6 Games – NBA Picks Tonight

6 GAMES – TONIGHT’S NBA PICKS

*Original NBA picks and research are done game day morning, adjust your plays accordingly should spreads and lineups change.

PHOENIX @ CLEVELAND

Win/Loss

Season Points +/-

H2H Trends –

• Under is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings in Cleveland.
• Under is 13-4-1 in the last 18 meetings.
• Suns are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Suns Trends

• Suns are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
• Suns are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games vs teams below .500.
• Suns are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs teams below .400.
• Suns are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
• Suns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.
• Under is 6-1-1 in Suns last 8 vs teams below .500.
• Over is 5-1 in Suns last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
• Over is 4-1 in Suns last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % below .400.
• Over is 11-5 in Suns last 16 games playing on 3+ days rest.
• Under is 17-8 in Suns last 25 games vs teams below .400.

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Cavaliers Trends

• Cavaliers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games vs teams below .400.
• Cavaliers are 17-35 ATS in their last 52 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
• Under is 6-1 in Cavaliers last 7 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.
• Over is 7-2 in Cavaliers last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
• Over is 12-5-1 in Cavaliers last 18 home games.
• Over is 9-4-1 in Cavaliers last 14 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

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Season Series – 1st Meeting

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Picks against the spread

• It’s a real stinker to kick off the return of NBA after the All-Star break, as New York continue their tanking ways, with the Cavs also with eyes on the Zion Cup.
• Suns have lost 15 straight to match the longest losing streak in franchise history, while the Cavs have lost 23 of their past 27. Phoenix have had issues with shooting and possession and rank last in 3-point shooting (32.6%) and tied for 28th in turnovers (15.5 pg).
• Phoenix isn’t close to matching last season’s 21 wins and need 6 wins to push past their franchise-worst mark of 16-66, set in the team’s first season (1968-69).
• Cavs have won the past 7 meetings, and should do so again tonight.

Best Bet = Cleveland -1.0

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MIAMI @ PHILADELPHIA

Win/Loss

Season Points +/-

H2H Trends –

• Heat are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

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Heat Trends

• Heat are 29-11-1 ATS in their last 41 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
• Heat are 38-15-2 ATS in their last 55 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Heat are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 road games.
• Heat are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs teams above .600.
• Under is 7-0 in Heat last 7 after scoring 100+ points in their previous game.

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76ers Trends

• 76ers are 26-12 ATS in their last 38 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Over is 4-0 in 76ers last 4 vs teams below .500.
• Under is 5-1 in 76ers last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Under is 6-2 in 76ers last 8 games overall.
• Under is 9-3 in 76ers last 12 when their opponent scores 100+ points in their previous game.
• Under is 5-2 in 76ers last 7 home games.

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Season Series

13.11.18

Miami

Philadelphia

114 : 124

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Picks against the spread

• 76ers made 2 of the biggest deals prior to the deadline, bringing in Jimmy Butler and Tobias Harris and will spend the rest of the regular season building chemistry while trying to chase down the Celtics, Pacers, Raptors and Bucks in the East.
• Heat are tied with the Pistons for the No. 8 spot in the East after All-Star break and are finishing a 6-game road trip.
• 76ers are 3rd in scoring offense (115.9) but 20th in scoring defense (112.2) so this one should have points with both fresh.

Best Bet = Over 220.0

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PORTLAND @ BROOKLYN

Win/Loss

Season Points +/-

H2H Trends –

• Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
• Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Brooklyn.

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Trailblazers Trends

• Trail Blazers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 3+ days rest.
• Trail Blazers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs teams above .500.
• Trail Blazers are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
• Trail Blazers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Under is 7-1 in Trail Blazers last 8 vs teams above .500.
• Over is 9-2-1 in Trail Blazers last 12 when their opponent allows 100+ points in their previous game.
• Under is 4-1 in Trail Blazers last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Over is 7-2 in Trail Blazers last 9 games overall.
• Under is 10-4 in Trail Blazers last 14 road games.

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Nets Trends

• Nets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs teams above .500.
• Nets are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
• Nets are 23-11 ATS in their last 34 games overall.
• Over is 4-0 in Nets last 4 overall.
• Over is 4-0 in Nets last 4 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.
• Over is 5-1 in Nets last 6 after scoring 100+ points in their previous game.

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Season Series – 1st Meeting

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Picks against the spread

• Portland dominate this matchup statistically.
• Nets opened the season 8-18 before going on a 20-6 stretch and sit in 6th place in the East despite losing 5 of 7 before the All-Star break (already passing last season’s win total of 28).
• Blazers sit 4th in the West but are a lowly 10-15 on the road as they begin a 7-game road trip.
• Portland added big man Enes Kanter and hope he can provide some much-needed points from the bench.
• Joe Harris is shooting a career-best 47.1% from 3-point range and the 1st-year starter saw his stocks rise, winning the 3-point shooting contest during All-Star Weekend.
• Lillard (ankle) is questionable tonight.
• Lillard sits, take the Nets +1.0

Best Bet = Under 229.5

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BOSTON @ MILWAUKEE

Win/Loss

Season Points +/-

H2H Trends

• Over is 16-5-1 in the last 22 meetings.
• Celtics are 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings.
• Celtics are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Milwaukee.

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Celtics Trends

• Celtics are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs teams above .600.
• Celtics are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games playing on 3+ days rest.
• Celtics are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Celtics are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 road games vs. a team with a home winning % over .600.
• Under is 6-0 in Celtics last 6 road games.
• Over is 9-1 in Celtics last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Over is 6-1 in Celtics last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
• Over is 9-2-1 in Celtics last 12 vs teams above .500.
• Over is 6-2 in Celtics last 8 games vs teams above .600.

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Bucks Trends

• Bucks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 after scoring 100+ points in their previous game.
• Bucks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Bucks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games vs teams above .500.
• Bucks are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games overall.
• Bucks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs teams above .600.
• Under is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 games vs teams above .600.
• Under is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 home games.
• Over is 9-2 in Bucks last 11 vs teams above .500.
• Over is 4-1 in Bucks last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Under is 13-6 in Bucks last 19 games overall.

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Season Series

22.12.18	Boston	Milwaukee	107 : 120
02.11.18	Boston	Milwaukee	117 : 113

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Picks against the spread

• Celtics were the favs to win the East but are instead fighting for homecourt advantage while the Bucks sit in top spot.
• Bucks are 7-3 against the Raptors, Pacers, 76ers and Celtics and strolled into All-Star break with wins in 14 of the last 16.
• Brook Lopez is an ice-cold 4-of-24 from 3-point range for the Bucks over the last three games.
• Both rank top 4 defensively, look for Unders.

Best Bet = Under 227.0

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SACRAMENTO @ GOLDEN STATE

Win/Loss

Season Points +/-

H2H Trends –

• Kings are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Golden State.
• Kings are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

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Kings Trends

• Kings are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a loss.
• Kings are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 after scoring 100+ points in their previous game.
• Kings are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
• Kings are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs teams above .600.
• Kings are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games.
• Kings are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % over .600.
• Over is 5-0 in Kings last 5 games playing on 3+ days rest.
• Under is 6-1-1 in Kings last 8 road games.
• Under is 11-2-1 in Kings last 14 when their opponent allows 100+ points in their previous game.
• Under is 11-3 in Kings last 14 after allowing 100+ points in their previous game.
• Over is 10-3 in Kings last 13 road games vs. a team with a home winning % over .600.
• Under is 15-5-1 in Kings last 21 games overall.
• Over is 6-2 in Kings last 8 games vs teams above .600.

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Warriors Trends

• Warriors are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 home games.
• Warriors are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
• Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs teams above .500.
• Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
• Under is 12-3 in Warriors last 15 vs teams above .500.
• Over is 15-7 in Warriors last 22 when their opponent scores 100+ points in their previous game.

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Season Series

06.01.19	Sacramento	Golden State	123 : 127
15.12.18	Sacramento	Golden State	125 : 130
25.11.18	Golden State	Sacramento	117 : 116

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Picks against the spread

• Warriors dominate this matchup statistically.
• Warriors enter tonight with the best record in the West and are looking to find 5th gear as they prepare for another run at an title.
• The Kings are among a group of teams fighting for a spot in the West’s top 8 while looking to enter the Playoffs for the first time in 12 seasons.
• Warriors went into the break on a low, losing 129-107 at Portland, but have won 16 of their last 18.
• Markets have pushed too far in both Spreads and Total Points, we’re staying away.
• Overs best if you must.

Best Bet = NO BET.

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HOUSTON @ LA LAKERS

Win/Loss

Season Points +/-

H2H Trends –

• Rockets are 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Los Angeles.
• Over is 23-9 in the last 32 meetings.
• Rockets are 14-6 ATS in the last 20 meetings.

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Rockets Trends

• Rockets are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall.
• Rockets are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games.
• Rockets are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs teams below .500.
• Rockets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 3+ days rest.
• Over is 8-2 in Rockets last 10 vs teams below .500.
• Over is 4-1 in Rockets last 5 road games.
• Over is 6-2-1 in Rockets last 9 when their opponent scores 100+ points in their previous game.
• Over is 5-2-1 in Rockets last 8 games overall.

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Lakers Trends

• Lakers are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
• Lakers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
• Over is 4-1 in Lakers last 5 vs teams above .500.
• Under is 21-6 in Lakers last 27 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
• Over is 35-15-2 in Lakers last 52 games playing on 3+ days rest.
• Under is 34-16-1 in Lakers last 51 home games.

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Season Series

20.01.19	Houston	LA Lakers	138 : 134 (120 : 120)
14.12.18	Houston	LA Lakers	126 : 111
21.10.18	LA Lakers	Houston	115 : 124

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Picks against the spread

• Harden has scored at least 30 points in each of his last 31 games to tie Hall of Famer Wilt Chamberlain for the 2nd longest such streak in NBA history. Rockets are 21-10 over the Harden streak.
• Lakers lost 10 of 15 before the All-Star break and are hoping a healthy LeBron can help improve their fortunes.
• Rockets are 3-0 against the Lakers this season and have won 21 of the past 27 meetings.
• Houston for us at a skinny line.

Best Bet =  Houston -2.5& Over 232.5

Way to shit the bed Houston…

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