Free NBA Picks Tonight

7 GAMES – NBA PICKS – 12/1/19

January 12, 2020

FREE NBA PICKS

*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.

DP’S NBA PLAYER PROP

SEASON RECORD: 25-17

Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop, exclusive to subscribers.

UTAH @ WASHINGTON

Utah’s most recently acquired 6th man in Jordan Clarkson is starting to become extremely familiar and dangerous through the second unit.

Since being acquired by the Jazz, Clarkson has been encouraged to be aggressive and let it fly, which is uncommon for someone to be given such a green light in a new system.

Clarkson is coming off a high 15 shot attempts returning 20 points on 53% from the floor.

Moving into this fixture against the Wizards, I think Clarkson will be the benefactor of significant minutes alongside Mitchell & Mudiay with that small/agile Wizards backcourt in McRae, Thomas and TB Jr.

If Clarkson takes between 11-13 shots, he will cover the 13.5.

DP’S PICK – JORDAN CLARKSON OVER 13.5 POINTS – WIN

NBA PARLAY

PLAYER PROP PARLAY

MIAMI @ NEW YORK – JIMMY BUTLER OVER 20.5 POINTS
UTAH @ WASHINGTON – JORDAN CLARKSON OVER 13.5 POINTS

ODDS – $3.72 – WIN

MIAMI @ NEW YORK

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

HEAT TRENDS

12-4-1 ATS in last 17 games vs teams below .400.
17-8-1 ATS in last 26 games vs teams below .500.
0-4 ATS in last 4 games as a road favorite.
Over is 4-0-1 in last 5 games as a road favorite.
Over is 5-0 in last 5 games vs teams below .400.
Over is 6-1 in last 7 road games.
Over is 13-3-1 in last 17 games as a favorite.
Over is 18-7-1 in last 26 overall.

KNICKS TRENDS

19-39-1 ATS in last 59 games vs teams above .600.c
16-33 ATS in last 49 home games.
1-4 ATS in last 5 games overall.
Over is 3-0-1 in last 4 vs teams above .500.
Over is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
Under is 14-6 in last 20 home games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

Under is 10-4-1 in the last 15 meetings.
Under is 24-9 in the last 33 meetings in New York.
Heat are 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings in New York.
Heat are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->

21.12.19
MIA
NY
129 : 114

PLAYER TRENDS

Bam Adebayo has 13+ rebounds in 5 of the Heat’s last 6 games as road favourites. (10.5)
Jimmy Butler has 25+ points in the Heat’s last 3 games as road favourites. (20.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
MIA	27	11	17-1	10-10
NY	10	29	5-13	5-16

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT. AV
MIA	111.4	107.6	+3.8	219.0
NY	104.4	112.6	-8.2	217.0

PICKS ATS

Spread	Points	Result
MIA	OVER	NY
-8.0	218.5	124-121

THE RUB

The Heat have dominated home court with 17 wins in 18 games, however have lost their last 3 of 4 away from home court to drop to 10-10 on the road after blowing a 12-point halftime lead in a 117-113 loss at Brooklyn on Friday.

The Knicks have followed up a season-best, 3-game win streak with 5-straight losses after a 123-111 setback against New Orleans on Friday without its two scorers Marcus Morris (neck) and Julius Randle (personal).

The Heat are still looking for maturity on the road, and the -8.0 line is a bit much, however the alternative is picking the Knicks….

OUR PICK – MIAMI -8.0

UTAH @ WASHINGTON

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

JAZZ TRENDS

5-0 ATS in last 5 vs teams below .400.
9-1 ATS in last 10 games overall.
7-1 ATS in last 8 games as a favorite.
7-1 ATS in last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.
7-1 ATS in last 8 vs teams below .500.
5-1 ATS in last 6 road games.
Under is 6-2 in last 8 games as a road favorite.
Under is 13-5 in last 18 vs teams below .500.

WIZARDS TRENDS

4-1 ATS in last 5 vs teams above .600.
13-6 ATS in last 19 home games vs teams with a winning road record.
Over is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams above .600.
Under is 4-1 in last 5 overall.

MATCHUP TRENDS

Under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.
Jazz are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Washington.
Jazz are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Washington.

PLAYER TRENDS

Donovan Mitchell has 6+ assists in the Jazz’s last 6 road games. (5.5)
Rudy Gobert has 17+ rebounds in the Jazz’s last 3 road games against Southeast Division teams. (16.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
UTA	26	12	15-3	11-9
WAS	13	25	8-10	5-15

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT. AV
UTA	109.0	105.5	+3.5	214.5
WAS	114.8	119.7	-4.9	234.5

PICKS ATS

Spread	Points	Result
UTA	UNDER	UTA
-8.5	223.5	127-116

THE RUB

The in-form Jazz try for their 9th-straight win and 7th in a row over Washington tonight.

Injury-riddled Washington have won 3 of their last 4 – the second time it’s done that this season – after a 111-101 win over the Hawks on Friday gave them 3-straight home victories.

Trends pushing to Unders.

OUR PICK – UNDER 223.5

ATLANTA @ BROOKLYN

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

HAWKS TRENDS

2-7 ATS in last 9 road games.
1-5 ATS in last 6 vs teams below .500.
Under is 4-0 in last 4 road games.
Under is 11-2 in last 13 vs teams below .500.
Over is 20-9 in last 29 games as an underdog.

NETS TRENDS

1-4 ATS in last 5 games as a home favorite.
1-4 ATS in last 5 vs teams below .500.
1-7 ATS in last 8 games overall.
Under is 6-2 in last 8 home games vs teams with a losing road record.
Under is 13-6-1 in last 20 games following a ATS win.

MATCHUP TRENDS

Hawks are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
Hawks are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Brooklyn.
Under is 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings in Brooklyn.
Under is 12-4-1 in the last 17 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->

22.12.19	BKN	ATL	122 : 112
05.12.19	ATL	BKN	118 : 130

PLAYER TRENDS

Spencer Dinwiddie has 24+ points in the Nets’ last 4 Sunday home games. (TBC)
John Collins has scored 29+ points in his last 3 games against the Nets. (TBC)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
ATL	8	31	4-14	4-17
BKN	17	20	10-8	7-12

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT. AV
ATL	107.6	117.3	-9.7	224.9
BKN	109.8	111.7	-1.9	221.5

PICKS ATS

Spread	Points	Result
BKN	OVER	BKN
-8.0	230.0	108-86

THE RUB

The Nets go for their 8th straight win over the Hawks after snapping a 7-game losing streak.

Atlanta never hit 3rd gear against the league’s worst defense Friday in Washington, shooting 7-for-29 from 3-point range and 12-for-24 from the free-throw line in a 111-101 loss.

The Hawks allow 117.3 ppg, 29th in the league, and have lost 14 of their past 16 games.

OUR PICK – OVER 230.5

GOLDEN STATE @ MEMPHIS

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

WARRIORS TRENDS

1-5 ATS in last 6 road games vs teams with a losing home record.
Under is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
Under is 8-1 in last 9 games following an ATS win.
Under is 7-3 in last 10 road games.

GRIZZLIES TRENDS

4-0 ATS in last 4 games overall.
6-1 ATS in last 7 home games.
5-1 ATS in last 6 home games vs teams with a losing road record.
Over is 7-0 in last 7 home games vs teams with a losing road record.
Over is 4-0 in last 4 vs teams below .400.
Over is 10-1 in last 11 home games.
Over is 6-1 in last 7 overall.

MATCHUP TRENDS

Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.
Under is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings in Memphis.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->

10.12.19	GSW	MEM	102 : 110
20.11.19	MEM	GSW	95 : 114

PLAYER TRENDS

Ja Morant has 22+ points in 4 of the Grizzlies’ last 5 games. (18.5)
Draymond Green has 10+ rebounds in 6 of his last 7 road games against Southwest Division teams. (6.5)
Dillon Brooks has 20+ points in the Grizzlies’ last 3 home games. (17.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
GSW	9	31	6-13	3-18
MEM	17	22	9-12	8-10

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT. AV
GSW	104.8	112.7	-7.9	217.5
MEM	113.2	116.4	-3.2	229.6

PICKS ATS

Spread	Points	Result
MEM	OVER	MEM
-6.5	220.0	122-102

THE RUB

The Grizzlies are improving into a playoff contender in the West and are enjoying their longest win streak of the season, they’ll look to push the streak to 5-straight wins tonight.

The Grizzlies are averaging 128.5 ppg over the last 4 games and rolled over the San 134-121 on Friday to move to to 11-6 over their last 17 games.

The Warriors are battling but don’t have the firepower to get over the W’s and had their latest slide reach 7-straight losses when they fumbled a double-digit, 4th-quarter lead in a 109-100 loss at the Los Angeles Clippers on Friday.

OUR PICK – OVER 220.0

SAN ANTONIO @ TORONTO

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

SPURS TRENDS

7-0-1 ATS in last 8 games following a straight up loss.
4-0 ATS in last 4 vs teams above .600.
5-1-1 ATS in last 7 road games.
8-3-1 ATS in last 12 games as a road favorite.
Over is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
Over is 7-0 in last 7 games following a straight up loss.
Over is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams above .600.
Over is 4-1 in last 5 road games.

RAPTORS TRENDS

16-7 ATS in last 23 vs teams below .500.
3-9 ATS in last 12 games playing on 3+ days rest.
Under is 4-1 in last 5 games following a straight up win.
Under is 4-1 in last 5 home games.
Under is 5-2 in last 7 overall.

MATCHUP TRENDS

Over is 11-5 in the last 16 meetings.
Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Toronto.
Spurs are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

PLAYER TRENDS

DeMar DeRozan has 24+ points in the Spurs’ last 7 games. (21.5)
LaMarcus Aldridge has 13+ rebounds in 4 of his last 5 Sunday appearances. (7.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
SAS	16	21	11-9	5-12
TOR	25	13	14-6	11-7

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT. AV
SAS	114.2	115.3	-1.1	229.5
TOR	110.5	105.2	+5.3	215.7

PICKS ATS

Spread	Points	Result
SAS	UNDER	SAS
+3.0	220.5	105-104

THE RUB

The Raptors are struggling through injuries but still manage to find their way into the win column and will go for back-to-back wins when they host former resident star DeMar DeRozan and the Spurs.

Toronto is without key rotation players Siakam (groin), Gasol (hamstring) Powell (shoulder) and VanVleet (hamstring), but Siakam, Powell and Gasol all participated in practice on Friday, to varying degrees.

The Raptors are 6-5 without the three injured players, including a 112-110 OT road win over the Hornets on Wednesday.

Spurs are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

OUR PICK – SAN ANTONIO +3.0

LA CLIPPERS @ DENVER

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

CLIPPERS TRENDS

4-1 ATS in last 5 road games vs teams with a winning home record.
7-2 ATS in last 9 road games.
Over is 5-0 in last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
Under is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams above .600.
Over is 7-3 in last 10 overall.
Under is 24-11 in last 35 vs teams above .500.

NUGGETS TRENDS

3-1-1 ATS in last 5 vs teams above .600.
2-6-2 ATS in last 10 games as a favorite.
0-6 ATS in last 6 games playing on 0 days rest.
0-4-2 ATS in last 6 home games.
Over is 5-0 in last 5 games as a favorite.
Over is 6-1 in last 7 overall.
Under is 9-3 in last 12 vs teams above .600.
Over is 5-2 in last 7 home games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

Clippers are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Denver.
Clippers are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
Under is 36-16 in the last 52 meetings.
Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Denver.

PLAYER TRENDS

Kawhi Leonard has 29+ points in his last 7 Sunday road games. (26.5)
Gary Harris has 14+ points in his last 5 games against the Clippers. (12.5)
Nikola Jokic has 14+ rebounds in 3 of the Nuggets’ last 4 home games against the Clippers. (10.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
LAC	27	12	17-4	10-8
DEN	26	12	15-5	11-7

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT. AV
LAC	115.6	109.5	+6.1	225.1
DEN	108.9	105.4	+3.5	214.3

PICKS ATS

Spread	Points	Result
DEN	UNDER	DEN
-1.5	221.0	114-104

THE RUB

2nd place in the West is at stake tonight, however the Clips will be without Paul George (23.5 ppg) after he sustained a hamstring injury in practice.

Denver was stunned at home by Cleveland 111-103 on Saturday and sit one-half game behind the Clippers.

OUR PICK – DENVER -1.5