It’s night 21 of the 2017/18 NBA Playoffs, here are our NBA picks for tonight’s games.
*Original betting lines and lineups taken game morning, adjust accordingly.
The original lines for each game are taken a couple of hours prior to the tip-off, so adjust your picks accordingly should a line change.
Tonight’s NBA Playoff Picks
Golden State @ New Orleans
- Western Conference Semi-Finals – Game 2
- Golden State Lead Series 2-0
H2H Trends –
Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in New Orleans
Season Series –
| GAME 2 | Golden State | New Orleans | 121 : 116 |
| GAME 1 | Golden State | New Orleans | 123 : 101 |
| 08.04.18 | Golden State | New Orleans | 120 : 126 |
| 05.12.17 | New Orleans | Golden State | 115 : 125 |
| 26.11.17 | Golden State | New Orleans | 110 : 95 |
| 21.10.17 | New Orleans | Golden State | 120 : 128 |
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | AWAY |
| Golden State | 58 | 24 | 29-12 | 29-12 |
| New Orleans | 48 | 34 | 24-17 | 24-17 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPP PPG | DIFF |
| Golden State | 113.5 | 107.5 | +6.0 |
| New Orleans | 111.7 | 110.4 | +1.3 |
Picks Against The Spread
| Spread | O/U Points | Result |
| Golden State | Over | New Orleans |
| -4.5 | 231.5 | 119-100 |
Steph Curry never missed a beat coming back from 6 weeks out to drop 28 point in 27 minutes, including 5 from 3-point range. They are different team with Curry in the lineup, able to push the pace of play and spread the floor to an ever greater extent.
There was a combined 196 shot attempts in Game 1 and the Overs look great tonight even at the 231.5 line.
Can’t look past the Warriors tonight at -4.5 with Curry injected back into the lineup and the Splash Brothers reunited.
Over is 25-9 in New Orleans last 34 home games and 4-1 in their last 5 at home against Golden State.
Best Bet = Golden State -4.5
Houston @ Utah
- Western Conference Semi-Finals – Game 3
- Series Tied 1-1
H2H Trends –
Houston are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.
Season Series –
| GAME 2 | Houston | Utah | 108 : 116 |
| GAME 1 | Houston | Utah | 110 : 96 |
| 27.02.18 | Utah | Houston | 85 : 96 |
| 19.12.17 | Houston | Utah | 120 : 99 |
| 08.12.17 | Utah | Houston | 101 : 112 |
| 06.11.17 | Houston | Utah | 137 : 110 |
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | AWAY |
| Houston | 65 | 17 | 34-7 | 31-10 |
| Utah | 48 | 34 | 28-13 | 20-21 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPP PPG | DIFF |
| Houston | 112.4 | 103.9 | +8.5 |
| Utah | 104.1 | 99.8 | +4.3 |
Picks against the spread
| Spread | O/U Points | Result |
| Houston | Over | Houston |
| -4.0 | 207.0 | 113-92 |
With Rubio still sitting for the Jazz with a bad hamstring Utah will need to pull out the same performance that they brought in Game 2, led by Aussie Joe Ingles, the guy that looks like a used-car salesman scoring 27 points with 7 from 3-point range.
The Rockets will have to play smarter tonight after turning down easy paths to the basket, instead opting to dish to shooters beyond the arc, ultimately living and dying by the three. Utah restricting them to 37 shots from three-point range, compared to the 50+ we have seen as of late.
After dropping 116 points against the Rockets in Game 2, we’ll have to take the Overs tonight with the expectation that the Rockets will also break 100.
Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.
Best Bet = Over 207.0
