Last night we saw one of those night’s that make you wonder, why the hell do I bet on NBA basketball, and what did I do to deserve this life?
But here we go again…
*Original betting lines and lineups taken game morning, adjust accordingly.
The original lines for each game are taken a couple of hours prior to the tip-off, so adjust your picks accordingly should a line change.
Tonight’s NBA Picks
New Orleans @ Charlotte
H2H Trends –
Over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings.
Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Charlotte.
New Orleans are 1-3-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Charlotte.
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| Charlotte | 19 | 26 | 13-13 | 6-13 |
| New Orleans | 25 | 21 | 13-9 | 12-12 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPP PPG | DIFF |
| Charlotte | 105.8 | 105.8 | +0.0 |
| New Orleans | 111.2 | 110.9 | +0.3 |
Picks against the spread
| Spread | O/U Points | Result |
| New Orleans | Under | New Orleans |
| +2.0 | 222.5 | 101-96 |
The Pelicans have won 7 of their last 10, with the Hornets 6 and 4 over the same stretch.
Like Boogie and Davis to bully Dwight and get the W as dogs. Unders also look good.
Best Bet = New Orleans WIN and Under 222.5
Utah @ Detroit
H2H Trends –
Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
Utah are 10-2 ATS in the last 12 meetings in Detroit.
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Detroit.
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| Detroit | 22 | 23 | 13-8 | 9-15 |
| Utah | 19 | 28 | 14-9 | 5-19 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPP PPG | DIFF |
| Detroit | 102.3 | 102.2 | +0.1 |
| Utah | 101.6 | 102.5 | -0.9 |
Picks against the spread
| Spread | O/U Points | Result |
| Utah | Under | Utah |
| +2.5 | 200.5 | 98-95 OT |
The Pistons have dropped their last 5 while the Jazz have lost 7 of their last 10. The winner of this one will gain some much needed confidence.
Both teams play slow tempo so the Unders is the bet.
Utah took the two meetings last season by an average of 23.5 points. Don’t read too much into that, but we will take them for the W.
Best Bet = Under 200.5
Phoenix @ Indiana
H2H Trends –
Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Phoenix are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Indiana.
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Indiana.
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| Indiana | 25 | 22 | 14-10 | 11-12 |
| Phoenix | 17 | 30 | 8-16 | 9-14 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPP PPG | DIFF |
| Indiana | 106.2 | 105.3 | +0.9 |
| Phoenix | 105.4 | 112.1 | -6.7 |
Picks against the spread
| Spread | O/U Points | Result |
| Indiana | Over | Indiana |
| -7.5 | 216.5 | 116-101 |
Suns have dropped 7 of their last 10, Pacers are 6-4 over that stretch.
A win over the Spurs last out would have given the Spurs some swag and they should get over the Suns tonight who are relying solely on our main man, Devon Booker.
Best Bet = Indiana -7.5
Chicago @ Philadelphia
H2H Trends –
Over is 10-2 in the last 12 meetings.
Chicago are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
Chicago are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Philadelphia.
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| Philadelphia | 22 | 21 | 11-10 | 11-11 |
| Chicago | 18 | 29 | 11-12 | 7-17 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPP PPG | DIFF |
| Philadelphia | 108.2 | 107.1 | +1.0 |
| Chicago | 103.7 | 108.8 | -5.1 |
Picks against the spread
| Spread | O/U Points | Result |
| Philadelphia | Under | Philadelphia |
| -5.5 | 218.5 | 115-101 |
Philly had 24 turnovers last out in a loss to Memphis, but should take care of the ball enough at home tonight to dispose of the Bulls, who give us no confidence away from United Center.
Best Bet = Philadelphia -5.5
Toronto @ Atlanta
H2H Trends –
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Atlanta.
Toronto are 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings.
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| Atlanta | 14 | 32 | 10-13 | 4-19 |
| Toronto | 31 | 14 | 17-3 | 14-11 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPP PPG | DIFF |
| Atlanta | 103.6 | 107.5 | -3.9 |
| Toronto | 111.3 | 104.0 | +7.3 |
Picks against the spread
| Spread | O/U Points | Result |
| Atlanta | Under | Toronto |
| +6.0 | 215.0 | 108-93 |
The Raptors, 17-3 at home, will play 10 of 13 in Air Canada Center beginning with Friday’s matchup against Utah, and they hope to head to Toronto in form.
Under is 4-0 in Hawks last 4 home games.
That line’s a little high though. Unders the best play.
Best Bet = Under 215.0
Houston @ Dallas
H2H Trends –
Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Houston are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
Houston are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Dallas.
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| Dallas | 16 | 31 | 10-15 | 6-16 |
| Houston | 33 | 12 | 18-6 | 15-6 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPP PPG | DIFF |
| Dallas | 102.5 | 104.1 | -1.6 |
| Houston | 114.4 | 106.5 | +7.8 |
Picks against the spread
| Spread | O/U Points | Result |
| Houston | Under | Houston |
| -6.0 | 216.5 | 104-97 |
Loving the -6.0 line here and we’ll be showing it some love tonight. Grab it while it’s hot.
Best Bet = Houston -6.0
San Antonio @ Memphis
H2H Trends –
San Antonio are 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Memphis.
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| Memphis | 17 | 29 | 12-13 | 5-16 |
| San Antonio | 31 | 18 | 20-3 | 11-15 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPP PPG | DIFF |
| Memphis | 99.7 | 102.1 | -2.4 |
| San Antonio | 100.9 | 97.6 | +3.3 |
Picks against the spread
| Spread | O/U Points | Result |
| Memphis | Over | San Antonio |
| +3.5 | 191.0 | 108-85 |
The Spurs took care of the Cavs last night 114-102 although on a B2B tonight we don’t have a whole lot of confidence that they can back it up against a Grizzlies team in decent form.
Grizzlies are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 at home.
Best Bet = Memphis +3.5
Minnesota @ Portland
H2H Trends –
Under is 7-0-1 in the last 8 meetings in Portland.
Minnesota are 2-8-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Portland.
Minnesota are 15-36-1 ATS in the last 52 meetings.
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| Portland | 25 | 22 | 13-10 | 12-12 |
| Minnesota | 31 | 18 | 19-6 | 12-12 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPP PPG | DIFF |
| Portland | 104.1 | 103.1 | +1.0 |
| Minnesota | 108.9 | 105.3 | +3.6 |
Picks against the spread
| Spread | O/U Points | Result |
| Minnesota | Over | Portland |
| +3.5 | 210.0 | 123-114 |
The T-Wolves further instilled our confidence in them with a 126-118 win over the in-form Clippers.
Risky game, but would favor Minnesota at the +3.5.
We’ll wait for the Over/Under line.
Best Bet = Over 210.0
Boston @ LA Clippers
H2H Trends –
Boston are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
Under is 8-2-1 in the last 11 meetings in Los Angeles.
Under is 19-9-1 in the last 29 meetings.
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| LA Clippers | 23 | 23 | 14-10 | 9-13 |
| Boston | 34 | 14 | 18-8 | 16-6 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPP PPG | DIFF |
| LA Clippers | 107.8 | 107.5 | +0.4 |
| Boston | 102.6 | 98.3 | +4.4 |
Picks against the spread
| Spread | O/U Points | Result |
| LA Clippers | Under | Boston |
| +1.5 | 217.0 | 113-102 |
Boston have lost 4 straight, with their last 2 coming at the hands of the Lakers and Magic, not a good sign coming into tonight.
We’ll take the Clippers, and may the NBA betting gods be with us, if there are any.
Best Bet = LA Clippers +1.5
