 121-119 on Sunday before getting smashed in Indiana 111-85 on Tuesday, shooting just 35.8% from the floor with 16 turnovers.
The 76ers are coming off their own rough night after a 112-97 setback at Orlando on Wednesday – their 4th loss in the last 6 games.
OUR PICK – Philadelphia -3.0 & Under 214.5
WASHINGTON @ MINNESOTA
Wizards Trends
- 4-0-1 ATS in last 5 games vs teams above .600.
- 6-2-1 ATS in last 9 road games.
- Over is 7-2 in Wizards last 9 games vs teams above .600.
Timberwolves Trends
- 7-2 ATS in last 9 games vs teams below .500.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 vs teams below .500.
- Over is 6-1 in last 7 overall.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 home games.
Matchup Trends
- Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
- Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
- Road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| Washington | 2 | 7 | 1-3 | 1-4 |
| Minnesota | 7 | 4 | 3-2 | 4-2 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF |
| Washington | 115.6 | 120.0 | -4.4 |
| Minnesota | 117.2 | 116.2 | +1.0 |
Picks ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| Minnesota | Over | Washington |
| -7.0 | 240.0 | 137-116 |
THE RUB
Minnesota goes after its 4th win in the past 5 tonight, led by former #1 pick Wiggins. Wiggins has scored 30+ points in 4 of the past 5 games, including 30 in Wednesday’s 129-114 home win over the Spurs.
Tonight could be another high-scoring outing for the T-Wolves against the Wizards, who surrendered 120+ points for the 5th time this season in a 140-133 loss in Boston on Wednesday.
Expecting a lot of points tonight, and very little D.
OUR PICK – Minnesota -7.0
INDIANA @ HOUSTON
Pacers Trends
- 3-0-1 ATS in last 4 games overall.
- 3-9 ATS in last 12 games vs teams above .600.
- 0-5-1 ATS in last 6 games vs teams above .500.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 vs teams above .500.
- Under is 20-7 in last 27 games vs teams above .600.
Rockets Trends
- 4-1 ATS in last 5 games overall.
- 11-5-1 ATS in last 17 home games.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 games vs teams above .500.
- 0-4 ATS in last 4 games vs teams above .600.
- Under is 6-1 in last 7 overall.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams above .500.
Matchup Trends
- Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
- Favorite is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings.
- Pacers are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Houston.
- Pacers are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| Indiana | 7 | 4 | 5-1 | 2-3 |
| Houston | 8 | 3 | 4-1 | 4-2 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF |
| Indiana | 109.5 | 104.0 | +5.5 |
| Houston | 118.6 | 116.1 | +2.5 |
Picks ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| Houston | Under | Houston |
| -7.5 | 225.5 | 111-102 |
THE RUB
After beating up on many sub .500 teams, the Rockets finally have a quality win under their belt.
Houston’s first 7 wins came against teams that entered Thursday’s action with a combined 18-46 record, but they stretched their streak to 5 in a row with a 102-93 win over the Clippers (7-4) on Wednesday.
The Pacers have also been feasting on sub-.500’s to win 4 in a row and 7 of their last 8 after an 0-3 start. They held OKC to 35.4% shooting in a 111-85 win on Tuesday, Indiana’s most lopsided win of the season.
Trends going to Unders, so we’ll wait for that. The -7.5 line too big.
OUR PICK – Under 225.5
UTAH @ MEMPHIS
Jazz Trends
- 5-2 ATS in last 7 games vs teams below .400.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 road games.
- Under is 11-3 in last 14 overall.
Grizzlies Trends
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 games vs teams above .600.
- 0-4 ATS in last 4 games vs teams above .500.
- Over is 5-2 in Grizzlies last 7 games vs teams above .600.
- Over is 7-3 in Grizzlies last 10 home games.
Matchup Trends
- Under is 21-7 in the last 28 meetings in Memphis.
- Jazz are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| Utah | 8 | 3 | 6-0 | 2-3 |
| Memphis | 4 | 7 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF |
| Utah | 104.5 | 99.5 | +5.0 |
| Memphis | 110.0 | 118.8 | -8.8 |
Picks ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| Utah | Under | Memphis |
| -7.0 | 216.5 | 107-106 |
THE RUB
Mike Conley makes his return to Memphis tonight after 12 seasons. Conley, the 4th overall pick of the 2007 NBA Draft is the franchise leader in games played (788), points (11,733) and assists (4,509).
The Jazz have won 4 straight, while the Grizzlies are fresh off back-to-back road wins over the Spurs and Hornets to follow a 2-7 start.
Love Unders here, with a Utah win.
OUR PICK – Under 216.5
SACRAMENTO @ LA LAKERS
Kings Trends
- 5-0 ATS in last 5 games overall.
- 1-4 ATS in last 5 games vs teams above .500.
- 0-5 ATS in last 5 games vs teams above .600.
- Over is 21-5 in last 26 vs teams above .500.
Lakers Trends
- 7-1 ATS in last 8 home games.
- 8-2 ATS in last 10 games vs teams below .500.
- 16-5 ATS in last 21 games overall.
- Under is 10-2-1 in last 13 vs teams below .500.
- Under is 38-17-1 in last 56 home games.
Matchup Trends
- Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in LA.
- Under is 10-3-1 in the last 14 meetings.
- Kings are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in LA.
- Kings are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| Sacramento | 4 | 6 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| L.A. Lakers | 8 | 2 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF |
| Sacramento | 105.6 | 110.3 | -4.7 |
| L.A. Lakers | 109.9 | 101.6 | +8.3 |
Picks ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| LA Lakers | Over | LA Lakers |
| -8.5 | 214.5 | 99-97 |
THE RUB
Davis should return tonight after sitting our Wednesday’s 120-94 home win over the Warriors due to shoulder and rib injuries. The Lakers were fine without Davis improving the Lakers record to 9-2, 2nd best in the NBA.
The Kings have won 4 of their past 5 after opening the Walton era with 5-straight losses.
Sacramento is without its 2nd leading scorer and leader in assists De’Aaron Fox (ankle) which means a struggle for the Kings tonight.
The Kings have failed to cover in their last 4 against the Lakers and in 4 of the last 5 at Staples. The Lakers have covered the number in 7 of their last 8 at home.
The Lakers went 3-1 against the Kings last season.
OUR PICK – LA Lakers -8.5
BOSTON @ GOLDEN STATE
Celtics Trends
- 3-0-1 ATS in last 4 road games.
- 3-0-2 ATS in last 5 games overall.
- 3-1-2 ATS in last 6 games vs teams below .500.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-2 in last 7 games vs teams below .400.
Warriors Trends
- 15-36-1 ATS in last 52 home games.
- 4-11-1 ATS in last 16 games overall.
- 1-4-1 ATS in last 6 games vs teams above .600.
- 1-6-1 ATS in last 8 games vs teams above .500.
- Under is 7-0 in last 7 vs teams above .500.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-2 in last 7 home games.
Matchup Trends
- Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Golden State.
- Under is 12-2 in the last 14 meetings.
- Celtics are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Golden State.
- Celtics are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
- Underdog is 27-9-1 ATS in the last 37 meetings.
- Road team is 6-1-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| Boston | 9 | 1 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Golden St. | 2 | 9 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF |
| Boston | 116.1 | 106.9 | +9.2 |
| Golden St. | 111.7 | 121.2 | -9.5 |
Picks ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| Boston | Over | Boston |
| -8.0 | 226.0 | 105-100 |
THE RUB
The Celtics won their 5th straight after a 140-133 victory over the Wizards on Wednesday and now head off on a 5-game road trip with some swagger. Their only loss against the 76ers in the season opener.
The Warriors have problems on both ends of the floor and things got no better after a 120-94 loss at the Lakers. They own the worst points +/- in the West at -10.8, allowing an average of 122 points over that span.
Boston in a canter.
OUR PICK – Boston -8.0
