Tonight’s Free NBA Playoff Picks
Western Conference Finals Picks – Game 5 – Golden State @ Houston, Toyota Center.
*Original betting lines and lineups taken game morning, adjust accordingly.
The original lines for each game are taken a couple of hours prior to the tip-off, so adjust your picks accordingly should a line change.
Confidence out of 1-5
Western Conference Finals – Game 5
Golden State @ Houston
- Western Conference Final – Game 5
- Series Tied 2-2
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Houston.
Golden State are 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings in Houston.
|GAME 4||Golden State||Houston||92 : 95|
|GAME 3||Golden State||Houston||126 : 85|
|GAME 2||Houston||Golden State||127 : 105|
|GAME 1||Houston||Golden State||106 : 119|
|21.01.18||Houston||Golden State||116 : 108|
|05.01.18||Houston||Golden State||114 : 124|
|18.10.17||Golden State||Houston||121 : 122|
Season Points +/-
Picks against the spread
With a 10-point deficit heading into the 4th quarter and a 3-1 series hole, the Rockets came alive late, holding the Warriors to 12 last quarter points and reestablishing home-court advantage.
The Warriors held Houston to 39% shooting in Game 4 but gave up 34 points in the 2nd quarter and 25 in the 4th, with defensive consistency an area of concern. Golden State had 16 turnovers and 3 for 18 shooting in the final quarter, with lack of ball movement un-Warriors like.
The Warriors will need Iguodala back on the defensive end, and a healthy Klay Thompson to suit up to stay in this one tonight.
Harden led all scorers in Game 4 with 30 points on an 11-for-26 shooting. CP3 added 27 points and four assists. PJ Tucker lived full-time on the glass grabbing 16 boards and zero points.
The number of free throws has decreased through the series as sides have made the required adjustments defensively.
When a Series is tied at 2-2, the Game 5 winner wins the series over 80% of the time, and with this in mind we expect a lift in defensive urgency, as we saw last night in a low scoring 96-83 Celtics win over the Cavs in their Game 5.
The Under is 6-1 in the Golden State’s last 7 and 4-0-1 in their last 5 after a loss. The Under is also 11-4 in Houston’s last 15 following a win and 15-7 in their last 22 at Toyota Center. But wait, there’s more, with the Under also 7-3 in the last 10 matchups between these two and 6-2 in the last 8 matchups in Houston.