Injuries, scheduled rests and other NBA betting poison to overcome

nba tips
nba tips

*Original betting lines and lineups taken game morning, adjust accordingly.

We go again, let’s at least break even…


The Midfield NBA Parlay:

Dallas @ Brooklyn – Dallas WIN @1.50 (-200) – WIN

Minnesota @ New Orleans – Total Points Over 208.0 @1.91 (-110) – WIN

Indiana @ Toronto – Toronto WIN @1.66 (-152) – WIN

Cleveland @ LA Lakers – Cleveland WIN @1.17 (-588) – WIN


Tonight’s Best Picks:

Minnesota @ New Orleans – Total Points Over 208.0 @1.91 (-110) – WIN

Indiana @ Toronto – Toronto WIN @1.66 (-152) – WIN


Dallas @ Brooklyn

Picks against the spread

Spread Pick O/U Points Result
Dallas  Over  Dallas
 -5.0 208.5 111-104

Win/Loss

TEAM HOME ROAD
Brooklyn 8-26 5-29
Dallas 20-15 9-24

Points +/-

TEAM OWN OPP DIFF
Brooklyn 105.8 113.9 -8.1
Dallas 98.0 100.1 -2.1

Picks –

If ever there was a game to avoid in your betting life this could be it. Brooklyn have sprouted a few wins of late, with a 4-6 record over 10. Dallas 6-4 over 10.

Last time out the Mavs were awful, falling 116-74 to the 76ers in Dallas due to some horrible shooting %.

A 9-24 road record for the Mavs is no good, but an 8-26 home record is worse for the Nets.

Gulp, Mavs.

Best Bet: Dallas WIN @1.50 (-200)

Feeling Lucky: Total Points Over 208.5 @1.91 (-110)


Boston @ Philadelphia

Picks against the spread

Spread Pick O/U Points Result
Boston  Under  Philadephia
-5.5 208.5  105-99

Win/Loss

TEAM HOME ROAD
Philadelphia 16-19 9-24
Boston 23-9 21-16

Points +/-

TEAM OWN OPP DIFF
Philadelphia 102.3 107.6 -5.3
Boston 107.5 105.0 +2.5

Picks –

As we just read, last out the 76ers embarrassed the Mavs 116-74, but we won’t read too much into that.

The Celtics will get over the line tonight, even without All-Star Isaiah Thomas (knee). A lot more shots to go round, which may take some adjustment for Boston, so we’ll stay away from the line.

Best Bet: Boston WIN @1.46 (-217)

Feeling Lucky: Total Points Under 208.5 @1.91 (-110)


Phoenix @ Detroit

Picks against the spread

Spread Pick O/U Points Result
Phoenix  Under  Detroit
-9.5 213.5 112-95

Win/Loss

TEAM HOME ROAD
Detroit 22-14 11-22
Phoenix 13-23 9-24

Points +/-

TEAM OWN OPP DIFF
Detroit 101.5 102.2 -0.7
Phoenix 107.4 112.5 -5.1

Picks –

Both have lost their last 3, with a lack of scoring from the Pistons a glaring factor, including scoring just 3 points in the final 9:31 secs in a loss last out to the Raptors.

Having lost 3 straight, the boys from the Motor City find themselves out of the 8th seed, and with 13 games remaining wins are golden.

Have to go the Pistons here. If they can’t pull this one out, they may as well start planning those early flights to Mexico for a postseason booze up.

That line’s too high though, go the unders.

Best Bet:  Nope.

Feeling Lucky: Total Points Under 213.5 @1.91 (-110)


Portland @ Miami

Picks against the spread

Spread Pick O/U Points Result
Miami  Over  Portland
-6.5 214.0 115-104
TEAM HOME ROAD
Miami 20-14 14-21
Portland 17-14 14-23

Points +/-

TEAM OWN OPP DIFF
Miami 102.9 101.9 +1.0
Portland 108.1 110.2 -2.1

Picks –

Both are 7-3 over their last 10, with the Blazers on a B2B following a 113-97 win in Atlanta last night.

With a 23-5 record over their last 28, the Heat are in 8th spot looking to cap off one of the great playoff runs in recent times. With a day’s break I’ll be taking the Heat at home.

However, this is a danger game for us punters, and I’ll be much more comfortable taking the overs here.

Best Bet: Total Points Over 214.0 @1.91 (-110)

Feeling Lucky: Miami -6.5 @1.91(-110)


Minnesota @ New Orleans

Picks against the spread

Spread Pick O/U Points Result
New Orleans  Over  New Orleans
-3.0 208.0 123-109

Win/Loss

TEAM HOME ROAD
New Orleans 17-18 11-23
Minnesota 18-18 10-22

Points +/-

TEAM OWN OPP DIFF
New Orleans 103.3 106.0 -2.7
Minnesota 104.9 105.2 -0.3

Picks –

Both have split their last 10.

The Pelicans got over the Rockets 128-112 last time on the court at home with Cousins resting, while the young T-Wolves have lost their last 2 by double figures on the road against the Heat and Celtics.

The Pelicans at home look like a good pick here.

Best Bet: Total Points Over 208.0 @1.91 (-110)

Feeling Lucky: New Orleans -3.0 @1.91 (-110)


Indiana @ Toronto

Picks against the spread

Spread Pick O/U Points Result
Toronto  Over  Toronto
-3.5 201.0  116-91

Win/Loss

TEAM HOME ROAD
Toronto 22-12 18-17
Indiana 24-10 11-23

Points +/-

TEAM OWN OPP DIFF
Toronto 106.8 103.3 +3.5
Indiana 104.3 104.9 -0.6

Picks –

The Raptors come home with a good win in Detroit and get their first look at Indiana for the season (strange for late march). The Pacers road record at 11-23 is in the bottom 7 in the league.

Best Bet: Toronto WIN @1.66 (-152)

Feeling Lucky: Toronto -3.5 @1.91 (-110)


Sacramento @ San Antonio

Picks against the spread

Spread Pick O/U Points Result
Sacramento  San Antonio
+13.5 TBC  118-102

Win/Loss

TEAM HOME ROAD
San Antonio 25-7 27-9
Sacramento 14-21 13-21

Points +/-

TEAM OWN OPP DIFF
San Antonio 106.5 98.5 +8.0
Sacramento 103.1 106.1 -3.0

Picks –

The Spurs are on a B2B coming off two losses and have the lowly Kings at home. Too bad we cant wager on Popovich resting 4 players tonight cause it’s very likely on the cards. The hunt for the 1st seed in the West has probably ended being now 2.5 games behind the Warriors to no real incentive left.

Best Bet: Rest Alert

Feeling Lucky: Sacramento +13.5 @1.91 (-110)


Cleveland @ LA Lakers

Picks against the spread

Spread Pick O/U Points Result
Cleveland  Cleveland
-10.0 TBC 125-120

Win/Loss

TEAM HOME ROAD
Los Angeles 12-20 8-29
Cleveland 28-7 17-16

Points +/-

TEAM OWN OPP DIFF
LA Lakers 104.3 111.7 -7.4
Cleveland 110.7 106.1 +4.6

Picks –

The Cavs decided to rest their “Big 3” against the Clippers and then bring them back for tonight’s game against a team who doesn’t want to win in the Lakers. Not the most calculating decision and boy did the media and fans hit back at the reigning champs. Regardless, the Cavs will win tonight, even if LeBron, Kyrie and Love have an all-nighter.

Best Bet: Cleveland WIN @1.17 (-588)

Feeling Lucky: Total Points Over TBC @1.91 (-110).