Tonight’s 11 NBA picks
11 games tonight, so less bullshitting and more studying. Two liner previews for tonight. Going for a big one tonight. Gamble responsibly.
Tonight’s Best Pick:
Boston Celtics @ Dallas Mavericks – Boston WIN @1.86 (-116) – WIN
Philadelphia @ Charlotte
Win/Loss
| TEAM | HOME | ROAD |
| Philadelphia | 13-16 | 7-18 |
| Charlotte | 16-12 | 8-18 |
Points +/-
| TEAM | OWN | OPP | DIFF |
| Philadelphia | 101.0 | 106.8 | -5.8 |
| Charlotte | 104.9 | 104.5 | +0.4 |
Picks –
The 76ers will be without Embiid and Okafor on the road to Charlotte although their opponent in the Hornets are 1-9 in their last 10. Home team is the best choice but not confident with that form.
Best Bet: No Confidence Here
Feeling Lucky: Total Points Under 210.0 @1.91 (-110)
San Antonio @ Indiana
Win/Loss
| TEAM | HOME | ROAD |
| San Antonio | 19-6 | 22-7 |
| Indiana | 20-8 | 9-17 |
Points +/-
| TEAM | OWN | OPP | DIFF |
| San Antonio | 107.0 | 98.7 | +8.3 |
| Indiana | 105.6 | 106.1 | -0.5 |
Picks –
Spurs are on a B2B which does give us some concern if Pop will choose to rest his players. Nevertheless, they came up short in NYC and wouldn’t want to drop another. The Pacers are a chance if the right Indiana team shows up…. not the one that got blown out on their home court by the struggling Bucks.
Best Bet: May need to wait for the lineups.
Feeling Lucky: San Antonio WIN @1.68 (-147)
Orlando @ Miami
Win/Loss
| TEAM | HOME | ROAD |
| Orlando | 9-17 | 11-19 |
| Miami | 13-13 | 11-18 |
Points +/-
| TEAM | OWN | OPP | DIFF |
| Orlando | 99.6 | 106.1 | -6.5 |
| Miami | 101.1 | 102.1 | -1.0 |
Picks –
The Heat were due for a loss after winning 13 straight but they have been running on empty with Waiters out. Their hustle from the young core of McGruder and Johnson is providing enough of a spark to get back on the winning wagon.
Best Bet: Miami WIN @1.28 (-370)
Feeling Lucky: Total Points Over 207.5 @1.91 (-110)
Memphis @ Brooklyn
| TEAM | HOME | ROAD |
| Memphis | 18-10 | 15-13 |
| Brooklyn | 7-22 | 2-23 |
Points +/-
| TEAM | OWN | OPP | DIFF |
| Memphis | 100.8 | 99.6 | +1.2 |
| Brooklyn | 105.1 | 114.0 | -8.9 |
Picks –
The Nets have lost 12 straight and it doesn’t get any easier facing the Grizzlies tonight. Prior to the loss at home to the Warriors, Memphis had won 6 from 7 and are in the hunt for the 4th seed with the Clippers falling away.
Best Bet: Memphis WIN @1.19 (-526)
Feeling Lucky: Total Points Under 209.5 @1.91 (-110)
Oklahoma City @ Washington
Win/Loss
| TEAM | HOME | ROAD |
| OKC | 19-8 | 12-16 |
| Washington | 23-7 | 9-14 |
Points +/-
| TEAM | OWN | OPP | DIFF |
| OKC | 105.9 | 105.8 | +0.1 |
| Washington | 107.8 | 105.5 | +2.3 |
Picks –
Probably the game of the night where the leagues best Point Guards square off. Prior to their loss at home to the Cavs last week, you would have to go back to early December to track down the Wizards last loss. They guard the home court well and have almost passed every test thrown at them while they are in the race for the 2nd seed. Coach Brooks might have something up his sleeve to stop his old PG Russ.
Best Bet: Washington WIN @1.48 (-208)
Feeling Lucky: Washington -5.0 @1.95 (-105)
Detroit @ Milwaukee
Win/Loss
| TEAM | HOME | ROAD |
| Detroit | 16-11 | 10-18 |
| Milwaukee | 13-14 | 10-16 |
Points +/-
| TEAM | OWN | OPP | DIFF |
| Detroit | 101.5 | 101.9 | -0.4 |
| Milwaukee | 105.3 | 105.3 | +0.0 |
Picks –
The Bucks have been poison all year on both ends of the scale, however at home with a day’s break, after getting over Indiana away as an underdog, it may be worth the risk…. but not in the parlay.
Milwaukee are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games overall.
Best Bet: Nope.
Feeling Lucky: Milwaukee -2.0 @1.91 (-110)
Boston @ Dallas
Win/Loss
| TEAM | HOME | ROAD |
| Boston | 19-8 | 16-11 |
| Dallas | 14-13 | 8-19 |
Points +/-
| TEAM | OWN | OPP | DIFF |
| Boston | 108.3 | 105.8 | +2.5 |
| Dallas | 98.2 | 100.2 | -2.0 |
Picks –
Both are in form with the Mavs 7/3 and the Celtics 9/1 over their last 10.
The Mavs offense is a bit light-on for our liking and the Unders is a nice take tonight.
Best Bet: Boston WIN @1.86 (-120).
Feeling Lucky: Boston WIN @-1.5 or Total Points Under 207.5 @1.91 (-110)
New Orleans @ Phoenix
Win/Loss
| TEAM | HOME | ROAD |
| New Orleans | 14-15 | 7-19 |
| Phoenix | 9-17 | 8-21 |
Points +/-
| TEAM | OWN | OPP | DIFF |
| New Orleans | 103.5 | 106.8 | -3.3 |
| Phoenix | 106.4 | 112.7 | -6.3 |
Picks –
This is very much a roll of the dice, however with the Pelicans on a B2B away against some young, fresh Suns legs, we’ll take the home team.
Best Bet: Phoenix WIN @1.80 (-180)
Feeling Lucky: Phoenix -2.0 @1.91 (-110)
Golden State @ Denver
Win/Loss
| TEAM | HOME | ROAD |
| Golden State | 23-3 | 23-5 |
| Denver | 14-12 | 10-18 |
Points +/-
| TEAM | OWN | OPP | DIFF |
| Golden State | 118.6 | 105.3 | +13.3 |
| Denver | 110.5 | 111.9 | -1.4 |
Picks –
Golden Sate (46-8) are topping the league with 118.6 per game, and have provided us with many winning Overs this season due to low-ish lines.
The shining light for the Nuggets has been big man Jokic, and you know how we love those big Europeans. We’ll keep him on the “Jersey to buy list” over here at The Midfield.
Can’t look past the Warriors tonight, but that Overs line is way too high to take.
Best Bet: Nope.
Feeling Lucky: Golden State -11.5 @1.91 (-110)
LA Clippers @ Utah
Win/Loss
| TEAM | HOME | ROAD |
| LA Clippers | 17-8 | 16-13 |
| Utah | 19-10 | 15-11 |
Points +/-
| TEAM | OWN | OPP | DIFF |
| LA Clippers | 108.5 | 105.1 | +3.4 |
| Utah | 100.5 | 96.0 | +4.5 |
Picks –
The form lies with Utah, with 12/8 over 20, with LA 9/11 over the same stretch.
Getting a gauge on LA has been difficult due to injury this year, and if CP3 were playing tonight we’d spend a bit more time on this one.
Despite the stellar form of Griffin over the last five with 26.4 pts, 9.4 rbs and 6 ast per game, the Jazz should be too strong at home.
Our Golden Boy Gordon Hayward got this.
Best Bet: Utah WIN @1.34 (-285)
Feeling Lucky: Utah -7.0 @1.91 (-110)
Atlanta @ Portland
Win/Loss
| TEAM | HOME | ROAD |
| Atlanta | 16-11 | 15-12 |
| Portland | 14-12 | 9-19 |
Points +/-
| TEAM | OWN | OPP | DIFF |
| Atlanta | 104.1 | 104.4 | -0.3 |
| Portland | 107.7 | 110.1 | -2.4 |
Picks –
Both have split their last 10, however considering the Hawks form this season, they are in a slump of late.
Liking the line for the Hawks here, as thin as it is, with the road record giving us confidence. Consistency is key here, and we think the Hawks have more of it.
Hawks are 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings in Portland.
Best Bet: Atlanta +2.0 @1.91 (-110)
Feeling Lucky: Atlanta WIN @2.05 (+105)
